MLB Best Bets: World Series Expert Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Rangers, Game 1

MLB Best Bets: World Series Expert Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Rangers, Game 1

This article is part of our MLB Picks series.

MLB Best Bets: World Series Expert Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Rangers, Game 1

Season: 129-157-2 -55.65 units

Prior Article: 1-4 -2.00 units

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Texas Rangers  

The last two games between the Diamondbacks and Phillies were not kind to me, as I (like most people) had the Phillies taking Game 6 or 7 and winning the series. 

Now, we have Game 1 of the World Series between the Dbacks and Rangers with Zac Gallen against Nathan Eovaldi. I will go back to the home/road splits of Gallen, which over the course of the season have been significant. 

Gallen's home splits are excellent: 2.47 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 10.6 K/9, 1.6 BB/9 and 0.6 HR/9. On the road, he's been a different pitcher: 4.42 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.3 K/9, 2.4 BB/9 and 1.3 HR/9. In his four postseason starts, he has a 5.29 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 13 strikeouts and nine walks. His road ROI was -$298, compared to +$262 at home. Eovaldi's playoff numbers have been excellent in his four starts, as he has a 2.49 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, striking out 28 while walking four. His overall ROI was $549 ($242 at home, $307 on the road, and +$641 over his last nine starts).

Corey Seager has 12 walks in 12 games and gets the left-handed hitter vs. right-handed pitcher edge along with Gallen's awful recent history and road splits. Evan Carter has been hitting third against right-handers, in front of Adolis Garcia, and has a total of 25 (H+R+RBI) in 12 games. 

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MLB Best Bets for Diamondbacks at Rangers

  • Rangers -0.5 F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
  • Evan Carter OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI for 0.5 unit (DraftKings -105)
  • Corey Seager OVER 0.5 walks for 0.5 unit (DraftKings +135)

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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