NFL Picks and Props for Championship Sunday

Its NFL Championship Sunday! Stuck inside in the snow today? Have no fear, Daniel Dobish has you covered with a a full menu of prop plays on today's games
NFL Picks and Props for Championship Sunday

NFL Picks and Props for Championship Sunday

The 2025 National Football League is down to its version of the Final Four, as the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos meet in the AFC Championship Round at 3 p.m. EST on CBS/Paramount+, and the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks battle in the NFC Championship Game at 6:30 p.m. EST on FOX. 

We'll make several picks in the two title games, looking to build bankroll for the Super Bowl. Let's get started!

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New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Prop Plays

*Best lines at time of writing listed

The Patriots and Broncos meet in the AFC Championship Game, much to the dismay of most football fans. New England had a stranglehold on the NFL for over a decade in the Tom Brady era. And after a quick rebuild, they're back contending to titles. Meanwhile, Sean Payton has the Broncos vying for a Super Bowl again, too. 

Neither of these teams have appeared in the past six AFC Championships, but the Patriots appeared in eight straight title games with Brady from 2011-18, including two against the Broncos (2013, 2015). 

Last week's 33-30 OT win over the Buffalo Bills was a costly one, as QB Bo Nix fractured his ankle. QB Jarrett Stidham, a fourth-round pick in 2019 by the Patriots, gets is first-career NFL postseason start on one of the biggest stages of them all.

Maye threw for 268 yards against the Los Angeles Chargers in the wild-card round, while tossing 3 TDs with 179 yards last week against the Houston Texans. The Broncos are a strong passing defense, so don't be surprised to see the Patriots lean upon the one-two punch of rookie RB TreVeyon Henderson and veteran RB Rhamondre Stevenson.

Maye is likely to go Under on his passing total. However, going Over on his passing touchdowns is a strong play. He had three touchdowns last week despite going under 200 yards against the Texans. He has at least one interception in each of his playoff games, and the Broncos pass rush should be able to speed him up, coaxing him into at least one miscue here, too.

In addition, Patriots TE Hunter Henry had a touchdown grab in each of his final 3 road games, and he posted a TD against the Chargers in the wild-card game. Take him as an Anytime TD Scorer.

For the Broncos,  we'll take Stidham to have at least one interception thrown even though the prices is a bit high. It's unchartered territory for him, and the Patriots won't make life easy, disguising blitzes and mixing up coverages. He is sure to make at least one mistake, if not more.

Denver's Evan Engram is a good bet to go for at least three receptions, helping out his inexperienced quarterback on short to intermediate routes. RB RJ Harvey could see plenty of dump-offs, too, and he is a good role of the dice.

Best Prop Pick: Patriots QB Drake Maye - Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-115 BetMGM)

Best Prop Pick: Patriots QB Drake Maye - Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-106 FanDuel)

Best Prop Pick: Patriots QB Drake Maye - Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+100 FanDuel)

Best Prop Picks: Patriots TE Hunter Henry - Anytime TD Scorer (+200 BetMGM)

Best Prop Picks: Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham - Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-176 FanDuel)

Best Prop Picks: Broncos TE Evan Engram - Over 2.5 Receptions (+100 BetMGM)

Best Prop Picks: Broncos RB RJ Harvey - Over 3.5 Receptions (+115 BetMGM)

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks Prop Plays

*Best lines at time of writing listed

The Rams and Seahawks meet for Round 3 in the NFC Championship Game. If Sunday's tilt is anything like the wild Thursday night game we had in mid-December, we're certainly in for a treat.

Rams RB Kyren Williams rushed for 87 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week in the OT road win against the Chicago Bears. He has scored three total touchdowns in two playoff games, while racking up 36 rushing TDs and eight receiving scores in the past 45 regular-season games. He is a scoring machine, and it's stunning he is plus-money to score.

For Seattle, with RB Zach Charbonnet suffering a torn ACL last week against San Francisco, it will be the Kenneth Walker III show again. He looked great as the workhorse last week, running for 116 yards and three scores. Go Over on his rushing attempts, and he is a good bet to pierce the end zone at least once, too.

For the Seahawks, WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba was huge all season. But with Seattle building a huge lead last week, the passing game was powered down, and he was barely used. He should bounce back in what is expected to be a much closer game. In two regular-season matchups with the Rams, JSN had 17 receptions for 201 yards and a TD, with at least eight grabs in each meeting.

Best Prop Pick: Rams RB Kyren Williams - Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135 DraftKings)

Best Prop Pick: Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III - Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (-127 DraftKings

Best Prop Pick: Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III - Anytime Touchdown (-139 Caesars)

Best Prop Pick: Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Over 6.5 Receptions (-118 FanDuel)

Best Prop Plays - Championship Sunday

*Best lines at time of writing listed

Best Prop Pick: Patriots QB Drake Maye - Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-115 BetMGM)

Best Prop Pick: Patriots QB Drake Maye - Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-106 FanDuel)

Best Prop Pick: Patriots QB Drake Maye - Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+100 FanDuel)

Best Prop Picks: Patriots TE Hunter Henry - Anytime TD Scorer (+200 BetMGM)

Best Prop Picks: Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham - Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-176 FanDuel)

Best Prop Picks: Broncos TE Evan Engram - Over 2.5 Receptions (+100 BetMGM)

Best Prop Picks: Broncos RB RJ Harvey - Over 3.5 Receptions (+115 BetMGM)

Best Prop Pick: Rams RB Kyren Williams - Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135 DraftKings)

Best Prop Pick: Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III - Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (-127 DraftKings

Best Prop Pick: Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III - Anytime Touchdown (-139 Caesars)

Best Prop Pick: Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Over 6.5 Receptions (-118 FanDuel)

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Hockey writer, handicapper, unskilled fourth liner, 25-year fantasy sports and gambling industry veteran, FSWA's 2024 Player Notes Writer of the Year, and five-time FSWA award winner. Twitter: @danieledobish
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