NFL Picks: Best Bet Full House

NFL Picks: Best Bet Full House

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

Click here for the audio version of Staff Picks. (NSFW)

Last week four of us went 2-2, while Stopa picked up where he left off in the regular season and went 0-4. We also lost our only unanimous pick, the Giants.

This week, there are no unanimous picks, but our best bets (4-1 last week) are a full house: three Falcons, two Chiefs.

EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
Seahawks +4.5 at FalconsFalconsSeahawksSeahawksFalconsFalcons
Texans +16 at PatriotsPatriotsTexansPatriotsTexansPatriots
Steelers +2 at ChiefsChiefsChiefsChiefsChiefsSteelers
Packers +4.5 at CowboysPackersPackersPackersPackersCowboys
Best BetFalconsChiefsChiefsFalconsFalcons
Last week's Record2-22-22-20-42-2
Best Bet Record12-612-610-87-1111-7
2016 Unanimous Pick Record27-22-2
2016 Majority Pick Record131-120-5
2015 Playoff Record5-62-93-82-91-10
2014 Playoff Record10-15-69-24-79-2
2013 Playoff Record5-4-23-6-24-5-24-5-24-5-2
2012 Playoff Record4-6-15-5-16-4-14-6-18-2-1
2011 Playoff Record8-35-69-26-57-4
2010 Playoff Record6-55-65-67-48-3
2009 Playoff Record5-64-71-106-55-6
2008 Playoff Record6-55-65-68-34-7
2007 Playoff Record8-33-86-5N/A2-9
2006 Playoff Record7-4N/A4-7N/AN/A
2005 Playoff Record5-6N/A3-8N/AN/A
2004 Playoff Record6-5N/A4-7N/AN/A
2003 Playoff Record6-5N/A4-7N/AN/A
2002 Playoff Record6-57-45-6N/AN/A
Click here for the audio version of Staff Picks. (NSFW)

Last week four of us went 2-2, while Stopa picked up where he left off in the regular season and went 0-4. We also lost our only unanimous pick, the Giants.

This week, there are no unanimous picks, but our best bets (4-1 last week) are a full house: three Falcons, two Chiefs.

EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
Seahawks +4.5 at FalconsFalconsSeahawksSeahawksFalconsFalcons
Texans +16 at PatriotsPatriotsTexansPatriotsTexansPatriots
Steelers +2 at ChiefsChiefsChiefsChiefsChiefsSteelers
Packers +4.5 at CowboysPackersPackersPackersPackersCowboys
Best BetFalconsChiefsChiefsFalconsFalcons
Last week's Record2-22-22-20-42-2
Best Bet Record12-612-610-87-1111-7
2016 Unanimous Pick Record27-22-2
2016 Majority Pick Record131-120-5
2015 Playoff Record5-62-93-82-91-10
2014 Playoff Record10-15-69-24-79-2
2013 Playoff Record5-4-23-6-24-5-24-5-24-5-2
2012 Playoff Record4-6-15-5-16-4-14-6-18-2-1
2011 Playoff Record8-35-69-26-57-4
2010 Playoff Record6-55-65-67-48-3
2009 Playoff Record5-64-71-106-55-6
2008 Playoff Record6-55-65-68-34-7
2007 Playoff Record8-33-86-5N/A2-9
2006 Playoff Record7-4N/A4-7N/AN/A
2005 Playoff Record5-6N/A3-8N/AN/A
2004 Playoff Record6-5N/A4-7N/AN/A
2003 Playoff Record6-5N/A4-7N/AN/A
2002 Playoff Record6-57-45-6N/AN/A
2001 Playoff Record6-4-17-3-14-6-1N/AN/A
2016 Record140-111-5130-121-5123-128-5115-136-5132-119-5
2015 Record134-114-8120-128-8114-134-8127-121-8121-127-8
2014 Record123-128-5140-111-5135-116-5124-127-5128-123-5
2013 Record132-114-10118-128-10123-123-10111-135-10128-118-10
2012 Record110-140-6125-125-6121-129-6143-107-6123-127-6
2011 Record121-128-7134-115-7124-125-7123-126-7127-122-7
2010 Record129-122-5134-117-5126-125-5136-115-5134-117-5
2009 Record123-130-3132-121-3131-122-3130-123-3126-127-3
2008 Record132-114-10128-118-10124-122-10125-121-10130-116-10
2007 Record127-120118-129127-120N/A130-117
2006 Record118-129N/A139-108N/AN/A
2005 Record121-126N/A127-120N/AN/A
2004 Record124-124N/A130-118N/AN/A
2003 Record121-126118-129124-123N/AN/A
2002 Record113-136123-126141-108N/AN/A
2001 Record124-113117-120118-119N/AN/A
2000 Record123-117134-106141-99N/AN/A

Unanimous/Majority Picks

This week we have no unanimous picks. We lost with the Giants last week to bring our season record to 27-22-2. We went 2-2 on majority (three or more writers) picks to bring our season record to 133-122-5.

Comments:

WriterComment
EricksonI really think the Falcons will roll in this one. Their offense is almost there with the Patriots in terms of being a machine that few can stop, they're at home and Seattle really misses Earl Thomas in this one. Toughest call for me was the Packers-Cowboys.
PianowskiI don't feel particularly confident about any of these games. I list Kansas City as my best pick because there's a long-running theme of Andy Reid loving bye weeks, and Pittsburgh being a different team on the road. I'd like to see better officiating in Week 2; although I was on Seattle and Pittsburgh last week and appreciated their covers, I felt they received a ridiculous share of the calls. Maybe that's the crew getting swept up in the emotion of the home crowd, or maybe it's just an irrelevant outlier; either way, it bothers me to see it.
LissI like the Chiefs at home coming off a bye (Andy Reid is 16 - 2 in such games dating back to his Eagles days) against Ben Roethlisberger, who hasn't been good on the road the last three years. I also like Patriots laying anything less than 20 in Foxboro against Brock Osweiler and the Seahawks as underdogs in Atlanta. The Packers-Cowboys was more of a coin flip.
StopaHere you go, faders. Fade away... Atlanta's historically great offense will crush a Seattle team that has too many holes. I'd have that line at an even 7... It's hard for me to see the Patriots scoring in the 30s without Gronk against such a good defense. Expect a conservative game-plan from New England, content to sit on it's inevitable, double-digit lead knowing Houston lacks the firepower to come back. No strong feel on the other two games, but I like over 52 points in Dallas, as both teams have great O-lines and won't stop each other.
Del Don thought all the lines were really tight this week, so I don't feel particularly strong with any. But the Falcons are coming off a bye and have such a strong offense, whereas the Seahawks are a different team away from home. The Pats line is so crazy I had to take it.

The players:

• Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2016 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

• Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009, 2011 and 2014 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

• Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and the Survivor column in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

• Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010, 2012 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Run 'N' Shoot. Roots for the Bills.

• Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.

Click here for the audio version of Staff Picks. (NSFW).

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Liss
Chris Liss was RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWire Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio from 2001-2022.
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