ADP Analysis: Comparing June ADPs Between Underdog, DraftKings and Drafters

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Published on June 24, 2024

A lot has changed since May, when we were able to include DraftKings in the cross-site ADP analysis for the first time this offseason. At the time, DK's initial numbers were way different from those on Underdog and Drafters, with wide receivers consistently going later while quarterbacks and running backs went earlier. The explanation, as in past seasons, was that DraftKings' data included results from six-player drafts, which put a premium on quality players at the onesie positions (QB/TE) absent the usual concerns about RB/WR depth.

Including those numbers then has a positive feedback effect, with ADP influencing how people draft and often leading them to select said QBs and TEs earlier than they otherwise might even in 12-team drafts because of the expectation those players won't make it to the next round (well below listed ADP). Some drafts end up looking pretty similar to those on Underdog or Drafters, but others end up drastically different after competitors respond to the early QB/TE picks by panicking and "reaching" for second- and third-tier players at those positions (another positive feedback cycle).

In any case, it looks like something we won't have to think about anymore, with DK seemingly no longer including results from the small drafts in overall ADP (or else not filling enough of them to have much of an impact). I can't say I'm thrilled, as it means fewer opportunities for phenomenal WR value on DK. That doesn't mean there's not still an edge, but now we're talking about sinking jumpers instead of uncontested lay-ups.

Below you'll see a big chart with players sorted by the average of their ADPs (AADP?) between Underdog, DraftKings and Drafters. After that, you'll see a column with the ADP from Underdog only, followed by a column that shows the difference between the player's ADP on Underdog and the average from the other two sites. A negative number means he's going later on Underdog; a positive number means he's going earlier. You'll then see the same information and process for DraftKings and Drafters.

The idea, quite simply, is to figure out which players tend to be cheaper/pricier on which site. If a guy is typically a third-round pick on Underdog but a fourth-rounder on DraftKings, you're better off getting most of your shares on DK.

After the chart, you'll find my analysis on some of the more interesting discrepancies. I'll mostly steer clear of cases in which an ADP gap can easily be explained by scoring/format difference between the various sites. Speaking of which... there are a few things to keep in mind when looking at the ADP numbers below:

1. The scoring systems aren't identical.

Underdog = half PPR
Drafters = full PPR
DraftKings = full PPR with three-point bonuses at 100 rushing or 300 passing yards

The ADP differences you might expect based on this don't necessarily hold true, i.e., don't assume Derrick Henry will go earlier on UD than he does on the full-PPR sites. This is something we can and should use to our advantage. When I discuss ADP differences between sites at the bottom of this article, I'll ignore minor gaps that can be explained by the differences in settings.

2. Drafters doesn't use playoffs. DraftKings and Underdog do.

Drafters determines tournament winners by accumulation of points Weeks 1-17
DraftKings and Underdog use a playoff format Weeks 15-17.

On Drafters, you need to build a team that's dominant from start to finish, which means hitting multiple home runs in the later rounds. On DK and UD, you can get away with simply being pretty good for most of the year; you just need your team to be healthy and peaking late in the season.

On UD and DK, finishing second out of 12 in your league during Weeks 1-14 gets you into the playoffs, at which point anything can happen. A similar team on Drafters will min-cash, with no shot at anything more. This has huge, underrated implications for draft strategy, which I'll dive into more in a future article.

Many of these implications also impact ADP, e.g., the heightened importance of late-season production on DK/UD means guys coming back from major injuries tend to go a little bit earlier than on Drafters, where it's a bigger deal if your player doesn't do much during the first part of the season. This also favors rookies, as some will start the season in limited roles before eventually becoming full-time starters.

3. Underdog mostly runs 18-round drafts (besides Superflex), while DraftKings and Drafters go 20 rounds.

This one doesn't have significant ADP-related strategic implications, but it does explain some of the ADP discrepancies seen below for players outside the Top 200. And it obviously has big implications for roster construction.

ADP Comparison Chart (mid-to-late June)

	Pos	Player	Avg ADP	UD ADP	UDΔ	DK ADP	DKΔ	Dr ADP	DrΔ
1	RB	Christian McCaffrey	1.31	1.2	0.2	1.2	0.1	1.5	-0.3
2	WR	CeeDee Lamb	1.96	2.0	-0.1	2.1	-0.2	1.8	0.2
3	WR	Tyreek Hill	3.17	3.1	0.1	3.2	-0.1	3.2	0.0
4	WR	Ja'Marr Chase	4.17	4.1	0.1	4.4	-0.4	4.0	0.3
5	WR	Justin Jefferson	5.59	5.4	0.3	6.0	-0.6	5.4	0.3
6	WR	Amon-Ra St. Brown	5.65	6.0	-0.5	5.3	0.6	5.7	-0.1
7	RB	Bijan Robinson	6.89	6.9	0.0	6.8	0.2	7.0	-0.2
8	RB	Breece Hall	8.40	8.0	0.6	8.6	-0.3	8.6	-0.3
9	WR	Puka Nacua	9.33	9.6	-0.4	9.3	0.1	9.1	0.3
10	WR	A.J. Brown	9.77	9.7	0.1	10.0	-0.4	9.6	0.3
11	WR	Garrett Wilson	10.84	10.7	0.2	11.1	-0.4	10.7	0.2
12	RB	Jahmyr Gibbs	13.01	12.7	0.5	12.7	0.4	13.6	-0.9
13	WR	Marvin Harrison	13.69	13.5	0.3	13.7	0.0	13.9	-0.3
14	WR	Drake London	14.38	14.4	0.0	15.5	-1.7	13.2	1.8
15	RB	Jonathan Taylor	16.52	16.3	0.3	15.9	1.0	17.4	-1.3
16	WR	Chris Olave	17.66	16.6	1.6	19.7	-3.0	16.7	1.4
17	WR	Davante Adams	17.77	19.1	-2.0	18.6	-1.3	15.6	3.3
18	WR	Nico Collins	18.19	19.6	-2.1	17.6	0.9	17.4	1.2
19	RB	Saquon Barkley	18.90	18.9	0.0	15.1	5.7	22.7	-5.7
20	WR	Brandon Aiyuk	19.72	17.5	3.3	21.4	-2.5	20.3	-0.9
21	WR	Jaylen Waddle	20.86	20.8	0.1	22.6	-2.6	19.2	2.5
22	WR	Mike Evans	22.62	22.7	-0.1	23.8	-1.8	21.3	2.0
23	WR	Deebo Samuel	24.09	21.5	3.9	27.7	-5.4	23.1	1.5
24	RB	De'Von Achane	25.40	25.2	0.3	22.4	4.5	28.6	-4.8
25	WR	Malik Nabers	26.60	25.8	1.2	31.0	-6.6	23.0	5.4
26	WR	DeVonta Smith	26.96	26.4	0.8	29.4	-3.6	25.1	2.8
27	WR	Cooper Kupp	28.08	31.1	-4.5	27.5	0.8	25.6	3.7
28	RB	Kyren Williams	29.25	29.5	-0.4	25.6	5.5	32.7	-5.2
29	WR	DJ Moore	29.74	28.1	2.5	33.4	-5.5	27.7	3.1
30	WR	DK Metcalf	30.19	28.1	3.1	35.1	-7.3	27.4	4.2
31	RB	Derrick Henry	31.29	32.8	-2.3	24.1	10.8	37.0	-8.6
32	WR	Stefon Diggs	31.32	30.1	1.8	32.7	-2.0	31.2	0.2
33	TE	Travis Kelce	32.89	38.8	-8.9	26.5	9.6	33.4	-0.8
34	WR	Michael Pittman	33.14	32.5	1.0	35.6	-3.7	31.3	2.8
35	TE	Sam LaPorta	33.27	33.6	-0.5	30.2	4.6	36.0	-4.1
36	WR	Zay Flowers	35.44	35.3	0.2	38.6	-4.8	32.4	4.6
37	WR	Tank Dell	36.86	35.7	1.7	41.6	-7.1	33.3	5.3
38	QB	Josh Allen	37.17	37.2	0.0	34.1	4.6	40.2	-4.5
39	QB	Jalen Hurts	41.18	39.2	3.0	39.7	2.2	44.6	-5.1
40	WR	George Pickens	42.55	41.0	2.3	45.5	-4.4	41.2	2.0
41	WR	Amari Cooper	42.59	42.9	-0.5	45.1	-3.7	39.8	4.2
42	RB	Travis Etienne	42.72	42.9	-0.3	37.2	8.3	48.1	-8.1
43	WR	Christian Kirk	43.61	44.9	-1.9	48.1	-6.8	37.8	8.7
44	WR	Tee Higgins	44.60	40.6	6.0	49.9	-7.9	43.3	1.9
45	QB	Lamar Jackson	44.79	44.1	1.0	42.7	3.2	47.6	-4.2
46	RB	Isiah Pacheco	45.40	47.4	-3.0	40.0	8.1	48.8	-5.1
47	TE	Trey McBride	46.87	46.0	1.3	47.8	-1.4	46.8	0.1
48	QB	Patrick Mahomes	48.33	48.9	-0.9	43.5	7.3	52.6	-6.4
49	WR	Terry McLaurin	49.36	50.1	-1.1	56.4	-10.5	41.6	11.6
50	WR	Marquise Brown	49.47	51.9	-3.7	51.1	-2.5	45.4	6.1
51	RB	Josh Jacobs	50.59	50.0	0.9	45.9	7.1	55.9	-8.0
52	TE	Mark Andrews	50.65	50.0	1.0	52.7	-3.1	49.2	2.2
53	TE	Dalton Kincaid	51.01	51.9	-1.3	49.7	1.9	51.4	-0.6
54	WR	Keenan Allen	53.83	53.6	0.3	57.5	-5.5	50.4	5.1
55	WR	Jayden Reed	57.43	55.6	2.7	61.7	-6.4	55.0	3.6
56	QB	Anthony Richardson	58.07	56.7	2.1	59.7	-2.5	57.8	0.4
57	RB	James Cook	58.41	57.5	1.4	53.6	7.2	64.1	-8.5
58	RB	Joe Mixon	59.13	61.4	-3.4	56.0	4.7	60.0	-1.3
59	TE	Kyle Pitts	60.29	61.5	-1.8	60.3	0.0	59.1	1.8
60	QB	C.J. Stroud	60.41	59.4	1.5	53.0	11.1	68.8	-12.6
61	WR	Chris Godwin	60.48	62.9	-3.6	65.6	-7.7	52.9	11.4
62	RB	Rachaad White	60.67	60.8	-0.2	54.5	9.2	66.7	-9.0
63	WR	Calvin Ridley	60.90	60.6	0.4	63.8	-4.3	58.3	3.9
64	WR	Xavier Worthy	64.77	60.7	6.1	70.9	-9.2	62.7	3.1
65	RB	Kenneth Walker	68.24	66.3	2.9	64.4	5.7	74.0	-8.6
66	WR	DeAndre Hopkins	68.53	71.8	-4.9	73.1	-6.8	60.7	11.7
67	WR	Keon Coleman	68.59	71.6	-4.5	67.1	2.3	67.1	2.2
68	RB	Alvin Kamara	69.36	73.5	-6.2	60.9	12.7	73.7	-6.5
69	WR	Rome Odunze	71.24	66.2	7.6	79.0	-11.7	68.5	4.1
70	TE	George Kittle	71.28	67.2	6.1	71.5	-0.4	75.1	-5.7
71	WR	Ladd McConkey	72.08	69.8	3.4	75.1	-4.6	71.3	1.2
72	WR	Jordan Addison	72.94	67.9	7.6	78.9	-9.0	72.0	1.4
73	WR	Rashee Rice	73.43	76.9	-5.2	74.2	-1.1	69.2	6.3
74	WR	Diontae Johnson	73.78	75.6	-2.7	83.6	-14.8	62.1	17.5
75	WR	Christian Watson	74.99	76.8	-2.7	79.3	-6.4	68.9	9.1
76	TE	Evan Engram	75.10	78.5	-5.1	73.5	2.4	73.3	2.7
77	RB	David Montgomery	75.58	75.0	0.9	70.4	7.8	81.4	-8.7
78	RB	Aaron Jones	76.61	78.8	-3.3	68.3	12.4	82.7	-9.1
79	WR	Brian Thomas	77.65	72.2	8.2	85.6	-12.0	75.1	3.8
80	QB	Kyler Murray	81.37	80.6	1.2	83.7	-3.5	79.8	2.4
81	WR	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	83.20	77.2	9.0	94.5	-17.0	77.9	8.0
82	TE	Jake Ferguson	83.39	86.0	-3.9	83.0	0.6	81.2	3.3
83	RB	Zamir White	84.06	87.9	-5.8	76.0	12.1	88.3	-6.4
84	WR	Jameson Williams	84.15	82.9	1.9	89.4	-7.9	80.1	6.1
85	RB	Rhamondre Stevenson	85.12	85.6	-0.7	85.7	-0.8	84.1	1.5
86	RB	D'Andre Swift	85.32	89.1	-5.7	79.9	8.2	87.0	-2.5
87	QB	Dak Prescott	87.73	93.3	-8.3	76.3	17.1	93.6	-8.8
88	QB	Joe Burrow	88.15	83.9	6.4	81.9	9.3	98.6	-15.7
89	RB	Najee Harris	89.23	84.4	7.2	91.5	-3.4	91.8	-3.9
90	RB	Zack Moss	90.34	91.8	-2.2	88.5	2.7	90.7	-0.5
91	RB	James Conner	90.45	94.3	-5.8	83.4	10.5	93.6	-4.7
92	RB	Jaylen Warren	91.07	90.3	1.1	94.8	-5.6	88.1	4.4
93	RB	Jonathon Brooks	92.93	87.3	8.4	96.3	-5.0	95.2	-3.4
94	RB	Raheem Mostert	94.57	96.8	-3.3	89.4	7.7	97.5	-4.4
95	QB	Jordan Love	94.72	96.0	-1.9	89.0	8.6	99.2	-6.7
96	WR	Courtland Sutton	95.18	92.4	4.2	106.3	-16.7	86.8	12.6
97	WR	Curtis Samuel	96.05	94.2	2.8	101.6	-8.3	92.4	5.5
98	TE	David Njoku	97.63	101.5	-5.8	93.3	6.5	98.1	-0.7
99	TE	Brock Bowers	98.83	99.2	-0.5	98.9	-0.1	98.4	0.7
100	WR	Tyler Lockett	100.41	97.9	3.8	112.5	-18.2	90.8	14.4
101	RB	Tony Pollard	100.89	100.2	1.0	98.1	4.2	104.4	-5.3
102	QB	Jayden Daniels	104.08	102.3	2.7	107.0	-4.4	102.9	1.8
103	WR	Romeo Doubs	105.37	104.9	0.7	103.9	2.2	107.3	-2.9
104	WR	Khalil Shakir	105.93	107.7	-2.7	111.1	-7.7	99.0	10.4
105	RB	Trey Benson	108.72	104.5	6.3	109.8	-1.6	111.9	-4.8
106	QB	Brock Purdy	108.81	111.4	-3.9	97.0	17.7	118.0	-13.8
107	WR	Rashid Shaheed	109.05	106.9	3.2	117.3	-12.4	102.9	9.2
108	RB	Javonte Williams	109.45	108.6	1.3	108.2	1.8	111.5	-3.1
109	QB	Caleb Williams	109.77	107.1	4.0	105.9	5.8	116.3	-9.8
110	RB	Tyjae Spears	110.22	112.0	-2.7	112.4	-3.2	106.3	5.9
111	WR	Joshua Palmer	110.31	111.6	-1.9	120.7	-15.6	98.6	17.6
112	RB	Devin Singletary	111.11	109.4	2.6	112.7	-2.4	111.2	-0.1
113	TE	Dallas Goedert	112.04	115.3	-4.9	107.8	6.3	113.0	-1.4
114	RB	Brian Robinson	113.37	110.6	4.2	116.8	-5.2	112.7	1.0
115	WR	Brandin Cooks	117.72	124.3	-9.9	120.2	-3.7	108.7	13.5
116	WR	Mike Williams	117.93	114.2	5.6	121.1	-4.7	118.5	-0.9
117	RB	Austin Ekeler	118.03	125.9	-11.8	103.1	22.4	125.1	-10.6
118	QB	Jared Goff	118.57	125.4	-10.2	103.0	23.3	127.3	-13.1
119	QB	Trevor Lawrence	119.46	118.6	1.3	115.8	5.5	124.0	-6.8
120	WR	Jakobi Meyers	119.84	120.6	-1.1	124.9	-7.6	114.0	8.8
121	RB	Blake Corum	120.86	120.5	0.5	122.0	-1.7	120.1	1.1
122	RB	Chase Brown	121.84	120.0	2.8	126.6	-7.2	118.9	4.4
123	RB	Gus Edwards	122.86	118.6	6.4	124.2	-2.0	125.8	-4.4
124	RB	Jerome Ford	122.96	128.9	-8.9	124.3	-2.0	115.7	10.9
125	QB	Tua Tagovailoa	123.55	122.7	1.3	112.6	16.5	135.4	-17.8
126	WR	Dontayvion Wicks	124.20	122.3	2.8	135.3	-16.6	115.0	13.8
127	WR	Adonai Mitchell	124.33	116.2	12.2	128.8	-6.7	128.0	-5.5
128	WR	Jerry Jeudy	126.54	124.9	2.5	133.0	-9.7	121.7	7.3
129	TE	Dalton Schultz	127.37	129.3	-2.9	122.1	7.9	130.7	-5.0
130	RB	Ezekiel Elliott	129.42	128.1	2.0	130.3	-1.3	129.9	-0.7
131	QB	Justin Herbert	130.28	132.3	-3.0	123.5	10.1	135.0	-7.1
132	WR	Josh Downs	132.57	130.5	3.1	141.9	-14.0	125.3	10.9
133	WR	Jahan Dotson	134.22	134.1	0.2	139.0	-7.1	129.6	6.9
134	RB	Nick Chubb	135.36	135.4	-0.1	118.9	24.7	151.8	-24.7
135	WR	Gabe Davis	135.69	133.0	4.0	141.9	-9.3	132.2	5.2
136	RB	Zach Charbonnet	135.74	134.8	1.4	137.8	-3.1	134.6	1.7
137	RB	Kendre Miller	136.61	138.4	-2.7	141.7	-7.7	129.7	10.4
138	TE	Pat Freiermuth	139.00	137.0	3.0	139.3	-0.4	140.7	-2.6
139	RB	Rico Dowdle	140.16	140.7	-0.8	140.2	0.0	139.6	0.8
140	QB	Kirk Cousins	141.90	145.2	-5.0	133.2	13.1	147.3	-8.1
141	RB	MarShawn Lloyd	142.32	141.6	1.1	147.2	-7.4	138.1	6.3
142	TE	Cole Kmet	142.36	146.0	-5.5	135.1	10.9	146.0	-5.5
143	RB	Ty Chandler	144.05	144.5	-0.7	147.3	-4.8	140.4	5.5
144	TE	T.J. Hockenson	144.19	144.8	-0.9	131.4	19.2	156.4	-18.3
145	WR	Xavier Legette	144.69	138.2	9.7	153.1	-12.6	142.8	2.8
146	WR	Quentin Johnston	146.73	148.1	-2.1	143.3	5.2	148.8	-3.1
147	WR	Darnell Mooney	147.87	149.6	-2.6	150.8	-4.4	143.2	7.0
148	WR	Ja'Lynn Polk	148.06	143.2	7.3	157.4	-14.0	143.6	6.7
149	QB	Matthew Stafford	148.66	151.5	-4.3	136.6	18.1	157.9	-13.9
150	WR	Jermaine Burton	148.96	149.1	-0.2	159.2	-15.3	138.6	15.5
151	WR	Ricky Pearsall	150.97	142.6	12.6	162.0	-16.6	148.3	4.0
152	WR	Adam Thielen	153.06	158.8	-8.6	147.9	7.8	152.5	0.8
153	RB	Jaylen Wright	154.23	151.9	3.5	155.8	-2.3	155.0	-1.2
154	TE	Luke Musgrave	154.31	152.2	3.2	150.9	5.1	159.8	-8.2
155	RB	Ray Davis	156.74	158.2	-2.2	161.9	-7.8	150.1	10.0
156	RB	Antonio Gibson	158.29	159.4	-1.7	162.7	-6.6	152.8	8.2
157	QB	Aaron Rodgers	158.89	159.7	-1.2	147.0	17.9	170.0	-16.7
158	QB	Deshaun Watson	159.53	162.6	-4.6	154.4	7.7	161.6	-3.1
159	RB	Kimani Vidal	161.36	161.3	0.1	168.6	-10.8	154.2	10.7
160	RB	Tyler Allgeier	161.45	155.7	8.6	166.7	-7.9	161.9	-0.7
161	WR	Roman Wilson	161.50	155.4	9.2	171.3	-14.7	157.8	5.6
162	QB	Baker Mayfield	162.61	168.4	-8.7	148.7	20.8	170.7	-12.1
163	RB	Jaleel McLaughlin	164.69	160.7	6.0	174.6	-14.8	158.8	8.8
164	TE	Hunter Henry	165.00	163.7	2.0	171.8	-10.2	159.5	8.3
165	WR	Wan'Dale Robinson	165.98	170.2	-6.3	166.7	-1.1	161.0	7.5
166	WR	Rashod Bateman	166.78	161.0	8.7	173.5	-10.0	165.9	1.3
167	RB	Chuba Hubbard	167.63	170.4	-4.2	164.1	5.3	168.4	-1.2
168	WR	Malachi Corley	170.26	165.6	7.0	178.8	-12.8	166.4	5.8
169	QB	Geno Smith	170.88	172.8	-2.9	162.8	12.2	177.1	-9.3
170	TE	Taysom Hill	172.29	215.6	-65.0	151.2	31.7	150.1	33.3
171	RB	Bucky Irving	172.44	169.8	4.0	180.0	-11.4	167.5	7.4
172	WR	Michael Wilson	172.83	174.0	-1.7	179.5	-10.0	165.0	11.8
173	TE	Ben Sinnott	173.08	168.3	7.2	163.7	14.0	187.2	-21.2
174	TE	Cade Otton	173.51	175.4	-2.8	164.8	13.0	180.3	-10.2
175	WR	Troy Franklin	173.68	171.0	4.0	176.9	-4.9	173.1	0.9
176	RB	J.K. Dobbins	174.89	182.5	-11.4	159.0	23.9	183.2	-12.5
177	QB	Will Levis	176.50	179.7	-4.8	167.4	13.7	182.4	-8.9
178	WR	Marvin Mims	177.31	173.4	5.9	181.3	-6.0	177.2	0.2
179	RB	Khalil Herbert	178.97	178.2	1.2	185.1	-9.2	173.6	8.1
180	WR	Luke McCaffrey	182.02	182.4	-0.6	184.8	-4.1	178.9	4.7
181	WR	DeMario Douglas	182.58	177.7	7.3	191.4	-13.2	178.7	5.8
182	TE	Tyler Conklin	182.64	177.9	7.1	182.0	0.9	188.0	-8.0
183	WR	Demarcus Robinson	183.09	181.7	2.1	194.8	-17.5	172.8	15.4
184	TE	Isaiah Likely	183.11	184.3	-1.8	176.3	10.2	188.7	-8.4
185	RB	Tyrone Tracy	185.90	190.5	-6.9	181.5	6.6	185.7	0.3
186	RB	Braelon Allen	185.92	184.0	2.9	196.7	-16.1	177.1	13.2
187	RB	Elijah Mitchell	188.26	187.7	0.8	189.3	-1.5	187.8	0.7
188	WR	Zay Jones	189.87	194.7	-7.3	187.9	3.0	187.0	4.3
189	QB	Derek Carr	190.59	201.0	-15.6	176.5	21.2	194.3	-5.6
190	QB	Bryce Young	190.89	193.3	-3.6	183.1	11.7	196.3	-8.1
191	RB	Roschon Johnson	192.62	193.2	-0.9	199.0	-9.5	185.7	10.4
192	TE	Jonnu Smith	193.03	194.6	-2.4	190.1	4.4	194.4	-2.1
193	TE	Noah Fant	194.66	185.6	13.6	201.7	-10.5	196.7	-3.1
194	RB	Dameon Pierce	195.76	196.3	-0.8	191.1	7.0	199.9	-6.2
195	TE	Chigoziem Okonkwo	196.28	191.8	6.7	193.4	4.3	203.6	-11.0
196	WR	Javon Baker	197.28	188.5	13.2	209.3	-18.1	194.0	4.9
197	TE	Juwan Johnson	197.83	193.5	6.5	201.2	-5.1	198.8	-1.4
198	QB	J.J. McCarthy	198.84	198.8	0.1	187.0	17.7	210.7	-17.8
199	QB	Daniel Jones	198.95	202.0	-4.6	193.0	8.9	201.8	-4.3
200	QB	Drake Maye	200.14	199.9	0.4	199.3	1.2	201.2	-1.6
201	RB	D'Onta Foreman	200.63	202.4	-2.6	206.8	-9.3	192.7	11.9
202	WR	Jalen Tolbert	201.38	199.8	2.4	210.8	-14.2	193.5	11.8
203	WR	Jalen McMillan	202.45	200.8	2.5	211.1	-13.0	195.4	10.6
204	WR	DJ Chark	203.47	209.5	-9.0	199.2	6.4	201.7	2.7
205	QB	Justin Fields	204.72	207.5	-4.2	196.6	12.2	210.1	-8.1
206	WR	Devontez Walker	204.85	201.0	5.8	217.6	-19.2	195.9	13.4
207	WR	Tyler Boyd	204.90	204.3	0.9	203.0	2.8	207.4	-3.7
208	RB	Tank Bigsby	207.26	206.8	0.7	208.3	-1.5	206.7	0.8
209	RB	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	207.50	204.4	4.7	214.7	-10.8	203.4	6.2
210	QB	Bo Nix	207.66	208.7	-1.6	204.5	4.8	209.8	-3.2
211	WR	Darius Slayton	209.89	207.6	3.4	213.3	-5.1	208.8	1.6
212	QB	Russell Wilson	210.82	210.7	0.2	204.6	9.4	217.2	-9.6
213	TE	Jelani Woods	211.03	208.7	3.5	213.5	-3.7	210.9	0.2
214	TE	Ja'Tavion Sanders	211.93	210.5	2.1	208.1	5.8	217.2	-7.9
215	TE	Mike Gesicki	212.54	208.3	6.4	212.0	0.8	217.3	-7.1
216	RB	Keaton Mitchell	212.62	211.8	1.2	205.6	10.6	220.5	-11.8

Underdog Breakdown 🐕

Later ADPs (Cheaper) on UD

WR Nico Collins (19.6 vs. 17.6)

One might expect to see more running backs drafted early on a site that uses half-PPR instead of full, but that's never really been the case on Underdog, including this year. The other high-end WRs with projection profiles that are relatively light on targets/catches and heavy on yardage/touchdowns — Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, DK Metcalf, arguably Chris Olave — all have Underdog ADPs that are earlier or nearly identical to their ADPs on the other two sites.

Then there's Collins, an odd exception, going at 17.4 on Drafters and 17.6 on DraftKings but 19.6 on Underdog. And it's not because more people on UD are taking running backs in the second round; it's actually other wide receivers being propped up ahead of him, namely Olave and Aiyuk.

WR Brandin Cooks (124.3 vs. 114.4)

The ADP difference here isn't huge, but it's an interesting case because it's the opposite of what I'd expect. WRs generally tend to come off the board early on Underdog, and the site's half-PPR scoring seemingly makes Cooks a bit more valuable relative to other players at his position (he averaged just 5.1 targets and 3.4 catches per game last year but scored eight TDs). While he's unlikely to match the TD total this year, it's probably still fair to say Cooks is more dependent on big plays and touchdowns than the average wide receiver, as he's unlikely to return to his days of triple-digit targets unless CeeDee Lamb misses a bunch of games.

WR Cooper Kupp (31.1 vs. 26.6)
TE Travis Kelce (38.8 vs. 29.9)
WR Keon Coleman (71.6 vs. 67.1)
RB Jerome Ford (128.9 vs. 120.0)
QB Derek Carr (201.0 vs. 185.4)
WR Zay Jones (194.7 vs. 187.4)

Earlier ADPs (Expensive) on UD

RB Jonathon Brooks (87.3 vs. 95.7)

This is one of the few cases in which ADPs on DraftKings and Drafters are nearly identical and Underdog is the oddball. It's still far more common to see DraftKings be the outlier, although the aforementioned changes in the intro have reduced the extent to which that's true. Regardless, Brooks is a perfect example of a player that's more valuable in a playoff-centric format. His combination of youth/experience and rehab from an ACL tear means he's much more likely to put up big numbers in December than in September.

WR Brandon Aiyuk (17.5 vs. 20.8)
WR Tee Higgins (40.6 vs. 46.6)
WR Jordan Addison (67.9 vs. 75.5)
WR Adonai Mitchell (116.2 vs. 128.4)
WR Xavier Legette (138.2 vs. 147.9)
WR Ricky Pearsall (142.6 vs. 155.2)
TE Noah Fant (185.6 vs. 199.2)

DraftKings Breakdown 👑

Later ADPs (Cheaper) on DK

QB Jayden Daniels (107.0 vs. 102.7)

Daniels' ADP on DK is only 4-5 picks lower than on the other two sites, but that makes him an incredible relative value once you see how strong the overall trend is of QBs being picked earlier on DraftKings. In fact, Kyler Murray and Anthony Richardson are the only other signal-callers whose ADPs are lower on DK than on both of the other two sites. The yardage bonuses on DK favor pocket passers over scramblers, but not to an extent that fully explains Daniels, Murray and Richardson being the exceptions to the ADP rule. In fact, there are plenty of other mobile QBs — Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Daniel Jones, Justin Fields — that follow the trend rather than bucking it.

RB Braelon Allen (196.7 vs. 180.6)
RB Jaleel McLaughlin (174.6 vs. 159.8)
RB Tyler Allgeier (166.7 vs. 158.8)
RB Bucky Irving (180.0 vs. 168.6)

Up until Round 8 or 9, it's pretty much universal that running backs have earlier ADPs on DraftKings compared to the other two sites. Once we're outside the Top 100, it's much more of a mix, as players on DK seem to lose enthusiasm for the position once all the projected starters have been taken. This is a big mistake, especially when dealing with a high-injury-risk position in a format that puts all the weight on Weeks 15-17. Backup RBs like Allen and Allgeier probably won't do much Week 1 but might end up being key players for taking down big tournaments come late December.

WR Chris Olave (19.7 vs. 16.7)
WR Malik Nabers (31.0 vs. 24.4)
WR DK Metcalf (35.1 vs. 27.8)
WR Tank Dell (41.6 vs. 34.5)
WR Christian Kirk (48.1 vs. 41.3)
WR Tee Higgins (49.9 vs. 42.0)
WR Terry McLaurin (56.4 vs. 45.9)
WR Rome Odunze (79.0 vs. 67.3)
WR Diontae Johnson (83.6 vs. 68.8)
WR Brian Thomas (85.6 vs. 73.6)
WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (94.5 vs. 77.5)
RB Jaylen Warren (94.8 vs. 89.2)
WR Courtland Sutton (106.3 vs. 89.6)
WR Tyler Lockett (112.5 vs. 94.3)
TE T.J. Hockenson (131.4 vs. 150.6)
TE Cole Kmet (135.1 vs. 146.0)
WR Dontayvion Wicks (135.3 vs. 118.7)
WR Ricky Pearsall (162.0 vs. 145.4)
RB Kimani Vidal (168.6 vs. 157.8)
TE Hunter Henry (171.8 vs. 161.6)
RB Khalil Herbert (185.2 vs. 175.9)
WR Demarcus Robinson (194.8 vs. 177.3)
WR Javon Baker (209.3 vs. 191.2)

Earlier ADPs (Expensive) on DK

RB Saquon Barkley (15.1 vs. 20.8)

Barkley is all over the place, going early R2 on DraftKings, mid-R2 on UD (18.9) and near the 2-3 turn on Drafters (22.7). Running backs pretty consistently go earlier on DraftKings than on the other two sites — with ADPs perhaps more similar to what we see in a lot of redraft leagues — but even in that context Barkley stands out as especially pricey on DK. FWIW, I'd say he's underpriced on Drafters more so than overpriced on DraftKings, though really it seems like some of both.

RB Derrick Henry (24.1 vs. 34.9)

This is one where we see multiple DK trends combine forces. The first trend, as just mentioned, is general prioritization of running backs relative to other positions. The second trend can either be described as increased preference for name-brand commodities or decreased sensitivity to age; either way, it's been the case for years now that aging superstars like Henry have earlier ADPs on DraftKings than on other best ball sites. In this case, he seems like a rip-off at the 2-3 turn on a full-PPR site. He's going at the 3-4 turn on Drafters (37.0) and late-ish in Round 3 on half-PPR Underdog (32.8).

RB Saquon Barkley (15.1 vs. 20.8)
RB Kyren Williams (25.6 vs. 31.1)
TE Travis Kelce (26.5 vs. 36.1)
RB Travis Etienne (37.2 vs. 45.5)
RB Isiah Pacheco (40.0 vs. 48.1)
QB Patrick Mahomes (43.5 vs. 50.8)
QB C.J. Stroud (53.0 vs. 64.1)
RB Alvin Kamara (60.9 vs. 73.6)
RB Aaron Jones (68.3 vs. 80.7)
RB Zamir White (76.0 vs. 88.0)
QB Dak Prescott (76.3 vs. 93.4)
QB Brock Purdy (97.0 vs. 114.7)
RB Austin Ekeler (103.1 vs. 125.5)
QB Jared Goff (103.0 vs. 126.3)
RB Nick Chubb (118.9 vs. 143.6)
QB Matthew Stafford (136.6 vs. 154.7)
QB Baker Mayfield (148.7 vs. 169.5)
RB J.K. Dobbins (159.0 vs. 182.9)
QB Derek Carr (176.5 vs. 197.7)

Drafters Breakdown 🤓

Later ADPs (Cheaper) on Drafters

RB De'Von Achane (28.6 vs. 23.8)
RB Kyren Williams (32.7 vs. 27.5)

ADP results on Drafters tend to be the closest to my personal rankings, in part because of the premium put on wide receivers. Still, I'm a bit surprised to see Achane and Williams going well outside the Top 25 in a total-points format where ceiling is everything. With no playoffs, you need to build a team that's dominant from start to finish, not just Weeks 15-17. And as much as the size/durability concerns for Achane and Williams are justified, they're both on the short list of players capable of averaging 20-plus PPR points per game. It's unwise to take a safe WR like DeVonta Smith or Mike Evans ahead of Achane and Williams in a season-long, total-points contest where half the money goes to the top .01 percent of teams.

QB C.J. Stroud (68.8 vs. 56.2)

The trend with QBs is clear: they tend to go earliest on DK and latest on Drafters, falling somewhere in the middle on Underdog. The reverse is true with wide receivers, and if we were simply comparing UD to Drafters it would make perfect sense because full-PPR scoring widens the points gap between tiers of wide receivers (and thus reduces the relative gap between players at the lone position where guys don't get any points for receptions... QB).

The problem arises when trying to explain why QBs go so much earlier and WRs so much later on DraftKings (relative to Drafters). Both sites are PPR, and the differences between their scoring and formats mostly seem to have implications that impact which player(s) you choose at a given position, not how you prioritize one position relative to another.

RB Saquon Barkley (22.7 vs. 17.0)
QB Josh Allen (40.2 vs. 35.7)
QB Jalen Hurts (44.6 vs. 39.5)
RB Travis Etienne (48.1 vs. 40.0)
QB Patrick Mahomes (52.6 vs. 46.2)
RB Josh Jacobs (55.9 vs. 47.9)
RB James Cook (64.1 vs. 56.6)
RB Rachaad White (66.7 vs. 57.7)
QB Joe Burrow (98.6 vs. 82.9)
QB Tua Tagovailoa (135.4 vs. 117.6)
QB Aaron Rodgers (170.0 vs. 153.3)
TE Luke Musgrave (159.8 vs. 151.6)
TE Ben Sinnott (187.2 vs. 166.0)
WR Odell Beckham (223.9 vs. 108.7)

Earlier ADPs (Expensive) on Drafters

WR Diontae Johnson (62.1 vs. 79.6)

I'm not even a fan of Johnson at his later ADP on the other sites, so there's no way I'm using a fifth/sixth-round pick on him in a format where it makes sense to swing for the fences with nearly every pick. He's a short-pass catcher joining an offense that was the league's worst last year, which doesn't exactly scream "upside"... actually, it doesn't really suggest a high floor either.

WR Davante Adams (15.6 vs. 18.9)
WR Malik Nabers (23.0 vs. 28.4)
WR Christian Kirk (37.8 vs. 45.9)
WR Terry McLaurin (41.6 vs. 53.2)
WR Chris Godwin (52.9 vs. 64.3)
WR DeAndre Hopkins (60.7 vs. 72.4)
WR Diontae Johnson (62.1 vs. 79.6)
RB Tyjae Spears (106.3 vs. 112.2)
WR Joshua Palmer (98.6 vs. 116.2)
WR Brandin Cooks (108.7 vs. 122.2)
RB Jerome Ford (115.7 vs. 126.6)
RB Kendre Miller (129.7 vs. 140.1)
WR Jermaine Burton (138.6 vs. 154.1)
RB Ray Davis (150.1 vs. 160.1)