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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics: Best Bets for Game 7 of Eastern Conference First Round in the 2026 NBA Playoffs (May 2)
Over 205.5 total points: -110 @ Caesars
Five of the six games in this series have cleared the mark of at least 206 points, with the lone exception being Game 6, in which Philadelphia won by a 106-93 score. It wouldn't be surprising if this game ends up being a relatively low-scoring affair, as has been the trend in the majority of the playoffs compared to the regular season. However, a quick glance at the stats would suggest otherwise. The Celtics rank fourth in offensive rating in the playoffs (114.9) and the 76ers are eighth (110.0), whereas they also rank ninth (110.0) and 13th (114.9) in defensive rating, respectively. With the amount of elite talent on both squads, it's easy to see the easiest approach to victory here would come on the offensive end of the court, not the defensive one. Back the over to take advantage of a relatively low-scoring point line.
Jaylen Brown over 25.5 points: -123 @ DraftKings
Brown has been the best scorer for the Celtics in this series and is averaging 24.5 points per contest so far in the series, slightly ahead of Jayson Tatum, who's averaging 23.3 ppg. Brown has been trending in the wrong direction of late, failing to reach the 25-point mark in his last three outings and not clearing the line of 25.5 points in the last four, but he's more likely than not to step up when the Celtics need him the most. He's shooting 45.7 percent from the floor and 42.4 percent from three-point range in the series, so aside from the struggles he endured in Game 6 (7-17 FG, 2-6 3Pt), the recent struggles are related to a lack of involvement rather than an efficiency issue. The Celtics should rely on Brown and Tatum to get them over the finish line in this decisive Game 7, so Brown should have enough chances to bounce back and clear this line.
Joel Embiid over 34.5 points + rebounds: -108 @ FanDuel
Similar to what will happen with Brown in Boston, the 76ers should rely heavily on what Embiid brings to the table in Game 7 -- particularly since he has a huge matchup advantage against Neemias Queta. Embiid has featured in just three games this series, but he's averaging 26.0 points and 8.0 rebounds in those contests while shooting 43.5 percent from the floor. Embiid should have plenty of touches to make an impact, as he's attempted at least 18 shots in every game and has cleared the 20 threshold twice. Even though the star big man is probable for Game 7 due to management of his abdominal injury, he should handle his regular workload and play close to 35 minutes. If he does that, Embiid has a good shot at reaching this line. He's done so in two of his three playoff outings so far.
