Women's World Cup: Sunday DFS Breakdown

Women's World Cup: Sunday DFS Breakdown

This article is part of our Daily Fantasy Soccer Cheat Sheet series.

Sunday's two-game slate is fairly similar to what we had Saturday, with England a big -800 favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook to beat Cameroon (+1700 to win), whereas France is -240 to win against Brazil (+700). Not that a match with a -240 favorite is expected to be close, but Brazil has played well enough recently where there might be money on their side. Either way, we'll probably see more England stacks like we saw with Germany on Saturday when they faced Nigeria.

Not only is the England v. Cameroon match -205 for more than 2.5 goals, it's also expected to be one sided, with the odds at -176 for only one team scoring. Meanwhile, the France v. Brazil game is only -128 for more than 2.5 goals. Ellen White has been the most consistent goal scorer for England, as she has three goals on eight shots (six on target) in two starts, including a brace against Japan in their final group stage match, and her excellent play has landed her as the most expensive player on DraftKings ($11,400) and FanDuel ($22). Additionally, her -135 odds to score (57.45 percent) are the best on the slate, followed by teammate Nikita Parris at -125 and Jodie Taylor at -120. Parris is the more well-rounded fantasy producer because she sends in crosses and creates chances in addition to her shots, though she also missed a penalty earlier in the tournament. Set pieces have been pretty inconsistent as well, with Toni Duggan and Georgia

Sunday's two-game slate is fairly similar to what we had Saturday, with England a big -800 favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook to beat Cameroon (+1700 to win), whereas France is -240 to win against Brazil (+700). Not that a match with a -240 favorite is expected to be close, but Brazil has played well enough recently where there might be money on their side. Either way, we'll probably see more England stacks like we saw with Germany on Saturday when they faced Nigeria.

Not only is the England v. Cameroon match -205 for more than 2.5 goals, it's also expected to be one sided, with the odds at -176 for only one team scoring. Meanwhile, the France v. Brazil game is only -128 for more than 2.5 goals. Ellen White has been the most consistent goal scorer for England, as she has three goals on eight shots (six on target) in two starts, including a brace against Japan in their final group stage match, and her excellent play has landed her as the most expensive player on DraftKings ($11,400) and FanDuel ($22). Additionally, her -135 odds to score (57.45 percent) are the best on the slate, followed by teammate Nikita Parris at -125 and Jodie Taylor at -120. Parris is the more well-rounded fantasy producer because she sends in crosses and creates chances in addition to her shots, though she also missed a penalty earlier in the tournament. Set pieces have been pretty inconsistent as well, with Toni Duggan and Georgia Stanway splitting against Japan, Alex Greenwood and Bethany Mead splitting against Argentina, and Greenwood, Mead and Lucy Bronze sharing against Scotland. Duggan's spot in the starting XI isn't that secure given she's played just once after recovering from injury, but she should certainly have a role if she's in the first XI. Meanwhile, Jill Scott has no role on set pieces and is +200 to score a goal, but she's scored at least 5.75 fantasy points in three straight games despite no goals or assists (though she took seven shots in her last two).

It's tough to get overly excited about Cameroon given they're such big underdogs, though Gabrielle Onguene was excellent in their win over New Zealand, finishing with eight shots, including three on goal, two fouls drawn and one assist on four chances created. Unfortunately, Cameroon is highly unlikely to have as much possession against England, forcing Onguene and Ajara Nchout, who scored a brace against New Zealand, to try to work on the counter. Onguene has the best anytime goal scorer odds among likely Cameroon starters, but they're +500, which is worse than English defenders like Rachel Daly (+350), Lucy Bronze (+480) and Greenwood (+650). Nchout has been the most consistent free-kick taker for Cameroon, so it's not a terrible idea to consider her on DraftKings at $4,400 if you think they win enough set pieces. On the other hand, their center-backs are probably strong plays on FanDuel given their clearance upsides.

The France v. Brazil match should be much more interesting, though the oddsmakers are still pretty comfortable that France should win. However, it seems like there will be more fantasy points out of Brazil as opposed to Cameroon if you're looking for some value from the underdogs. Marta will always get attention because of who she is, not to mention the fact that she scored from the penalty spot in each of the past two games. And while she has just one open-play shot in the 129 minutes she's played in the tournament, her crosses jumped considerably in the last group stage match against Italy because she shared set pieces with Andressinha, who is a remarkably cheap $3,600 on DraftKings despite scoring 9.25 fantasy points without an appearance on the scoresheet. Marta could be somewhat popular, even against France, but Andressinha should be higher owned simply because she's so cheap. Striker Cristiane has the best anytime goal scorer odds for Brazil at +280, followed by Marta at +330, Debinha at +470 and Andressinha at +500, at least among expected starters. If there's one thing that's been a tad surprising, it's that Debinha hasn't really had much of a role on set pieces, though she's still scored at least 9.25 in each match this tournament. But again, Brazil is an underdog and we have a potential set-piece taker (sharer) for less than $4,000.

France's commanding win odds will surely have fantasy players considering Eugenie Le Sommer, the second-most expensive player on DraftKings ($10,900) and FanDuel ($20), as she scored in both of her starts before scoring 5.50 DraftKings points in 28 minutes off the bench against Nigeria. One thing that stood out in that game is that center-back Wendie Renard took a penalty while Le Sommer was on the pitch, and while France had already booked their ticket to the round fo 16, it was still a bit odd that Le Sommer wasn't given the opportunity to score her third goal in as many games. Either way, her -110 odds to score are the best in the match, followed by Kadidiatou Diani and Valerie Gauvin at +130, Delphine Cascarino at +170 , Gaetane Thiney at +195 and Amandine Henry at +200. The France fantasy production really can come from anywhere, but Brazil is hardly a pushover, so a huge floor game from the attackers may not be a given. Then again, defender Amel Majri has been the definition of a great floor player, sending in 10 crosses in each of the past three games, creating nine chances over that span (and multiple chances in each game too). She's once again the most expensive defender on a slate, but she's also more consistent than any of the midfielders in her price range (and arguably any midfielder on the slate). She's likely to be one of the more popular cash-game defenders on DraftKings, and it wouldn't be surprising to see people paying up for both Majri and Greenwood ($5,900) given their strong crossing numbers and roles on set pieces. Renard shouldn't be ignored either, as her towering presence looms over every France set piece, which also puts Thiney in play because she's split corners with Majri for most of the tournament, though she doesn't cross nearly as much in open play. And if you're looking for some cheap, off-the-radar French exposure, Elise Bussaglia isn't the craziest play at $3,800 on DraftKings, as she's taken three shots and created two chances in her two starts, and will likely be ignored because of her more prolific teammates.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andrew M. Laird
Andrew is a former RotoWire contributor. He was the 2017 and 2018 FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year. He is a nine-time FSWA award finalist, including twice for Football Writer of the Year.
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