Top DFS Picks and Strategies for UFC London
DFS plays for this weekend's UFC London card are live. Included in this preview are profiles for each fighter and breakdowns of my DFS strategy for every bout on the card. Welcome to Drake's Takes.
Top UFC 326 Picks & Career Results:
2026 Overall Picks: 67-24-0
2025 Overall Picks: 345-152-2
DFS Lock of the Week: Baraniewski
Fanduel Captain: Baraniewski/Evloev
Movsar Evloev (19-0-0) v. Lerone Murphy (17-0-1)
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 72" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 19-0 (3 KO/TKO, 4 submissions)
- Relentless wrestler with elite cardio and chain takedowns
- Excels at controlling fights and neutralizing opponents' strengths
- Height: 5'9" – Reach: 73" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 17-0-1 (8 KO/TKO)
- Sharp, technical striker with speed and clean boxing
- Takedown defense remains a concern against high-level wrestlers
DFS Perspective: If this stays standing, Murphy would have a clear edge, but that's unlikely given Evloev's style. Evloev is a cardio-driven takedown machine who will constantly pressure and test Murphy's questionable takedown defense. If he's able to consistently land takedowns and maintain control, this could turn into a massive DFS performance through volume wrestling and control time. Evloev profiles as one of the strongest DFS plays on the slate with a very high floor and ceiling.
UFC England Pick: Evloev
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Luke Riley (12-0-0) v. Michael Aswell Jr. (11-3-0)
- Height: 5'9" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 12-0 (9 KO/TKO)
- Explosive striker with strong finishing instincts and forward pressure
- Comfortable in high-paced fights and willing to engage in exchanges
- Height: 5'8" – Reach: 71" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 11-3 (6 KO/TKO)
- Aggressive fighter with power and willingness to trade
- Can be hittable in chaotic exchanges
DFS Perspective: This should be an absolute banger with both fighters willing to engage and trade. The pace and power on both sides create strong finish potential, making this a great DFS target. Riley's composure and slight edge in technique give him the advantage in what should be a back-and-forth fight. He profiles as the preferred DFS side with strong knockout upside in a high-action matchup.
UFC England Pick: Riley
Michael Page (24-3-0) v. Sam Patterson (14-2-1)
- Height: 6'3" – Reach: 79" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 24-3 (12 KO/TKO, 4 submissions)
- Elusive, rangy striker who controls distance and tempo exceptionally well
- Prefers low-volume, high-precision striking rather than high-output exchanges
- Height: 6'3" – Reach: 78" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 14-2-1 (6 KO/TKO, 7 submissions)
- Tall, well-rounded fighter with finishing ability on the feet and mat
- Still developing defensively, especially against high-level strikers
DFS Perspective: Page is notorious for slowing fights down and dictating a measured pace, which often limits overall DFS scoring. While he should have the edge in controlling range and landing cleaner shots, the low volume of his style caps his ceiling. Patterson has some finishing ability, but this fight is more likely to play out at Page's tempo. This profiles as more of a GPP-only target than a core DFS play, given limited scoring upside.
UFC England Pick: Page
Iwo Baraniewski (7-0-0) v. Austen Lane (13-7-0)
Iwo Baraniewski
- Height: 6'0" – Reach: 73" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 7-0 (5 KO/TKO, 2 submissions)
- Heavy-handed finisher with strong physicality and forward pressure
- Looks to end fights early and capitalize on defensive lapses
Austen Lane
- Height: 6'6" – Reach: 80" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 13-7 (11 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Big, athletic heavyweight with power
- Extremely hittable and has struggled with durability in recent fights
DFS Perspective: This is one of the clearest spots on the card. Baraniewski's power and aggressive style line up perfectly against Lane's defensive issues and questionable durability. If he forces exchanges early, a knockout is highly likely. Baraniewski profiles as a strong DFS play with massive early-finish upside and one of the better "lock" spots on the slate.
UFC England Pick: Baraniewski
Roman Dolidze (15-4-0) v. Christian Leroy Duncan (13-2-0)
- Height: 6'2" – Reach: 76" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 15-4 (8 KO/TKO, 3 submissions)
- Physical, powerful striker with a willingness to engage in brawls
- Can be hittable and relies on durability in extended exchanges
- Height: 6'2" – Reach: 79" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 13-2 (10 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Crisp, technical striker with speed and knockout power
- Uses range and movement well to control striking exchanges
DFS Perspective: This sets up as a striking battle where both fighters have finishing upside. Dolidze's durability and power keep him dangerous, but Duncan's cleaner technique, speed, and range management give him the edge in landing the more effective shots. If Duncan keeps the fight at distance and avoids brawling exchanges, he should be able to control the fight and potentially find a finish. Duncan profiles as the preferred DFS play with solid knockout upside.
UFC England Pick: Duncan
Kurtis Campbell (8-0-0) v. Danny Silva (10-2-0)
- Height: 5'9" – Reach: 72" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 8-0 (5 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Fast hands with sharp combinations and strong striking fundamentals
- Thrives in stand-up battles and can overwhelm with speed
- Height: 5'11" – Reach: 70" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 10-2 (5 KO/TKO)
- Aggressive striker with power and willingness to trade
- Can be hittable when exchanges become extended
DFS Perspective: This should be another striking-heavy fight with solid pace and finishing potential. Campbell's hand speed and cleaner boxing give him the edge in what could be a back-and-forth exchange early. Silva's aggression keeps him dangerous, but it may also play into Campbell's strengths. Campbell profiles as the preferred DFS side with knockout upside in a fight that could score well.
UFC England Pick: Campbell
Mason Jones (17-2-0) v. Axel Sola (11-0-1)
- Height: 5'10" – Reach: 74" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 17-2 (8 KO/TKO, 3 submissions)
- Well-rounded fighter with strong pressure and finishing ability
- Carries more power and experience across multiple phases
- Height: 6'2" – Reach: 74" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 11-0-1 (6 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Technical fighter with a balanced approach
- Can struggle against higher-paced, more physical opponents
DFS Perspective: Jones has the edge in overall skill set, physicality, and power, which gives him multiple paths to victory. If he pushes the pace and mixes in his offense effectively, he should be able to control the fight and create scoring opportunities. Sola is capable, but Jones' experience and finishing upside make him the preferred DFS play with both volume and potential stoppage equity.
UFC England Pick: Jones
Nathaniel Wood (22-6-0) v. Losene Keita (16-1-0)
- Height: 5'6" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 22-6 (7 KO/TKO, 6 submissions)
- Well-rounded fighter with strong pace, cardio, and technical striking
- Durable and capable of mixing in grappling when needed
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 72" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 16-1 (10 KO/TKO)
- Explosive, athletic fighter with power and finishing ability
- Dangerous early with aggression and the ability to create chaos
DFS Perspective: This is a high-quality matchup with strong DFS appeal on both sides. Wood's pace, durability, and well-rounded game give him a reliable path through volume and control, especially if the fight extends. Keita brings real explosiveness and finishing upside, particularly early. Wood is the slightly safer DFS play due to his consistency and cardio, while Keita offers higher variance tournament upside with knockout potential.
UFC England Pick: Wood
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Mario Pinto (11-0-0) v. Felipe Franco (10-1-0)
- Height: 6'5" – Reach: 79" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 11-0 (7 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Well-rounded prospect with strong physical tools and finishing ability
- Comfortable dictating pace and capitalizing on openings
- Height: 6'1" – Reach: 76" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 10-1 (6 KO/TKO, 4 submissions)
- Aggressive fighter with a willingness to engage
- Can be inconsistent and leave openings defensively
DFS Perspective: Pinto is the preferred side in this matchup due to his more complete skill set and ability to control where the fight takes place. His composure and finishing ability give him a clear edge against a more inconsistent opponent. Pinto profiles as a strong DFS play with solid win equity and potential upside if he capitalizes on defensive lapses.
UFC England Pick: Pinto
Antonio Trocoli (12-6-0) v. Mantas Kondratavicius (8-1-0)
- Height: 6'5" – Reach: 80" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 12-6 (3 KO/TKO, 5 submissions)
- Lengthy fighter with grappling ability and submission threats
- Has gone 0-3 in the UFC and struggled to translate skills at this level
- Height: 6'2" – Reach: 75" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 8-1 (6 KO/TKO, 2 submissions)
- Well-rounded fighter with solid pressure and finishing ability
- More consistent and effective across multiple phases
DFS Perspective: Trocoli enters with significant pressure at 0-3 in the UFC, and his performances have not inspired confidence. Kondratavicius appears to be the more reliable and well-rounded fighter, with a clearer path to control the fight and capitalize on Trocoli's struggles. If trends continue, this sets up as another difficult outing for Trocoli. Kondratavicius profiles as the preferred DFS play with solid win equity and potential finishing upside.
UFC England Pick: Kondratavicius
Louie Sutherland (10-4-0) v. Brando Pericic (5-1-0)
- Height: 6'3" – Reach: 76" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 10-4 (8 KO/TKO)
- Balanced skill set with ability to mix striking and grappling
- Can be hittable in striking exchanges against more powerful opponents
- Height: 6'5" – Reach: 79" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 5-1 (4 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Dangerous striker with clear power and finishing instincts
- Most effective when he can dictate range and keep fights standing
DFS Perspective: Pericic's striking advantage and power give him a strong edge in this matchup. If he's able to keep the fight standing, he should have clear opportunities to land damaging shots and potentially secure a knockout. Sutherland's well-rounded game gives him some paths, but the striking gap is significant. Pericic profiles as a strong DFS play with real knockout upside.
UFC England Pick: Pericic
Shaqueme Rock (12-2-1) v. Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (15-4-0)
- Height: 5'11" – Reach: 73" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 12-2-1 (2 KO/TKO, 9 submissions)
- Grappling-focused fighter with strong takedowns and control
- Most effective when dictating pace and keeping fights on the mat
- Height: 5'8" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 15-4 (8 KO/TKO, 2 submissions)
- Technical striker with solid power and composure on the feet
- More comfortable in striking exchanges than extended grappling
DFS Perspective: This is a classic striker vs grappler matchup with clear paths on both sides. Al-Selwady should have the edge on the feet, but Rock's wrestling and ability to control position give him a strong path to winning rounds. If Rock is able to consistently land takedowns and rack up control time, he can accumulate steady DFS scoring. Rock profiles as the preferred DFS side due to his control-based upside, while Al-Selwady remains a live option if he keeps the fight standing.
UFC England Pick: Rock
Shanelle Dyer (6-1-0) v. Ravena Oliveira (7-3-1)
- Height: 5'6" – Reach: 65" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 6-1 (4 KO/TKO)
- Striking-focused fighter with good speed and clean combinations
- Relies on pace and quickness to win exchanges
- Height: 5'5" – Reach: 65" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 7-3-1 (6 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Aggressive finisher with power and willingness to engage
- Dangerous early when she can dictate exchanges
DFS Perspective: This shapes up as a striking battle, with both fighters having their moments. Dyer's speed advantage and cleaner combinations give her a slight edge in landing first and controlling exchanges. Oliveira's power keeps her alive, especially early, but Dyer's quickness and activity create a more reliable DFS path. Dyer profiles as the preferred side with volume-based scoring potential in a competitive matchup.
UFC England Pick: Dyer
Melissa Mullins (7-2-0) v. Luana Carolina (11-5-0)
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 68" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 7-2 (4 KO/TKO)
- Grappling-focused fighter with strong takedowns and control
- Most effective when dictating position and grinding opponents
- Height: 5'6" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 11-5 (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- Technical striker with good movement and volume
- Has struggled against opponents who can impose grappling
DFS Perspective: Carolina is the better pure striker, but this matchup favors Mullins stylistically. If Mullins is able to implement a takedown-heavy game plan and control position, she can neutralize Carolina's striking and rack up steady DFS scoring through control time. Mullins profiles as the preferred DFS play with a clear grappling-based path to victory and solid floor.
UFC England Pick: Mullins
The latest in UFC betting odds & fighter prop bets for every event are on RotoWire, plus users can compare markets across multiple legal sportsbooks.
FANDUEL MMA SCORING
Moves Scoring
Significant Strikes = 0.6 pts
Takedown = 6 pts
Knockdown = 12 pts
Submission Attempt = 5 pts
Fight Conclusion Bonuses
1st Round Win = 100 pts
2nd Round Win = 75 pts
3rd Round Win = 50 pts
4th Round Win = 35 pts
5th Round Win = 25 pts
Decision Win = 20 pts
Scoring Notes
- Significant Strikes are distance strikes or clinch/ground strikes that are considered "power strikes" by official scorers.
- A knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider a substantial time.
DRAFTKINGS MMA SCORING
Moves Scoring
Strikes: +0.2 pts
Significant Strikes (SS): +0.2 pts
Control Time: +0.03 pts/Second
Takedown (TD): +5 pts
Reversal/Sweep (REV): +5 pts
Knockdown (KD): +10 pts
Fight Conclusion Bonuses
1st Round Win (1rW+): +90 pts
2nd Round Win (2rW+): +70 pts
3rd Round Win (3rW+): +45 pts
4th Round Win (4rW+): +40 pts
5th Round Win (5rW+): +40 pts
Decision Win (WBD+): +30 pts
Quick Win Bonus: +25 pts
(fight is finished in 60 seconds or less)
Scoring Notes
- Significant Strikes are any distance strikes or clinch/ground strikes that are considered "power strikes" by official scorers.
- A Significant Strike will count as both a strike and a significant strike and be worth 0.4 points in total.
- Control Time is the time spent in the dominant position on the ground or in the clinch. +0.03 points are awarded per second.
- A Knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider an appreciable time.
- A Quick Win Bonus is awarded to the winning fighter if they win in the first round in 60 seconds or less.
