NFL Playoffs Odds Tracker: NFL Wild Card Weekend

NFL Odds Tracker: NFL Wild Card Weekend Odds, Over/Unders and Spreads

The goal of this article is to look at the key line moves for the week and what they mean in terms of betting. Key numbers in the NFL to watch for are 3, 7, 6, 14, and 10. When a line crosses through one of these, it warrants significant attention. 

On the totals side, the key numbers are 41, 43, 37, 44, 51, 33, 47.  

The NFL Playoffs are here! Cash in on the best sportsbook promos available at NFL betting sites to get the most bang for your buck. The BetMGM bonus code gets new players up to $1,500 in bonus bets.

NFL Wild Card Weekend Odds 

Wild Card Weekend NFL Lines (odds via BetMGM)

*home team in bold

It's never too late to get in on the NFL action! Sign up now at the best online sportsbooks this NFL season. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code and bet $1, and then double your winnings on your next 20 bets.

NFL Wild Card Weekend Odds Observations

• The highest spread is Rams (-10.5) at Panthers 
• The lowest spread is Packers (-1.5) at Bears and Bills (-1.5) at Jaguars 
• 4 games have a line of 1.5-3.5 points or greater
• The highest total game is Bills at Jaguars (51.5-52.0); the lowest total game is Texans at Steelers (39.5)
• There are 4 home underdogs in Wild Card Weekend
• There is a heavy concentration of totals between 45.0-46.5 points
• The highest team totals are Rams, Bills, Jaguars, Patriots, Eagles, Bears
• The lowest team totals are Packers, Chargers, 49ers, Texans, Panthers, Steelers

NFL Wild Card Weekend Line Movement

A quarterback is the only position that can significantly move an NFL point spread, and a top-tier QB can be worth up to seven or more points. For all other positions, the impact is minimal and usually less than a single point, unless multiple players on the same unit are injured. When a unit has multiple starters out, it is often overlooked in the handicapping world. OL, DL, secondary, and WR are the units that are impacted the most. 

You will not see very much line movement in the playoffs as these lines are only going to have a total of 6-7 days of shelf life. But each line move you see this week just means that much more so do not take a 0.5 or 1.0 line move lightly. 

Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers

You will not see a ton of line movement on these games, so anything that happens is significant. The key here is to reference any previous matchup this season and what the line was compared to now. Also, how is each team in the current scenario? How are they playing recently, are there any key injuries? 

QUICK LINKS

Picks

See the best picks & player props

Sportsbook Promos

Get the Best Promos Available Today

Player Props

See the latest MLB Player Props

The Rams were 4-4 on the road, but 7-1 at home and one of those road losses was to the Panthers 31-28. The Rams were -7.5 point road favorites at the Panthers, and they failed to cover, losing outright. The Panthers' strength has been as a dog at home, which they are now -10.0 - 10.5 point home dogs. So the Rams, who have not been playing well and lost to these Panthers, have now seen their line go from -7.0 to -7.5 all the way up to -10.0 and -10.5. 

The average Joe Public is convinced the Rams CANT lose again and the Panthers are bad. 

Something to consider is the Rams travel over the last few weeks - 4 out of their last 6 games on the road (at Carolina, at Arizona, at Seattle, at Atlanta) and now back to Carolina. 

The weather forecast is 70 degrees, 13 mph winds, with a 65 percent chance of rain.

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

The 2-seeded Bears were installed as -1.5 point home favorites, but the bettors have moved this line again in favor of the 7 seed Packers who are now -1.5 point road favorites. 

The total is 45.5 for this game. It was 43.5 and 44.5 in the previous two matchups this season with a 49 and 38 total score for a 1-1 record. I think we see this total dip based on the prior game in Chicago and the weather forecast.

The Packers were -6.5 point home favorites and got the cover in the first matchup in Green Bay 28-21. The Bears were the slight home dog in the 12/20 game in Chicago and got the win 22-16. 

The weather forecast is 34 degrees, with 17 mph winds and a 40 percent chance of snow.

Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars

The 3-seeded Jaguars are +1.0 to +1.5 point home dogs to the 6-seed Bills, which still feels off to me. But the sentiment is that bettors would rather back a proven quarterback in Josh Allen, as the Jaguars' history is also playing against them. There has been slight movement back on the Jags, and if I was predicting close line, I think we get this one at close to a PICK by kickoff. 

The Jaguars are on an 8-game winning streak, and lost one game at home to Seattle 20-12. 

The total is a huge number at 52.5 and the biggest one on the board this weekend. The recent trends on both teams have seen their games go over which accounts for the high number. 

The weather forecast is 63 degrees, with 8 mph winds and 12 percent chance of rain.

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles opened as -3.5 point home favorites, and we have seen this line move to Eagles -4.5. The total has moved from 46 down to 44.5. The line moves appear to be due to the 49ers' injury situations.  

The Eagles are just 3-4 in their last 7, while the 49ers are 6-1 but did play a much weaker schedule. The Niners' health situation is a bit murky with Trent Williams, Fred Warner, Ricky Pearsall, and Brock Purdy still in question. 

The Eagles are 16-3 in their last 19 games at home. 

The weather forecast is 45 degrees, 12 mph wind, 9 percent chance of rain. 

Missouri sports betting is now officially live! If you're in the Show Me State, cash in on the best Missouri sportsbook promos.

Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots

The 2-seed Patriots are -3.5 point home favorites against the 7-seeded Chargers, and the number has remained at the -3.5 opener. The sentiment in this game is that the Patriots have played one of the weakest schedules in recent memory and the Chargers have Jim Harbaugh/Justin Herbert with experience. 

The total has surprisingly gone up from 45.5 to 46.0 and 46.5 in some spots. Both teams rely on their running games and defense, so there could be an opportunity on the under here. 

The weather forecast is 36 degrees, 9 mph wind, and a 20 percent chance of rain.

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers

The 5-seed Texans are 3.5-point road favorites against the 4-seed Steelers, and the line has fluctuated from -3.0 to -3.5 all week. The total of 39.5 is the lowest of any game on the board, and we could see this dip even lower by kickoff with a 31-degree weather forecast.  

The Texans' defense is the best in football, but this is a tougher matchup than what people might think. They could end up losing this game or going to the Super Bowl, which is an extreme range of outcomes.

Be aware of the Steelers' home record on Monday night (23 straight wins) and as home dogs under Mike Tomlin. But they have lost 5 straight playoff games. 

NFL Wild Card Weekend Injury Report

Stay on top of the latest NFL injury news and other top NFL news here at Rotowire.