This article is part of our Survivor series.
Last week was a bloodbath, with the Bills, Cowboys, Saints and Rams taking down roughly 50 percent of pools. Hopefully you're still around.
Let's take a look at Week 10.
| Team | Opponent | %Taken* | Vegas ML** | Vegas Odds | Expected Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEELERS | Lions | 27.9% | 380 | 79.17 | 5.81 |
| Ravens | DOLPHINS | 19.4% | 330 | 76.74 | 4.51 |
| COWBOYS | Falcons | 14.4% | 395 | 79.80 | 2.91 |
| CARDINALS | Panthers | 11.8% | 450 | 81.82 | 2.15 |
| COLTS | Jaguars | 11.1% | 492.5 | 83.12 | 1.87 |
| Bills | JETS | 6.7% | 637.5 | 86.44 | 0.91 |
| Buccaneers | TEAM | 5.5% | 410 | 80.39 | 1.08 |
| TITANS | Saints | 0.9% | 140 | 58.33 | 0.38 |
| BRONCOS | Eagles | 0.5% | 145 | 59.18 | 0.20 |
| PACKERS | Seahawls | 0.5% | 160 | 61.54 | 0.19 |
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
This week, there are six viable teams, all fairly close per the Vegas odds, plus the Ravens on Thursday night.
My Picks
1. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are built to bully weaker teams with their defense and running game, and the Jaguars offense still hasn't gotten going. I give the Colts an 85 percent chance to win this game.
2. Buffalo Bills
The Bills lost in a shocking upset last week, so you know they won't take the Jets lightly. The Jets, however, have shown some fight of late, so they could make this a game at home. I give the Bills an 82 percent chance to win this game.
3. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys got destroyed by the Broncos last week, and they could still be missing star left tackle Tyron Smith.
Last week was a bloodbath, with the Bills, Cowboys, Saints and Rams taking down roughly 50 percent of pools. Hopefully you're still around.
Let's take a look at Week 10.
| Team | Opponent | %Taken* | Vegas ML** | Vegas Odds | Expected Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEELERS | Lions | 27.9% | 380 | 79.17 | 5.81 |
| Ravens | DOLPHINS | 19.4% | 330 | 76.74 | 4.51 |
| COWBOYS | Falcons | 14.4% | 395 | 79.80 | 2.91 |
| CARDINALS | Panthers | 11.8% | 450 | 81.82 | 2.15 |
| COLTS | Jaguars | 11.1% | 492.5 | 83.12 | 1.87 |
| Bills | JETS | 6.7% | 637.5 | 86.44 | 0.91 |
| Buccaneers | TEAM | 5.5% | 410 | 80.39 | 1.08 |
| TITANS | Saints | 0.9% | 140 | 58.33 | 0.38 |
| BRONCOS | Eagles | 0.5% | 145 | 59.18 | 0.20 |
| PACKERS | Seahawls | 0.5% | 160 | 61.54 | 0.19 |
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
This week, there are six viable teams, all fairly close per the Vegas odds, plus the Ravens on Thursday night.
My Picks
1. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are built to bully weaker teams with their defense and running game, and the Jaguars offense still hasn't gotten going. I give the Colts an 85 percent chance to win this game.
2. Buffalo Bills
The Bills lost in a shocking upset last week, so you know they won't take the Jets lightly. The Jets, however, have shown some fight of late, so they could make this a game at home. I give the Bills an 82 percent chance to win this game.
3. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys got destroyed by the Broncos last week, and they could still be missing star left tackle Tyron Smith. But the Falcons don't have the same kind of defense, and Dak Prescott is likely to have shaken off the rust. I give the Cowboys an 80 percent chance to win this game.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs are coming off a bye, but it's a road game against a team that played them tough in last year's playoffs. Still, after the loss to the Saints two weeks ago, I'd expect Tampa to be focused, even against a lesser opponent. I give the Bucs a 79 percent chance to win this game.
5. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers get the league's only winless team, but the Lions had a bye last week, while the Steelers played a nail-biter Monday night. Still, the Lions are well below average on both sides of the ball. I give the Steelers a 77 percent chance to win this game.
6. Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are the league's only one-loss team, but they could be missing Kyler Murray, and the Panthers play solid defense. I give the Cardinals a 76 percent chance to win this game.
7. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have a great offense, but their defense is sketchy, and they're traveling on a short week for the Thursday game. I give the Ravens a 70 percent chance of winning this game.
Notable Omissions:
Tennessee Titans -- The Titans are on a roll, but the Saints are stout and should hang with them.
Denver Broncos -- The Broncos crushed the Cowboys, but they're still only a league average team playing only a slightly below-average one.
Green Bay Packers -- The Packers should be good again with Aaron Rodgers likely back, but the Seahawks are desperate, and they're likely to get Russell Wilson back too.
