This article is part of our DraftKings NFL series.
This week I'm going to do a bit of a different format with only four games, giving my picks game by game. Enjoy the games this weekend and let's see if we can make some money.
Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers
Packers -6.5
I really don't see how the Rams are going to score points with an injured Jared Goff (thumb) at quarterback. While the Rams have arguably the best defense in the league but it's tough to see them stopping Aaron Rodgers for the whole game. Homefield and the weather favor the Packers and they should be well-rested coming off the first-round bye.
Rams Under 19.5 Points
Like I said, I don't see the path to the Rams scoring a lot of points in this one and outside of Cam Akers or the defense, I don't see anyone else finding the end zone. This game could easily turn into a defensive battle between the Packers facing an injured Goff and the Rams showing why they're such a tough defense.
Allen Lazard Over 38.5 Receiving Yards
Here is the wager I like best in this game. Jalen Ramsey should be shadowing Davante Adams meaning Aaron Rodgers should be looking at his other options a bit more today. While Robert Tonyan has been a great option over the middle, I can see Rodgers going long to Lazard and this prop could be over in one catch. I'd sprinkle a little on an anytime touchdown on him too at +325.
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Devin Singletary Over 65.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards
Zack Moss is out for the year and Singletary should get a few extra touches as a result. While T.J. Yeldon will be active (more on him in a bit), Singletary should get all the work he can handle. Moss missed three games earlier this season and Singletary went over this mark in two of the three. The one game he didn't was a weird Tuesday night game at the Titans where the Bills were playing from behind all game due to missing key defensive players.
T.J. Yeldon First/Last/Anytime Touchdown +3300, +3300, +525 Respectively
This is one of those fun bets that you don't have to wager a lot on to turn a big profit. DraftKings will let you put $1-$5 on these and it's a quick way to turn $100. Moss was considered the "goal line" back and if Yeldon slides into that role he could be that guy. Yeldon has played in only three games this season yet has a touchdown in one of those.
Mark Andrews Over 54.5 Receiving Yards
Tra'Davious White should be shadowing Marquise Brown and Matt Milano should be spying on Lamar Jackson giving Andrews plenty of room to work over the middle. The Bills have ranked 25th against the tight end position making this a good matchup for Andrews.
John Brown Over 45.5 Receiving Yards
Brown is coming off a goose egg of a game where he only got four targets. That's the bad news. The good news is he looked healthy and he was on the field for 57 snaps, the second-most he's played all season. All of the Ravens attention will be on Stefon Diggs so it wouldn't be surprising if Brown gets loose for a long one. Like Lazard, I like his anytime touchdown odds at +300.
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes (-225) More Passing Yards Than Baker Mayfield
I really think this would take some sort of injury for Mahomes for this not to happen. Mahomes is coming off a bye and is in a pass-heavy offense while Cleveland remains a run-first offense. I hate these offs but feel like this should be more like -300.
Browns +6.5 First Half
The Chiefs could come out a bit slow with some rust after the week off while the Browns could carry over their offensive prowess from a week ago. I usually don't like these wagers because the line instantly changes once the coin toss determines first possession. If I had to think about who wins the toss, I'd think the Browns accept (you don't want to give the ball to Patrick Mahomes right away) while the Chiefs have greater odds to defer.
Chiefs Over 34.5 Points (+100)
The even odds here are a bonus and there are other sites who has this mark at an even 35. The Browns rank 26th against quarterbacks this season and if you like the Chiefs in this one, you have to think they get over the hump on this one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Rob Gronkowski Over 28.5 Receiving Yards
This is easily my favorite wager of Sunday and possibly the whole weekend. Gronk is coming off a zero weekend and should bounce back. Before last week he hit the over mark in three straight games here and you have to think Brady easily gives Gronk more than the one target he got last week. Two catches here should be enough to hit the over and I like the anytime touchdown at +260.
Tampa Bay -6.5 +420
Would it be surprising if either the Saints won by double figures or the Buccaneers won by a touchdown? I love the odds here as I trust Brady more than Brees at this point and weird as it sounds, I like the fact that the Saints won both matchups during the regular season. That has to have affected the line moving in the Saints favor due to recency bias and this should motivate Brady even more.
Emmanuel Sanders Over 44.5 Receiving Yards
Sanders is coming off a bad game finishing last week with a rocket 3-2-3 line. The return of Michael Thomas hurts a little but it also makes life easier for Sanders who will face softer coverage. Before last week Sanders hit the over here in four straight games.
Tom Brady (-157) More Passing Yards Than Drew Brees
As I said earlier, I trust Brady more than Brees at this point and the Saints should run the ball much more than the Bucs. With Ronald Jones out, Tampa could be even more inclined to throw the ball and Brady comes into this game on fire throwing for 348 yards in four straight games.
