Hunter Greene

Hunter Greene

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/5/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
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2026 Fantasy Outlook
Injuries once again sabotaged Greene's season, as he hit the IL twice due to groin issues, totaling just 107.2 innings during the 2025 regular season before adding on an additional three innings in the wild-card round. He pitched brilliantly when available, posting a 2.76 ERA and a career-best 0.94 WHIP to go along with a 132:26 K:BB and only two hit batsmen after plunking an MLB-high 19 the year prior. The home-run rate jumped back up to 1.25 HR/9 after he made major strides there in 2024, suggesting the 2024 campaign will end up being the outlier in that regard. Still, despite the groin issues, Greene continued to showcase elite velocity for a starting pitcher, averaging 99.5 mph on his four-seamer, along with excellent swing-and-miss ability, ranking in the 89th percentile or above in Chase%, Whiff% and K%. His home park in Cincinnati doesn't help with the occasional bouts of gopheritis, and he's still mostly fastball-slider, but Greene has now performed at a near-Cy Young level for two consecutive seasons, making good on his prospect promise. Having reached 150 innings only once so far, Greene is still looking to add that final piece of the puzzle. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
#158
ADP
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man No
Height 6'5"
Weight 242
DOB 8/6/1999
Born Los Angeles, CA
College None
Drafted 1st Rd 2017 CIN
Signed a six-year, $53 million contract extension with the Reds in April of 2023. Contract includes $21 million team option ($2 million buyout) for 2029.
Four scoreless in first rehab start
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
June 19, 2026
Greene (elbow) struck out six over four scoreless frames Thursday in his first rehab start with the Reds' Arizona Complex League affiliate.
Analysis
Greene yielded two hits, walked one and topped out at 101.1 mph on the radar gun, per Lance McAlister of 700 WLW Sports Talk. He got his pitch count up to 54, throwing 39 pitches for strikes. It's an encouraging first rehab outing for Greene, who is coming back from mid-March surgery to remove bone chips from his right elbow. It's unclear when or where Greene's next rehab start will take place, but the Reds expect the right-hander to rejoin the rotation before the All-Star break.
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2026 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .178 507 163 45 79 21 1 15
Since 2024vs Right .194 524 138 38 92 20 3 12
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .184 207 69 15 35 11 0 9
2025vs Right .199 213 63 11 40 11 1 6
2024vs Left .174 300 94 30 44 10 1 6
2024vs Right .190 311 75 27 52 9 2 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-67%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-39%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 2.55 0.92 148.1 10 5 0 11.1 2.7 0.8
Since 2024Away 3.04 1.07 109.2 6 4 0 9.7 3.1 1.1
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home 1.58 0.72 68.1 5 1 0 11.3 2.1 0.7
2025Away 4.81 1.32 39.1 2 3 0 10.5 2.3 2.3
2024Home 3.38 1.10 80.0 5 4 0 10.9 3.3 1.0
2024Away 2.05 0.92 70.1 4 1 0 9.2 3.6 0.4
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Prospect Rankings History
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Right elbow soreness put Greene on the injured list in mid-August and derailed his first All-Star campaign. He was able to return for two abbreviated starts at the end of September, which helped restore confidence in his health heading into the offseason. In total, Greene tossed a career-high 150.1 innings for the Reds and pitched to a 2.75 ERA, fourth lowest among pitchers with at least 150 frames. His 1.02 WHIP was seventh lowest among that group. Primarily a fastball-slider pitcher, Greene introduced a splitter and curveball while bagging his changeup last year. His strikeout rate dipped a bit, but it was still impressive at 27.7%, and he made huge strides with his home-run rate, cutting it by more than half to 0.72 HR/9. The second overall pick in 2017 is making good on his prospect promise. Now 25, Greene is right on the verge of ace status, with the ace workload representing his final hurdle.
Greene didn't earn his first win until May 26 and a hip injury cost him two months during the summer. He struggled to a 6.52 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in eight starts following his return in August, leaving him with a 4.82 and 1.42 WHIP in 112 innings overall. The much-hyped flamethrowing righty hit 105 mph on the radar gun in his 2023 debut and the slider once again enjoyed a great deal of success (.175 xBA, 39.2 Whiff%) on the heels of the fastball. The ERA estimators paint an encouraging picture, but many of the same problems remain for Greene, namely the fact that the changeup is still a distant third pitch that he uses primarily against lefties to marginal success. Home runs have been a big problem in Great American Ball Park (2.2 HR/9, 20.7% HR/FB at home for his career). He will still be just 24 years old for most of 2024 and the Reds are trending upward as a team, but big-league hitters can catch up to elite velocity when they're sitting on it, and without further development of the changeup Greene will likely continue to battle inconsistency as a member of the Cincinnati rotation.
Greene comes with a once-in-a-lifetime fastball, a ton of hype and a lot of promise. As a rookie in 2022, Greene threw 337 pitches at 100-plus mph, the most ever for a starting pitcher in a single season, shattering Noah Syndergaard's previous record of 199 pitches at that velocity. It wasn't all sunshine and roses, however. Greene endured a couple blowups and admitted to bagging his changeup on occasion. As tremendous as the fastball velo is, he will likely need more than the fastball and slider to enjoy sustained success in the rotation at the big-league level. He needs to keep hitters honest and prevent them from sitting dead red on the heater (17 homers against the four-seamer last season). The Reds will give the righty a long leash to make it as a starting pitcher. Expect high highs but also additional growing pains in 2023.
It was a lock that Cincinnati would add Greene to the 40-man roster this offseason, and we even got a report in November that he will be competing for a rotation spot in spring training. With Luis Castillo, Sonny Gray and even Tyler Mahle on the trade block, Greene could realistically break camp in the big-league rotation, and at the very least, the bulk of his 2022 innings will come in the majors. Things couldn't have gone any better for Greene in 2021, and his 2019 Tommy John surgery now seems like a distant memory. He logged a 3.30 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and a 139:39 K:BB in 106.1 IP across Double-A and Triple-A. Greene's fastball can sit at 100 mph when he's humming, and his hard slider gives him a second plus pitch. Even though his fastball has elite velocity, it doesn't have elite movement, so he still gives up homers off it in the top half of the zone. However, his fastball's velocity allows for his slider and third-pitch changeup to play up, so it's a valuable pitch on the whole. Greene isn't a perfect pitching prospect, but he has big stuff and is very close to debuting in the majors.
Greene will be a full two years removed from his Tommy John surgery at the projected start of the 2021 regular season. Still, the chances of him pitching in the major leagues in 2021 are incredibly slim given everything that stacks up against him. He is 21 years old with 72.2 innings of professional baseball under his belt. He has a fastball for days which we know can touch 103 mph, but the other pitches need time to develop and he simply needs time to hone his craft after missing the past two seasons of competitive baseball. Even if everything goes smoothly in his return to game action, Greene is unlikely to debut until 2023. The potential for stardom is still there for the 2017 first-round pick, but the opportunity is far off on the horizon and there will likely be more bumps along the way.
Greene and the Reds decided to take the rest-and-rehab route with his torn UCL, and to the surprise of very few, it did not work out. What was lost was essentially eight months of would-be recovery time; Greene was first diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his right elbow in early August of 2018 and did not undergo Tommy John surgery until April 9. The second overall pick in 2017 after landing a Sports Illustrated cover with the caption "The Star Baseball Needs," Greene was always seen as a Tommy John risk given his upper-90s velocity out of high school. The procedure obviously slows his development timeline, but Greene is only 20 years old and his future remains bright. Expect the 6-foot-4 righty to push closer to the long end of the typical 12-18 month recovery window from TJS. He should pitch 50 or so innings at the low levels late in the season before building back up in earnest in 2021.
Greene showed flashes of his immense upside last season, but his career is in a bit of a holding pattern due to an elbow injury. After some initial bumps in the road with Low-A Dayton, Greene, the second overall pick in the 2017 first-year player draft, went on to post ace-like numbers over a 10-start stretch (2.39 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 59:9 K:BB in 49 innings). The good fortune ran out -- Greene turned in a few abbreviated outings in July before being diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his right elbow. Usually, the course of action with that diagnosis is Tommy John surgery, but Greene opted against surgery. It's risky to pass on the procedure. For many players, the alternative routes still end up leading to the same destination and they simply delay the inevitable. Greene started throwing off a mound in December and should be a full participant in spring training if he avoids setbacks, but the potential for TJS before he reaches MLB is still an elephant in the room.
Greene only logged 4.1 innings (three starts) on the mound after receiving the largest bonus ($7.23 million) of any player in the 2017 draft. The Reds deployed him as a designated hitter initially, in part to see how he stacked up against pro pitching and also to get him acclimated while limiting his innings. He was then transitioned to the hill, where he figures to spend the rest of his career. He sat at 99-to-100 mph with his fastball in each of his outings, never throwing more than 35 pitches. At 6-foot-4, 197 pounds, he has a prototypical starter’s frame. Some evaluators believe he is the most athletic prep righty to come along in 20 years. This athleticism leads to plus projections on his command. Until his secondary pitches can be thrown with confidence, he will be prone to some ugly stat lines, but it’s important not to focus on that right now. He’s throwing gas, he’s healthy, all is good. Look for him to be held back in extended spring training, before eventually finishing the year with Low-A Dayton.
More Fantasy News
Starting rehab assignment Thursday
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
June 14, 2026
Greene (elbow) is slated to begin a rehab assignment Thursday in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
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Aiming to return before break
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
June 6, 2026
Reds manager Terry Francona said Saturday that Greene (elbow) could return from the 60-day injured list prior to the All-Star break, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
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Resumes mound work
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
May 26, 2026
Greene (elbow) threw a successful bullpen session Tuesday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
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Throwing bullpen session May 26
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
May 14, 2026
Greene (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session May 26, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
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Throws out to 150 feet
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
May 10, 2026
Greene (elbow) is up to 150 feet of long tossing as part of a rehab program in Arizona, Mike Petraglia of MLB.com reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be activated before break
PCincinnati Reds
June 6, 2026
Greene, who's rehabbing from elbow surgery, could be activated before the All-Star break, manager Terry Francona told Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati.
Analysis
Greene underwent surgery in March to remove bone chips from his right elbow, and his potential activation before the All-Star break is right in line with the previously projected timeline. Greene posted a 2.76 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 132:26 K:BB across 107.2 innings during the regular season in 2025 and was expected to be the Reds' Opening Day starter before getting injured.
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