Handicapping the NBA: Friday Picks

Handicapping the NBA: Friday Picks

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Alex Barutha: Rockets to win (-142) vs. Thunder -- FanDuel, 1:31 PM CT

These are two bad teams, but I think the Thunder are much worse. As much as I like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Lu Dort and Josh Giddey, the Rockets have a much better total rotation. Plus, it's Houston's home opener, which is a boost. I also wouldn't mind Josh Giddey over 20.5 P+R+A (-130, FanDuel) given the lack of defense in this game and his potential for a smooth 15/5/5 on any given night. He struggled in the opener against the Jazz, so this could be a great spot to buy low.

Scottie Barnes over 18.5 points + rebounds + assists at Celtics -- FanDuel, 1:35 PM CT

Barnes was subpar in the opener against the Wizards. The Raptors put up only 83 points and Barnes posted 12 points (5-13 FG), nine rebounds and one assist with six turnovers. I don't get why his P+R+A has dropped from what he put up on Wednesday. His 13 attempts suggest he should score more than 12 points, he's a good rebounder, and his six turnovers show he's doing what he can to get his teammates involved (even if those passes were intercepted). He only has to post 10/5/4 to reach this over, which is easily within the realm of possibility, even against a tough defensive team in the Celtics.

Nick Whalen: Phoenix Suns +1.0 at Los Angeles Lakers -- DraftKings Sportsbook, 12:30PM CT

Both teams suffered second-half letdowns in their respective openers, but I have far fewer questions about the Suns' roster than I do the Lakers'. Russell Westbrook is nowhere near finding his niche within the offense, and while LeBron James and Anthony Davis are capable of carrying the team, the Lakers need some contributions from role players. With Talen Horton-Tucker, Kendrick Nunn, Trevor Ariza and Wayne Ellington all out again, the Lakers are short on options in the backcourt, which will again lead to some clunky lineups. I like Phoenix to take advantage and bounce back with a fairly easy victory on the road.

Jalen Green OVER 12.5 points (-130) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder -- DraftKings Sportsbook, 12:30PM CT

The entire Rockets roster had a tough night against Minnesota in the opener, but Houston is in an excellent spot to bounce back against what might be the most stat-friendly opponent in the league this season. Both of these teams are mired in rebuilds and neither team is interested in playing defense. Green should again see 30-plus minutes, which should be more than enough to score at least 13 points.

Michael Spero: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 22.5 points (-120) vs. Thunder -- DraftKings Sportsbook 1:27 PM

Gilgeous-Alexander's first outing of the season was nothing spectacular, scoring just 18 points as the Thunder fell to the Jazz. However, Gilgeous-Alexander finds himself in a great spot in tonight's matchup against the Rockets. Houston's defense looked abysmal in their first showing of the season and Gilgeous-Alexander should see lots of opportunities to score in what should be a decently competitive matchup.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Michael Spero
Michael is a former RotoWire contributor. He wrote in the NBA and NCAAF departments for RotoWire. He is a big-time fan of both the Bulls and Nuggets. Michael spends his time playing pick-up or anxiously rooting for his fantasy teams.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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