Adley Rutschman

26-Year-Old CatcherC

Baltimore Orioles

2024 Stats

AVG

.250

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Simba famously told us in The Lion King he laughed in the face of danger, and Rutschman certainly did the same in the face of those wondering if there would be a sophomore slump for the young catcher. The 25 year old backstop was a key cog of the AL East champion Orioles lineup finishing as the eighth-most valuable fantasy catcher and the only catcher who could claim at least 20 homers, 80+ RBIs as well as 80+ runs on their resume. If not for the misconfiguration of left field in Camden, Rutschman would have joined Cal Raleigh as the only catcher with 30 homers but that monstrosity is where most pulled flyballs go to die. Rutschman has already earned a reputation for a very discernable eye at the plate as he walks nearly as often as he strike out which is a rarity for both his age and his position. Baltimore values the bat and gave him 46 games at DH so he provides plenty of volume with the added bonus of hitting first or second in the lineup. Simply put, the acquisition cost is worth it. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

#49

ADP

League Majors

Bats B

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 220

DOB 2/6/1998

Born Portland, OR

College Oregon State

Drafted 1st Rd 2019 BAL

Resting up Wednesday

CBaltimore Orioles

September 25, 2024

Rutschman is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Yankees.

ANALYSIS
He'll hit the bench after starting in each of the past five games, with four coming at catcher. James McCann will fill in for Rutschman behind the dish Wednesday.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+8%

OPS vs LHP

2024

+43%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+15%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+61%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.818	488	53	14	62	2	.283	.375	.443
Since 2022vs Right	.755	1307	169	38	139	4	.253	.342	.413
2024vs Left	.902	182	19	7	33	0	.329	.390	.512
2024vs Right	.631	456	49	12	46	1	.219	.289	.342
2023vs Left	.895	191	25	6	24	1	.304	.414	.481
2023vs Right	.777	496	59	14	56	0	.267	.359	.419
2022vs Left	.552	115	9	1	5	1	.173	.287	.265
2022vs Right	.889	355	61	12	37	3	.280	.386	.503
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+7%

OPS at Home

2024

+11%

OPS on Road

2023

+23%

OPS at Home

2022

+7%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.799	858	114	29	84	3	.269	.361	.437
Since 2022Away	.748	937	108	23	117	3	.255	.342	.407
2024Home	.671	312	34	10	26	0	.225	.301	.370
2024Away	.745	326	34	9	53	1	.275	.334	.410
2023Home	.899	323	44	14	40	1	.310	.393	.505
2023Away	.728	364	40	6	40	0	.248	.357	.371
2022Home	.834	223	36	5	18	2	.272	.399	.435
2022Away	.781	247	34	8	24	2	.238	.328	.453
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Stat Review

How does Adley Rutschman compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.56

BB Rate

9.1%

K Rate

16.1%

BABIP

.272

ISO

.140

AVG

.250

OBP

.318

SLG

.391

OPS

.709

wOBA

.312

Exit Velocity

88.2 mph

Hard Hit Rate

29.9%

Barrels/PA

4.5%

Expected BA

.258

Expected SLG

.402

Sprint Speed

22.9 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

34.5%

Line Drive %

22.5%

Fly Ball %

42.9%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Adley Rutschman Prospect Ranking History

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

Rutschman began the season on the minor league IL with a triceps issue. When healthy, he quickly advanced from Double-A Bowie to Triple-A Norfolk before being called up on May 21. He started slow, posting a 137/.228/.196 line after 13 games, but then settled in to go .271/.380/.481 the rest of the way. Rutschman played excellent defense, finishing second among catchers with 18 defensive runs saved while exhibiting solid framing and an excellent arm. His plate discipline is stellar as demonstrated by a 13.8% walk rate and 18.3% strikeout clip. Rutschman's low 38.4% groundball rate helped him compile extra base hits with a below average fly ball exit velocity. His 35 doubles to 13 home run ratio should tilt more to the long ball as he continues to develop. As is, Rutschman is one of the top backstops in the league, assured of the lion's share of playing time for Baltimore. His ceiling is the top fantasy catcher.

On merit, Rutschman should have made his big-league debut last summer, but the Orioles are blatantly delaying his arrival, as he is the franchise cornerstone and once his clock starts, time is officially ticking on this regime showing progress in the standings. We've been saying he is the best catching prospect in over a decade for a few years now, and that remains the case. He has easy plus power to all fields, makes excellent swing decisions, and should always run high on-base percentages. Rutschman's hit tool is quite good, particularly relative to other catchers. He won't chip in on the bases, but he has a favorable home park and will occupy a favorable spot in the lineup, so he should be a four-category monster. Depending on the new CBA, Rutschman could break camp with the big club or he could be up in late April. His intangibles are off the charts, so he is a good bet to get the most out of his abilities.

The best catching prospect in recent memory, Rutschman may have debuted in 2020 if the Orioles were headed for a playoff berth, per GM Mike Elias. That didn't happen, but all signs point to Rutschman debuting sometime in his age-23 season. A switch hitter with at least 60-grade all-fields power and excellent strike zone awareness, Rutschman could hit .300 with 30 home runs annually while providing plus defense behind the plate and being one of the better team leaders in baseball. In dynasty leagues, Rutschman is already a top-two catcher, and the preferred option over J.T. Realmuto for any rebuilding team. The worse the replacement level catchers are in a fantasy league, the more value he has. An assignment to Double-A would signal that he is months away, while an assignment to Triple-A would signal he is weeks away from getting the call.

Not only was Rutschman one of the best college hitters in the 2019 draft class, but he has elite defensive tools behind the dish, making it an easy call for the Orioles to select the Oregon State product first overall. He had very poor luck on balls in play in the Gulf Coast League and Sally League, so take his .254/.351/.423 slash line across three levels with a grain of salt. His 27:20 K:BB in 37 games illustrates the switch hitter's superb control of the strike zone. He uses the whole field and should be able to hit 20-plus home runs annually without selling out for power. Rutschman won't be much of a stolen-base threat, but that's hardly a knock for a catching prospect. Baltimore's competitive window won't open anytime soon, which could delay Rutschman's debut until 2021. He is a better real-life prospect than a fantasy one, but is still the best fantasy catching prospect since Buster Posey.

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Getting night off

CBaltimore Orioles

September 18, 2024

Rutschman is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Giants.