This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.
Earlier in the week, I posted this tweet:
My sense is there are some who are too aggressive with two-start pitchers, and some who are too hesitant. To be honest, I fall into the former category and often end up crushing my ratios. The question one needs to pose when setting a pitching lineup is, "Does this two-start guy have a good chance of wins and strikeouts?"
If I had practiced what I just preached, I would have avoided some disasters, since the answer (too often) would have been "NO!". I was looking to add strikeouts, hoping wins will follow. The thing is, if the wins weren't likely to dovetail, the ratios were likely poor. Intrinsic to the notion of a potential win is reasonable ratios.
As the tweet mentions, in lieu of a risky double-dipper, single-start guys or middle relievers can buffer ratios and, who knows, maybe fall into a win now and again. The ratio support should make it safer to be more reckless in August and September when the standings dictate chasing wins.
Here is your weekly reminder that I pull the schedule from the Probable Pitching grid, so please direct rotation questions in that direction. As always, I'm happy to
Earlier in the week, I posted this tweet:
My sense is there are some who are too aggressive with two-start pitchers, and some who are too hesitant. To be honest, I fall into the former category and often end up crushing my ratios. The question one needs to pose when setting a pitching lineup is, "Does this two-start guy have a good chance of wins and strikeouts?"
If I had practiced what I just preached, I would have avoided some disasters, since the answer (too often) would have been "NO!". I was looking to add strikeouts, hoping wins will follow. The thing is, if the wins weren't likely to dovetail, the ratios were likely poor. Intrinsic to the notion of a potential win is reasonable ratios.
As the tweet mentions, in lieu of a risky double-dipper, single-start guys or middle relievers can buffer ratios and, who knows, maybe fall into a win now and again. The ratio support should make it safer to be more reckless in August and September when the standings dictate chasing wins.
Here is your weekly reminder that I pull the schedule from the Probable Pitching grid, so please direct rotation questions in that direction. As always, I'm happy to address specific rankings below.
Please visit again Sunday night for the weekly refresh.
UPDATED: Sunday April 15, 11:50 PM ET
Week of April 17 - 23
Mixed
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comments | MIX12 | MIX15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jacob deGrom | TEX | @KC, OAK | Doesn't get much better | ||
2 | Corbin Burnes | MIL | @SEA, BOS | Still worried? | ||
3 | Shohei Ohtani | LAA | @BOS, KC | First start is the 11 AM Patriots Day game | ||
4 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | @HOU, @NYY | |||
5 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | @CWS, COL | |||
6 | Jesus Luzardo | MIA | SF, @CLE | Knocking at the fantasy ace door | ||
7 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD | NYM, @CHC | |||
8 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | TB, @PIT | |||
9 | Dylan Cease | CWS | @TB | |||
10 | Julio Urias | LAD | @CHC | |||
11 | Spencer Strider | ATL | @SD | Averaging only 5.1 IP per start | ||
12 | Sonny Gray | MIN | @BOS, WAS | Looks like strikeouts are back | ||
13 | Pablo Lopez | MIN | WAS | Buy high if he's available | ||
14 | Shane Bieber | CLE | MIA | |||
15 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | TOR | |||
16 | Luis Castillo | SEA | STL | |||
17 | Shane McClanahan | TB | CWS | |||
18 | Justin Steele | CHC | @OAK | |||
19 | Aaron Nola | PHI | COL | May take a bit, but ratios should drop to usual levels | ||
20 | Lance Lynn | CWS | PHI, @TB | 6 HR in 16 IP | ||
21 | Max Fried | ATL | @SD, HOU | |||
22 | Zac Gallen | ARI | SD | |||
23 | Andrew Heaney | TEX | OAK | |||
24 | Logan Webb | SF | @MIA, NYM | 4 HR in 17 IP a concern | ||
25 | Alex Wood | SF | @MIA, NYM | 44% | ||
26 | Chris Sale | BOS | MIN, @MIL | Likely happenstance, but having first inning issues | ||
27 | Marcus Stroman | CHC | @OAK, LAD | Early strikeouts encouraging, but history says don't get used to it | ||
28 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | BOS | |||
29 | Cristian Javier | HOU | TOR, @ATL | Tough pair | ||
30 | Jordan Montgomery | STL | ARI | |||
31 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | @CLE | Not a great spot to rebound | ||
32 | Alek Manoah | TOR | @NYY | I'm not nervous. Maybe I'm a little bit concerned, but that's not the same thing. | ||
33 | Yu Darvish | SD | @ARI | |||
34 | Jon Gray | TEX | OAK | |||
35 | Max Scherzer | NYM | @LAD | |||
36 | Dustin May | LAD | NYM, @CHC | |||
37 | Michael Kopech | CWS | @TB | |||
38 | Kenta Maeda | MIN | WAS | |||
39 | Framber Valdez | HOU | @ATL | |||
40 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | MIL | |||
41 | Joe Musgrove | SD | @ARI | |||
42 | Tyler Anderson | LAA | KC | |||
43 | Nestor Cortes | NYY | LAA | |||
44 | Garrett Whitlock | BOS | @MIL | |||
45 | Hunter Greene | CIN | TB, @PIT | |||
46 | Alex Cobb | SF | @MIA | |||
47 | Reid Detmers | LAA | KC | |||
48 | Charlie Morton | ATL | @SD | |||
49 | Eric Lauer | MIL | @SEA | |||
50 | Jack Flaherty | STL | ARI, @SEA | Walks already coming down | ||
51 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | @CIN | |||
52 | George Kirby | SEA | STL | |||
53 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | @NYY | |||
54 | Brady Singer | KC | TEX | |||
55 | Kodai Senga | NYM | @SF | |||
56 | Tyler Wells | BAL | DET | 1% | ||
57 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | @STL, SD | |||
58 | Zach Eflin | TB | CWS | |||
59 | Lucas Giolito | CWS | PHI | |||
60 | Trevor Rogers | MIA | SF | |||
61 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | @KC | |||
62 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | @WAS | |||
63 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | DET | |||
64 | Cal Quantrill | CLE | @DET | 48% | ||
65 | Blake Snell | SD | ATL | |||
66 | Anthony DeSclafani | SF | NYM | |||
67 | Eduardo Rodriguez | DET | CLE | |||
68 | Edward Cabrera | MIA | SF | |||
69 | Matthew Boyd | DET | CLE, @BAL | |||
70 | Sean Manaea | SF | NYM | |||
71 | Mix 12 Reliever | |||||
72 | Joe Ryan | MIN | @BOS | |||
73 | Brayan Bello | BOS | LAA, @MIL | Tough to start right away, but defensible in deeper formats | 36% | |
74 | David Peterson | NYM | @LAD, @SF | |||
75 | Martin Perez | TEX | @KC | |||
76 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | @CWS | |||
77 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | @HOU | |||
78 | Matt Strahm | PHI | COL | 13% | ||
79 | Corey Kluber | BOS | MIN | 17% | ||
80 | Domingo German | NYY | TOR | |||
81 | Mix 15 Reliever | |||||
82 | Mitch Keller | PIT | CIN | |||
83 | Luis Garcia | HOU | TOR | |||
84 | Steven Matz | STL | @SEA | |||
85 | Kyle Freeland | COL | PIT, @PHI | 8% | 34% | |
86 | Kyle Wright | ATL | HOU | |||
87 | Tyler Mahle | MIN | @BOS | |||
88 | Hayden Wesneski | CHC | @OAK, LAD | |||
89 | Kyle Gibson | BAL | DET | |||
90 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | LAD | |||
91 | Seth Lugo | SD | @ARI | |||
92 | Tylor Megill | NYM | @LAD, @SF | Tough road pair, but deserves a chance to prove worthy | ||
93 | Miles Mikolas | STL | @SEA | |||
94 | Colin Rea | MIL | @SEA | 0% | 0% | |
95 | Jose Berrios | TOR | @HOU | |||
96 | Carlos Carrasco | NYM | @SF | |||
97 | Jose Urquidy | HOU | TOR | |||
98 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | MIN | 18% | ||
99 | Spencer Turnbull | DET | CLE | 3% | 26% | |
100 | Wade Miley | MIL | BOS | 7% | ||
101 | Hunter Brown | HOU | @ATL | |||
102 | Trevor Williams | WAS | @MIN | 1% | 6% | |
103 | Jhony Brito | NYY | LAA | |||
104 | Zack Greinke | KC | @LAA | 4% | 36% | |
105 | Zach Plesac | CLE | MIA | 0% | 43% | |
106 | Roansy Contreras | PIT | CIN | |||
107 | Mike Clevinger | CWS | PHI | |||
108 | Noah Syndergaard | LAD | NYM | |||
109 | Jalen Beeks | TB | @CIN | 0% | 0% | |
110 | Griffin Canning | LAA | @NYY | 0% | 2% | |
111 | Dean Kremer | BAL | @WAS | 4% | ||
112 | Austin Gomber | COL | PIT | 0% | 0% | |
113 | Michael Lorenzen | DET | @BAL | 0% | 0% | |
114 | Bryce Elder | ATL | HOU | |||
115 | Graham Ashcraft | CIN | @PIT | |||
116 | Michael Wacha | SD | @ARI | |||
117 | Marco Gonzales | SEA | MIL | 3% | 34% | |
118 | Luis Cessa | CIN | @PIT | 0% | 4% | |
119 | Ken Waldichuk | OAK | CHC | 2% | 13% | |
120 | Brad Keller | KC | TEX | 2% | 36% | |
121 | Bailey Falter | PHI | @CWS, COL | 15% | ||
122 | Nick Martinez | SD | ATL | 44% | ||
123 | Braxton Garrett | MIA | @CLE | 16% | ||
124 | Hunter Gaddis | CLE | @DET, MIA | 10% | ||
125 | Ryan Feltner | COL | @PHI | 0% | 0% | |
126 | Michael Grove | LAD | @CHC | 6% | 21% | |
127 | Josh Fleming | TB | CWS | 1% | 15% | |
128 | Peyton Battenfield | CLE | @DET | 0% | 0% | |
129 | Joey Wentz | DET | @BAL | 0% | 0% | |
130 | Luke Weaver | CIN | TB | 0% | 0% | |
131 | Jose Suarez | LAA | @NYY | 38% | ||
132 | Josiah Gray | WAS | BAL | 38% | ||
133 | Drey Jameson | ARI | @STL, SD | Fantasy favorite, but needs to prove he's worthy of the hype | ||
134 | James Kaprielian | OAK | CHC | 0% | 2% | |
135 | MacKenzie Gore | WAS | BAL | |||
136 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY | LAA, TOR | |||
137 | Noah Davis | COL | @PHI | 0% | 0% | |
138 | Rich Hill | PIT | @COL, CIN | 0% | 0% | |
139 | Chris Flexen | SEA | MIL, STL | 4% | ||
140 | Kyle Muller | OAK | CHC, @TEX | 13% | ||
141 | Jordan Lyles | KC | TEX, @LAA | 1% | 4% | |
142 | Chad Kuhl | WAS | @MIN | 0% | 0% | |
143 | Jose Urena | COL | PIT, @PHI | 0% | 0% | |
144 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR | @NYY | 33% | ||
145 | Shintaro Fujinami | OAK | @TEX | 4% | 15% | |
146 | Cooper Criswell | TB | @CIN | 0% | 0% | |
147 | Madison Bumgarner | ARI | @STL | 0% | 0% | |
148 | Drew Smyly | CHC | LAD | 2% | ||
149 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | SD | 22% | ||
150 | Jake Woodford | STL | ARI | 1% | 15% | |
151 | JP Sears | OAK | @TEX | 0% | 15% | |
152 | Vince Velasquez | PIT | @COL, CIN | 0% | 0% | |
153 | Max Castillo | KC | @LAA | 0% | 0% | |
154 | Patrick Corbin | WAS | @MIN | 0% | 0% | |
155 | Ryan Weathers | SD | ATL | 0% | 6% | |
156 | Johan Oviedo | PIT | @COL | 5% |
American League
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comment |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jacob deGrom | TEX | @KC, OAK | Doesn't get much better |
2 | Shohei Ohtani | LAA | @BOS, KC | First start is the 11 AM Patriots Day game |
3 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | @HOU, @NYY | |
4 | Dylan Cease | CWS | @TB | |
5 | Sonny Gray | MIN | @BOS, WAS | Looks like strikeouts are back |
6 | Pablo Lopez | MIN | WAS | Buy high if he's available |
7 | Shane Bieber | CLE | MIA | |
8 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | TOR | |
9 | Luis Castillo | SEA | STL | |
10 | Shane McClanahan | TB | CWS | |
11 | Lance Lynn | CWS | PHI, @TB | 6 HR in 16 IP |
12 | Andrew Heaney | TEX | OAK | |
13 | Chris Sale | BOS | MIN, @MIL | Likely happenstance, but having first inning issues |
14 | Cristian Javier | HOU | TOR, @ATL | Tough pair |
15 | Alek Manoah | TOR | @NYY | I'm not nervous. Maybe I'm a little bit concerned, but that's not the same thing. |
16 | Jon Gray | TEX | OAK | |
17 | Michael Kopech | CWS | @TB | |
18 | Kenta Maeda | MIN | WAS | |
19 | Framber Valdez | HOU | @ATL | |
20 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | MIL | |
21 | Tyler Anderson | LAA | KC | |
22 | Nestor Cortes | NYY | LAA | |
23 | Garrett Whitlock | BOS | @MIL | |
24 | Reid Detmers | LAA | KC | |
25 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | @CIN | |
26 | George Kirby | SEA | STL | |
27 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | @NYY | |
28 | Brady Singer | KC | TEX | |
29 | Tyler Wells | BAL | DET | |
30 | Zach Eflin | TB | CWS | |
31 | Lucas Giolito | CWS | PHI | |
32 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | @KC | |
33 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | @WAS | |
34 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | DET | |
35 | Cal Quantrill | CLE | @DET | |
36 | Eduardo Rodriguez | DET | CLE | |
37 | Matthew Boyd | DET | CLE, @BAL | |
38 | Joe Ryan | MIN | @BOS | |
39 | Brayan Bello | BOS | LAA, @MIL | Tough to start right away, but defensible in deeper formats |
40 | Martin Perez | TEX | @KC | |
41 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | @HOU | |
42 | Corey Kluber | BOS | MIN | |
43 | Domingo German | NYY | TOR | |
44 | Luis Garcia | HOU | TOR | |
45 | Tyler Mahle | MIN | @BOS | |
46 | Kyle Gibson | BAL | DET | |
47 | Jose Berrios | TOR | @HOU | |
48 | Jose Urquidy | HOU | TOR | |
49 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | MIN | |
50 | Spencer Turnbull | DET | CLE | |
51 | Hunter Brown | HOU | @ATL | |
52 | AL Reliever | |||
53 | Jhony Brito | NYY | LAA | |
54 | Zack Greinke | KC | @LAA | |
55 | Zach Plesac | CLE | MIA | |
56 | Mike Clevinger | CWS | PHI | |
57 | Jalen Beeks | TB | @CIN | |
58 | Griffin Canning | LAA | @NYY | |
59 | Dean Kremer | BAL | @WAS | |
60 | Michael Lorenzen | DET | @BAL | |
61 | Marco Gonzales | SEA | MIL | |
62 | Ken Waldichuk | OAK | CHC | |
63 | Brad Keller | KC | TEX | |
64 | Hunter Gaddis | CLE | @DET, MIA | |
65 | Josh Fleming | TB | CWS | |
66 | Peyton Battenfield | CLE | @DET | |
67 | Joey Wentz | DET | @BAL | |
68 | Jose Suarez | LAA | @NYY | |
69 | James Kaprielian | OAK | CHC | |
70 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY | LAA, TOR | |
71 | Chris Flexen | SEA | MIL, STL | |
72 | Kyle Muller | OAK | CHC, @TEX | |
73 | Jordan Lyles | KC | TEX, @LAA | |
74 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR | @NYY | |
75 | Shintaro Fujinami | OAK | @TEX | |
76 | Cooper Criswell | TB | @CIN | |
77 | JP Sears | OAK | @TEX | |
78 | Max Castillo | KC | @LAA |
National League
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comment |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Corbin Burnes | MIL | @SEA, BOS | Still worried? |
2 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | @CWS, COL | |
3 | Jesus Luzardo | MIA | SF, @CLE | Knocking at the fantasy ace door |
4 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD | NYM, @CHC | |
5 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | TB, @PIT | |
6 | Julio Urias | LAD | @CHC | |
7 | Spencer Strider | ATL | @SD | Averaging only 5.1 IP per start |
8 | Justin Steele | CHC | @OAK | |
9 | Aaron Nola | PHI | COL | May take a bit, but ratios should drop to usual levels |
10 | Max Fried | ATL | @SD, HOU | |
11 | Zac Gallen | ARI | SD | |
12 | Logan Webb | SF | @MIA, NYM | 4 HR in 17 IP a concern |
13 | Alex Wood | SF | @MIA, NYM | |
14 | Marcus Stroman | CHC | @OAK, LAD | Early strikeouts encouraging, but history says don't get used to it |
15 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | BOS | |
16 | Jordan Montgomery | STL | ARI | |
17 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | @CLE | Not a great spot to rebound |
18 | Yu Darvish | SD | @ARI | |
19 | Max Scherzer | NYM | @LAD | |
20 | Dustin May | LAD | NYM, @CHC | |
21 | Joe Musgrove | SD | @ARI | |
22 | Hunter Greene | CIN | TB, @PIT | |
23 | Alex Cobb | SF | @MIA | |
24 | Charlie Morton | ATL | @SD | |
25 | Eric Lauer | MIL | @SEA | |
26 | Jack Flaherty | STL | ARI, @SEA | Walks already coming down |
27 | Kodai Senga | NYM | @SF | |
28 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | @STL, SD | |
29 | Trevor Rogers | MIA | SF | |
30 | Blake Snell | SD | ATL | |
31 | Anthony DeSclafani | SF | NYM | |
32 | Edward Cabrera | MIA | SF | |
33 | Sean Manaea | SF | NYM | |
34 | David Peterson | NYM | @LAD, @SF | |
35 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | @CWS | |
36 | Matt Strahm | PHI | COL | |
37 | Mitch Keller | PIT | CIN | |
38 | Steven Matz | STL | @SEA | |
39 | Kyle Freeland | COL | PIT, @PHI | |
40 | Kyle Wright | ATL | HOU | |
41 | Hayden Wesneski | CHC | @OAK, LAD | |
42 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | LAD | |
43 | Seth Lugo | SD | @ARI | |
44 | Tylor Megill | NYM | @LAD, @SF | Tough road pair, but deserves a chance to prove worthy |
45 | Miles Mikolas | STL | @SEA | |
46 | Colin Rea | MIL | @SEA | |
47 | Carlos Carrasco | NYM | @SF | |
48 | Wade Miley | MIL | BOS | |
49 | NL Reliever | |||
50 | Trevor Williams | WAS | @MIN | |
51 | Roansy Contreras | PIT | CIN | |
52 | Noah Syndergaard | LAD | NYM | |
53 | Austin Gomber | COL | PIT | |
54 | Bryce Elder | ATL | HOU | |
55 | Graham Ashcraft | CIN | @PIT | |
56 | Michael Wacha | SD | @ARI | |
57 | Luis Cessa | CIN | @PIT | |
58 | Bailey Falter | PHI | @CWS, COL | |
59 | Nick Martinez | SD | ATL | |
60 | Braxton Garrett | MIA | @CLE | |
61 | Ryan Feltner | COL | @PHI | |
62 | Michael Grove | LAD | @CHC | |
63 | Luke Weaver | CIN | TB | |
64 | Josiah Gray | WAS | BAL | |
65 | Drey Jameson | ARI | @STL, SD | Fantasy favorite, but needs to prove he's worthy of the hype |
66 | MacKenzie Gore | WAS | BAL | |
67 | Noah Davis | COL | @PHI | |
68 | Rich Hill | PIT | @COL, CIN | |
69 | Chad Kuhl | WAS | @MIN | |
70 | Jose Urena | COL | PIT, @PHI | |
71 | Madison Bumgarner | ARI | @STL | |
72 | Drew Smyly | CHC | LAD | |
73 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | SD | |
74 | Jake Woodford | STL | ARI | |
75 | Vince Velasquez | PIT | @COL, CIN | |
76 | Patrick Corbin | WAS | @MIN | |
77 | Ryan Weathers | SD | ATL | |
78 | Johan Oviedo | PIT | @COL |