Best Texans vs Steelers Player Prop Bet Picks for NFL Playoffs Wild Card Round (2026)

The final game of the Wild Card Round brings us what should be a defensive clash between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Houston Texans. You might want to explore the unders on the player props in this one. Houston enters the matchup as a 3-point road favorite, per bet365. Make sure to use the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks.

If you're looking to spice up this matchup with some NFL Wild Card Round player props, I've got you covered. Here are my favorite NFL player props for this postseason matchup: 

Best BetMGM Texans vs Steelers NFL Player Prop Bets: Wild Card Round

BetMGM Sportsbook provides all odds in this section. Use a BetMGM bonus code to maximize your player props. 

C.J. Stroud – Passing Yards: UNDER 241.5 (-115) 

I was flat-out shocked to see C.J. Stroud has the third-highest projected passing yardage total of the week across every major sportsbook. But the line at BetMGM is particularly inflated. Stroud has enjoyed a nice bounce-back season, but I just don't understand this market. 

The Texans' signal-caller has been held under 240 passing yards in three of his last five outings. The two times he went over were far from convincing. He recorded 260 yards against a dreadful Cardinals' defense that lost pretty much every key starter due to injury. Stroud also reached 244 yards against a stingy Chargers' pass defense, but 118 of those came on two broken plays in the first six minutes of the game. He started 4-of-4 for 142 yards and two TDs. From that point on, he completed 12-of-24 attempts for 102 yards and two INTs. 

With a healthy T.J. Watt, I expect Pittsburgh's front to bully Houston's. And that's bad news for Stroud. Stroud had the sixth-worst passer rating among 26 qualified QBs when pressured this season. When kept clean, he ranked 10th in that same metric. Pittsburgh generated the sixth-most sacks in the league. I don't expect a ton of clean pockets for Stroud on Monday night. 

Aaron Rodgers – Passing Yards: UNDER 210.5 (-115) 

Aaron Rodgers used to be one of the best escape artists in the league. That is no longer the case. His 21.0% pressure-to-sack rate was the sixth-worst mark in football this season. Essentially, that means if the pass-rush gets pressure, it will probably result in a sack. You can bet this Houston front is going to get pressure. Houston was PFF's second-highest-graded pass-rushing unit this season. 

A ton of pressures and sacks should lean to a lot of third-and-longs for Pittsburgh. That's a recipe for disaster. Rodgers had the league's fourth-worst success rate (38.9%) on third downs among the 24 qualified QBs with 125 such snaps, narrowly topping Bryce Young. Getting D.K. Metcalf back should help, but this feels like a brutal matchup for Rodgers. 

Best DraftKings Texans vs Steelers NFL Player Prop Bets: Wild Card Round

DraftKings Sportsbook provides all odds in this section. Use a DraftKings promo code to maximize your player props. 

Kenneth Gainwell – Receiving Yards: OVER 32.5 (-110) 

Houston finished the year as the league's best passing defense and the third-best rushing defense in terms of EPA per play. The Texans' defense just doesn't have many weaknesses. But one spot where they're closer to league average is receiving yards allowed to RBs. Houston allowed the 14th-most receiving yards to the position this year. That may not sound like a ton, but they gave up the fewest yards in the league in general. You have to take what you can against Houston. 

That sets up for a nice Kenneth Gainwell game. Gainwell has cleared 45 receiving yards in three of his last four appearances. He averaged 45.4 receiving yards per outing over the final eight games of the season. I'd expect a lot of dump-offs to RBs. You could also consider Jaylen Warren's receiving total here, but Gainwell feels like a safer bet. 

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2025 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record 

Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of the Wild Card Round): 

• Regular Season Record: 61-56 (52.1%)
• Playoff Record: 10-5 (66.7%) 

Where to Bet on Wild Card Round Props

Below, I've provided a list of the top sportsbooks that offer player prop betting markets. I've also provided the sign-up bonus at each book, so you can make the most of your prop bets.