This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Games
Los Angeles Rams 
(-5.5) (-110) at Baltimore Ravens
Hard to have a much better setup than the Rams have this week. In looking at the Ravens' defensive rankings vs. player position, they rank 30th vs. QB's, 30th vs. WR's, and 28th vs. TE's. The Ravens defense has allowed the most passing yards in the league, they're tied for the most yards allowed per passing attempt, and are also tied for third-most passing touchdowns allowed. The Rams are well-equipped to take advantage of this, with their explosive passing game featuring the overall WR1 Cooper Kupp. Meanwhile, the Ravens' best player Lamar Jackson seems unlikely to play this week after having missed practice on both Thursday and Friday (while appearing quite gimpy in his only practice appearance on Wednesday). I just don't see the Ravens keeping this game competitive with the engine of their offense missing (versus an upper-tier Rams defense), while the Ravens secondary is likely being overwhelmed by the Rams' passing game. Good spot to jump in, laying less than a touchdown and right underneath the semi-key number of -6.0. Speaking of which, the Rams look very attractive in 6-point teasers this week, particularly with Colts, Cowboys, or Bengals.
Player Props
Tee Higgins over 72.5 receiving yards (-125)
Back for more Higgins, who continues to emerge as one of the best young WR's in the game. Coming off a career-best effort last week of 12-194-2 (on 13 targets, what efficiency), he figures to be quite busy once again in what should be a shootout-style game vs. the Chiefs, particularly so should the Bengals fall behind, as we all know is possible here. His receptions number (5.5) is also reasonable, but on the necessary six catches (and at identical juice), I definitely prefer his yardage number.
Jaylen Waddle over 6.5 receptions (-125)
Heavy juice here (be sure and shop around for the best price, as always), but 6.5 is looking more and more like a soft number on Waddle as each week passes. He has now covered this number in four straight games (with a minimum of 8 catches) while recording double-digit targets in three straight games (and five of his last seven). He's also been highly efficient on those targets, as he tends to work in short range. This is also a good matchup for Waddle, with the Dolphins coming in as underdogs and the Titans having allowed the 7th-most passing yards in the league. There's little reason to expect a decrease in his production this week.
Deebo Samuel over 47.5 receiving yards (-125)
Interesting number here. Deebo's receiving prop has fluctuated dramatically this year due to his rushing game involvement, along with various injuries in the 49ers backfield, which has necessitated growth in Deebo's rushing role. That being said, he spiked back up to 9-159 last week (on 11 targets), and now takes the field a lineup that may feature the return of starting RB Elijah Mitchell, and definitely features new QB Trey Lance as an additional rushing option. This has me thinking that Deebo will remain active via the air this week (though obviously Lance's passing efficiency likely won't be on par with Garropolo's). Also as we know, Deebo excels at breaking long plays, with a multitude of 20+ yard long gainers throughout the year. Regarding his matchup this week, the Texans allow a generous 7.8 yards per passing attempt, tied for fourth-worst in the league. While there's definitely some concern that the 49ers will build a big lead in this game and stop throwing, this is a very small number for a receiver of Deebo's caliber (especially vs. a bad pass defense) with any type of decent volume. Plus the Texans have been playing better recently; hopefully, they can keep this game competitive for a while.
