NFL Picks: Backing the Jaguars, Eagles and Browns

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Updated on November 14, 2012 9:41PM EST

A poor week for the staff as no one finished above .500, and we lost our only consensus pick - the Jaguars. This week we have three more consensus picks, including Jacksonville, of course. For some reason no one can resist buying them low, and it doesn't matter how bad they are. Other consensus picks are similarly ugly - the Eagles and Browns.

It's worth noting both Pianowski and Erickson took the Bills are their best bets.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
Dolphins +1 at Bills	Bills	Bills	Dolphins	Dolphins	Bills
Eagles +3.5 at Redskins	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles
Packers -3.5 at Lions	Lions	Lions	Lions	Packers	Packers
Cardinals +10 at Falcons	Cardinals	Cardinals	Cardinals	Cardinals	Falcons
Buccaneers -1 at Panthers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Panthers	Buccaneers	Panthers
Browns +8.5 at Cowboys	Browns	Browns	Browns	Browns	Browns
Jets +3 at Rams	Jets	Rams	Jets	Rams	Rams
Jaguars +15.5 at Texans	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars
Bengals -3.5 at Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs	Bengals	Chiefs
Saints -4.5 at Raiders	Saints	Raiders	Raiders	Saints	Raiders
Chargers +8 at Broncos	Broncos	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers
Colts +9.5 at Patriots	Colts	Patriots	Patriots	Patriots	Colts
Ravens -2.5 at Steelers	Steelers	Steelers	Ravens	Ravens	Steelers
Bears +5 at 49ers	49ers	Bears	Bears	Bears	Bears
Best Bet	Bills	Bills	Panthers	Patriots	Chiefs
Last Week's Record	7-7	4-10	7-7	7-7	5-9
2012 Record	63-80-3	72-71-3	66-77-3	84-59-3	74-69-3
Best Bet Record	1-8-1	7-3	4-6	6-4	6-4
Consensus Pick Record	13-17-1
2011 Record	121-128-7	134-115-7	124-125-7	123-126-7	127-122-7

It's worth noting both Pianowski and Erickson took the Bills are their best bets.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
Dolphins +1 at Bills	Bills	Bills	Dolphins	Dolphins	Bills
Eagles +3.5 at Redskins	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles
Packers -3.5 at Lions	Lions	Lions	Lions	Packers	Packers
Cardinals +10 at Falcons	Cardinals	Cardinals	Cardinals	Cardinals	Falcons
Buccaneers -1 at Panthers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Panthers	Buccaneers	Panthers
Browns +8.5 at Cowboys	Browns	Browns	Browns	Browns	Browns
Jets +3 at Rams	Jets	Rams	Jets	Rams	Rams
Jaguars +15.5 at Texans	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars
Bengals -3.5 at Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs	Bengals	Chiefs
Saints -4.5 at Raiders	Saints	Raiders	Raiders	Saints	Raiders
Chargers +8 at Broncos	Broncos	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers
Colts +9.5 at Patriots	Colts	Patriots	Patriots	Patriots	Colts
Ravens -2.5 at Steelers	Steelers	Steelers	Ravens	Ravens	Steelers
Bears +5 at 49ers	49ers	Bears	Bears	Bears	Bears
Best Bet	Bills	Bills	Panthers	Patriots	Chiefs
Last Week's Record	7-7	4-10	7-7	7-7	5-9
2012 Record	63-80-3	72-71-3	66-77-3	84-59-3	74-69-3
Best Bet Record	1-8-1	7-3	4-6	6-4	6-4
Consensus Pick Record	13-17-1
2011 Record	121-128-7	134-115-7	124-125-7	123-126-7	127-122-7
2010 Record	129-122-5	134-117-5	126-125-5	136-115-5	134-117-5
2009 Record	123-130-3	132-121-3	131-122-3	130-123-3	126-127-3
2008 Record	132-114-10	128-118-10	124-122-10	125-121-10	130-116-10
2007 Record	127-120	118-129	127-120	N/A	130-117
2006 Record	118-129	N/A	139-108	N/A	N/A
2005 Record	121-126	N/A	127-120	N/A	N/A
2004 Record	124-124	N/A	130-118	N/A	N/A
2003 Record	121-126	118-129	124-123	N/A	N/A
2002 Record	113-136	123-126	141-108	N/A	N/A
2001 Record	124-113	117-120	118-119	N/A	N/A
2000 Record	123-117	134-106	141-99	N/A	N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have three consensus picks: the Eagles, Browns and Jaguars. Last week we went 0-1 to put us at 13-17-1 on the season. Last year we were 30-24-2 on consensus picks.

Comments:

Writer	Comment
Erickson	Forced to do the right thing with C.J. Spiller, the Bills will ride him into a touchdown-or-better win... Happy to take the hook with the Eagles... Same with the Lions... Jaguars have had the two biggest lines of the season. Covered last time. Seem to be better on the road, for whatever that's worth.
Pianowski	I'll cling to the idea that Buffalo still has some semblance of home-field edge, and a Thursday home game also offers a slight bonus advantage (in theory - no soup for you, Jacksonville).
Liss	Like the home dogs this week - especially Carolina who I see as a rough equal to Tampa Bay. Also like the Chiefs and Raiders.
Stopa	That bubble will burst for the Colts on Sunday. I listed out the stats in Working the Wire - they're a fraud, a bottom-dweller masquerading as a playoff contender. Even the public is duped, as the majority is on Indy, which you never see with a dog this big, especially against NE. The Pats were lucky to escape last week, so let's buy low and enjoy the blowout... I'm picking like a square with Bengals and Saints (and might be solo on both games), but a three point loss in Pitt might be selling the Chiefs high. The Saints know they have no margin for error, and if the Raiders were that good of a pick, the sharps would have held the line at 3... Vegas doesn't treat many injuries as line-movers, but the downgrade from Ben to Leftwich certainly qualifies as one, and I don't think home field means much in a rivalry like Balt/Pitt.
Del Don	Making a 1-8 team my best bet is about as ugly as it gets, so it's safe to say one game didn't jump out at me this week. However, despite that, I feel better about the overall slate than I have the past couple of weeks, for whatever that's worth.

The players:

•Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

•Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

•Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

•Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

•Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.