With top free agents now signed and mock drafts in full swing, NFL best ball ADPs should stay fairly steady for the next month, until the 2026 NFL Draft inevitably causes massive swings in best ball ADP.
John McKechnie has been doing some great stuff right here on RotoWire lately, including this article that discusses the relationship between draft position and stacking. John also took a look at some of the big movements in best ball ADP 2026 in response to the first week of free agency, highlighting guys like Bhayshul Tuten and Kenneth Walker (both discussed below).
Not to be outdone, RW's Mario Puig recently wrote about his favorite late-round targets, which would be worth reading even if it didn't closely align with my own opinions. (Jalen Nailor, Tre' Harris, Ryan Flournoy and Chimere Dike are the four non-rookie WRs that I've routinely been drafting in the late rounds.)
Now it's my turn, taking a look at best-ball ADP movement across three different sites (DraftKings, Underdog, Drafters) over the past month, comparing data from March 25 vs. that from Feb. 23. We'll go two rounds at a time, with color-coding in the left column to show players with significant ADP rises (green) or significant ADP drops (red). There will also be some interesting cases where considerable ADP differences between sites inform draft strategy.
Rounds 1-2
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | RB | Bijan Robinson | -0.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1 |
| 2 | DET | RB | Jahmyr Gibbs | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 3 | LAR | WR | Puka Nacua | -0.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| 4 | CIN | WR | Ja'Marr Chase | -0.1 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| 5 | SEA | WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | -0.1 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 |
| 6 | SF | RB | Christian McCaffrey | 0.0 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 6.2 |
| 7 | IND | RB | Jonathan Taylor | -0.1 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 7.1 |
| 8 | DET | WR | Amon-Ra St. Brown | 0.0 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 9 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 7.8 |
| 9 | MIN | WR | Justin Jefferson | 4.1 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 10 | 9 | 13.7 | 13.5 | 13.8 | 13.8 |
| 10 | DAL | WR | CeeDee Lamb | -1.0 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 8.9 | 10.4 | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 9.4 |
| 11 | BUF | RB | James Cook | -0.2 | 11.1 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| 12 | LV | RB | Ashton Jeanty | -0.2 | 11.7 | 12.7 | 11.7 | 10.6 | 11.5 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 10.7 |
| 13 | MIA | RB | De'Von Achane | -2.8 | 13.7 | 13.4 | 13.3 | 14.4 | 10.9 | 11 | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| 14 | KC | RB | Kenneth Walker | 12.1 | 16.1 | 14.5 | 19.8 | 14 | 28.2 | 28.5 | 30.5 | 25.7 |
| 15 | LAC | RB | Omarion Hampton | -1.3 | 16.3 | 17.9 | 15.2 | 15.8 | 15 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 14.5 |
| 16 | PHI | RB | Saquon Barkley | 0.3 | 16.6 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 17.2 | 16.9 | 17 | 17.5 | 16.2 |
| 17 | ARI | TE | Trey McBride | -1.7 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 18 | 17.1 | 15.3 | 14.8 | 15.7 | 15.4 |
| 18 | FA | RB | Jeremiyah Love | 1.2 | 17.4 | 19.0 | 16.1 | 17.1 | 18.6 | 19.1 | 18.5 | 18.2 |
| 19 | ATL | WR | Drake London | -2.1 | 18.8 | 18.5 | 19.4 | 18.5 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 17.1 | 16.3 |
| 20 | NYG | WR | Malik Nabers | -1.9 | 19.7 | 19.4 | 18.1 | 21.6 | 17.8 | 18.2 | 16.3 | 19 |
| 21 | CIN | RB | Chase Brown | 0.2 | 20.7 | 21.2 | 22.2 | 18.7 | 20.9 | 21.1 | 22 | 19.7 |
| 22 | BAL | RB | Derrick Henry | -0.3 | 22.1 | 22.5 | 20.8 | 23 | 21.8 | 22.3 | 21.3 | 21.7 |
| 23 | LV | TE | Brock Bowers | -2.4 | 22.8 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 22.3 | 20.4 | 20.3 | 20.6 | 20.3 |
| 24 | DAL | WR | George Pickens | -1.1 | 24.1 | 23.9 | 23.5 | 24.9 | 23 | 22.9 | 22.8 | 23.4 |
- RB Bijan Robinson was the consistent 1.01 through February, but RB Jahmyr Gibbs (+0.8) now goes there sometimes after the Lions traded David Montgomery to Houston.
- At the beginning of the offseason, WR Justin Jefferson (+4.1) often lasted until the middle of Round 2. I liked him at that price, figuring the Vikings were a sure bet to bring in a veteran QB. Jefferson's ADP crept up throughout February, but he mostly still went in Round 2. Once the Kyler Murray rumors became more than rumors, Jefferson quickly shot up to 9-11th overall in most drafts, which I think is too high.
- Murray is a real-life upgrade for Minnesota, but to this point in his career he's mostly added value with his running or with accuracy on short passes. Jefferson isn't likely to pile up cheap receptions at quite the rate that DeAndre Hopkins did back when Kliff Kingsbury was Arizona's head coach. Jefferson is beyond reproach from a talent standpoint, but the stuff he's best at does require decent downfield passing. The offenses he thrived in previously were ones with 4,000+ passing yards and 30-some passing TDs. I don't think those numbers are in play for Murray even if he successfully resurrects his career.
- RB Kenneth Walker (+12.1) is another where I think the ADP movement has been a major overreaction. He was already in a good situation in Seattle for 2026 (had he returned) once Zach Charbonnet suffered an ACL tear in January. Sure, the Chiefs will run more now that they have Walker — and with Patrick Mahomes coming off an ACL tear of his own — but they're not ultimately going to be a high-volume rushing attack as long as Mahomes and Andy Reid are running the show.
- Walker is at least a slight negative on pass snaps, which means a lot of those will probably go to somebody else. He's a good player otherwise, in a good situation, so we're not looking at a major fantasy bust unless it's for injury reasons. I just don't think Walker has the volume ceiling that's needed to justify a top-15 pick, nor does his medical record inspire confidence that he'd hold up to a 20-touch-per-game workload if that's what were asked.
- Curiously, Walker is much cheaper on Underdog (19.8) than DraftKings (14.5) or Drafters (14.0). Which is kind of the opposite of what I'd expect, given that UD is half-PPR and the others are full PPR. That's the place to target Walker, if you must.
- Walker is at least a slight negative on pass snaps, which means a lot of those will probably go to somebody else. He's a good player otherwise, in a good situation, so we're not looking at a major fantasy bust unless it's for injury reasons. I just don't think Walker has the volume ceiling that's needed to justify a top-15 pick, nor does his medical record inspire confidence that he'd hold up to a 20-touch-per-game workload if that's what were asked.
Rounds 3-4
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | HOU | WR | Nico Collins | -1.4 | 24.6 | 25.7 | 24.5 | 23.6 | 23.2 | 24 | 23.3 | 22.4 |
| 26 | NO | WR | Chris Olave | -0.1 | 26.5 | 26.5 | 26.8 | 26.2 | 26.4 | 25.3 | 26.2 | 27.7 |
| 27 | NO | RB | Travis Etienne | 8.2 | 28.1 | 28.4 | 30.3 | 25.6 | 36.3 | 36.8 | 36.6 | 35.6 |
| 28 | BUF | QB | Josh Allen | 1.6 | 28.1 | 25.4 | 29.2 | 29.7 | 29.7 | 26.4 | 30.5 | 32.2 |
| 29 | GB | RB | Josh Jacobs | 0.8 | 28.3 | 29.4 | 27.2 | 28.3 | 29.1 | 30.6 | 27.4 | 29.2 |
| 30 | PHI | WR | A.J. Brown | 3.1 | 30.4 | 31.5 | 29.7 | 29.9 | 33.5 | 34.1 | 32.3 | 34.2 |
| 31 | CAR | WR | Tetairoa McMillan | -0.4 | 33.0 | 34.3 | 31.8 | 32.9 | 32.6 | 33.1 | 31.4 | 33.2 |
| 32 | LAR | RB | Kyren Williams | -0.7 | 33.1 | 32.7 | 35.8 | 30.7 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 33.9 | 30.1 |
| 33 | CIN | WR | Tee Higgins | -0.6 | 33.1 | 33.1 | 33.3 | 33 | 32.5 | 31.8 | 33.2 | 32.6 |
| 34 | KC | WR | Rashee Rice | -4.7 | 34.4 | 30.2 | 34.8 | 38.2 | 29.7 | 28 | 30.5 | 30.6 |
| 35 | NYJ | RB | Breece Hall | -5.9 | 34.6 | 37.8 | 31.5 | 34.5 | 28.7 | 29.7 | 29.3 | 27 |
| 36 | NYJ | WR | Garrett Wilson | 1.5 | 36.2 | 36.9 | 36.7 | 34.9 | 37.7 | 38.6 | 38.4 | 36.2 |
| 37 | TB | RB | Bucky Irving | -9.3 | 38.5 | 40.2 | 35.9 | 39.4 | 29.2 | 31.1 | 27.9 | 28.5 |
| 38 | DAL | RB | Javonte Williams | 11.4 | 38.6 | 40.4 | 40.4 | 34.9 | 50 | 50.2 | 50.3 | 49.4 |
| 39 | TB | WR | Emeka Egbuka | 9.7 | 38.8 | 35.0 | 39.4 | 42.1 | 48.5 | 48.3 | 45.2 | 52.1 |
| 40 | BAL | WR | Zay Flowers | -0.7 | 41.5 | 41.6 | 40.9 | 42.1 | 40.8 | 40.9 | 41.5 | 39.9 |
| 41 | LAC | WR | Ladd McConkey | -4.6 | 41.9 | 43.2 | 39 | 43.4 | 37.3 | 37.8 | 36.3 | 37.9 |
| 42 | CHI | WR | Luther Burden | 7.6 | 42.4 | 44.5 | 43.2 | 39.6 | 50 | 49.8 | 48.7 | 51.4 |
| 43 | CHI | TE | Colston Loveland | -0.6 | 42.5 | 40.6 | 46.1 | 40.7 | 41.9 | 39.5 | 43.3 | 42.8 |
| 44 | PHI | WR | DeVonta Smith | 1.6 | 43.1 | 46.6 | 41.9 | 40.8 | 44.7 | 45.4 | 44 | 44.7 |
| 45 | LAR | WR | Davante Adams | -5.7 | 47.3 | 45.7 | 46.8 | 49.3 | 41.6 | 41.6 | 42 | 41.2 |
| 46 | BUF | WR | DJ Moore | 48.2 | 48.0 | 41.8 | 60.4 | 41.7 | 96.2 | 95.3 | 95.2 | 98.1 |
| 47 | DET | WR | Jameson Williams | -6.0 | 48.2 | 49.4 | 44.7 | 50.5 | 42.2 | 43.4 | 40.4 | 42.7 |
| 48 | DEN | WR | Jaylen Waddle | 4.5 | 48.3 | 50.0 | 47.3 | 47.5 | 52.8 | 52.9 | 51.4 | 54 |
- RB Travis Etienne (+8.2) is another one where I've always liked the player but don't really agree with the recent ADP enthusiasm. Maybe it's just because I'm skeptical of Tyler Shough, who looked decent against some bad defenses late last season. I liked Etienne better in Jacksonville with Trevor Lawrence and Liam Coen, even if it meant a somewhat lower volume ceiling. In New Orleans, the concern becomes efficiency and TDs.
- Most of the other major ADP movements here make sense to me, more or less. The one that I can't get over is DJ Moore (+48.2), who now looks to be among the most overvalued players at any position as a fourth-round pick in fantasy.
- The Bills are still going to run a lot with James Cook and Josh Allen. They're also going to use Dalton Kincaid and Khail Shakir a bunch to catch short passes, after both played well last season. Moore is a good player, but he's on the downside of his career at age 29, and probably not good enough at this point to consolidate volume in an offense where team-level factors work against it. The Buffalo offenses of recent years are very different from those Stefon Diggs inhabited, and not just because of Diggs' absence. Buffalo's running game came a long way under Joe Brady the past two years.
- WR Ladd McConkey (-4.6) and WR Jameson Williams (-6.0) weren't huge targets of mine at the beginning of the offseason, but both make sense at their lower prices, with McConkey in the fourth round and Williams at the 4/5 turn.
- The Chargers are clearly gearing up to use a lot of formations with only two WRs, but that could actually work in McConkey's favor, potentially leading to a higher target rate if snaps that went to Keenan Allen now go to TE Charlie Kolar and FB Alec Ingold. The Chargers intend to run more, but they'll still pass a decent amount as long as Justin Herbert is healthy, including out of 21 personnel and other heavy groupings.
Rounds 5-6
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | SF | WR | Mike Evans | 22.0 | 48.9 | 46.7 | 51.2 | 48.7 | 70.9 | 73.9 | 66.2 | 72.6 |
| 50 | WAS | WR | Terry McLaurin | -3.7 | 50.2 | 52.9 | 47.5 | 50.3 | 46.5 | 47 | 46.8 | 45.8 |
| 51 | NE | RB | TreVeyon Henderson | -1.4 | 51.2 | 53.8 | 48.3 | 51.4 | 49.8 | 52.9 | 46.9 | 49.5 |
| 52 | BAL | QB | Lamar Jackson | -4.2 | 52.1 | 52.6 | 50.7 | 53 | 47.9 | 47.9 | 47.8 | 48 |
| 53 | CLE | RB | Quinshon Judkins | -0.8 | 52.1 | 49.0 | 52.2 | 55.2 | 51.3 | 50.6 | 54.7 | 48.7 |
| 54 | JAX | RB | Bhayshul Tuten | 23.0 | 54.3 | 55.9 | 59.1 | 47.8 | 77.3 | 80.6 | 76.4 | 74.9 |
| 55 | CHI | WR | Rome Odunze | 2.8 | 54.8 | 55.5 | 53.9 | 55.1 | 57.6 | 58.5 | 57.8 | 56.4 |
| 56 | HOU | RB | David Montgomery | 58.2 | 55.8 | 51.8 | 63.3 | 52.2 | 114 | 114.8 | 107.9 | 119.3 |
| 57 | NYG | RB | Cam Skattebo | -15.4 | 57.5 | 57.4 | 55.1 | 60.1 | 42.1 | 41.7 | 44.5 | 40.2 |
| 58 | GB | WR | Christian Watson | -4.0 | 58.0 | 59.9 | 57.7 | 56.5 | 54 | 56 | 56.2 | 49.9 |
| 59 | CHI | RB | D'Andre Swift | -2.7 | 59.8 | 62.5 | 58.5 | 58.4 | 57.1 | 58.1 | 58.7 | 54.4 |
| 60 | CIN | QB | Joe Burrow | -3.3 | 61.4 | 57.3 | 64.1 | 62.9 | 58.1 | 51.8 | 64.2 | 58.2 |
| 61 | FA | WR | Carnell Tate | -4.8 | 61.5 | 62.8 | 56.5 | 65.3 | 56.7 | 58.7 | 53.8 | 57.7 |
| 62 | DEN | RB | RJ Harvey | -16.9 | 63.9 | 67.3 | 62.5 | 61.9 | 47 | 46.9 | 50.9 | 43.1 |
| 63 | ARI | WR | Marvin Harrison | -0.7 | 65.1 | 65.5 | 65.7 | 64 | 64.4 | 68.7 | 64.5 | 60.1 |
| 64 | JAX | WR | Parker Washington | -0.4 | 65.2 | 61.2 | 73.8 | 60.7 | 64.8 | 56.3 | 73.4 | 64.6 |
| 65 | IND | TE | Tyler Warren | 1.3 | 65.9 | 63.0 | 67.9 | 66.8 | 67.2 | 65 | 68.2 | 68.3 |
| 66 | IND | WR | Alec Pierce | 14.2 | 66.1 | 64.9 | 70.3 | 63.1 | 80.3 | 83.3 | 78.8 | 78.9 |
| 67 | WAS | QB | Jayden Daniels | -3.4 | 66.2 | 68.8 | 62.5 | 67.3 | 62.8 | 64.3 | 62.3 | 61.8 |
| 68 | CHI | QB | Caleb Williams | -1.3 | 67.9 | 66.4 | 69 | 68.4 | 66.6 | 62.2 | 67.4 | 70.3 |
| 69 | JAX | WR | Brian Thomas | -5.1 | 70.1 | 75.1 | 60.3 | 74.9 | 65 | 67.4 | 60.5 | 67.2 |
| 70 | NE | QB | Drake Maye | -5.6 | 70.5 | 70.3 | 71.5 | 69.7 | 64.9 | 66.7 | 62.8 | 65.1 |
| 71 | FA | WR | Makai Lemon | -9.2 | 71.1 | 72.7 | 63.6 | 77 | 61.9 | 64.3 | 57.6 | 63.8 |
| 72 | PHI | QB | Jalen Hurts | -2.7 | 72.2 | 73.2 | 69.5 | 73.8 | 69.5 | 69.7 | 68.9 | 70 |
- I mostly agree with the big ADP moves here, though RB Bhayshul Tuten (+23.0) feels like an all-time ceiling/floor pick. I think it'll be the floor, but I understand why people want to chase the ceiling. I'll take him occasionally when he falls closer to the old price than the new one.
- RB David Montgomery (+58.2) and WR Mike Evans (+22.0) aren't really targets of mine, but I essentially have them ranked right around ADP, i.e., I'll draft them when they fall a bit below ADP. I like Montgomery as my fifth-round pick when I don't have any RBs through the first four rounds. He'll likely be handed a big workload, making him a safe RB2 early in the season even if Houston's O-line woes (and general offensive issues) persist.
- The Giants didn't end up signing a tailback, instead adding FB Patrick Ricard to help with run-blocking. However, it seems that rumors of the Giants pursuing Kenneth Walker woke people up to the reality that RB Cam Skattebo (-15.4) may not be the same guy after a severe ankle/leg injury ended his rookie season.
- The weird part here is that the Giants didn't actually sign anyone, and reports on Skattebo have been positive. He was overvalued before, but he's not at the new price. Maybe the NFL Draft will bring trouble for him, or maybe not. Tyrone Tracy is a decent enough backup plan if Skattebo is slow to regain his pre-injury form.
QUICK LINKS
Rounds 7-8
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | ARI | WR | Michael Wilson | 1.8 | 72.2 | 70.2 | 77.3 | 69 | 74 | 70.6 | 74.6 | 76.8 |
| 74 | CAR | RB | Chuba Hubbard | 17.7 | 73.6 | 74.2 | 77.9 | 68.7 | 91.3 | 94.2 | 91.8 | 87.8 |
| 75 | NE | RB | Rhamondre Stevenson | -6.6 | 74.6 | 76.1 | 79.1 | 68.5 | 68 | 67.4 | 72.9 | 63.6 |
| 76 | DEN | WR | Courtland Sutton | -13.1 | 74.9 | 74.0 | 73.5 | 77.2 | 61.8 | 61.3 | 62.7 | 61.4 |
| 77 | FA | WR | Jordyn Tyson | -11.8 | 77.7 | 82.3 | 68.5 | 82.3 | 65.9 | 72.5 | 59.4 | 65.8 |
| 78 | CLE | TE | Harold Fannin | -3.7 | 78.0 | 75.7 | 78.6 | 79.7 | 74.3 | 68.5 | 74.9 | 79.6 |
| 79 | DAL | QB | Dak Prescott | 2.1 | 79.4 | 78.2 | 81 | 79.1 | 81.5 | 78.8 | 82.8 | 82.9 |
| 80 | PIT | RB | Jaylen Warren | -10.8 | 80.9 | 85.2 | 76.7 | 80.9 | 70.1 | 73.5 | 72.2 | 64.6 |
| 81 | PIT | WR | DK Metcalf | -10.3 | 81.7 | 81.3 | 75.5 | 88.2 | 71.4 | 75.8 | 67.5 | 70.8 |
| 82 | JAX | QB | Trevor Lawrence | -3.7 | 83.1 | 82.5 | 84.6 | 82.3 | 79.4 | 76.3 | 81.9 | 80.1 |
| 83 | SF | WR | Ricky Pearsall | -7.9 | 84.1 | 87.2 | 83.1 | 81.9 | 76.2 | 78.3 | 76 | 74.3 |
| 84 | ARI | RB | Tyler Allgeier | 15.3 | 85.5 | 92.4 | 88.4 | 75.7 | 100.8 | 107.5 | 100.4 | 94.5 |
| 85 | LAC | QB | Justin Herbert | -5.9 | 85.8 | 87.7 | 83.6 | 86.2 | 79.9 | 82.3 | 79.3 | 78.1 |
| 86 | NYG | QB | Jaxson Dart | -8.8 | 87.1 | 88.3 | 85.4 | 87.7 | 78.3 | 78.4 | 80.1 | 76.3 |
| 87 | GB | TE | Tucker Kraft | -6.8 | 87.3 | 81.8 | 87.9 | 92.2 | 80.5 | 77.3 | 82.5 | 81.7 |
| 88 | PIT | RB | Rico Dowdle | 11.4 | 88.8 | 88.0 | 92.5 | 86 | 100.2 | 98.9 | 102.3 | 99.5 |
| 89 | JAX | WR | Jakobi Meyers | -5.7 | 91.1 | 94.9 | 86.8 | 91.6 | 85.4 | 87.1 | 84.4 | 84.8 |
| 90 | TB | WR | Chris Godwin | 22.8 | 91.4 | 87.5 | 96.1 | 90.6 | 114.2 | 115.3 | 114.2 | 113 |
| 91 | NE | WR | Romeo Doubs | 43.5 | 93.0 | 90.4 | 106.5 | 82.1 | 136.5 | 140.6 | 137.9 | 131 |
| 92 | MIN | WR | Jordan Addison | 9.2 | 93.0 | 98.7 | 88.6 | 91.8 | 102.2 | 111.7 | 100.2 | 94.8 |
| 93 | TEN | WR | Wan'Dale Robinson | 10.7 | 93.3 | 85.7 | 103.4 | 90.8 | 104 | 94.1 | 110.2 | 107.7 |
| 94 | KC | QB | Patrick Mahomes | -4.9 | 93.4 | 94.1 | 89.9 | 96.3 | 88.5 | 88.7 | 87.5 | 89.2 |
| 95 | ATL | TE | Kyle Pitts | -5.7 | 95.8 | 92.0 | 95.4 | 99.9 | 90.1 | 85.7 | 89.4 | 95.2 |
| 96 | SF | QB | Brock Purdy | 0.7 | 95.9 | 97.4 | 95.8 | 94.5 | 96.6 | 97.5 | 97.5 | 94.7 |
- RB Tyler Allgeier (+15.3) is yet another where I like the player but don't support the fantasy enthusiasm. He's an early down bruiser who just signed with a team that projects to be one of the worst in the NFL. Where's the ceiling there?
- Not to mention James Conner (foot) agreeing to a pay cut. He's also a bruiser, and with far more experience on passing downs.
- For whatever it's worth, RB Jaylen Warren (-10.1) is a much better real-life player than RB Rico Dowdle (+11.4). Warren is also the incumbent, coming off a strong season, but Dowdle has the benefit of familiarity with Mike McCarthy.
Rounds 9-10
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | LAR | QB | Matthew Stafford | -3.6 | 96.0 | 89.6 | 101.4 | 97.1 | 92.4 | 85.6 | 98.3 | 93.4 |
| 98 | CHI | RB | Kyle Monangai | -11.3 | 96.1 | 98.3 | 91.6 | 98.4 | 84.8 | 85.6 | 85.5 | 83.2 |
| 99 | DEN | QB | Bo Nix | 2.1 | 97.9 | 98.5 | 97.4 | 97.8 | 100 | 96.4 | 102.7 | 100.8 |
| 100 | DET | TE | Sam LaPorta | -8.8 | 98.8 | 95.7 | 99.3 | 101.5 | 90 | 87.6 | 92.4 | 90.1 |
| 101 | LAC | WR | Quentin Johnston | -13.7 | 102.0 | 102.6 | 98.8 | 104.6 | 88.3 | 90.5 | 86.3 | 88.1 |
| 102 | PIT | WR | Michael Pittman | -3.8 | 102.1 | 103.8 | 95 | 107.5 | 98.3 | 102.1 | 92.8 | 100 |
| 103 | DEN | RB | J.K. Dobbins | 40.0 | 102.6 | 104.7 | 109.9 | 93.2 | 142.6 | 153.2 | 134.7 | 139.8 |
| 104 | LAR | RB | Blake Corum | -6.0 | 103.0 | 105.5 | 100.6 | 102.8 | 97 | 101 | 95 | 95.1 |
| 105 | DET | QB | Jared Goff | -2.2 | 103.5 | 102.3 | 105.1 | 103.1 | 101.3 | 98.3 | 103.6 | 101.9 |
| 106 | TEN | RB | Tony Pollard | -17.1 | 105.5 | 108.2 | 101.9 | 106.5 | 88.4 | 91.3 | 88.7 | 85.1 |
| 107 | MIN | QB | Kyler Murray | 34.2 | 106.3 | 105.9 | 109.5 | 103.5 | 140.5 | 145.2 | 141 | 135.2 |
| 108 | GB | QB | Jordan Love | -2.5 | 108.0 | 109.1 | 108.1 | 106.9 | 105.5 | 104.3 | 107 | 105.1 |
| 109 | GB | WR | Jayden Reed | 8.2 | 109.0 | 111.7 | 107.2 | 108.1 | 117.2 | 121.8 | 113.3 | 116.5 |
| 110 | KC | WR | Xavier Worthy | -7.8 | 110.6 | 113.4 | 107.1 | 111.4 | 102.8 | 106.5 | 97 | 105 |
| 111 | TB | QB | Baker Mayfield | -3.1 | 111.0 | 110.7 | 111.6 | 110.6 | 107.9 | 107 | 110.3 | 106.5 |
| 112 | FA | RB | Jadarian Price | -8.5 | 111.2 | 112.1 | 104.8 | 116.7 | 102.7 | 103.1 | 98.2 | 106.8 |
| 113 | LAC | TE | Oronde Gadsden | -7.7 | 112.7 | 114.0 | 110.7 | 113.4 | 105 | 104.7 | 104.6 | 105.7 |
| 114 | TB | RB | Kenneth Gainwell | 5.7 | 113.5 | 116.2 | 114.8 | 109.5 | 119.2 | 120.1 | 126.8 | 110.6 |
| 115 | NO | QB | Tyler Shough | -2.7 | 117.0 | 118.0 | 118.4 | 114.6 | 114.3 | 112.4 | 118.1 | 112.4 |
| 116 | BUF | TE | Dalton Kincaid | -12.8 | 117.2 | 109.0 | 117.5 | 125 | 104.4 | 99.3 | 109.3 | 104.7 |
| 117 | CAR | WR | Jalen Coker | -0.3 | 117.9 | 122.6 | 117.7 | 113.4 | 117.6 | 114.3 | 118.1 | 120.3 |
| 118 | MIN | RB | Jordan Mason | 26.9 | 118.8 | 122.5 | 120.3 | 113.6 | 145.7 | 150.4 | 147.2 | 139.5 |
| 119 | MIA | QB | Malik Willis | 11.5 | 121.1 | 120.6 | 121.9 | 120.9 | 132.6 | 134.8 | 141.2 | 121.7 |
| 120 | BUF | WR | Khalil Shakir | -9.9 | 121.3 | 118.0 | 124.2 | 121.7 | 111.4 | 108 | 115.9 | 110.4 |
- I think RB Tony Pollard (-17.1) is falling due to Jeremiyah Love draft rumors... but if the Titans trade Love it might then mean trading Pollard to a much better team. Or maybe they use the pick on a blocker, not Love, which would move Tennessee's run game a step closer to competence under a new coaching staff.
- I wish I were drafting Pollard a bit more, but I always seem to take WRs or QBs in his ADP range.
Rounds 11-12
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | GB | WR | Matthew Golden | 8.4 | 122.3 | 127.4 | 120.1 | 119.4 | 130.7 | 134 | 123 | 135.1 |
| 122 | WAS | RB | Rachaad White | 36.7 | 125.1 | 127.3 | 129.7 | 118.4 | 161.8 | 167 | 163.6 | 154.8 |
| 123 | IND | WR | Josh Downs | 27.1 | 125.2 | 127.8 | 127.7 | 120 | 152.3 | 160 | 152.9 | 144.1 |
| 124 | DAL | TE | Jake Ferguson | -4.8 | 127.2 | 126.3 | 127.5 | 127.9 | 122.4 | 123.1 | 126 | 118 |
| 125 | FA | TE | Kenyon Sadiq | 17.6 | 129.3 | 124.2 | 125.2 | 138.4 | 146.9 | 144.7 | 146.7 | 149.3 |
| 126 | HOU | WR | Jayden Higgins | -2.6 | 129.6 | 131.4 | 127.1 | 130.3 | 127 | 129.1 | 124.8 | 127.1 |
| 127 | SF | TE | George Kittle | -7.8 | 129.9 | 115.1 | 123.1 | 151.6 | 122.1 | 113.1 | 118.9 | 134.4 |
| 128 | SEA | QB | Sam Darnold | -6.6 | 130.2 | 127.3 | 129.9 | 133.4 | 123.6 | 122.2 | 123.7 | 124.8 |
| 129 | WAS | RB | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | -8.2 | 130.4 | 131.7 | 133.2 | 126.2 | 122.2 | 119.6 | 122.7 | 124.3 |
| 130 | FA | WR | Jauan Jennings | -16.6 | 131.2 | 138.1 | 127.5 | 127.9 | 114.6 | 117.3 | 112.3 | 114.3 |
| 131 | TB | WR | Jalen McMillan | 22.9 | 131.5 | 133.0 | 138.7 | 122.9 | 154.4 | 156.3 | 156.9 | 150.1 |
| 132 | FA | WR | KC Concepcion | -3.9 | 133.8 | 137.2 | 126.4 | 137.7 | 129.9 | 137.9 | 126 | 125.8 |
| 133 | FA | RB | Mike Washington | 85.8 | 134.9 | 139.6 | 134.7 | 130.5 | 220.7 | 221.2 | 216.8 | 224 |
| 134 | PHI | TE | Dallas Goedert | -9.3 | 135.0 | 125.2 | 138 | 141.9 | 125.7 | 120.4 | 131.5 | 125.3 |
| 135 | HOU | QB | C.J. Stroud | 1.9 | 136.6 | 135.3 | 135.8 | 138.6 | 138.5 | 138 | 134.9 | 142.6 |
| 136 | KC | TE | Travis Kelce | 24.3 | 137.2 | 132.6 | 141.8 | 137.2 | 161.5 | 158.5 | 161.8 | 164.3 |
| 137 | JAX | RB | Chris Rodriguez | 83.8 | 138.0 | 140.8 | 148.8 | 124.5 | 221.8 | 211.4 | 234.9 | 219.1 |
| 138 | FA | RB | Jonah Coleman | -13.4 | 138.2 | 147.3 | 123.5 | 143.8 | 124.8 | 128.4 | 116.7 | 129.2 |
| 139 | NYG | TE | Isaiah Likely | 34.9 | 138.6 | 136.3 | 147.4 | 132.1 | 173.5 | 169.4 | 173.5 | 177.5 |
| 140 | MIN | RB | Aaron Jones | 19.6 | 140.0 | 141.1 | 144.8 | 134 | 159.6 | 161.3 | 163 | 154.5 |
| 141 | IND | QB | Daniel Jones | 14.6 | 140.8 | 140.4 | 147.5 | 134.5 | 155.4 | 151.9 | 155.4 | 158.9 |
| 142 | SEA | RB | Zach Charbonnet | 16.9 | 141.6 | 116.4 | 144.8 | 163.5 | 158.5 | 142.3 | 157.7 | 175.6 |
| 143 | CAR | QB | Bryce Young | -7.8 | 142.7 | 142.3 | 146.8 | 139 | 134.9 | 133.3 | 138.3 | 133.1 |
| 144 | JAX | TE | Brenton Strange | -14.6 | 143.8 | 143.7 | 145.1 | 142.7 | 129.2 | 126.8 | 133.6 | 127.2 |
- Rookie RB Mike Washington (+85.8) and Jaguars RB Chris Rodriguez (+83.8) are the top two ADP risers in terms of raw number of spots.
- Of course, it's much easier to go from 210 to 130 than it is from 130 to 50. In terms of true value gain, I'd say that RB David Montgomery (+58.2) has risen the most (from Round 10 to Round 5).
- I like Rodriguez more than I like Washington, but neither is high on my list of targets at the current top-140 price. I prefer Vikings RB Aaron Jones (+19.6) and rookie RB Jonah Coleman (-13.4) in the same ADP range when looking for RB help.
Rounds 13-14
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | TEN | QB | Cam Ward | -1.0 | 145.0 | 149.3 | 141.1 | 144.6 | 144 | 142.7 | 143.8 | 145.6 |
| 146 | NYG | RB | Tyrone Tracy | -19.6 | 146.0 | 154.5 | 142.9 | 140.5 | 126.4 | 131.1 | 130.4 | 117.7 |
| 147 | FA | WR | Stefon Diggs | -52.2 | 146.2 | 144.5 | 139.5 | 154.6 | 94 | 99.6 | 91.4 | 91 |
| 148 | FA | WR | Denzel Boston | -29.6 | 146.6 | 153.4 | 134.1 | 152.2 | 117 | 125.6 | 106.9 | 118.5 |
| 149 | SEA | WR | Rashid Shaheed | 2.9 | 147.0 | 149.8 | 139.5 | 151.6 | 149.9 | 156.8 | 140.6 | 152.3 |
| 150 | FA | QB | Fernando Mendoza | -14.2 | 148.5 | 147.2 | 147.2 | 151.2 | 134.3 | 130 | 133.6 | 139.2 |
| 151 | NO | TE | Juwan Johnson | -10.4 | 150.6 | 147.6 | 154.6 | 149.5 | 140.2 | 135.2 | 146 | 139.4 |
| 152 | ARI | QB | Jacoby Brissett | 31.2 | 151.2 | 152.2 | 160.1 | 141.3 | 182.4 | 180.3 | 191.1 | 175.7 |
| 153 | BAL | TE | Mark Andrews | 2.2 | 152.2 | 151.4 | 149.3 | 155.9 | 154.4 | 154.7 | 151.6 | 156.9 |
| 154 | CAR | RB | Jonathon Brooks | 14.7 | 153.7 | 158.9 | 154.8 | 147.4 | 168.4 | 169.4 | 164.1 | 171.6 |
| 155 | LAC | RB | Keaton Mitchell | 41.9 | 153.9 | 160.0 | 159.8 | 141.9 | 195.8 | 200.6 | 198.2 | 188.6 |
| 156 | ARI | RB | James Conner | -12.6 | 155.2 | 156.2 | 158.2 | 151.2 | 142.6 | 142.5 | 140.7 | 144.6 |
| 157 | FA | WR | Omar Cooper | 30.5 | 155.7 | 161.4 | 151.3 | 154.4 | 186.2 | 190.1 | 184.8 | 183.6 |
| 158 | HOU | RB | Woody Marks | -40.6 | 156.8 | 151.0 | 158.1 | 161.4 | 116.2 | 110.7 | 121.2 | 116.7 |
| 159 | FA | WR | Deebo Samuel | -26.3 | 157.9 | 165.3 | 153.3 | 155.2 | 131.6 | 132 | 128.7 | 134 |
| 160 | JAX | WR | Travis Hunter | -2.9 | 158.3 | 154.9 | 154.2 | 165.9 | 155.4 | 151 | 149.9 | 165.2 |
| 161 | SF | WR | Brandon Aiyuk | -12.8 | 159.5 | 159.5 | 152.7 | 166.2 | 146.7 | 148.8 | 142.6 | 148.7 |
| 162 | NE | TE | Hunter Henry | -10.4 | 161.2 | 157.0 | 160.7 | 165.8 | 150.8 | 147.7 | 154.4 | 150.3 |
| 163 | FA | WR | Tyreek Hill | -30.9 | 161.7 | 150.1 | 166.9 | 168.2 | 130.8 | 116.9 | 145.6 | 130 |
| 164 | WAS | TE | Chig Okonkwo | 66.3 | 161.9 | 161.9 | 167.6 | 156.2 | 228.2 | 225.3 | 231 | 228.3 |
| 165 | SEA | RB | Emanuel Wilson | 46.9 | 162.1 | 164.5 | 171.8 | 149.9 | 209 | 215.3 | 204.3 | 207.4 |
| 166 | CLE | WR | Jerry Jeudy | -0.2 | 163.7 | 168.7 | 161.7 | 160.6 | 163.5 | 167.9 | 159.9 | 162.6 |
| 167 | DET | RB | Isiah Pacheco | 63.2 | 166.1 | 163.4 | 169.9 | 165 | 229.3 | 224 | 233.6 | 230.2 |
| 168 | NE | WR | Kayshon Boutte | -13.7 | 168.9 | 165.8 | 167.4 | 173.4 | 155.2 | 152.1 | 151.2 | 162.4 |
- I understand the opportunity that people are chasing with Seahawks RB Emanuel Wilson (+46.9) and Lions RB Isiah Pacheco (+63.2), but both settled for one-year contracts worth less than $2 million, which means they may end up on the roster bubble if/when their new teams make other backfield moves.
- Does anyone really think that Wilson and Pacheco are better than replacement level, anyway?
Rounds 15-16
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | TEN | RB | Tyjae Spears | -19.6 | 170.6 | 174.6 | 171.4 | 165.7 | 151 | 149.8 | 158.2 | 145.1 |
| 170 | FA | RB | Emmett Johnson | -40.9 | 171.8 | 176.0 | 164.1 | 175.2 | 130.9 | 139.1 | 128 | 125.5 |
| 171 | NYJ | QB | Geno Smith | 61.5 | 172.5 | 171.5 | 175.7 | 170.3 | 234 | 224.4 | 237.7 | 240 |
| 172 | MIN | TE | T.J. Hockenson | 16.9 | 172.8 | 172.6 | 175.4 | 170.3 | 189.7 | 187.5 | 187.2 | 194.4 |
| 173 | TEN | WR | Calvin Ridley | 8.9 | 175.1 | 178.0 | 172.9 | 174.4 | 184 | 183.4 | 172.3 | 196.3 |
| 174 | DET | WR | Isaac TeSlaa | 5.0 | 175.4 | 175.3 | 173.5 | 177.3 | 180.4 | 178 | 183.5 | 179.7 |
| 175 | LV | WR | Jalen Nailor | 58.0 | 175.4 | 179.2 | 178.7 | 168.3 | 233.4 | 228.9 | 238.8 | 232.5 |
| 176 | CLE | RB | Dylan Sampson | 2.9 | 176.6 | 179.7 | 182.2 | 167.8 | 179.5 | 179.8 | 183.3 | 175.5 |
| 177 | SEA | TE | AJ Barner | -8.6 | 176.9 | 171.0 | 171.9 | 187.9 | 168.3 | 161.1 | 167.8 | 175.9 |
| 178 | NYJ | WR | Adonai Mitchell | 4.2 | 177.5 | 182.5 | 171.6 | 178.3 | 181.7 | 188.4 | 179.2 | 177.4 |
| 179 | HOU | TE | Dalton Schultz | 5.1 | 177.5 | 171.6 | 177 | 184 | 182.6 | 175.5 | 186.2 | 186.1 |
| 180 | HOU | WR | Tank Dell | -6.5 | 180.7 | 174.0 | 178.7 | 189.5 | 174.2 | 172.5 | 175.1 | 175.1 |
| 181 | LAC | WR | Tre' Harris | -3.9 | 183.3 | 190.9 | 182.2 | 176.8 | 179.4 | 183.8 | 181.4 | 173 |
| 182 | FA | TE | Eli Stowers | 29.8 | 184.4 | 186.0 | 186.9 | 180.4 | 214.2 | 214.8 | 219.8 | 208 |
| 183 | NO | RB | Alvin Kamara | -37.7 | 185.7 | 180.6 | 188.7 | 187.7 | 148 | 146.7 | 148.7 | 148.6 |
| 184 | PHI | RB | Tank Bigsby | 6.2 | 187.2 | 192.2 | 188.1 | 181.4 | 193.4 | 202.7 | 192.3 | 185.3 |
| 185 | TEN | WR | Chimere Dike | -25.3 | 188.7 | 189.1 | 186.8 | 190.2 | 163.4 | 164.7 | 173.2 | 152.4 |
| 186 | FA | TE | David Njoku | -12.5 | 189.3 | 189.7 | 187.1 | 191.1 | 176.8 | 177.1 | 177.6 | 175.8 |
| 187 | ATL | QB | Tua Tagovailoa | 38.9 | 191.2 | 185.6 | 200.9 | 187.2 | 230.1 | 223.3 | 234.3 | 232.6 |
| 188 | DEN | WR | Troy Franklin | -28.7 | 191.6 | 194.3 | 193.7 | 186.9 | 162.9 | 163.8 | 163.8 | 161.1 |
| 189 | ARI | RB | Trey Benson | -51.6 | 192.3 | 184.8 | 183.1 | 208.9 | 140.7 | 135.1 | 137 | 150 |
| 190 | MIA | WR | Malik Washington | 27.4 | 192.9 | 197.3 | 196.4 | 185.1 | 220.3 | 219.6 | 221.3 | 219.9 |
| 191 | SF | WR | Christian Kirk | 37.1 | 193.3 | 190.4 | 200.1 | 189.5 | 230.4 | 224.3 | 236.9 | 230 |
| 192 | NYG | WR | Darnell Mooney | 26.0 | 193.7 | 195.5 | 191.7 | 194 | 219.7 | 224 | 215.6 | 219.6 |
- New Raiders wideout Jalen Nailor (+58.0) had strong per-target numbers but an extremely low target rate during his tenure as Minnesota's No. 3 receiver. He's now joining perhaps the most WR-needy team in the league, and on a three-year, $35 million contract that includes $18 million guaranteed.
- The Raiders likely will add more help in the draft, but Nailor nonetheless appears locked into a starting job. Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty will be the volume hogs in this offense, so it could be a situation where the "WR1" (possibly Nailor?) falls shy of triple-digit targets. The returning "competition" at WR consists of Tre Tucker, Jack Bech and Dont'e Thornton.
Rounds 17-18
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193 | LV | WR | Tre Tucker | -13.3 | 193.7 | 195.2 | 191.4 | 194.6 | 180.4 | 188 | 184.4 | 168.7 |
| 194 | DEN | WR | Pat Bryant | -39.5 | 194.8 | 192.2 | 187.2 | 204.9 | 155.3 | 154.1 | 156.8 | 155.1 |
| 195 | LAC | RB | Kimani Vidal | -22.3 | 194.8 | 193.9 | 194.8 | 195.6 | 172.5 | 173.6 | 176.5 | 167.4 |
| 196 | TB | TE | Cade Otton | 14.8 | 195.8 | 196.1 | 198 | 193.4 | 210.6 | 207.2 | 211.4 | 213.1 |
| 197 | TB | RB | Sean Tucker | -27.3 | 197.5 | 205.7 | 181.8 | 205.1 | 170.2 | 181.3 | 167.1 | 162.2 |
| 198 | FA | RB | Brian Robinson | -7.0 | 198.8 | 209.9 | 200.3 | 186.1 | 191.8 | 193.7 | 187.8 | 193.8 |
| 199 | NYJ | RB | Braelon Allen | -37.2 | 198.9 | 198.2 | 198.3 | 200.2 | 161.7 | 163.9 | 162.2 | 159 |
| 200 | NYJ | TE | Mason Taylor | 2.4 | 199.2 | 196.9 | 194.9 | 205.8 | 201.6 | 196.4 | 203.6 | 204.7 |
| 201 | DAL | WR | Ryan Flournoy | -2.1 | 200.1 | 208.9 | 207.3 | 184.2 | 198 | 201.7 | 206.9 | 185.4 |
| 202 | TEN | TE | Gunnar Helm | -1.6 | 200.8 | 202.2 | 201.5 | 198.6 | 199.2 | 201.1 | 199.6 | 197 |
| 203 | FA | RB | Nicholas Singleton | -6.3 | 202.4 | 202.2 | 199.1 | 205.9 | 196.1 | 198.8 | 192.1 | 197.4 |
| 204 | BUF | RB | Ray Davis | 12.7 | 205.1 | 213.5 | 209.5 | 192.4 | 217.8 | 221.7 | 206 | 225.6 |
| 205 | SEA | WR | Tory Horton | -16.6 | 205.7 | 205.6 | 208.7 | 202.7 | 189.1 | 191.5 | 194.3 | 181.4 |
| 206 | FA | QB | Aaron Rodgers | 2.3 | 206.2 | 206.4 | 210.3 | 201.8 | 208.5 | 210.1 | 211.8 | 203.6 |
| 207 | ATL | QB | Michael Penix | -34.6 | 206.9 | 200.1 | 208 | 212.5 | 172.3 | 171.7 | 169.2 | 176 |
| 208 | FA | WR | Elijah Sarratt | -22.1 | 207.9 | 207.8 | 204.3 | 211.5 | 185.8 | 186 | 178.2 | 193.3 |
| 209 | PHI | WR | Hollywood Brown | 24.3 | 209.9 | 210.2 | 216.3 | 203.1 | 234.2 | 228.5 | 238.3 | 235.8 |
| 210 | LAR | TE | Terrance Ferguson | -19.6 | 210.3 | 212.4 | 207.5 | 210.9 | 190.7 | 192.2 | 188.8 | 191 |
| 211 | FA | RB | Kaytron Allen | -30.0 | 211.4 | 211.2 | 201.5 | 221.5 | 181.4 | 186.4 | 174.7 | 183.2 |
| 212 | LAR | TE | Colby Parkinson | -17.5 | 211.7 | 189.8 | 226.7 | 218.7 | 194.2 | 179.4 | 200.5 | 202.8 |
| 213 | PIT | TE | Pat Freiermuth | 6.4 | 212.2 | 216.7 | 210.5 | 209.3 | 218.6 | 219.8 | 219.9 | 216.2 |
| 214 | CLE | QB | Shedeur Sanders | -10.7 | 212.8 | 198.1 | 224.4 | 215.8 | 202.1 | 191.6 | 201.8 | 213 |
| 215 | SEA | RB | George Holani | 16.6 | 215.4 | 218.4 | 217.4 | 210.4 | 232 | 226.2 | 239.6 | 230.2 |
| 216 | FA | WR | Zachariah Branch | -6.5 | 216.4 | 221.0 | 212.9 | 215.3 | 209.9 | 208 | 197.2 | 224.6 |
- Mentioned in Mario Puig's recent article on late-round targets, Bills RB Ray Davis now looks like a bargain on DraftKings and Underdog. He's caught steam on Drafters, moving into the Top 200, but that hasn't happened on the other two sites, for whatever reason. I'm not reaching for Davis, necessarily, just drafting him a good bit when he's available in Rounds 18-19.
Rounds 19-20
| ΔAVG | Avg ADP 3/25 | DK 3/25 | UD 3/25 | DR 3/25 | Avg ADP 2/23 | DK 2/23 | UD 2/23 | DR 2/23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 | SF | TE | Jake Tonges | -3.0 | 217.3 | 213.8 | 216.6 | 221.6 | 214.3 | 204.6 | 216.8 | 221.4 |
| 218 | FA | WR | Chris Brazzell | 2.9 | 217.3 | 216.7 | 214.2 | 221.1 | 220.2 | 218.6 | 215.9 | 226.1 |
| 219 | TEN | WR | Elic Ayomanor | -23.4 | 217.5 | 218.3 | 219.3 | 214.9 | 194.1 | 196.6 | 195.5 | 190.3 |
| 220 | MIA | RB | Ollie Gordon | 8.5 | 219.9 | 223.4 | 220.8 | 215.6 | 228.4 | 226.3 | 230 | 228.9 |
| 221 | NO | WR | Devaughn Vele | -9.1 | 220.9 | 220.9 | 223.9 | 217.9 | 211.8 | 210.5 | 223.7 | 201.2 |
| 222 | FA | WR | Germie Bernard | 4.3 | 221.1 | 224.3 | 219.8 | 219.1 | 225.4 | 227.4 | 232.5 | 216.3 |
| 223 | KC | RB | Emari Demercado | 18.9 | 221.1 | 220.7 | 233.8 | 208.8 | 240 | 240 | 240 | 240 |
| 224 | KC | QB | Justin Fields | 11.1 | 222.0 | 216.4 | 229.5 | 220.2 | 233.1 | 226.3 | 239.6 | 233.3 |
| 225 | NYG | TE | Theo Johnson | -53.4 | 222.5 | 211.2 | 230.2 | 226 | 169.1 | 165.9 | 171 | 170.4 |
| 226 | DAL | RB | Jaydon Blue | -5.1 | 223.8 | 224.3 | 228.7 | 218.5 | 218.7 | 218.4 | 223.2 | 214.5 |
| 227 | MIA | WR | Jalen Tolbert | 15.9 | 224.1 | 222.9 | 234.2 | 215.1 | 240 | 240 | 240 | 240 |
| 228 | FA | RB | Najee Harris | -5.0 | 224.4 | 223.8 | 230.4 | 218.9 | 219.4 | 220 | 222.8 | 215.4 |
| 229 | SEA | WR | Cooper Kupp | -7.1 | 224.5 | 215.1 | 229.2 | 229.1 | 217.4 | 208.2 | 215.2 | 228.9 |
| 230 | FA | QB | Ty Simpson | -0.9 | 225.0 | 219.7 | 232.6 | 222.8 | 224.1 | 220.9 | 232.2 | 219.3 |
| 231 | NE | WR | Kyle Williams | -5.9 | 225.1 | 226.7 | 223.6 | 225 | 219.2 | 225.5 | 219.3 | 212.7 |
| 232 | MIA | TE | Greg Dulcich | 13.5 | 226.5 | 224.8 | 234.7 | 219.9 | 240 | 240 | 240 | 240 |
| 233 | FA | RB | Demond Claiborne | -7.6 | 227.1 | 227.6 | 227.1 | 226.5 | 219.5 | 225.3 | 226.6 | 206.7 |
| 234 | CIN | TE | Mike Gesicki | 4.7 | 227.6 | 226.4 | 231.8 | 224.6 | 232.3 | 226.8 | 235.9 | 234.3 |
| 235 | HOU | WR | Jaylin Noel | -1.4 | 227.7 | 229.7 | 231.5 | 221.9 | 226.3 | 228 | 228.5 | 222.4 |
| 236 | TB | WR | Tez Johnson | 4.8 | 227.9 | 228.6 | 230.6 | 224.6 | 232.7 | 228.3 | 237.5 | 232.2 |
| 237 | CLE | QB | Deshaun Watson | 8.3 | 227.9 | 225.3 | 238 | 220.5 | 236.2 | 229.3 | 239.3 | 240 |
| 238 | FA | WR | Keenan Allen | -6.5 | 228.1 | 227.0 | 236.9 | 220.5 | 221.6 | 217.8 | 228.7 | 218.3 |
| 239 | FA | WR | Ja'Kobi Lane | -6.6 | 228.2 | 227.6 | 227.9 | 229.1 | 221.6 | 223.5 | 214.5 | 226.9 |
| 240 | GB | WR | Dontayvion Wicks | 1.3 | 228.3 | 227.4 | 232 | 225.5 | 229.6 | 228.6 | 238.4 | 221.7 |
| 241 | MIN | QB | J.J. McCarthy | -42.6 | 228.3 | 220.4 | 238.4 | 226.2 | 185.7 | 176.2 | 189 | 192 |
| 242 | SF | RB | Jordan James | -2.1 | 228.7 | 227.1 | 236.2 | 222.8 | 226.6 | 228.3 | 233 | 218.5 |
| 243 | NE | WR | Mack Hollins | -8.3 | 228.8 | 219.0 | 238.8 | 228.7 | 220.5 | 203.8 | 238.6 | 219.1 |
| 244 | DEN | WR | Marvin Mims | -29.3 | 229.5 | 223.9 | 237.4 | 227.2 | 200.2 | 198.5 | 204.9 | 197.3 |
| 245 | DEN | TE | Evan Engram | -0.4 | 229.6 | 228.2 | 236.3 | 224.4 | 229.2 | 228 | 235.7 | 223.8 |
| 246 | BAL | RB | Justice Hill | 5.2 | 229.9 | 226.3 | 232.6 | 230.7 | 235.1 | 240 | 239.9 | 225.5 |
| 247 | PIT | RB | Kaleb Johnson | -13.0 | 229.9 | 225.6 | 238.9 | 225.3 | 216.9 | 222.7 | 209.8 | 218.3 |
| 248 | NO | RB | Devin Neal | -18.0 | 230.6 | 224.3 | 239.6 | 228 | 212.6 | 197.2 | 227.7 | 213 |
| 249 | FA | RB | Joe Mixon | -50.2 | 230.7 | 221.4 | 236.8 | 234 | 180.5 | 176.9 | 181.5 | 183.1 |
| 250 | MIA | RB | Jaylen Wright | 3.1 | 230.8 | 228.1 | 236.5 | 227.7 | 233.9 | 231 | 239 | 231.7 |
| 251 | BUF | WR | Keon Coleman | -23.5 | 230.9 | 225.8 | 232.9 | 233.9 | 207.4 | 214.3 | 201.7 | 206.1 |
| 252 | KC | RB | Brashard Smith | -24.8 | 235.3 | 226.8 | 239 | 240 | 210.5 | 210.3 | 213.6 | 207.6 |
| 253 | FA | WR | Malachi Fields | -15.8 | 236.9 | 231.6 | 239.1 | 240 | 221.1 | 223 | 224 | 216.4 |
- I'm glad people have finally realized that Joe Mixon (foot) probably isn't playing in the NFL again. Not quite sure what's going on there, but it doesn't seem great.
