Lenovo Grand Prix du Canada
Location: Montreal, Canada
Course: Circuit Gilles Villeneuve
Course Length: 4.36km
Laps: 70
Lenovo Grand Prix du Canada Preview
Mercedes remains the only constructor with a race victory this season, which lines up with preseason expectations. The fact that Kimi Antonelli has opened a 20-point lead over veteran teammate George Russell comes as a significant surprise, and has even called into question Russell's future with the team. McLaren is the team that looks to be in the best position to challenge Mercedes, as they tallied a double-podium in Miami.
Williams is the midfield team that seemed to benefit from the long break in between the Japanese and Miami Grand Prix's, as they managed to shed weight while scoring their first double-points finish of the year. The midfield has remained far more fluid than the top of the field, so projecting that portion of the field will be the key to the weekend.
Key Stats at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve
- Races: 44
- Winners from pole: 22
- Winners from top-5 starters: 37
- Winners from top-10 starters: 44
Previous 10 Canadian Grand Prix Winners
2025- George Russell
2024 – Max Verstappen
2023 - Max Verstappen
2022 - Max Verstappen
2019 - Lewis Hamilton
2018 - Sebastian Vettel
2017 - Lewis Hamilton
2016 - Lewis Hamilton
2015 - Lewis Hamilton
2014 - Daniel Ricciardo
Circuit Gilles Villeneuve is used exclusively for the F1 race each year, making it a track that begins with little grip but ramps up as the weekend progresses. As it rubbers in, lap times should improve, meaning timing runs correctly during qualifying will be a key to a strong starting grid position. One new element to this year's edition is that there will be a sprint race in the Canadian Grand Prix for the first time.
Due to a 2024 repaving project, the stress on the tire is relatively low, so teams are being sent with the softest three compounds. Historically, this has been a Mercedes and Red Bull track, so McLaren will look to challenge for its first win in Canada in many years.
RotoWire Formula 1 DFS Tools
DRAFTKINGS VALUE PICKS for the Lenovo Grand Prix du Canada
Based on Standard $50K Salary Cap
DraftKings Tier 1 Values
Kimi Antonelli - $14.000
George Russell - $13,600
Lando Norris- $11,000
Oscar Piastri - $10,000
DraftKings Tier 2 Values
Charles Leclerc- $9,400
Lewis Hamilton - $8,400
DraftKings Tier 3 Values
Pierre Gasly - $6,000
Oliver Bearman - $5,800
Carlos Sainz Jr. - $5,200
DraftKings Tier 4 Values
Gabriel Bortoleto - $4,600
Arvid Lindblad-$4,400
Sergio Perez- $3,600
DraftKings Constructor Values
Mercedes - $14,700
McLaren -$12,700
Haas - $3,900
Racing Bulls - $3,700
Alpine- $3,500
Williams-$3,300
Optimal DraftKings Lineup for the Canadian Grand Prix
Captain – George Russell - $20,400
Oscar Piastri - $10,000
Pierre Gasly- $6,000
Carlos Sainz Jr. - $5,200
Arvid Lindblad- $4,400
Constructor - Racing Bulls - $3,700
The outlook of a season can change very quickly, so it's too early to call this a make-or-break weekend for Russell. However, there's no doubt that pressure is increasing as he continues to lose out to Antonelli. Russell should respond. He has typically fared well in Canada, qualifying on pole before winning last season while grabbing one of his four podiums at the circuit in 2024. I'd expect this to be the weekend he halts Antonelli's momentum.
The top of the field remains pretty well set, with McLaren looking to be the most significant competitor for Mercedes. Norris looks to have more momentum of the two Papaya drivers, but both should be in consideration pending qualifying results.
Qualifying and form during the sprint portion of the weekend will be particularly important in the midfield. Williams seems to have used the unplanned break between Japan and Miami well, cutting weight and easily having their best weekend of the year. Sainz has clearly been in better form of the two, so he'd be the driver to choose, barring a decisive qualifying win from Albon.
Bearman vs Gasly is an interesting choice because everything is very similar between the duo. They have relatively competitive cars in the midfield, consistently beat their teammates, and are priced within $200 of each other. One will almost certainly be a mainstay in lineups, but I'd let earlier sessions dictate my choice before locking in my lineup.
Racing Bulls is the other fairly competitive midfield team with Lawson and Lindblad matching up fairly evenly with each other. The hope would be that Lindblad out-qualifies Lawson, because there's a $1,000 discrepancy in price.
As has been the case this season, the pricing setup requires paying down either at Constructor or Captain. I opted for the former in this case, but it could be worth swapping that if qualifying is particularly competitive.
Formula 1 Betting Picks for the Lenovo Grand Prix du Canada
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook as of 12:30 AM ET Saturday
Sprint Winner – George Russell (-135)
Race Winner – George Russell (+140)
Nationality of Winner – British (-135)
Odds were briefly removed from the market during FP1 and qualifying, so there's some sample to work with. Most of what has been discussed throughout this article came to fruition, with Mercedes pacing the field. McLaren was second, but Ferrari was competitive with them. All of that can be boiled down to Mercedes remaining the favorite to have another strong weekend.
That makes for a relatively straightforward, yet boring, best bets section. The one interesting bet is the "Nationality of Winner," because it does also incorporate a surprise performance from Norris in case Mercedes stumbles.
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