Spencer Strider

Spencer Strider

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Strider's 2025 was a harsh lesson in how recency bias can impact a fantasy team. Strider entered the season coming off an internal brace surgery, which is still a rather nascent operation for major league pitchers. Our outlook for Strider last year outlined the lack of sample size for such pitchers in their first year back from this specific surgery, noting no pitcher had even 60 innings that season. The good news for Strider is he more than doubled that stat by working 125.1 innings in 2025, but that is where the good news ends. Strider was hitting triple-digits in the spring in short stints, and fantasy managers acted accordingly, drafting him as high as 25th overall and making him the 33rd pitcher off the board in Rotowire Online Championship drafts. Yet, Strider's in-season velocity was down two miles an hour from where he was presurgery in 2023, and his numbers suffered accordingly. His strikeout rate dropped from 36.8 percent to 24.3 percent while the league hit .258 against him after hitting .210 against him prior to his surgery. Offseason reports have him working to improve his velocity after reworking his pitch mix, but the key to him rediscovering that form will be sustaining that velocity beyond North Port, Florida in 2026. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#114
ADP
Signed a six-year, $70 million contract with Atlanta in October of 2022. Contract includes $22 million team option ($5 million buyout) for 2029.
Shaky control in season debut
PAtlanta Braves
May 3, 2026
Strider (oblique) did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing three runs on four hits and five walks over 3.1 innings against the Rockies. He struck out six.
Analysis
Strider made his first start of the season after opening on the injured list with a left oblique strain and struggled to consistently find the zone, throwing 48 of 87 pitches for strikes and issuing five free passes. It wasn't a strong outing for the right-hander, who also allowed a homer to TJ Rumfield in the third inning, but Strider did strike out six and simply being back on a big-league mound is a step in the right direction. After posting a 4.45 ERA and 1.40 WHIP with a 131:51 K:BB across 125.1 regular-season innings (23 starts) in 2025, the 27-year-old is looking to return closer to his form from 2022 and 2023 prior to injuries. Strider is tentatively scheduled to start Saturday against the Dodgers, though how Atlanta manages his workload will be worth monitoring.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Spencer Strider generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Spencer Strider generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2026
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .274 323 71 37 76 14 2 14
Since 2024vs Right .249 277 78 24 62 17 0 9
2026vs Left .300 15 5 5 3 0 1 1
2026vs Right .250 4 1 0 1 0 0 0
2025vs Left .270 287 61 30 67 13 1 11
2025vs Right .251 252 70 21 57 16 0 9
2024vs Left .316 21 5 2 6 1 0 2
2024vs Right .222 21 7 3 4 1 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2026
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-68%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 5.01 1.55 64.2 3 8 0 10.4 3.3 1.8
Since 2024Away 4.44 1.36 73.0 4 6 0 9.1 4.6 1.2
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 8.10 2.70 3.1 0 0 0 16.2 13.5 2.7
2025Home 4.60 1.48 60.2 3 8 0 10.5 3.1 1.8
2025Away 4.31 1.31 64.2 4 6 0 8.4 4.2 1.1
2024Home 11.25 2.50 4.0 0 0 0 9.0 6.8 2.3
2024Away 3.60 1.00 5.0 0 0 0 14.4 3.6 1.8
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Stat Review
How does Spencer Strider compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.20
 
K/9
16.2
 
BB/9
13.5
 
HR/9
2.7
 
Fastball
94.7 mph
 
ERA
8.10
 
WHIP
2.70
 
BABIP
.469
 
GB/FB
0.25
 
Left On Base
78.9%
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.2%
 
Spin Rate
2355 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.8%
 
Swinging Strike
12.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Spencer Strider See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Strider's 2024 season lasted all of nine innings when a bone fragment cut into his UCL and attempted to undo the repairs done by his 2019 Tommy John surgery. The good news is that this injury was not a complete tear, so Dr. Keith Meister was able to use the internal brace procedure to repair it in mid-April. The most recent pitcher to come back from this procedure was Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen who had his surgery in late July 2023 and returned in 2024 to pitch rather effectively, albeit for just 36 innings between Triple-A and the big leagues. Bryan Woo had the surgery in early April of 2021 and worked just under 60 innings at the lower levels of the minor leagues in 2022. The simple fact is we do not know how much Strider will be able to pitch in 2025. The internal brace procedure has a shorter recovery time than full Tommy John surgery, but someone being back on the mound and being back to their presurgery level of performance are two different matters. The risk/reward here is tremendous, but drafting Strider as a staff ace and then potentially seeing him work below 100 innings in 2025 would have trickle-down effects to many fantasy rosters. We've yet to see a starting pitcher have this surgery and resume a presurgery workload the following season. Perhaps Strider will be the first, but don't count on it.
Strider led the National League in wins, strikeouts, and FIP, and would have won the NL Cy Young Award if not for that meddling lefty in San Diego. It was an incredible season of work for the talented pitcher out of Clemson, so when things are *this* good, we should look at how things could go in a different direction because it is more likely to happen than Strider continuing to ascent at such a rapid rate given there isn't much else he can do better than what he has done thus far. Strider just saw his workload increase 49% year over year when you factor in his postseason work from each of the past two seasons, and that happened at the age of 24. Recent names who threw at least 180 innings at such a young age include McKenzie and Manoah in 2022 and Urias in 2021. Urias did just fine the next season but the other two certainly had issues. The list is longer than space permits in this recap, but the odds lean to Strider backsliding a bit in fantasy value for 2024.
Strider took the baseball world by storm in the second half of 2022, going 7-2 with a 2.20 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 88:15 K:BB over his final 57.1 innings spanning 10 starts. A left oblique strain knocked him out for the final couple weeks of the regular season, but Strider returned to make a short start in the NLDS. Drafted in the fourth round by Atlanta in 2020, Strider generated a little buzz as a prospect though he didn't make the rotation initially out of spring training. He made his first career MLB start on Memorial Day and it didn't take long for him to solidify his spot among the starting five. The right-hander lights up the radar gun at 98 mph on average and his slider is a devastating swing-and-miss pitch. Strider finished as the NL Rookie of the Year runner up and earned himself a long-term deal in the process. He's already a strikeout machine at 24 years young, and if the changeup comes along, watch out.
More Fantasy News
Activated for 2026 MLB debut
PAtlanta Braves
May 3, 2026
Atlanta reinstated Strider (oblique) from the 15-day injured list to start Sunday's game at Colorado.
Analysis
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Making season debut Sunday
PAtlanta Braves
Oblique
April 29, 2026
Strider (oblique) will return from the 15-day injured list to start Sunday's game against the Rockies at Coors Field, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
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Rejoining rotation this weekend
PAtlanta Braves
Oblique
April 28, 2026
Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Tuesday that Strider (oblique) will be activated from the 15-day injured list to make his season debut this weekend in Colorado, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
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Not starting this weekend
PAtlanta Braves
Oblique
April 28, 2026
Strider (oblique) isn't expected to be activated from the 15-day injured list to make his season debut this weekend in Colorado and could instead continue his rehab in the minor leagues, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.
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Piles up seven Ks in rehab start
PAtlanta Braves
Oblique
April 27, 2026
Strider (oblique) struck out seven and allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks across five innings Sunday in a rehab start for Triple-A Gwinnett.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Using slider more this season
PAtlanta Braves
April 30, 2023
Strider, who is scheduled to start Game 1 of Monday's doubleheader against the Mets after two straight postponements, has increased the usage of his slider to 34.9 percent through his first five outings of 2023, per David O'Brien of The Athletic.
Analysis
The right-hander's fastball usage is down slightly to 59.1 percent, but he remains reliant on those two pitches. A two-pitch mix is usually a major limitation for starting pitchers, but Strider continues to dominate with a 1.80 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 49:11 K:BB over 30 innings after he finished 2022 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in just 131.2 frames. The 24-year-old also has a changeup he throws 4.3 percent of the time, but there's no real need to further rely on the tertiary pitch while his first two offerings are so dominant.
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