We have just three total games on tap Thursday, and we're honing in on the two National League contests that serve as the nightcaps. We highlight three of our favorite PrizePicks selections below:
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Ronald Acuna, ATL at ARI: More Than 0.5 Hits
Acuna is one of several Atlanta bats that have gotten off to slow starts in the early going, but we're focusing on a very reachable prop for him Thursday. Acuna is just 3-for-20 with one extra-base hit (a double) across his first 26 plate appearance, clearly an outlier given his outstanding career body of work. Acuna has been partly done in by a .200 BABIP in that sample, a figure that's bound to rise given he's never posted a figure lower than .302 in that category in his career.
Acuna is also sporting a .266 xBA and .526 xSLG, so the way the ball's coming off his bat clearly portends that better fortune is imminent. The starting pitcher matchup doesn't line up too poorly for him either, as the Diamondbacks' Ryne Nelson gave up a pair of homers over 4.2 innings to the Dodgers in his first start of the season, while 12 of the 17 homers he gave up last season came off the bats of right-handed hitters.
Finally, it's worth noting Acuna has raked at Chase Field throughout his career, posting a .345 average and 1.065 OPS across 13 games there.
Corbin Carroll, ARI vs. ATL: More Than 0.5 Total Bases
We'll turn to another talented hitter on the other side of the Atlanta-Diamondbacks matchup in Carroll, who's gotten his quest for a resurgent 2026 season off to a good start following back-to-back generally underwhelming campaigns. Carroll boasts a .333 average and 1.162 OPS across his first 25 plate appearances, lacing four of his first seven knocks for extra bases in the process.
The lefty-swinging outfielder has at least one hit in all but one of his first six games as well, so he certainly comes in with some momentum. The matchup against Atlanta starter Reynaldo Lopez isn't a cakewalk by any stretch, but Carroll is unsurprisingly thriving in opposite-handed matchups early on as evidenced by his .385 average and 1.284 OPS across a small 16-plate-appearance sample. He also produced a .918 OPS against righties across 441 PAs in 2025, and he posted 111 total bases over 215 against right-handed pitching at home specifically.
Lopez has given up a .263 BAA, .335 wOBA and 73 extra-base hits (out of 197 total) to left-handed hitters on the road in his career as well, which further makes the case for Carroll's prop.
Robbie Ray, SFG vs. NYM: More Than 16.5 Pitching Outs
The Giants and Mets throw southpaws at each other Thursday, with David Peterson on the bump for the visitors against Ray. We'll focus on the home hurler in this instance, as Ray seemed to hit his stride at Oracle Park last season following a rocky debut campaign there in 2024. The veteran lefty pitched to a solid 8.9 K/9 and modest 0.8 HR/9 across 92.2 innings in the spacious stadium, allowing just a .297 wOBA in that sample as well.
Ray went an average of 5.7 innings in his 32 starts last season, recording least 17 outs in 19 of them. He went 5.1 innings in his 2026 debut against the Yankees on Friday, and he produced a 2.13 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 0.7 HR/9 across 12.2 innings versus the Mets in two starts last season. Ray has enjoyed plenty of success against current Mets bats in his career, holding them to a collective .183 average and .553 OPS while posting a 22:3 K:BB across 85 total plate appearances.
The Mets are averaging just under 4.0 runs per game thus far and have a modest 3.7 implied team total for Thursday, so banking on Ray to hang in there with some efficient work and get to at least 5.2 frames is certainly within the range of outcomes.
Luis Robert, NYM at SFG: Less Than 4.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
Robert has admittedly looked like a new hitter in the early days of his Mets tenure, racing out to a .316 average and .932 OPS across his first 24 plate appearances. However, luck has been on his side a bit, considering he has an actual expected batting average of .250 and an elevated .333 BABIP.
Robert encounters a tough matchup in Ray to open the game, and he's managed just one hit – albeit a homer – over 10 career plate appearances while striking out in four of the nine instances in which he's made an out. As pointed out earlier, Ray was also generally effective at home last season, doing a good job limiting big hits.
The Giants bullpen has also held hitters to a .178 average and .299 wOBA in the early going despite having some trouble with the long ball, so a relatively quiet game from Robert isn't out of the realm of possibility.
