This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
MLB Picks Today: MLB Best Bets for Saturday, September 24
RotoWire.com's Juan Carlos Blanco identifies his MLB bets and MLB player props to target today.
Last article: 3-1 (+1.80 RW Bucks)
Season Record: 91-86-4 (-6.41 RW Bucks)
I'm focusing on a pair of matchups Saturday evening that both pit one of the league's most impressive young arms against a struggling veteran.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
Erick Fedde is winding down a tough season that's seen him produce a 6-10 record, 5.29 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and his highest BB/9 (4.3) since his rookie 2017 season. The right-hander comes in having generated a 7.71 ERA, 1.90 WHIP and 1.7 HR/9 over his last four starts, and he allowed three earned runs on seven hits over four innings to these same Marlins last Saturday at Nationals Park. Fedde has also struggled to miss bats on the road, where he has an ugly 5.5 K/9, a mark looks even worse next to a bloated 4.6 BB/9.
Sandy Alcantara has had a couple of rough spots here and there, but he remains a Cy Young frontrunner and has been absolutely elite at home. The right-hander owns a 1.67 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and a tiny 0.6 HR/9 across 113 LoanDepot Park innings this season, and he's also coming off a complete-game gem against the Nats on the road on Sunday in which struck out seven. Alcantara also held Washington to a combined two runs over 14 innings on the other two occasions he faced them this season. On the season as a whole, he's recorded at least six strikeouts in 15 of 30 starts.
MLB Best Bets for Nationals at Marlins
- ML/Total Runs Parlay: Marlins/Under 6.5 runs (+195 on FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck
- Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 strikeouts thrown (-152 on Caesars Sportsbook) for 1.52 RW Bucks
Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals
Logan Gilbert comes into Saturday's start in the midst of what may be the best month of his young career. The right-hander has posted a 3-1 record, 0.78 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 13.3 K/9 over his last four starts while not surrendering a single homer during the 23 innings in that sample. Gilbert has yet to face the Royals this season, but he's been at his best on the road overall, posting an 8-1 record, 2.86 ERA and 0.9 HR/9. KC has also been mostly punchless against righties at home lately, posting a .226 average and .294 wOBA in that split over the last month.
Kris Bubic likely can't wait for his nightmare of a 2022 season to end, considering he enters Saturday with a 2-13 record that's complemented by a 5.81 ERA, 1.71 WHIP and 1.4 HR/9, among other undesirable metrics. The southpaw has faced Seattle one time prior this season, and it didn't go well, as he allowed five runs on seven hits in just 2.2 innings. Bubic has conceded a collective .400 average and 1.113 OPS over 53 career encounters with current Mariners bats, and Ty France has particularly feasted on him to the tune of a .714 average over eight career plate appearances.
MLB Best Bets for Mariners at Royals
- Mariners -0.5 – 1st 5 innings (-120 on FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1.20 RW Bucks
- Ty France Over 1.5 total hits (+155 on BetRivers Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck
MLB Best Bets Today Recap
- ML/Total Runs Parlay: Marlins/Under 6.5 runs (+195 on FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck
- Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 strikeouts thrown (-152 on Caesars Sportsbook) for 1.52 RW Bucks
- Mariners -0.5 – 1st 5 innings (-120 on FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1.20 RW Bucks
- Ty France Over 1.5 total hits (+155 on BetRivers Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck
Visit RotoWire all season long for exclusive sports betting picks from our group of handicappers with their expert MLB picks each day of the campaign. Remember that betting apps vary in terms of odds and available player props, so we have an easy-to-use odds page that allows you to shop for the best lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet.