This article is part of our DraftKings Fantasy Soccer series.
Below are median projections from a new model I developed during the Coronavirus pandemic league suspension, which means they are different than the ones we have elsewhere on the site (these will become the default projections soon enough). You will find team projections for each relevant statistical category and fantasy-point projections for each individual player. Additionally, there will be two sets of projections for each player: one that assumes the projected starters play 90 minutes (they won't) and one that guesses who will be substituted and when. I would love to say there's a specific formula that went into the substitution estimates, but there is simply no blueprint for how teams will substitute and rotate in mid-season matches following a three-month league suspension because of a global pandemic. Sorry.
Team Projections
| Team | G | A | S | SOG | P | CC | CR | CRN | FS | FC | TKLW | INT | GC | CS% | SV | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI | 2.55 | 1.97 | 21.50 | 7.12 | 596.73 | 17.11 | 27.02 | 9.59 | 8.43 | 9.79 | 14.75 | 8.65 | 1.02 | 36.18 | 1.79 | 73.01 |
| ARS | 1.02 | 0.68 | 7.80 | 2.80 | 344.10 | 6.11 | 15.07 | 5.20 | 9.71 | 9.43 | 15.89 | 9.18 | 2.55 | 7.84 | 4.58 | 10.66 |
Updated 2:37 p.m. ET
Player Projections
90-minute projections are based on all projected starters playing 90 minutes. For a spreadsheet of the projections you can upload to the RotoWire lineup optimizer, please click here. All four columns of projections are included in the spreadsheet, so just be sure to delete three of them if you try to upload them to RotoWire.
Note: all columns are sortable
Updated
Below are median projections from a new model I developed during the Coronavirus pandemic league suspension, which means they are different than the ones we have elsewhere on the site (these will become the default projections soon enough). You will find team projections for each relevant statistical category and fantasy-point projections for each individual player. Additionally, there will be two sets of projections for each player: one that assumes the projected starters play 90 minutes (they won't) and one that guesses who will be substituted and when. I would love to say there's a specific formula that went into the substitution estimates, but there is simply no blueprint for how teams will substitute and rotate in mid-season matches following a three-month league suspension because of a global pandemic. Sorry.
Team Projections
| Team | G | A | S | SOG | P | CC | CR | CRN | FS | FC | TKLW | INT | GC | CS% | SV | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI | 2.55 | 1.97 | 21.50 | 7.12 | 596.73 | 17.11 | 27.02 | 9.59 | 8.43 | 9.79 | 14.75 | 8.65 | 1.02 | 36.18 | 1.79 | 73.01 |
| ARS | 1.02 | 0.68 | 7.80 | 2.80 | 344.10 | 6.11 | 15.07 | 5.20 | 9.71 | 9.43 | 15.89 | 9.18 | 2.55 | 7.84 | 4.58 | 10.66 |
Updated 2:37 p.m. ET
Player Projections
90-minute projections are based on all projected starters playing 90 minutes. For a spreadsheet of the projections you can upload to the RotoWire lineup optimizer, please click here. All four columns of projections are included in the spreadsheet, so just be sure to delete three of them if you try to upload them to RotoWire.
Note: all columns are sortable
Updated at 2:42 p.m. ET
| Player Name | Team | Opponent | Pos | DK | Price | Pts | Floor | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Jesus | Manchester City | Arsenal | FW | F | 9,600 | 19.98 | 11.23 | 90 |
| Riyad Mahrez | Manchester City | Arsenal | FWR | M/F | 10,800 | 23.15 | 15.55 | 90 |
| Raheem Sterling | Manchester City | Arsenal | FWR | M/F | 9,800 | 17.03 | 11.33 | 90 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | Manchester City | Arsenal | MC | M | 12,400 | 24.60 | 17.91 | 90 |
| Ilkay Gundogan | Manchester City | Arsenal | MC | M | 7,400 | 11.31 | 9.36 | 90 |
| David Silva | Manchester City | Arsenal | MC | M | 8,000 | 15.86 | 10.99 | 90 |
| Eric Garcia | Manchester City | Arsenal | DC | D | 3,400 | 4.06 | 2.89 | 90 |
| Aymeric Laporte | Manchester City | Arsenal | DC | D | 4,000 | 6.14 | 4.98 | 90 |
| Benjamin Mendy | Manchester City | Arsenal | DL | D | 6,200 | 10.90 | 8.98 | 90 |
| Kyle Walker | Manchester City | Arsenal | DR | D | 5,200 | 8.44 | 6.28 | 90 |
| Ederson | Manchester City | Arsenal | GK | GK | 6,800 | 8.02 | 2.55 | 90 |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | FW | M/F | 9,200 | 10.87 | 6.23 | 90 |
| Edward Nketiah | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | AMR | F | 6,000 | 8.18 | 5.37 | 90 |
| Bukayo Saka | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | AML | D | 4,600 | 9.04 | 7.41 | 90 |
| Joe Willock | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | AMC | M | 3,600 | 8.09 | 2.63 | 90 |
| Matteo Guendouzi | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | DMC | M | 4,200 | 6.50 | 6.21 | 90 |
| Granit Xhaka | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | DMC | M | 3,400 | 5.11 | 4.86 | 90 |
| Hector Bellerin | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | DR | D | 4,800 | 6.19 | 5.01 | 90 |
| Pablo Mari | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | DC | D | 3,000 | 3.22 | 3.12 | 90 |
| Shkodran Mustafi | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | DC | D | 3,200 | 4.05 | 3.14 | 90 |
| Kieran Tierney | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | DL | D | 5,400 | 7.38 | 7.05 | 90 |
| Bernd Leno | Arsenal | Manchester CIty | GK | GK | 4,200 | 6.09 | 5.18 | 90 |
| Player Name | Team | Pos | Price | Min | Ftps | Floor | 90-Min Proj | 90-Min Floor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin De Bruyne | MCI | M | 12,400 | 75 | 21.59 | 15.57 | 25.54 | 18.37 |
| Riyad Mahrez | MCI | M/F | 10,800 | 70 | 18.74 | 12.54 | 23.81 | 15.93 |
| Sergio Aguero | MCI | F | 10,400 | 75 | 18.03 | 8.63 | 21.34 | 10.27 |
| Raheem Sterling | MCI | M/F | 9,800 | 70 | 13.07 | 8.86 | 16.58 | 11.28 |
| Nicolas Pepe | ARS | M/F | 7,800 | 90 | 11.62 | 9.03 | 11.52 | 8.96 |
| Ilkay Gundogan | MCI | M | 7,400 | 90 | 11.58 | 9.56 | 11.46 | 9.48 |
| Benjamin Mendy | MCI | D | 6,200 | 80 | 10.58 | 8.20 | 11.57 | 9.08 |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | ARS | M/F | 9,200 | 90 | 10.20 | 6.11 | 10.18 | 6.08 |
| Rodri | MCI | M | 4,400 | 90 | 9.40 | 7.79 | 9.35 | 7.77 |
| Alexandre Lacazette | ARS | F | 7,000 | 80 | 9.07 | 5.90 | 10.17 | 6.61 |
| Kyle Walker | MCI | D | 5,200 | 90 | 9.00 | 6.35 | 8.93 | 6.29 |
| Ederson | MCI | GK | 6,800 | 90 | 8.82 | 2.68 | 8.83 | 2.69 |
| Dani Ceballos | ARS | M | 5,000 | 80 | 8.35 | 7.78 | 9.32 | 8.70 |
| Fernandinho | MCI | D | 3,600 | 90 | 6.88 | 5.31 | 6.89 | 5.32 |
| Aymeric Laporte | MCI | D | 4,000 | 90 | 6.46 | 4.89 | 6.47 | 4.90 |
| Bukayo Saka | ARS | D | 4,600 | 70 | 6.03 | 5.20 | 7.62 | 6.64 |
| Mesut Ozil | ARS | M | 5,600 | 70 | 5.95 | 5.22 | 7.56 | 6.65 |
| Bernd Leno | ARS | GK | 4,200 | 90 | 5.38 | 4.47 | 5.31 | 4.40 |
| Hector Bellerin | ARS | D | 4,800 | 80 | 5.22 | 4.27 | 5.82 | 4.77 |
| Granit Xhaka | ARS | M | 3,400 | 90 | 4.91 | 4.71 | 4.88 | 4.69 |
| Gabriel Jesus | MCI | F | 9,600 | 20 | 4.54 | 2.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bernardo Silva | MCI | M/F | 8,600 | 20 | 3.97 | 2.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| David Luiz | ARS | D | 3,800 | 90 | 3.87 | 3.02 | 3.86 | 3.01 |
| Claudio Bravo | MCI | GK | 6,600 | 0 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.65 |
| Leroy Sane | MCI | M/F | 9,000 | 15 | 3.45 | 2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pablo Mari | ARS | D | 3,000 | 90 | 3.44 | 3.13 | 3.44 | 3.12 |
| David Silva | MCI | M | 8,000 | 15 | 2.76 | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Kieran Tierney | ARS | D | 5,400 | 20 | 1.48 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Matteo Guendouzi | ARS | M | 4,200 | 20 | 1.39 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko | MCI | D | 5,200 | 10 | 1.16 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gabriel Martinelli | ARS | M/F | 7,600 | 10 | 1.14 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Edward Nketiah | ARS | F | 6,000 | 10 | 0.78 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sokratis Papastathopoulos | ARS | D | 4,000 | 10 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Joe Willock | ARS | M | 3,600 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Reiss Nelson | ARS | M/F | 5,800 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shkodran Mustafi | ARS | D | 3,200 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sead Kolasinac | ARS | D | 3,800 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cedric Soares | ARS | D | 5,000 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | ARS | D | 3,800 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rob Holding | ARS | D | 3,000 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Torreira | ARS | M | 4,600 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Joao Cancelo | MCI | D | 6,400 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| John Stones | MCI | D | 3,400 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nicolas Otamendi | MCI | D | 3,200 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Phil Foden | MCI | M | 7,200 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
