The best football day of the year is right around the corner, and as always, I'm here to break down the best anytime touchdown bets on the slate for Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl LX. Just make sure you're maximizing each prop by taking advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos in the country.
I've looked at every major sportsbook and found the best line for each of my anytime touchdown picks. Here are my five best anytime TD props for Super Bowl LX. For a more general prop bet analysis, check out the Super Bowl Player Props.
Best DraftKings Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets
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Demario Douglas Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +550
Demario Douglas is not the most likely anytime TD scorer in the game, that honor belongs to Kenneth Walker, but he does represent my favorite value on the slate. At 5-foot-8, Douglas does not have the prototypical size for a receiver. But he's used in the red zone far more often than you might think.
Douglas' seven red zone targets were third among all Patriots, and he was also third on the team in terms of targets inside the 10-yard line (four). He was used inside the red zone more than the presumptive WR2, Kayshon Boutte, and the 6-foot-4 Mac Hollins, who I think is overvalued at +380. That 6-foot-4 frame is likely inflating his price, allowing Douglas to fly under the radar.
But Douglas is also one of the most explosive receivers on the team – he'll have a chance to score from outside the 20-yard line as well. He has a 53-yard TD to his name this season, and he scored a 28-yard TD back in the Divisional Round against Houston.
Douglas has a legitimate shot to score from long distance or close range, so I was surprised to see him priced so much lower than the other secondary pass-catchers on the Patriots. I love the value at +550.
Hunter Henry Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +225
If New England throws a red zone TD, the numbers say it's probably going to Hunter Henry. He was targeted a whopping 22 times inside the red zone. That was the sixth-most red zone targets in the league and gives him 10 RZ targets more than the next-closest Patriot (Stefon Diggs).
Henry led the team with seven receiving touchdowns in the regular season. Including the playoffs, he has scored at least once in three of his last six games.
Rhamondre Stevenson is the safest anytime TD bet on the Pats, but I think Henry is the better value at +225.
AJ Barner Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +230
Let's stick with tight ends. AJ Barner feels like the best value on the Seahawks to me. Barner was tied for second alongside Cooper Kupp with 12 red zone targets for Seattle. But he was more efficient with his opportunities, catching nine of 12 targets for five touchdowns, while Kupp converted seven of 12 for two scores.
But he only gets better as Seattle gets closer. Barner was also second on the team with six targets inside the 10-yard line – just one look behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba. All three of his receptions went for TDs.
He and Kupp (+250) are priced pretty similarly, but Barner is the more reliable bet.
George Holani Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +475
The Seahawks premiere players, JSN (-110) and Kenneth Walker (-190), both look a little overpriced. Instead, we'll hunt for value by targeting backup RB, George Holani.
Seattle clearly trusted Zach Charbonnet in the red zone more than Walker. Charbonnet handled 50 red zone carries in the regular season, while Walker only saw 31. Charbonnet tore his ACL in the Divisional Round, and Walker took over the lion's share of the work in the NFC Championship, handling four red zone opportunities compared to one for Holani.
But last week was Holani's first game action since Week 11. And he was instantly thrown into a bigger role than many anticipated, handling 34% of the Seahawks' snaps.
Given that Seattle didn't seem to trust Walker in the red zone, I wouldn't be surprised to see Holani take on more of those opportunities now that he's had more time to get right from that injury. At +475, he's a nice value to vulture a TD away from Walker.
Kyle Williams Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +1000
I'll close out with my biggest long shot value on the slate. Kyle Williams doesn't get many opportunities. But when he does, they often end in a touchdown. Williams turned three of his 10 receptions into TDs.
He only has four targets through three playoff games, so he's not going to be a huge part of the offense. But you don't need him to be. At +1000, he's a perfect low-risk, high-reward dart throw.
Anecdotally, it feels like Josh McDaniels always dials up a couple of trick plays in big games. We even saw one last week against the Broncos, when the Pats ran a flea flicker for a 31-yard gain.
In terms of straight-line speed, Williams is the fastest WR on the team. I wouldn't be surprised to see McDaniels draw up one or two shot plays for him downfield. Even if that's just wishful thinking, Williams also has a chance to score as a kick returner. I think he represents the best long shot value on the board on Super Bowl Sunday.
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Where to Bet on Anytime Touchdown Props
Below, I've provided a list of the top sportsbooks that offer anytime touchdown betting markets. I've also provided the sign-up bonus at each book, so you can make the most of your prop bets.
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