The Super Bowl is the biggest day of the year for NFL player props. Super Bowl LX won't be any different. The Seattle Seahawks enter this one as 4.5-point favorites over the New England Patriots, according to the latest Super Bowl odds. If you need some help breaking down the best bets, I've got you covered.
Here are my five best Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl player props. Make sure to use one of the best sportsbook promos in the country to juice up these picks.
Best DraftKings Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl Player Prop Bets
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Kenneth Walker – Rushing Yards: UNDER 73.5 (-111)
This is my favorite value, and there's not a close second. New England has played 15 games with a healthy Milton Williams, including the postseason. The Patriots have not allowed any running back to record more than 53 rushing yards. When healthy, this defense is a wall.
Sure, like everything else with the Patriots, their easy schedule plays a part in that. But dismissing those numbers is a mistake. With Williams, they held up against the best of the best, too. For example:
- De'Von Achane: 11 carries for 30 yards (Season Average: 84.4 yards per game)
- Bijan Robinson: 12 carries for 46 yards (Season Average: 86.9 yards per game)
- James Cook: 15 carries for 49 yards (Season Average: 95.4 yards per game)
- James Cook in One Game Without Milton Williams: 22 carries for 107 yards
Kenneth Walker has gone over 75 rushing yards in three of his last five, but consider the context. Two of those games came against the injury-riddled 49ers' defense. Last week, he turned 19 carries into just 62 yards against the Rams, who ranked 12th in EPA per rush.
New England is a different beast. With a healthy Williams, the Patriots ranked fourth in EPA per rush. They have taken that dominance to another level in the postseason, holding every opposing running back under 38 rushing yards through three playoff games.
Even though Zach Charbonnet is hurt, I'd think about betting the under if the line were set at 53.5. At 73.5, this is a can't-miss play.
Best BetMGM Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl Player Prop Bets
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Kenneth Walker – Receiving Yards: OVER 21.5 (-110)
Walker might not do much on the ground, but he's still a weapon as a receiver. He's averaging 36.8 receiving yards per game over his last five and has recorded at least 29 receiving yards in three straight. He has caught at least two passes in each of those five games. That's a huge shift from his early-season usage, as he had multiple receptions in just five of his first 14 appearances.
The Patriots' linebackers are very effective against the run, but they're down-hill players who can struggle in coverage. New England gave up the fifth-most receptions to RBs (84) this season. Not many of those were explosive gains, as they were No. 16 in receiving yards allowed to RBs. But explosives aren't a problem for Walker. He was one of only six RBs to have five receptions of 20-plus yards in the regular season.
This line feels about eight yards too low to me, making it a tremendous value.
Hunter Henry – Receptions: OVER 37.5 (-115)
If I'm nitpicking, the Seahawks haven't been great against tight ends. Seattle allowed the sixth-most yards (1,080) on the fifth-most receptions (105) to the position. Some of that is due to matchups, as they had to face the best receiving TE in the league, Trey McBride, twice this season.
But Seattle is top-five in pretty much every defensive stat. If you find anything that they're bottom-six in, capitalize on it.
I expect the Patriots to do just that. Hunter Henry has been the team's de-facto No. 2 receiver, finishing second on the team in targets (87) and receptions (60). He has been held in check the last two weeks, but weather was a real factor, as both games were played in snowstorms. Throwing those two out, Henry was averaging 58.5 receiving yards per game over his last seven and had cleared 40 yards in six of his last eight.
I wouldn't be surprised if he finished this game as Maye's top target, as he figures to be one of the few matchup advantages New England has.
Kyle Williams – Receiving Yards: OVER 0.5 (+110)
The Super Bowl is the best time of the year to dig into your bag and target some under-the-radar props. Kyle Williams to record 1 receiving yard certainly fits the bill.
I'm not going to pretend like he's in line for a massive role. If anything, his role should shrink. The return of Mac Hollins dropped Williams to a 23.4% snap share last week. He was handling at least 32.0% of the snaps in the two playoff games without Hollins.
But as 4.5-point underdogs, the game script tells us that the Patriots are expected to be playing from behind. That should lead to an uptick in pass attempts for Maye, who hasn't been asked to do much as a passer this postseason.
Williams is arguably the team's fastest receiver. I think Josh McDaniels is going to dial up one or two plays to get his best athlete the ball. Maye isn't afraid to target him in big spots, either, as Williams has four targets in three playoff games.
If Maye is throwing more than usual on Sunday, I think Kyle Williams is a great bet to be on the receiving end at least once. At +110, that's a risk I'm willing to take.
Drake Maye – Longest Rush: OVER 13.5 (-115)
Maye scrambled at the third-highest rate among all QBs who were on the field for at least 250 plays. His 62 scramble attempts were more than any other QB in the league. In fact, the nine-scramble gap between Maye and the No. 2 QB in that regard (Patrick Mahomes) was as wide as the gap between No. 2 and No. 7.
Point being, Maye will tuck it and run a lot. And his legs are the only thing that has worked for him in the playoffs. He finished with at least 65 rushing yards in two of three postseason appearances. He has generated four carries of 13-plus yards in those three, including two gains that went for 28-plus yards.
The Seahawks surrendered the sixth-highest yards per carry to opposing quarterbacks this season. That looks like one of the few weaknesses this defense has. I expect Maye to tuck it and run often in the Super Bowl, and at least one of those runs should go for a big gain.
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2025-26 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record
Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of the Conference Championships):
- Regular Season Record: 61-56 (52.1%)
- Playoff Record: 20-13 (60.6%)
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