This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Games
Jacksonville Jaguars 
+14.5
I know it sounds odd but I really like the Jacksonville Jaguars getting 14.5 points this week. Jacksonville locked up the top overall pick in next year's draft and while many will think this team has mailed it in, they're still professional athletes playing for the next contract, next coaching gig, etc.
Chicago Bears 
+4
The Bears are home and have been playing as well as any team as of late. The Bears need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive and they've scored at least 33 points in each of their last three games. That means they'll have to rely on their defense to slow down Aaron Rodgers and Co. which they're capable of doing. I wouldn't be surprised if the points come into play here as this should be a close game.
Cincinnati Bengals 
+13.5
This game seems like it's going to be a divisional slugfest and the Bengals offense has shown signs of life over their last two games scoring 64 total points. The Bengals aren't going to just lay down for the Ravens (think about Tyler Boyd's touchdown a few years ago that led to my Bills getting into the playoffs as evidence) it's just a matter if they can contain Lamar Jackson.
Player Props
Mark Andrews Over 51.5 Receiving Yards
Andrews continues to serve as Lamar Jackson's safety blanket and the Bengals have done a horrible job containing the tight end position this season. Andrews had 57 receiving yards the first time these two teams met and he's averaging 51.8 receiving yards per game this season. Look for Andrews to have a big game as the Ravens fight for a playoff spot.
Aaron Rodgers Over 9.5 Rushing Yards
This kind of smells like a trap considering Rodgers has hit the over here in five of his last six games, including a lofty 12-yard performance against the Bears in Week 12. Led by Khalil Mack, the pass rush should occasionally get to Rodgers forcing him out of the pocket and he's somewhat dangerous as a runner with the defense worried about getting beat deep by his arm. If this number hits the over at any point don't count it as a win; Rodgers had four rushes for -3 a few games ago so any negative run could put this number under.
Keelan Cole Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (+100)
DJ Chark will be out this week and that should elevate Cole to the status of being the No.1 wide receiver. Glennon should target Cole at least six or seven times and he has the upside to hit the over here on only one pass play. If you're interested in this stat, Cole hit the over (barely) with 47 receiving yards the first time these two teams met. I'd sprinkle a little on the Cole anytime touchdown at +325.
Player Touchdowns
Alexander Mattison -150
If this was Dalvin Cook, what would this number be? -250, -300? Mattison should be able to find the end zone handling most of the backfield workload and it's not like the Lions' defense should be feared. I don't mind putting a little wager on Mattison being a two-touchdown scorer at +285.
A.J. Brown -112
This is just math for me as Brown has scored a touchdown in nine of his 15 games this season. The odds imply this is just under a 50/50 prop yet the numbers show he's scored in 60 percent of the games. Pushing this over the line is that the Houston Texans have been awful on defense this season and this line feels like it should be in the -150 to -175 range.
Mecole Hardman +200, Demarcus Robinson +200
These are the top two wide receivers for the Chiefs this week and essentially you're getting both players at +100 and just need one to score. The upside here is that both find the end zone and when you get the chance to back Chad Henne, you have to take that opportunity. Look for at least one of these two to hit pay dirt in this game.
