FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

After a tiny three-game offering on Tuesday, we'll see 24 teams take the floor on a humongous 12-game slate. Be on the lookout, because more games mean more postponement possibilities, and there are some teams that are cutting it close when it comes to meeting roster requirements today. If you can't be around for game lock today, I'd be very conservative with your builds. If you're able to be around for late-swap hour, it's a night where you need to construct a number of sound, yet unique lineups in as many GPPs as your bankroll permits.

SLATE OVERVIEW

(Odds provided by FabDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change)

Games/Teams to Target in BOLD

Games/Teams to Fade in ITALIC

DET @ CLE (-3) O/U: 215

SAC @ ORL (-1.5) O/U: 221

IND @ CHA (-1.5) O/U: 218

MIL @ TOR (+6) O/U: 223.5

LAL @ PHI (+2) O/U: 221.5

BKN @ ATL (+7) O/U: 235.5

DEN @ MIA (+5) O/U 220.5

BOS @ SAS (+3.5) O/U: 225

DAL @ UTA (-4) O/U: 225.5

WAS @ NOR (-7.5) O/U: 228.5

OKC @ PHO (-6) O/U: 220.5

MIN @ GSW (-8) O/U: 227.5

Slates of this size are awash with opportunities everywhere you look, and they go beyond what I am able to provide in one article. I'll pinpoint all the good injury opportunities, go through the elites, skim through some chalk and expand my value list in an effort to cover it in the most efficient way possible. As always, in this climate, it's essential to double-check your selections before game lock.

INJURIES

Domantas Sabonis (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

While Sabonis's MRI came back clean, he still may miss Wednesday's game against the Hornets. Your typical pivot in this situation would be a boost for Myles Turner ($7,100), who has merit on his own as a viable option against a weak Charlotte frontcourt.

Blake Griffin (rest) - OUT

Expect a lot from the usually-prolific Jerami Grant ($8,400), but Saddiq Bey ($3,500) is worth a punt play at power forward, as the Pistons want to give their rookie all he can handle as they try to rebuild their core.

Larry Nance (wrist) - QUESTIONABLE

Nance could miss again with this injury. Checking the starting lineup before lock will be necessary to play this spot, but I like JaVale McGee ($3,900) as a decent value play against Detroit.

Jimmy Butler (COVID-19) - OUT

Tyler Herro (neck) - QUESTIONABLE

Goran Dragic (groin) - QUESTIONABLE

Gabe Vincent (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

Since this injury situation happened, Bam Adebayo ($9,400) has played exceptional basketball, so he's still a fair play despite facing Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets. Dragic and Herro's status will determine a lot about this game, but if Dragic sits, go with Kendrick Nunn ($6,500). 

Pascal Siakam (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

Kyle Lowry is now off the injury report, but Siakam still lingers with a questionable tag. Go back to the well with OG Anunoby ($6,200) if Siakam can't make it.

Davis Bertans (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Rui Hachimura (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Ish Smith (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Deni Avdija (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Moritz Wagner (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

It's an all-around mess for the Wizards, who also have to suffer through a back-to-back.  Some of these tags may be removed for Wednesday, and since the salary for a lot of the players has regressed over their long break, they're worth a look. Washington may struggle to get eight healthy players out there tonight, so a postponement is always possible. I am mainly staying away from pivots for this team.

Al Horford (personal) - QUESTIONABLE

Horford could be back in the lineup Wednesday after taking time to witness the birth of his child, but Isaiah Roby ($4,500) would once again start in his place if he doesn't make it back in time.

Devin Booker (hamstring) - OUT

Booker will miss at least one more game.  The team slid Mikal Bridges ($5,400) over to the two, which created an enhanced opportunity for Jae Crowder ($4,800). He put up 35 FDFP in relief, so he's a great value play coming into tonight's slate.

Josh Richardson (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Dorian Finney-Smith (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Maxi Kleber (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Dwight Powell (COVID-19) - QUESTIONABLE

Don't be surprised if some or all of these players return tonight. Obviously, some excellent plays would be afoot, especially for Richardson if his status changes. Keep an eye on this spot as the day moves forward.

D'Angelo Russell (quad) QUESTIONABLE

Ricky Rubio ($5,300), Malik Beasley ($6,700) and Anthony Edwards ($4,500) will continue to see production increases of Russell remains out.

Also, look for Russell Westbrook to potentially sit on a back-to-back. Raul Neto ($4,200) would start in his place if he rests.

ELITE PLAYERS

As expected on such a huge slate, the list is packed with elite talent, and it's easy to get overwhelmed and confused about where to spend up. For my money, the three guys above 11k aren't at the top of my list tonight. It's a given that Nikola Jokic ($11,200), Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,300) and Luka Doncic ($11,400) are going to have grand totals, but at the moment, we do not see enough budget options to nullify these high salary points. Some spots may crystallize later in the day, but I think we lose too much value by buying up with one of these guys right now. I feel very similarly about the trio of Brooklyn players. While James Harden is only $9,800, I can't go with a guy who's only taking ten shots a game, no matter how many assists he might be generating. Kevin Durant ($10,700) would probably get the highest exposure of the three, but when your slate is this loaded, I don't know that it's necessary to spend for him, either. In the 10k range, you have to give pause to Bradley Beal ($10,300), especially if Westbrook takes a seat.  I also don't mind Trae Young ($10,600) against Brooklyn.

Stephen Curry ($9,600) is my number one spend-up guy for Wednesday. As they again tackle the lowly Timberwolves, I expect Curry to do what he does best and shoot the lights out against Minnesota. He netted 52 FDFP in the last game, and I see no reason why he can't replicate the total. We'll see elevated rostership for LeBron James ($10,400) after he laid the hammer down against his former team, but if you're going for the Lakers, I like Anthony Davis' ($10,100) salary just a little bit more against Joel Embiid, who is also an excellent play at $9,800.

Also consider: Nikola Vucevic, ORL ($9,400) @ SAC

EXPECTED CHALK

Gordon Hayward, CHA ($8,100) vs. IND

You have to like what Hayward's been up to with the Hornets, and the most attractive thing about him is an incredibly reliable floor. In his last four games, his FDFP numbers are 45, 45, 47, and 45. They're consistently beating value, and he's set up well against the Pacers, who are weakest against Hayward's position.

Rudy Gobert, UTA ($8,000)

Without question, there are a plethora of excellent options at center tonight, but to be smart with your cash allotment, Gobert is one of the better ways to spend down. He's coming off an excellent 56-FDFP showing against the Knicks, and I like his chances against the Mavericks tonight. 

Brandon Ingram, NOR ($7,500) vs. WAS

The battle for offensive supremacy between Ingram and Zion Williamson still falls on Zion's side, but in the wake of the skirmish, Ingram's salary has slid into unheard-of levels. Against the compromised Wizards, Ingram's potential to beat value is even more likely at this favorable salary point. He'll be looking to build on a 30-point performance against Minnesota.

Chris Paul, PHO ($7,400) vs. OKC

Devin Booker is out for at least one more game, so look for Paul to push things in the backcourt. In Booker's absence, Paul fared exceptionally well with a 21/13/9 near-triple-double against Denver, and he should have an even easier time as he faces his former team in a mini-revenge scenario.

Myles Turner, IND ($7,000) @ CHA

Turner should be viewed as a must-start if Domantas Sabonis is unable to go. He stands on his own merit as a sensible play against Charlotte either way, but it's imperative to make the best possible choice at FanDuel's valuable center slot Sabonis' absence would be the key to elevating Gobert to a smash play at the position.

Also consider: Andrew Wiggins, GS ($6,800) vs. MIN

VALUE PLAYS ($6,667 and below)

Please refer to the injury section and keep your ear to the ground with the potential developments we mentioned above. Here are some more value spots to consider. With 12 games, it will be more informative to provide a list, rather than expound on four targets. I like all of the players below for their value-beating potential.

PF Chris Boucher, TOR ($6,500) vs. MIL

SF Harrison Barnes, SAC ($6,000) @ ORL

SF Kelly Oubre, GS ($5,800) vs. MIN

PG Lonzo Ball, NO ($5,600) vs. WAS

SF Mikal Bridges,  PHO ($5,400) vs. OKC

SF Jeremy Lamb, IND ($5,200) @ CHA

SF Cameron Johnson, PHO ($4,600) vs. OKC

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
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