Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar Henderson

23-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Baltimore Orioles
Out
Injury Side
Est. Return 3/27/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $756,200 contract with the Orioles in March of 2024.
Opening Day availability in peril
SSBaltimore Orioles
Side
March 5, 2025
Manager Brandon Hyde said Wednesday that Henderson's status for the Orioles' March 27 season opener in Toronto is up in the air after the shortstop was diagnosed with a mild intercostal muscle strain, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
While Henderson's condition has improved since he sustained the injury last Thursday, the Orioles plan to proceed cautiously with the 23-year-old star with the aim of avoiding a setback that could extend his recovery timeline. Hyde's comments suggest that Henderson's return to the Grapefruit League lineup isn't imminent, though the skipper remains "very, very hopeful" that Henderson will be ready for the start of the season. Even if Henderson isn't back to 100 percent in advance of Opening Day, he shouldn't be in store for an extended absence to begin the season, but the uncertainty of his status is reason enough for fantasy managers to bump him down at least a few spots on their draft boards.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
96
21
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
23
12
7
8/278/288/298/308/319/19/29/39/49/69/79/89/99/109/119/139/149/159/179/189/199/209/219/229/249/259/269/279/289/29987654321
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+26%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+43%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+95%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .717 410 45 11 38 10 .229 .324 .393
Since 2022vs Right .900 1063 185 58 154 22 .283 .355 .545
2024vs Left .829 217 24 8 25 6 .257 .359 .470
2024vs Right .919 502 94 29 67 15 .291 .367 .553
2023vs Left .618 167 20 3 11 4 .209 .293 .324
2023vs Right .885 455 80 25 71 6 .272 .336 .549
2022vs Left .448 26 1 0 2 0 .130 .231 .217
2022vs Right .872 106 11 4 16 1 .290 .377 .495
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+62%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .838 733 107 37 95 16 .266 .333 .505
Since 2022Away .862 740 123 32 97 16 .270 .359 .502
2024Home .909 352 57 23 54 9 .283 .355 .554
2024Away .876 367 61 14 38 12 .278 .373 .503
2023Home .810 308 45 13 35 7 .256 .315 .495
2023Away .818 314 55 15 47 3 .254 .334 .484
2022Home .620 73 5 1 6 0 .227 .301 .318
2022Away 1.007 59 7 3 12 1 .300 .407 .600
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Stat Review
How does Gunnar Henderson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.49
 
BB Rate
10.8%
 
K Rate
22.1%
 
BABIP
.320
 
ISO
.248
 
AVG
.281
 
OBP
.364
 
SLG
.529
 
OPS
.893
 
wOBA
.386
 
Exit Velocity
92.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.1%
 
Barrels/PA
7.4%
 
Expected BA
.283
 
Expected SLG
.492
 
Sprint Speed
24.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
46.7%
 
Line Drive %
20.6%
 
Fly Ball %
32.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Gunnar Henderson See More
RotoWire Roundtable Top-300 Rankings: Chaos at the Top
2 days ago
Rankings from four RotoWire experts are combined into a consensus top-300, but there's no consensus about who should occupy the top spot.
RotoWire Roundtable Rankings: Fantasy Baseball Top-300 as Spring Games Begin
12 days ago
Elly De La Cruz crept up slightly in the latest edition of the RotoWire Roundtable rankings, moving up to fourth overall.
MLB Picks: AL East Odds and Best Bets
14 days ago
Our MLB futures series rolls on with Adam Warner's breakdown of the AL East odds. Can Gunnar Henderson and the Orioles fight off their expected regression?
The Z Files: The Wisdom of Crowds and ATC Projections
14 days ago
Todd Zola explains how projected playing time and a skills-based approach helps him identify upside plays late in a draft, as well as leading him to put Aaron Judge at the top of his personal rankings.
RotoWire Roundtable: Top-300 Rankings for the Start of Spring Training
23 days ago
Pitchers and catchers report to camp this week, and some pitchers are already moving up the RotoWire Roundtable Rankings, including Dodgers rookie Roki Sasaki.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
We should always be impressed when 22 year olds hold their own at the major league level considering most players that age are still taking a bus to a small to mid-sized town near you. It is even more impressive when said players do something few others do early in their careers. Henderson was one of five corner infielders with 25 homers, 80 runs and RBIs along with 10 steals joining Walker, Freeman, Bellinger, and Goldschmidt while being five years younger than anyone else in that group. Henderson has been everything as advertised so far at the plate and in the field qualifying at both positions on the left side of the infield. The only fantasy flaw in his current profile is he has been just above average in batting average as his plate discipline is still morphing into what it could be while he continues attempting to figure out lefties who have limited him to a .199 average. Those are flaws you can live with for now while enjoying his continued overall growth
Henderson was shot out of a cannon last season, putting up a .312/.452/.573 slash line and 176 wRC+ with more walks (19.7 BB%) than strikeouts (18.3 K%) as a 20-year-old at Double-A. He subsequently got the bump to Triple-A, and while his production predictably dipped slightly, he still established himself as one of the game's elite prospects and got rewarded with a taste of the majors. Henderson's plus all-fields power is his current top skill for fantasy, and that may always be the case. However, he should also be a good enough hitter to add value in batting average and add significant value in on-base percentage. His 26.4 K% at Triple-A and 25.8 K% in the majors aren't very concerning when considering he won't turn 22 until late June and was well above the league average as a hitter at both stops. The young third baseman stole 23 bases on 27 attempts and has a 91st percentile sprint speed, so he could add double-digit steals over a full season. He primarily hit fifth in the majors and is one of Baltimore's bluechip building blocks, along with Adley Rutschman.
Henderson performed well statistically at the level he was supposed to perform well at (Low-A as a 19-year-old) but he struggled after aggressive assignments to High-A and Double-A. He struck out too much, even when he was having success, logging a 30.9 K% on the season. Henderson uses the whole field well and comfortably projects for plus power -- he hit 17 home runs and 28 doubles in 105 games, primarily against more advanced competition. However, so far, Henderson looks like a better prospect for OBP leagues than AVG leagues, given that he walked or struck out in 43% of his plate appearances last season. He is an average runner with some stiffness and a thicker lower half, so he may end up moving to third base and probably won't be a major threat on the bases, although he does have good instincts. It is noteworthy when a 20-year-old gets the bump to Double-A, and that's likely where Henderson will return this season, but for now, he projects as a three-category contributor in standard roto leagues.
By all accounts, Henderson was the most pleasant surprise this past summer at the Orioles' alternate training site and in the fall instructional league. A 6-foot-3, 195-pound shortstop who bats left-handed, Henderson was selected out of high school with the No. 42 overall pick in 2019 and held his own (103 wRC+) in the Gulf Coast League after signing. There were some mechanical adjustments made last year to Henderson's lower half that allowed him to have success over the summer as the youngest player at the alternate site. He is only an average runner and could slow down before he reaches the majors, so the hope is that he will hit for average and power to make up for the fact that he won't be a major source of stolen bases. He will likely head to Low-A, and if he is as good as advertised, he could get a bump to High-A before his 20th birthday in late June.
Henderson received $2.3 million (equivalent to the slot value of the No. 31 overall pick) when the Orioles selected him with the 42nd pick in 2019. While he was young for his class, not turning 18 until June 29, Henderson's Gulf Coast League showing wasn't particularly impressive. He hit .259/.331/.370 with one home run and two steals on four attempts in 121 PA. Seen as a sum-of-the-parts prospect without a standout tool, he does not stand out as an appealing dynasty-league target, although he should be rostered in deeper leagues. He uses the whole field and could develop above-average power as he fills out his 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame. He is just an average runner, which also limits the fantasy appeal.
More Fantasy News
Turns corner in recovery
SSBaltimore Orioles
Side
March 3, 2025
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said Monday that Henderson (side) has turned a corner in his recovery, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Should resume activities soon
SSBaltimore Orioles
Side
March 2, 2025
Manager Brandon Hyde said Sunday that Henderson (side) is improving but is still a few days away from resuming baseball activities, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Resting through weekend
SSBaltimore Orioles
Side
February 28, 2025
Manager Brandon Hyde said Friday that Henderson (side) is "pretty sore" and will rest through the weekend, though there's still minimal long-term concern about the injury, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Removal viewed as precautionary
SSBaltimore Orioles
Side
February 27, 2025
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said Henderson's (side) removal from Thursday's game versus the Blue Jays was precautionary, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Battling side discomfort
SSBaltimore Orioles
Side
February 27, 2025
Henderson was removed from Thursday's Grapefruit League game against Toronto due to lower right side discomfort, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension unlikely?
SSBaltimore Orioles
February 16, 2025
Rich Dubroff of BaltimoreBaseball.com doesn't expect the Orioles to reach a contract extension with Henderson.
ANALYSIS
Henderson has quickly established himself as one of the top shortstops in baseball since making his MLB debut in 2022, and he's likely not in a hurry to ink an extension since he won't have his first year of arbitration eligibility until 2026. The 23-year-old, who totaled 37 homers and 21 steals with an .893 OPS last season over 159 regular-season games, will command a massive contract, regardless of whether he extends with the Orioles or tests free agency in a few years.
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