Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

27-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Cincinnati Bengals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A preseason calf injury last year was a harbinger of Burrow’s season. By Week 4, a gimpy Burrow had just two TD passes, averaging 182 yards a game. He warmed up as he got healthier, passing for 12 TDs and nearly 300 yards per game in his next five games before a Week 11 wrist injury ended his season. The takeaway, though, is the mystery of why Burrow no longer challenges defenses downfield. In 2021, he threw deep at a 12.1 percent clip with an 8.1-yard average target depth, forming one of the league’s best field-stretching tandems with Ja’Marr Chase. The last two years, however, he’s all but stopped looking downfield. In 2022, just 7.9 percent of his attempts traveled beyond 20 yards as his average target depth dropped to 6.8. Last year was even worse -- 6.8 percent and 6.3 yards, the former ranking 30th, the latter last. Burrow is healthy again, but the Bengals offense comes with other questions after Tee Higgins demanded a trade and Tyler Boyd wasn't re-signed. The team drafted Jermaine Burton, a third-round pick with 4.45 speed, and signed TE Mike Gesicki, who went quiet the past two seasons despite his impressive blend of size (6-6, 250) and speed (4.54). Long-time lead back Joe Mixon (52 catches) was traded and subsequently replaced by former Colts backup RB Zack Moss. The one thing Burrow definitely has going for him is volume. He attempted 606 passes two years ago and was on pace for 620 last year. Even at a poor 6.5 YPA, that works out to 4,000 yards. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#63.11
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $275 million contract with the Bengals in September of 2023.
Stellar numbers in loss
QBCincinnati Bengals
November 7, 2024
Burrow completed 34 of 56 passes for 428 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions in the Bengals' 35-34 loss to the Ravens on Thursday night. He also rushed twice for six yards and committed two fumbles but lost neither.
ANALYSIS
On the heels of a five-touchdown day against the Raiders in Week 9, Burrow nearly matched his stellar output Thursday while also recording a new season high in passing yards. The 2020 first overall pick connected with Tanner Hudson (three yards) and Ja'Marr Chase (67, 70 and five yards) for his quartet of scoring tosses, with the third to Chase leaving the Bengals just a point shy of tying the Ravens at 35-35 with only 38 seconds remaining. Head coach Zac Taylor opted to forgo a game-tying PAT and instead go for two points, but Burrow couldn't connect with Hudson on a play where Mike Gesicki also appeared to have potentially been impeded on his route. Cincinnati fell to 4-6 with the narrow defeat but Burrow remains one of the most prolific quarterbacks for fantasy purposes due in large part to his team's shoddy defense, a pattern that could persist in a Week 11 visit to the Chargers on Sunday, Nov. 17.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Joe Burrow's 2024 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
13.7%
 
Avg Target Depth
7.3 Yds
 
Sack Rate
6.0%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
5.3 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
4.7%
 
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2020
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Cincinnati BengalsBengals 2024 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
J.Joe Burrow
#% of Team Snaps

60199%
25398%
41%
42%
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Chargers pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
LAC
@ Chargers
Sunday, Nov 17th at 8:20PM
Overall QB Rating Against
66.9
 
Cornerbacks
80.5
 
Safeties
43.1
 
Linebackers
74.4
 
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2024 Joe Burrow Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Joe Burrow's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
215 lbs
 
Hand Length
9.00 in
 
Arm Length
30.88 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joe Burrow See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Burrow led the league in on-target percentage (76.7) for the second year in a row last season and finished second in completion percentage (68.3). Those marks were actually down a bit from the previous year, which is a bit surprising considering Burrow severely curtailed his downfield game. After throwing 20-plus yards on 12.5 percent of his attempts in 2021, Burrow went downfield only 7.5 percent of the time last season (30th). Instead, he went short, as his percentage of passes behind the line of scrimmage jumped to 19.6 percent. His counting stats, more or less, held steady, and he finished QB4 in fantasy with some help from five touchdown runs and 257 rushing yards. Burrow was still good at throwing deep -- he tied Geno Smith with the highest on-target rate on 20-plus yard attempts at 60.0 percent -- but his average target depth was just 7.5 yards (23rd). One apparent reason for the increase in dump-offs was a rebuilt offensive line that often did not live up to preseason hopes. However, the Bengals signed standout left tackle Orlando Brown this offseason, moving Jonah Williams to right tackle, which should help (provided Williams isn’t traded as he’s demanded). Burrow's top three wide receivers return, led by Ja'marr Chase, while Irv Smith is replacing Hayden Hurst at tight end. Better efficiency can help Burrow stay in the top 5 of fantasy QBs even with some expected regression in his rushing TDs.
Burrow came back from a major knee injury that ended an impressive rookie year to lead the Bengals to the Super Bowl last season. But whereas in his first year Burrow put up numbers on the back of 40.4 pass attempts per game (a league-high through Week 11), he put up big numbers last season as perhaps the league's most efficient passer. Averaging only 32.5 attempts per game (17th), Burrow led the league in on-target rate at 80.6 percent with an 8.1- yard average target depth (10th). That propelled him to a 70.4 completion percentage and 8.9 YPA - both tops in the league. Burrow capitalized on downfield throws, ranking fourth in on- target percentage (59.0), third in YPA (17.0) and first in touchdowns (11) on attempts of 20-plus yards, getting an instant boost from rookie receiver Ja'Marr Chase, with whom he teamed for a league-high six 50-yard completions and 22 20-yard completions (4th). Chase returns with Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins, giving Burrow the league's best WR trio. Joe Mixon gives the offense a returning 1,200-yard rusher, and after allowing 55 sacks (and an NFL-record 19 in the playoffs), the Bengals remade their offensive line in a big way by signing center Ted Karras, right guard Alex Cappa and right tackle La'el Collins. The only problem is that Burrow doesn't run much, which could keep him from finishing as a top-5 fantasy QB even if he's excellent for the Bengals again. He's also set to miss a large portion of training camp while recovering from a late-July appendectomy, though it's less of an issue given that the Bengals have continuity on offense everywhere besides the O-line.
Burrow was the favorite for rookie of the year last season before tearing the ACL and MCL in his left knee Week 11. He set team rookie records for completion percentage (65.3) and passing yards per game (268.8), grabbing the league's attention by throwing for at least 300 yards in five of his first seven games. But it was largely built on volume (40.4 attempts per game led the league through 11 weeks), while downfield passing was a struggle. Of his 46 attempts of 20-plus yards, Burrow completed just nine, for a 19.2 completion percentage that ranked 34th of 35 QBs. His on-target percentage on deep throws ranked 30th (39.1), and his 6.4 YPA was 34th. Part of the problem was limited arm strength, but Burrow also had to rush throws as he was pressured on 28.3 percent of his downfield dropbacks. He was sacked 32 times, a 51-sack full-season pace. To mitigate the pass rush, the Bengals took advantage of his mobility by regularly rolling him out, and often relied on a quick passing game with intermediate routes. On attempts of 8-15 yards, his on-target percentage ranked 11th (70.0) and his completion percentage 10th (62.0). The Bengals upgraded their receiving group by reuniting Burrow with college teammate Ja'Marr Chase, the fifth overall pick in the draft. Chase will team with Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins, giving Burrow three quality wideouts. And Joe Mixon, who was limited to six games last year, is healthy and provides a solid rushing attack. Burrow has a lot of room for growth, and with improved downfield passing could easily outperform his ADP.
Burrow had perhaps the greatest season by a quarterback in college football history last year. He led the nation in passing yards (5,671) and completion percentage (76.3) while throwing an FBS-record 60 TD passes, guiding LSU to the national championship and winning the Heisman Trophy along with pretty much every passing award. Making him the No. 1 pick in the draft was an easy choice for the Bengals. Also an easy choice was releasing long-time starting QB Andy Dalton one week later (and saving $17 million) to make Burrow the unquestioned starter. At 6-3, 221, Burrow has good size, and scouts rave about his leadership, competitiveness and football IQ. He doesn't possess elite arm strength — it's below average for an NFL starter — but he has tremendous vision, rapidly works through his progressions, has excellent touch and is consistently accurate. He has a skilled group of playmakers to help him acclimate in Cincinnati, with A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon returning and 6-3 wideout Tee Higgins drafted in the second round. The biggest concern is the offensive line. The Bengals were terrible up front last season, but the return of 2019 first-round pick LT Jonah Williams from an injury should help, as should the signing of RG Xavier Su'a-Filo. Fortunately, Burrow is plenty mobile, capable of extending plays with his legs and making throws on the move. If he plays 16 games as expected, the rookie should have enough passing volume (the Bengals threw 616 times last season, 6th most) that it won't take much for him to be a top-10 fantasy QB with his rushing contributions.
More Fantasy News
Explodes for five-TD day Sunday
QBCincinnati Bengals
November 3, 2024
Burrow completed 27 of 39 passes for 251 yards with five touchdowns and one interception while adding three rushes for 11 yards in the Bengals' 41-24 win over the Raiders on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Unremarkable numbers in loss
QBCincinnati Bengals
October 27, 2024
Burrow completed 26 of 37 passes for 234 yards with one touchdown and one interception and rushed three times for 15 yards in the Bengals' 37-17 loss to the Eagles on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Solid second-half effort
QBCincinnati Bengals
October 20, 2024
Burrow completed 15 of 25 passes for 181 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in Sunday's 21-14 win over Cleveland. He added three rushes for minus-3 yards.
ANALYSIS
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Makes difference as rusher
QBCincinnati Bengals
October 13, 2024
Burrow completed 19 of 28 pass attempts for 208 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions in Sunday's 17-7 win over the Giants. He added four rushes for 55 yards and a touchdown.
ANALYSIS
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Huge performance not enough Sunday
QBCincinnati Bengals
October 6, 2024
Burrow completed 30 of 39 passes for 392 yards and five touchdowns with one interception in Sunday's 41-38 overtime loss to the Ravens. He added one rushing yard on two carries.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be without Higgins vs. Philly
QBCincinnati Bengals
October 25, 2024
Burrow could be without Tee Higgins for Sunday's game against the Eagles due to a quadriceps injury, Jay Morrison of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Higgins missed the first two games of the regular season due to a hamstring injury, and he is now listed as questionable for Sunday's game after he injured his quadriceps during Friday's practice. Burrow has found more success in the passing game since Higgins' return, as the latter has opened the field for fellow wideout Ja'Marr Chase and the rest of the Bengals' offense. If Higgins cannot play, the Eagles' defense would hone in more on Chase, and Burrow would have to turn to Andrei Iosivas, Erick All, Mike Gesicki and Jermaine Burton to collectively make up for Higgins' production.
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