Tyler O'Neill

Tyler O'Neill

30-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Baltimore Orioles
2026 Stats
AVG
.286
HR
1
RBI
3
R
3
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
AVG
HR
RBI
R
SB
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2026 Fantasy Outlook
The Orioles handed O'Neill an ill-advised three year, $49.5 million contract last offseason after he slugged 31 homers in 113 games in 2024 in his lone year with the Red Sox. The muscle-bound O'Neill's durability issues popped up again in 2025, as he played in only 54 games and finished with a sub-.200 batting average. Things looked better under the hood, as O'Neill vastly underperformed his expected stats, sporting a .375 xwOBA that was 78 points higher than his .297 wOBA. The hard-hit rate was down at a mediocre 39.1 percent, but O'Neill sported a 16.5 percent barrel rate and he also got his strikeout rate under 25 percent for the first time in his career. Given his contract, O'Neill should get another chance to be an everyday player, and he's certainly capable of providing a jolt of power when on the field. However, fantasy managers must bake in significant injury risk for a player who's reached 500 plate appearances just once in his career. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
#377
ADP
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 5'11"
Weight 200
DOB 6/22/1995
Born Burnaby, Canada
College None
Drafted 3rd Rd 2013 SEA
Signed a one-year, $16.5 million contract with the Orioles in December of 2024. Exercised two-year, $33 million player option for 2026 and 2027 in November of 2025.
Sitting for second time on weekend
OFBaltimore Orioles
March 29, 2026
O'Neill is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins.
Analysis
Though the right-handed-hitting O'Neill has now hit the bench for two of the Orioles' first three games while Baltimore has faced three right-handed starting pitchers, he still should continue to play at least semi-regularly versus righties. Despite not starting in Saturday's 4-1 win, O'Neill still ended up going 0-for-2 while playing the final three innings in right field after coming off the bench to replace Dylan Beavers.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+45%
OPS vs LHP
2026
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+70%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024vs Left 1.024 216 34 20 37 2 .267 .380 .644
Since 2024vs Right .705 475 65 21 53 6 .212 .299 .406
2026vs Left .000 1 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2026vs Right 1.333 8 3 1 3 0 .333 .500 .833
2025vs Left .646 59 8 4 8 1 .157 .254 .392
2025vs Right .699 150 14 5 18 3 .215 .307 .392
2024vs Left 1.179 156 26 16 29 1 .313 .429 .750
2024vs Right .693 317 48 15 32 3 .208 .290 .403
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits→ View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2026
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024Home .777 334 47 22 56 2 .212 .299 .478
Since 2024Away .824 357 52 19 34 6 .245 .347 .477
2026Home 1.159 9 3 1 3 0 .286 .444 .714
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home .667 96 11 5 14 2 .181 .281 .386
2025Away .699 113 11 4 12 2 .214 .301 .398
2024Home .809 229 33 16 39 0 .222 .301 .507
2024Away .883 244 41 15 22 4 .260 .369 .514
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Stat Review
How does Tyler O'Neill compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.43
 
BB Rate
10.5%
 
K Rate
24.4%
 
BABIP
.218
 
ISO
.193
 
AVG
.199
 
OBP
.292
 
SLG
.392
 
OPS
.684
 
wOBA
.301
 
Exit Velocity
88.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.3%
 
Barrels/PA
10.5%
 
Expected BA
.247
 
Expected SLG
.523
 
Sprint Speed
23.4 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
31.6%
 
Line Drive %
16.5%
 
Fly Ball %
51.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Tyler O'Neill Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
There was perhaps no more obvious change of scenery candidate last offseason than O'Neill, and he got to wipe the slate clean when the Cardinals traded him to the Red Sox in December. The hulking outfielder went on to slug 31 home runs, with much of that damage coming against left-handed pitching (he slashed .313/.430/.750 versus southpaws). Among players with at least 450 plate appearances, only Zack Gelof had a worse strikeout rate than O'Neill's 33.6 percent mark. However, he did his best to counterbalance that with a career-high 11.6 percent walk rate. O'Neill made three different trips to the injured list and will remain a good bet to miss time again in 2025, but he was able to avoid any long-term absences in 2024. The Orioles signed O'Neill to a three-year, $49.5 million deal just weeks after announcing they were moving in their left field fences. Baltimore has the depth to give O'Neill strategic off days against tough righties, but he should hit pretty regularly in the middle of a strong lineup.
After being limited to 96 games in 2022, O'Neill's stated goal last offseason was to tailor his workouts to prevent future injury. It didn't work, as O'Neill played just 72 contests in 2023 due to back, knee and foot problems. When on the field, the 28-year-old's production sagged to just a .715 OPS and nine homers in 266 plate appearances. O'Neill's plate discipline actually trended in a positive direction for the second straight year, but his quality of contact also dropped off again so perhaps he's best off returning to the ultra aggressiveness he displayed during his breakout 2021 campaign. He was traded to Boston this offseason, which not only signals a more secure role but a major upgrade in home park factors. Durability remains a significant concern, but he should produce for fantasy managers while healthy.
After parlaying a more aggressive approach the prior year into his best season, O'Neill reverted to exhibiting more selectivity and his production suffered. Maybe it was injury-related as O'Neill dealt with shoulder, hamstring and leg issues over the course of the season. His strikeout rate decreased to a career-low 26.9%, but his average exit velocity dipped 3.2 mph and the ever-important average exit velocity on fly balls fell 4.1 mph. The litany of injuries limited O'Neill to just 96 games, though they didn't inhibit running as O'Neill stole 14 bases, one fewer than 2021 in 42 fewer games. Getting a read on O'Neill is difficult since he's displayed two different skill sets, perhaps due to injuries. As such, O'Neill remains a high-risk, high-reward option, with both health and performance questions. O'Neill's power/speed potential is enticing, but it's dangerous to chase.
In 2020, O'Neill improved selectivity, but he hit the ball with less authority. Last season, he regained some aggressiveness, establishing a new career best with 94th percentile average exit velocity and 93rd percentile hard-hit rate. The improvement began in 2020 when he chased fewer sliders and curves while increasing contact on both. Last season, he kept this, adding a 5-mph jump in average exit velocity on breakers. O'Neill's plate skills are still suspect, but he found a combination allowing him to drive the ball with pitch recognition the key. This bodes well for continued growth as O'Neill's athleticism just needed improved baseball sense. Health is an issue as O'Neill lost time with groin, finger, and back issues, though nothing appears chronic. O'Neill's defense remained a plus. Repeating last season's rate stats will be a challenge, but more playing time should keep counting stats bountiful.
O'Neill is an enigma. Physically, he screams athlete. He has a lot of raw power and speed to spare and looks like he could play slot receiver in the NFL. Those tools have yet to translate into much on the stat sheet as through 450 career PA; he has struck out 34.0% of the time and posted a .229/.291/.422 slash line. On the positive side, both his walk rate and strikeout rate have improved in each of his three seasons at the big-league level, but there is still too much swing-and-miss in his game. In 2020 we saw him rather overmatched at the plate, particularly against the fastball (.155 BA), and breaking balls (.186) continue to be a problem. The Cardinals traded away Tommy Pham and Randy Arozarena in recent seasons to help clear a path for O'Neill, so they hope he continues to improve at the plate to close the gorge between his tools and his production.
O'Neill was slowed by a number of injuries during the 2019 campaign, and as a result, he was limited to 60 major-league contests. During that span, he hit .262 with five home runs and 16 RBI, though he struck out at an alarming rate (35.1 K%) and finished with a 91 wRC+. He also walked in just 6.6% of his plate appearances. Oddly enough, O'Neill showcased more power against right-handed pitching, as all five of his long balls came against right-handers. O'Neill's sample size in the big leagues is still relatively small at this point, but he continues to struggle with plate discipline along with maintaining good health over the course of a major-league season. Taking into consideration the depth that the Cardinals currently have in the outfield, the 24-year-old appears to have his work cut out for him in spring training if he's to make the Opening Day roster.
O'Neill split his time in 2018 between Triple-A Memphis and St. Louis, and certainly flashed his big-league potential with nine home runs in only 142 at-bats while showing off an impressive outfield glove. The 23-year-old has little else to prove after posting a 1.078 OPS at Triple-A, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate to the majors. The big issue is his plate discipline. He posted a 40.1 K% and 4.9 BB% with the Cardinals. It was obviously a small sample size, but his strikeout rate ranked third worst in MLB among hitters with 100-plus PA, behind only Drew Robinson and Brett Phillips. Players like Aaron Judge have famously overcome similarly rough debuts, and O'Neill won't turn 24 until June 22. He will certainly get a chance to showcase himself come spring training, and has as much raw power as anyone on the roster. However, the Cardinals' outfield depth means he may be ticketed for Triple-A again to start the season.
The Cardinals netted O'Neill from Seattle for a soft-tossing southpaw (Marco Gonzales) who brings a 5.47 MLB ERA into his age-26 season. That's a good way of contextualizing how valuable the 22-year-old slugger is. He has posted isolated power figures above .200 at every stop above rookie ball, but his .293 average (.364 BABIP) at Double-A in 2016 now looks like an extreme outlier. The power is very legitimate, but so are his swing and miss issues. He has kept his strikeout rate below 30 percent over the past two seasons, but he is the type of a player who gets to the majors and immediately strikes out roughly 35 percent of the time because there are fewer mistakes to crush and big-league pitchers will exploit the holes in his swing. Throw in the fact that the Cardinals have a heap of young big-league-ready outfielders, and it's hard to see where he fits in. If he appears in line to get regular at-bats, he will be worth rostering in deeper formats, but not before then.
O'Neill does not look the part of a top-50 prospect. He looks like he could be the body-building nephew of Ty Wigginton or Casey McGehee. Right or wrong, scouts factor in physical appearance, which is one reason why it took so long for the 5-foot-11, 210-pound corner outfielder to emerge as someone prospect hounds took seriously. Another factor that limited O'Neill's value heading into 2016 was the amount of swing-and-miss in his game. However, for the first time since he was 18 and playing in the Arizona League, he posted a strikeout rate south of 30 percent (26.1 percent). He also walked at a career-best 10.8 percent clip and sported a 152 wRC+ while playing in the neutral hitting environments of the Southern League, putting to rest any concerns that his 2015 numbers were buoyed by the thin air of the Cal League. The power is plus, the hit tool is average, and the bandwagon is starting to fill up.
After hitting 13 homers in 57 games at Low-A in 2014, O’Neill exploded for 32 big flies in 106 games with High-A Bakersfield last season. There are some flaws in his game -- namely a dubious hit tool, an abundance of swing-and-miss and uncertainty about where he is best suited to play in the field. O’Neill’s 30.5-percent K rate last season was not completely irresponsible given his game power, but if his home run production dips then that K rate would quickly become more unsavory. His .260/.316/.558 slash line can also be downgraded a bit due to the extreme hitting environments of Bakersfield and the California League in general. He stole 16 bases on 21 attempts, but at 5-foot-11, 205, double-digit steals seem unlikely. O’Neill’s overall value will ultimately hinge on his hit tool. If he can hit .240 or .250, then he could be an everyday player in left field or DH.
More Fantasy News
Starting opener versus righty
OFBaltimore Orioles
March 26, 2026
O'Neill will start in right field and bat sixth in Thursday's opener versus the Twins.
Analysis
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No restrictions at camp
OFBaltimore Orioles
February 17, 2026
Manager Craig Albernaz said Tuesday that he isn't managing O'Neill's workload this spring, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
Analysis
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Does not exercise opt out
OFBaltimore Orioles
November 3, 2025
O'Neill will remain with the Orioles after declining to exercise the opt-out clause in his contract, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
Analysis
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Taking seat Sunday
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 21, 2025
O'Neill is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Yankees.
Analysis
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Idle Friday
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 19, 2025
O'Neill is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Yankees.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Squeezed for playing time?
OFBaltimore Orioles
December 31, 2025
Baltimore's offseason additions of Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward could result in O'Neill beginning 2026 as more of a part-time player.
Analysis
O'Neill exercised his two-year, $33 million player option with the Orioles earlier this offseason, but he may not have much in the form of guaranteed playing time after posting a .684 OPS in just 54 games last season. Samuel Basallo is expected to see run at designated hitter while splitting catching duties with Adley Rutschman, potentially leaving O'Neill to fill the small side of a platoon.
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