Rotowire DFS Tools
DAILY MATCHUPS (Vegas Odds, Team Efficiency, Pace, Opposing Stats)
DraftKings and FanDuel Best Values (RotoWire Optimizer)
Top 5 FanDuel
PLAYER | POS | TEAM | OPP | SAL | FPTS | VAL | MINS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DeWanna Bonner | G | CON | @ATL | 7800 | 50.3 | 6.4 | 33 |
Sabrina Ionescu | G | NY | IND | 7500 | 46.4 | 6.2 | 33 |
Jazmine Jones | G | NY | IND | 5600 | 34.2 | 6.1 | 24 |
Sami Whitcomb | G | NY | IND | 3800 | 22.3 | 5.9 | 18 |
Kayla McBride | G | MIN | PHO | 3600 | 21.3 | 5.9 | 21 |
Top 5 DraftKings
PLAYER | POS | TEAM | OPP | SAL | FPTS | VAL | MINS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jessica Breland | F | IND | @NY | 3000 | 29.6 | 9.9 | 23 |
Aerial Powers | F | MIN | PHO | 3200 | 29.5 | 9.2 | 24 |
Erica Wheeler | G | LA | DAL | 3200 | 27.4 | 8.6 | 24 |
Jonquel Jones | F | CON | @ATL | 7000 | 46.2 | 6.6 | 29 |
Jantel Lavender | F | IND | @NY | 3000 | 18.1 | 6 | 20 |
Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty
Injuries
Note: All return dates are just estimates
Indiana
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lauren Cox | F | Knee | OUT | 5/16/2021 |
Aaliyah Wilson | G | Foot | OUT | 5/30/2021 |
Florencia Chagas | G | Personal | OUT | 10/1/2021 |
Temi Fagbenle | F | Personal | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
Julie Allemand | G | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
New York
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Natasha Howard | C | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/16/2021 |
Kiah Stokes | C | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/16/2021 |
Rebecca Allen | F | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/16/2021 |
Leaonna Odom | F | Achilles | OUT | 5/16/2021 |
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe | F | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
Asia Durr | G | Illness | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
Han Xu | C | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
Marine Johannes | G | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
Jocelyn Willoughby | F | Achilles | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
2020 Player Stats
Indiana
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelsey Mitchell | Ind | G | 22 | 32.1 | 17.9 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.5 |
Candice Dupree | Ind | F | 22 | 30.3 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Tiffany Mitchell | Ind | G | 19 | 26.6 | 12.7 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Teaira McCowan | Ind | C | 22 | 21.2 | 10.9 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1 | 0 |
Julie Allemand | Ind | G | 22 | 32.5 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2 |
Kennedy Burke | Ind | G | 22 | 18.2 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Natalie Achonwa | Ind | F | 18 | 20.1 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
Lauren Cox | Ind | F | 14 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Victoria Vivians | Ind | G | 6 | 14.2 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.3 |
Kathleen Doyle | Ind | G | 18 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
Kamiah Smalls | Ind | G | 7 | 14.3 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 |
Stephanie Mavunga | Ind | F | 5 | 11.8 | 5 | 4 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
Alisia Jenkins | Ind | F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
New York
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kia Nurse | NY | G | 21 | 27.5 | 12.2 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 |
Layshia Clarendon | NY | G | 19 | 26.1 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.8 |
Jazmine Jones | NY | G | 20 | 21.4 | 10.8 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Amanda Zahui B. | NY | C | 21 | 25.3 | 9 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
Jocelyn Willoughby | NY | G | 22 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
Kiah Stokes | NY | C | 22 | 27.3 | 5.7 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Leaonna Odom | NY | F | 22 | 20.6 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
Kylee Shook | NY | F | 20 | 14.5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Paris Kea | NY | G | 11 | 15 | 6.9 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
Megan Walker | NY | F | 18 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.3 |
Joyner Holmes | NY | F | 19 | 10 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
Sabrina Ionescu | NY | G | 3 | 26.7 | 18.3 | 4.7 | 4 | 0.7 | 0 | 2.3 |
The Skinny
This matchup features the two worst teams in the league last season by net rating, with the Liberty checking in last and the Fever coming in 11th. The two teams don't figure to be a ton better this season, though the Liberty are in markedly worse shape to open the campaign due to the laundry list of absences noted above. Because of that, there appears to be plenty of value potentially available on the Liberty side if you're playing on FanDuel tonight. Sabrina Ionescu, Jazmine Jones and Sami Whitcomb all appear on the list because of the volume of minutes they should play. On the opposing side, we find that Jessica Breland may have been overlooked in the pricing considering she joins an underwhelming Indiana squad after starting every game she played in from 2017-19 (she sat out 2020). Breland may not quite hit the same minutes count she had in the three prior seasons and may not start the opener, but she should still be heavily involved in the rotation and the Fever are down some frontcourt depth with Lauren Cox out. Not included on the list but also worth mentioning is that Kylee Shook, who should be allotted all of the minutes she can handle with goth Natasha Howard and Kiah Stokes out.
Connecticut Sun vs Atlanta Dream
Injuries
Note: All return dates are just estimates
Connecticut
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jasmine Thomas | G | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/16/2021 |
Alyssa Thomas | F | Achilles | OUT | 9/7/2021 |
Atlanta
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tiffany Hayes | G | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/19/2021 |
Cheyenne Parker | F | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/19/2021 |
Raquel Carrera | C | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/29/2021 |
Maite Cazorla | G | Personal | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
2020 Player Stats
Connecticut
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DeWanna Bonner | Con | G | 22 | 33.3 | 19.7 | 7.8 | 3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Alyssa Thomas | Con | F | 21 | 32.8 | 15.5 | 9 | 4.8 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 |
Brionna Jones | Con | C | 21 | 26.1 | 11.2 | 5.6 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
Jasmine Thomas | Con | G | 19 | 25.5 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
Natisha Hiedeman | Con | G | 22 | 18.5 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0 | 1 |
Kaila Charles | Con | G | 21 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Bria Holmes | Con | G | 18 | 16.2 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Briann January | Con | G | 13 | 23.3 | 5 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis | Con | F | 16 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Beatrice Mompremier | Con | F | 21 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 |
Essence Carson | Con | G | 11 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
Theresa Plaisance | Con | F | 13 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Jacki Gemelos | Con | G | 6 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.5 |
Atlanta
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Betnijah Laney | Atl | G | 22 | 33.5 | 17.2 | 4.9 | 4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
Courtney Williams | Atl | G | 20 | 30.8 | 14.6 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
Chennedy Carter | Atl | G | 16 | 25.4 | 17.4 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
Elizabeth Williams | Atl | F | 22 | 29.4 | 10.1 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0 |
Monique Billings | Atl | F | 22 | 27.1 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0 |
Shekinna Stricklen | Atl | G | 22 | 21.9 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 | 1.5 |
Blake Dietrick | Atl | G | 22 | 21 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 |
Glory Johnson | Atl | F | 18 | 15.4 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
Kalani Brown | Atl | C | 10 | 6.1 | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
Alexis Jones | Atl | G | 6 | 8.8 | 4 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.2 |
Jaylyn Agnew | Atl | F | 12 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 |
Brittany Brewer | Atl | F | 5 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
Kaela Davis | Atl | G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Erica McCall | Atl | F | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
The Skinny
The Sun have escaped most of the overseas absentees, but they will still be down a couple of key players. Jasmine Thomas' absence should open minutes for Natisha Hiedeman to run the point for Connecticut on Friday, which should shoot her value up for the night considerably. Alyssa Thomas also suffered an injury before the season that will leave the Sun down an expected big-time contributor for most, if not all of the 2021 campaign. DeWanna Bonner also shows up as arguably the best value of the night on FanDuel for the Friday slate, and she shouldn't be too difficult to fit in the lineup given the numerous value options available in multiple games. Atlanta, a three-point underdog to the Sun, isn't projected to claim huge value plays on the night, but Chennedy Carter should remain under consideration on both sets and Tianna Hawkins and Courtney Williams could be worth a look on FanDuel if you're looking for players who may not be utilized quite as much as the obvious plays. Carter and Williams may be leaned on a bit more heavily than usual with Tiffany Hayes out and Hawkins likely benefits from Cheyenne Parker's unavailability.
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx
Injuries
Note: All return dates are just estimates
Phoenix
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kia Vaughn | C | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/16/2021 |
Bria Hartley | G | Knee | OUT | 6/1/2021 |
Minnesota
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kayla McBride | G | Not Injury Related | GTD | 5/14/2021 |
Napheesa Collier | F | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/18/2021 |
Rennia Davis | G | Foot | OUT | 5/18/2021 |
Maya Moore | F | Personal | OUT | 3/1/2022 |
2020 Player Stats
Phoenix
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Skylar Diggins-Smith | Pho | G | 22 | 30.7 | 17.7 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
Diana Taurasi | Pho | G | 19 | 28.1 | 18.7 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 1 | 0.4 | 3.2 |
Brittney Griner | Pho | C | 12 | 31.8 | 17.7 | 7.5 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0 |
Bria Hartley | Pho | G | 13 | 24.8 | 14.6 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0 | 1.9 |
Brianna Turner | Pho | F | 22 | 27.9 | 7.2 | 9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | Pho | G | 21 | 19 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1 |
Kia Vaughn | Pho | C | 22 | 18.9 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
Alanna Smith | Pho | F | 19 | 15.6 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Sophie Cunningham | Pho | G | 21 | 18.9 | 5 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Nia Coffey | Pho | F | 15 | 15.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Shey Peddy | Pho | G | 8 | 17.6 | 4 | 3 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
Alisia Jenkins | Pho | F | 2 | 11.5 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Minnesota
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Napheesa Collier | Min | F | 22 | 34.2 | 16.1 | 9 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Crystal Dangerfield | Min | G | 21 | 30 | 16.2 | 2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0 | 1.6 |
Damiris Dantas | Min | C | 22 | 26.6 | 12.9 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
Bridget Carleton | Min | G | 22 | 25.8 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 |
Rachel Banham | Min | G | 20 | 17 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
Odyssey Sims | Min | G | 13 | 18.5 | 9.4 | 2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Lexie Brown | Min | G | 17 | 22 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.8 |
Sylvia Fowles | Min | C | 7 | 24 | 14.6 | 9.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0 |
Shenise Johnson | Min | G | 17 | 12.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | Min | F | 21 | 11.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Erica McCall | Min | F | 19 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Kayla Alexander | Min | C | 16 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 |
Karima Christmas-Kelly | Min | G | 2 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Megan Huff | Min | F | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The Skinny
Phoenix is another team that hasn't been bit very hard by the overseas bug, missing only Kia Vaughn for the opener for that reason. It should be the usual cast of characters for the most part for Phoenix, which likely means fewer value plays for a squad that checks in s a one-point underdog in a contest with the second-lowest (163) total on the slate. Kia Nurse, Brianna Turner and Alanna Smith are considered the best options if you're interested, while Phoenix's big salary players are pushed pretty far down the list. Minnesota is in a similar boat with plenty of frontcourt depth to cover its primary absentee in MVP candidate Napheesa Collier. Looks for the combination of Sylvia Fowles, Damiris Dantas, Jessica Shepard and Aerial Powers should absorb the majority of those minutes, though Bridget Carleton could also join the fray. Kayla McBride's status is also one worth monitoring leading up to tip-off. If she is absent, Carleton and Rachel Banham may be the primary beneficiaries there.
Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks
Injuries
Note: All return dates are just estimates
Dallas
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Marina Mabrey | G | Undisclosed | GTD | 5/14/2021 |
Awak Kuier | C | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/22/2021 |
Satou Sabally | F | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/29/2021 |
Imani McGee-Stafford | C | Personal | SUSP | 5/1/2022 |
Los Angeles
Name | Pos | Injury | Status | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Amanda Zahui B | C | Back | OUT | 5/21/2021 |
Maria Vadeeva | C | Suspension | OUT | 8/1/2021 |
Ivana Raca | F | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
Aina Ayuso | G | Not Injury Related | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
Gabby Williams | F | Suspension | OUT | 5/1/2022 |
2020 Player Stats
Dallas
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arike Ogunbowale | Dal | G | 22 | 34 | 22.8 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0 | 2.2 |
Allisha Gray | Dal | G | 20 | 26.2 | 13.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
Satou Sabally | Dal | F | 16 | 28.2 | 13.9 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Marina Mabrey | Dal | G | 18 | 22.4 | 10.6 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 |
Kayla Thornton | Dal | F | 22 | 25.3 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 |
Tyasha Harris | Dal | G | 21 | 19.6 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Katie Lou Samuelson | Dal | G | 22 | 20 | 5 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
Isabelle Harrison | Dal | C | 13 | 19.8 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0 |
Bella Alarie | Dal | F | 22 | 14 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
Astou Ndour | Dal | C | 13 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Moriah Jefferson | Dal | G | 9 | 16.7 | 5 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Megan Gustafson | Dal | F | 9 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |
Los Angeles
Player | Team | Pos | G | Min | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candace Parker | LA | F | 22 | 30.2 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Chelsea Gray | LA | G | 22 | 30.9 | 14 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Nneka Ogwumike | LA | F | 18 | 26.4 | 13.3 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
Riquna Williams | LA | G | 21 | 21.1 | 10.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2 |
Brittney Sykes | LA | G | 21 | 24.6 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
Te'a Cooper | LA | G | 20 | 17.3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.6 |
Sydney Wiese | LA | G | 19 | 19.1 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
Seimone Augustus | LA | G | 21 | 15.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Kristine Anigwe | LA | F | 17 | 11.6 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | LA | G | 17 | 14.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Marie Gulich | LA | C | 12 | 9.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
Reshanda Gray | LA | F | 10 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
The Skinny
Dallas will be down its No. 2 overall picks from this year and last year for this one, as Sabally is still playing overseas and rookie Awak Kuier is waiting for her visa issues to get resolved. Given the team's rather thin backcourt at the moment, that should mean extra minutes for Isabelle Harrison and rookie Charli Collier to help handle the size of the Sparks' frontcourt. Harrison could be a strong candidate coming in at a rather low salary, though you'll have to pick your spots using value plays because there are so many Friday. Erica Wheeler, Brittney Sykes and Chiney Ogwumike are all listed as expected starters for the Sparks on Friday and the trio all come in with reasonable salaries, so they could be worth a look if you're looking for some middle-of-the-road players to fill in the cracks of a lineup on FanDuel. Wheeler, however, is a particularly strong value option on DraftKings at just $3,200 and could be used as a low-salary value option. The Sparks sport the highest expected score on the slate, but this also has the most blowout potential, so that should be factored in to a minor extent.