2026 World Cup Winner Odds: Favorites to Win FIFA World Cup
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is set to begin on June 11, with 48 teams competing across the United States, Canada and Mexico. As the tournament approaches, sportsbooks have released World Cup winner odds, giving an early look at which nations are favored to lift the trophy.
Traditional powers like France, England, Brazil and Argentina are expected to be among the top contenders, while emerging teams and long shots will look to make a deep run in an expanded tournament format. Betting odds are influenced by squad strength, recent form, qualifying performance and projected paths through the knockout stages.
Below is a full list of 2026 World Cup winner odds, including implied probabilities and additional context such as each team's chances to win their group and reach the final.
The 2026 World Cup begins in June and RotoWire will be releasing projections, game previews, lineups and more in the weeks and months leading up to the tournament.
2026 World Cup Favorites
France, England and Brazil headline the early betting market, with each nation featuring elite attacking talent and strong depth across the squad. Argentina remains a major contender following its recent World Cup success, while teams like Spain and Germany are also expected to challenge deep into the knockout rounds.
Spain (+450) enter as the No. 2 ranked team in the world and reigning European champions, and the March 2026 window only reinforced why.
See our full 2026 World Cup Group H preview for Spain's predicted lineup, tactics and set-piece takers.
France (+600) have the squad to win this tournament and the history to back it up: two World Cup titles, a final appearance in 2022 and a core that still revolves around Kylian Mbappe at his peak.
England (+650) arrive with genuine belief after years of near misses. A semi-final in 2018, a final at Euro 2020, a semi-final at Euro 2024. The momentum has been building and the squad is now experienced enough to convert it.
Brazil (+850) under Carlo Ancelotti represent something different from recent cycles: more structured, more defensively organized, with Vinicius Junior and Raphinha still offering elite attacking quality on both wings.
Argentina (+850) are the defending champions and arrive with the core of the squad that won in Qatar still largely intact.
Several of the players mentioned above are among the frontrunners in the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot odds.
2026 World Cup Winner Odds (All Teams)
The table below shows the latest odds for each team to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, along with implied probabilities and advancement projections.
| Rank | Team | Group | To Win (American) | To Win Implied % | Reach Final Implied % | Reach SF Implied % | Reach QF Implied % | Win Group Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | H | 450 | 18.2% | 30.8% | 47.6% | 62.3% | 83.3% |
| 2 | France | I | 600 | 14.3% | 21.1% | 37.0% | 53.5% | 66.7% |
| 3 | England | L | 650 | 13.3% | 26.7% | 44.4% | 58.3% | 77.3% |
| 4 | Brazil | C | 850 | 10.5% | 20.0% | 36.4% | 50.0% | 82.6% |
| 5 | Argentina | J | 850 | 10.5% | 20.0% | 36.4% | 50.0% | 77.3% |
| 6 | Portugal | K | 1200 | 7.7% | 16.7% | 28.6% | 44.4% | 69.7% |
| 7 | Germany | E | 1400 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 26.7% | 41.7% | 77.3% |
| 8 | Netherlands | F | 2200 | 4.3% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 33.3% | 55.6% |
| 9 | Norway | I | 3000 | 3.2% | 8.3% | 18.2% | 32.3% | 27.8% |
| 10 | Belgium | G | 3500 | 2.8% | 7.1% | 16.7% | 31.3% | 71.4% |
| 11 | Colombia | K | 5000 | 2.0% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 29.4% | 29.4% |
| 12 | USA | D | 6500 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 22.2% | 41.7% |
| 13 | Morocco | C | 6600 | 1.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 21.1% | 18.2% |
| 14 | Japan | F | 7500 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 18.2% | 25.0% |
| 15 | Mexico | A | 8000 | 1.2% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 23.5% | 47.6% |
| 16 | Uruguay | H | 8000 | 1.2% | 4.8% | 13.3% | 28.6% | 20.0% |
| 17 | Switzerland | B | 10000 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 18.2% | 51.2% |
| 18 | Turkey | D | 10000 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 35.7% | ||
| 19 | Ecuador | E | 10000 | 1.0% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| 20 | Croatia | L | 10000 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| 21 | Senegal | I | 12500 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 13.3% | 15.4% |
| 22 | Sweden | F | 15000 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 20.0% | ||
| 23 | Austria | J | 15000 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 12.5% | 18.2% |
| 24 | Canada | B | 20000 | 0.5% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 15.4% | 27.8% |
| 25 | Paraguay | D | 20000 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 12.5% | 19.0% |
| 26 | Bosnia | B | 25000 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 27.8% | ||
| 27 | Scotland | C | 25000 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| 28 | Czech Republic | A | 30000 | 0.3% | 2.4% | 29.4% | ||
| 29 | Ivory Coast | E | 30000 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% |
| 30 | Egypt | G | 30000 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 12.5% | 18.2% |
| 31 | Algeria | J | 40000 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 10.0% | 13.3% |
| 32 | Ghana | L | 40000 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% |
| 33 | South Korea | A | 50000 | 0.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 12.5% | 25.0% |
| 34 | Australia | D | 50000 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 4.8% | 12.5% |
| 35 | Tunisia | F | 50000 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 4.8% | 11.1% |
| 36 | Iran | G | 50000 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 14.3% | ||
| 37 | DR Congo | K | 75000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 11.1% | ||
| 38 | South Africa | A | 100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% |
| 39 | Qatar | B | 100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| 40 | Saudi Arabia | H | 100000 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% |
| 41 | Iraq | I | 150000 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.8% | ||
| 42 | Panama | L | 150000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 43 | New Zealand | G | 200000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% |
| 44 | Cape Verde | H | 200000 | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| 45 | Uzbekistan | K | 200000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| 46 | Curacao | E | 250000 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 47 | Jordan | J | 250000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| 48 | Haiti | C | 300000 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
How World Cup Winner Odds Work
World Cup winner odds represent each team's implied probability of lifting the trophy in July 2026. To convert American odds to an implied probability, divide 100 by the odds plus 100 for positive lines, so +450 Spain implies roughly an 18-percent chance. For negative lines, divide the odds by the odds plus 100.
Sportsbooks set these lines based on several factors: squad quality and depth, recent international results, the projected path through the bracket and the historical weight each nation carries at major tournaments. Odds shift as the tournament approaches, responding to injury news, final squad announcements and warm-up results.
For confirmed squads and predicted starting XIs for every team, see our 2026 World Cup predicted lineups.
Recent World Cup Winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2022 | Argentina |
| 2018 | France |
| 2014 | Germany |
| 2010 | Spain |
*Odds can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook. If you need to sign up, click through our DraftKings promo code page for a deposit bonus.
