2025 Receiving Stats
REC
84
YDS
1048
TD
2
AVG
12.5
TAR
141
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kirk Cousins' departure from Minnesota last offseason dropped Jefferson from his familiar perch as an early first-round fantasy pick, leaving him as more of a mid-round-1 guy amidst concerns about Vikings QBs Sam Darnold and J.J. McCarthy. It ended up being good value, with an average of 18.7 PPR points representing Jefferson's lowest mark since his 2020 rookie season yet still enough to rank second among WRs in total points and fourth in points per game. There seems to be less concern about a new QB this time around, after Jefferson and Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell coaxed 35 TD passes out of Darnold. We don't yet know if McCarthy, last year's 10th overall pick, will end up being an upgrade, a downgrade or about the same as Darnold, but it's safe to say the 22-year-old's statistics will look better than his actual performance. O'Connell not only likes to chuck the ball around but also is among the best at scheming it up, and the Vikings have talented ancillary pass catchers (WR Jordan Addison, TE T.J. Hockenson, WR Adam Thielen) to take some of the heat off Jefferson without truly threatening his volume. If Jefferson goes in the middle part of Round 1 rather than the early part this year, it's seemingly a matter of optimism regarding RBs Bijan Robinson, Saquon Barkley and Jahmyr Gibbs more so than fears about McCarthy. Early ADP feedback has Jefferson safely in the WR2 spot, behind only Ja'Marr Chase. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Extends 1,000-yard season streak
Jefferson caught eight of 11 targets for 101 yards in Sunday's 16-3 win over the Packers.
ANALYSIS
It's been a tough season for Jefferson due to the Vikings' issues at quarterback, but with his first 100-yard performance since Week 5, the superstar wideout was able to record his sixth straight 1,000-yard campaign to begin his career. Jefferson wraps up the year with an 84-1,048-2 line on 141 targets, the worst yardage and TD totals of his career, and one of Minnesota's biggest priorities this offseason will be finding a way to build chemistry between J.J. McCarthy (hand) and his most talented target.
It's been a tough season for Jefferson due to the Vikings' issues at quarterback, but with his first 100-yard performance since Week 5, the superstar wideout was able to record his sixth straight 1,000-yard campaign to begin his career. Jefferson wraps up the year with an 84-1,048-2 line on 141 targets, the worst yardage and TD totals of his career, and one of Minnesota's biggest priorities this offseason will be finding a way to build chemistry between J.J. McCarthy (hand) and his most talented target.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Justin Jefferson's 2025 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
85.6Air Yards Per Snap
1.46% Team Air Yards
38.3%% Team Targets
29.7%Avg Depth of Target
10.5 YdsCatch Rate
53.9%Drop Rate
2.1%Avg Yds After Catch
5.0% Targeted On Route
26.3%Avg Yds Per Route Run
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2025 NFL Game Log
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2025 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Justin Jefferson lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Packers pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
vs Packers
Sunday, Jan 4th at 1:00PM
Overall QB Rating Against
81.5
Cornerbacks
96.8
Safeties
59.3
Linebackers
78.4
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2025 Justin Jefferson Split Stats
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Measurables Review
View College Player Page
How do Justin Jefferson's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"Weight
195 lbs40-Yard Dash
4.43 secVertical Jump
37.5 inBroad Jump
126 inHand Length
9.13 inArm Length
33.00 inPast Fantasy Outlooks
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2023
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2020
Jefferson reached 1,400 yards as a rookie, 1,600 as a sophomore, 1,800 in Year 3 and then looked ready to push for 2,000 early last season. He was already up to 571 in Week 5 when a hamstring injury knocked him out for the fourth quarter and then the next seven games. Jefferson's long-awaited return was spoiled by a chest injury after 13 snaps, but he came back the next week and exploded for 476 yards over the final four games to comfortably clear 1,000 yards for the season (1,074). If not for the two partial games, he almost certainly would've led the league in receiving yards per game for a second straight year, though Miami's Tyreek Hill was the undisputed king for both 2022 and 2023 in terms of per-route production. Jefferson is by no means lacking in that regard -- he's been Top 10 in yards per route in all four of his seasons -- but it helps that he almost never comes off the field when healthy and spent the past two years in Kevin O'Connell offenses that threw the ball 676 (3rd) and 631 (4th) times. O'Connell is still around, but the Minnesota offense is much harder to decipher after TE T.J. Hockenson suffered a late-season ACL tear and QB Kirk Cousins left for Atlanta. While few teams can match the WR pairing of Jefferson and 2023 first-round pick Jordan Addison, there's obvious risk of a down year with Sam Darnold taking the QB snaps.
More Fantasy News
Production lacking again
Jefferson caught four of five targets for 30 yards in the Vikings' 23-10 win over the Lions on Christmas Day.
ANALYSIS
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Posts 85 yards in Week 16
Jefferson caught six of eight targets for 85 yards in Sunday's 16-13 win over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Win doesn't cure cold spell
Jefferson was held to two receptions on eight targets for 22 yards in Sunday's 34-26 win over the Cowboys.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles continue in Week 14
Jefferson caught two of four targets for 11 yards in Sunday's 31-0 win over the Commanders.
ANALYSIS
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Career-low yardage Sunday
Jefferson was held to two receptions on four targets for four yards in Sunday's 26-0 loss to Seattle.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Held back by putrid QB play
Jefferson had only two catches for four yards in Minnesota's shutout loss to the Seahawks on Sunday, Kevin Seifert of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Sunday's struggles showed even Jefferson needs passable quarterback play to make a difference. The Vikings didn't get that from undrafted rookie Max Brosmer in his first NFL start, as Brosmer was picked off four times and failed to lead the offense to any points. Jefferson was performing below his usual standards while catching passes from the struggling J.J. McCarthy, but the Vikings would welcome McCarthy back with open arms if he clears concussion protocol before a Week 14 home game against the Commanders.
Sunday's struggles showed even Jefferson needs passable quarterback play to make a difference. The Vikings didn't get that from undrafted rookie Max Brosmer in his first NFL start, as Brosmer was picked off four times and failed to lead the offense to any points. Jefferson was performing below his usual standards while catching passes from the struggling J.J. McCarthy, but the Vikings would welcome McCarthy back with open arms if he clears concussion protocol before a Week 14 home game against the Commanders.









