NBA Best Bets Today - Free Picks for Tuesday, November 21

NBA Best Bets Today - Free Picks for Tuesday, November 21

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Best Bets

Clint Capela over 10.5 points + Hawks to cover -3.5 points vs. Pacers (+236)

DraftKings, 4:23 PM CT

Alex Barutha: The Pacers allow the most points per game to opposing centers, and this game has a staggering 252.5 over/under -- both things in massive favor to Capela. Atlanta also has a two-day rest advantage over the Pacers, and given I think they're the better team and at home, I'm happy taking them to cover a relatively small spread.

Suns 1Q moneyline + game moneyline vs. Trail Blazers (-180)

DraftKings, 4:30 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Longtime readers of the column know I don't like taking double-digit favorites on the spread for fear of the backdoor cover. Well, enter the 1Q + game moneyline bet. What I like about this particular game is that Portland, in addition to being terrible, is playing their 6th game in 10 days, and they're on the road. Something else I like in this game is Jusuf Nurkic 11+ points, 10+ rebounds and 2+ blocks at +700. Portland allows the second-most PPG, second-most BLKs and third-most RPG to opposing centers. The concern is a possible blowout limiting Nurkic's minutes, making it hard for me to fully endorse it.

Jazz +7.5 at Lakers (-110)

FanDuel, 4:40 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Admittedly, this play is a slight shot in the dark due to LeBron being questionable. But the process is in regards to an absurd rest differential. Somehow, the schedule-makers have set the Lakers up with their 10th game in 18 days. They haven't had two days off since Nov. 1-4. It's the Lakers' fifth game in a week, and the Jazz have played five games in the past 12 days. Braver souls than me should consider Utah to win the 3Q + the game at +436, banking on the Lakers completely running out of juice after halftime.

Dejounte Murray O24.5 PTS+REB vs. Indiana Pacers

DraftKings Sportsbook, 3pm CT

Nick Whalen: Murray is coming off of a pair of down games against the Knicks and Sixers, but the matchup could not be better for a bounceback. The total in this game is an astounding 252.0, thanks in large part to Indiana's fast-paced style and 26th-ranked defense. Prior to the Sixers and Knicks matchups, Murray had gone over this number in six of his previous seven games.

Darius Garland over 29.5 Points + Assists at Philly (-105)

DraftKings, 11:30am EST

Ken Crites: I'm trying hard not to overthink this.  Donovan Mitchell is out, again. In Monday's win over the Nuggets without Mitchell, Garland posted 26 points and six dimes.  Philly's defense ranks a middling 16th in points allowed per game. New starter Dean Wade just doesn't command much usage for the Cavs. I'm hoping Garland and Tyrese Maxey get into a shootout.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. Championships incude: 2016 RW Staff NBA Keeper, 2019 RW Staff NFL Ottoneu Keeper, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Experts, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Kamla Keeper and 2023-24 FSGA NBA Expert Champions. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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