2026 Stats
W-L
5-2
ERA
3.28
WHIP
1.09
K
60
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Williams' ERA dropped significantly year over year from 4.86 to 3.06, which is good. His walk rate went from a poor 9.6 percent to an unacceptable 11.8 percent, which is bad. Williams' 83 walks were the most in baseball, which is the main reason why his ERA indicators like SIERA (4.35) painted a cloudier picture than his actual ERA. That's not to say there weren't positives to take away from the 26-year-old's performance in 2025. Williams stayed healthy for 31 starts after missing half of the previous year to injury, and he accumulated 173 strikeouts over 167.2 innings. He also excelled after the All-Star break (2.18 ERA, 78:26 K:BB in 70.1 frames) and in his lone postseason outing (six innings, zero earned runs, eight strikeouts). It's possible the strong finish is a sign of things to come from a 26-year-old who was once one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. However, it will be difficult to fully trust Williams until he shows he can throw strikes at even an average-ish level. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Guardians in March of 2026.
Yields five runs in loss Tuesday
Williams (5-2) took the loss Tuesday against the Royals, allowing five runs on eight hits and two walks with seven strikeouts across six innings.
Analysis
After he was tagged for six runs over six innings against the Blue Jays on April 24, Williams pitched a season-high 7.2 innings of one-run ball against Tampa Bay last week. Williams' ERA has ballooned from 2.12 to 3.28 with the two bad outings sandwiched around his dominant start against the Rays. Williams served up a pair of homers to lefties Isaac Collins and Michael Massey at the bottom of the Royals' lineup Tuesday. Through 49.1 innings, Williams has an MLB-best 60 strikeouts, though walks (21 issued) remain a problem for the right-hander. He's in line to face the Twins at home Sunday.
After he was tagged for six runs over six innings against the Blue Jays on April 24, Williams pitched a season-high 7.2 innings of one-run ball against Tampa Bay last week. Williams' ERA has ballooned from 2.12 to 3.28 with the two bad outings sandwiched around his dominant start against the Rays. Williams served up a pair of homers to lefties Isaac Collins and Michael Massey at the bottom of the Royals' lineup Tuesday. Through 49.1 innings, Williams has an MLB-best 60 strikeouts, though walks (21 issued) remain a problem for the right-hander. He's in line to face the Twins at home Sunday.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Gavin Williams generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Gavin Williams generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-18%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .179 | 175 | 75 | 103 | 22 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .259 | 137 | 61 | 132 | 16 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .173 | 38 | 10 | 19 | 6 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .212 | 22 | 11 | 14 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .163 | 93 | 48 | 51 | 13 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .262 | 80 | 35 | 79 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .219 | 44 | 17 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .275 | 35 | 15 | 39 | 4 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-2%
ERA at Home
2026
-82%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.53 | 1.24 | 140.1 | 11.2 | 3.7 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 3.60 | 1.29 | 152.2 | 8.1 | 4.7 | ||||
| 2026Home | 0.89 | 0.74 | 20.1 | 12.4 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2026Away | 4.97 | 1.34 | 29.0 | 9.9 | 4.7 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.00 | 1.18 | 87.0 | 10.8 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.12 | 1.36 | 80.2 | 7.7 | 5.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 6.55 | 1.70 | 33.0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.56 | 1.12 | 43.0 | 7.7 | 3.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Gavin Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.86K/9
10.9BB/9
3.8HR/9
1.5Fastball
96.2 mphERA
3.28WHIP
1.09BABIP
.240GB/FB
1.50Left On Base
81.8%Exit Velocity
84.8 mphBarrels/BBE
8.4%Spin Rate
2285 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
28.4%Swinging Strike
13.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Williams didn't make his season debut with the Guardians in July after working his way back from an elbow injury suffered during spring training. While the big right-hander never really got on a roll, he pitched better than his 4.86 ERA would suggest, as his 4.14 xERA, 4.19 SIERA and 3.67 FIP indicates. Williams' strikeout prowess in the minors (33.3 percent) has not yet carried over to the major-league level (23.6 percent), and his walk rate is hovering above 10 percent with the Guardians, as well. The 25-year-old seems to still be searching for the right pitch mix, as he introduced a cutter and used a curveball as his primary breaking ball in 2024 after a slider was his main breaking pitch in 2023. Williams' pedigree and the Guardians' pitching development track record points to the righty taking a step forward eventually, and perhaps as soon as 2025.
More Fantasy News
Dominant in fifth win
Williams (5-1) picked up the win Wednesday, allowing one unearned run on five hits over 7.2 innings in a 3-1 victory over the Rays. He struck out nine without walking a batter.
Analysis
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Hangs on for fourth win
Williams (4-1) picked up the win in Friday's 8-6 victory over the Blue Jays, coughing up six runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Dominant against Baltimore
Williams (3-1) earned the win against the Orioles on Saturday, allowing one run on three hits and one walk while striking out 11 across seven innings.
Analysis
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Notches second victory
Williams (2-1) earned the win over St. Louis on Monday, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four batters over five-plus innings.
Analysis
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Walks five in no-decision
Williams did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing one run on one hit and five walks over 5.2 innings in a 2-1 win over the Royals. He struck out eight.
Analysis
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