2026 Stats
W-L
3-1
ERA
2.12
WHIP
1.01
K
40
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Williams' ERA dropped significantly year over year from 4.86 to 3.06, which is good. His walk rate went from a poor 9.6 percent to an unacceptable 11.8 percent, which is bad. Williams' 83 walks were the most in baseball, which is the main reason why his ERA indicators like SIERA (4.35) painted a cloudier picture than his actual ERA. That's not to say there weren't positives to take away from the 26-year-old's performance in 2025. Williams stayed healthy for 31 starts after missing half of the previous year to injury, and he accumulated 173 strikeouts over 167.2 innings. He also excelled after the All-Star break (2.18 ERA, 78:26 K:BB in 70.1 frames) and in his lone postseason outing (six innings, zero earned runs, eight strikeouts). It's possible the strong finish is a sign of things to come from a 26-year-old who was once one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. However, it will be difficult to fully trust Williams until he shows he can throw strikes at even an average-ish level. Read Past Outlooks
Dominant against Baltimore
Williams (3-1) earned the win against the Orioles on Saturday, allowing one run on three hits and one walk while striking out 11 across seven innings.
Analysis
Williams set the tone early by striking out four of the first five batters he faced. He limited the Orioles to just four baserunners, with his lone blemish coming in the fourth inning on a Leody Taveras solo homer, but Williams finished strongly by retiring the last 11 batters he faced. Williams generated a whopping 18 whiffs while tossing 73 strikes on 100 pitches, and it was the second time this season he posted 10-plus strikeouts. He has a 2.12 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 29.2 innings, and his 40 punchouts lead the majors. He's lined up to face the Blue Jays in Toronto next weekend.
Williams set the tone early by striking out four of the first five batters he faced. He limited the Orioles to just four baserunners, with his lone blemish coming in the fourth inning on a Leody Taveras solo homer, but Williams finished strongly by retiring the last 11 batters he faced. Williams generated a whopping 18 whiffs while tossing 73 strikes on 100 pitches, and it was the second time this season he posted 10-plus strikeouts. He has a 2.12 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 29.2 innings, and his 40 punchouts lead the majors. He's lined up to face the Blue Jays in Toronto next weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Gavin Williams generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Gavin Williams generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-23%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .174 | 162 | 74 | 91 | 19 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .257 | 130 | 58 | 124 | 15 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .119 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .154 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .163 | 93 | 48 | 51 | 13 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .262 | 80 | 35 | 79 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .219 | 44 | 17 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .275 | 35 | 15 | 39 | 4 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-14%
ERA on Road
2026
-46%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.73 | 1.27 | 132.2 | 11.2 | 3.9 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 3.20 | 1.27 | 140.2 | 8.1 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2026Home | 1.42 | 0.79 | 12.2 | 13.5 | 4.3 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.65 | 1.18 | 17.0 | 11.1 | 5.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.00 | 1.18 | 87.0 | 10.8 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.12 | 1.36 | 80.2 | 7.7 | 5.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 6.55 | 1.70 | 33.0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.56 | 1.12 | 43.0 | 7.7 | 3.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Gavin Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.35K/9
12.1BB/9
5.2HR/9
1.2Fastball
96.5 mphERA
2.12WHIP
1.01BABIP
.171GB/FB
1.78Left On Base
94.3%Exit Velocity
85.0 mphBarrels/BBE
7.6%Spin Rate
2267 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.7%Swinging Strike
14.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Williams didn't make his season debut with the Guardians in July after working his way back from an elbow injury suffered during spring training. While the big right-hander never really got on a roll, he pitched better than his 4.86 ERA would suggest, as his 4.14 xERA, 4.19 SIERA and 3.67 FIP indicates. Williams' strikeout prowess in the minors (33.3 percent) has not yet carried over to the major-league level (23.6 percent), and his walk rate is hovering above 10 percent with the Guardians, as well. The 25-year-old seems to still be searching for the right pitch mix, as he introduced a cutter and used a curveball as his primary breaking ball in 2024 after a slider was his main breaking pitch in 2023. Williams' pedigree and the Guardians' pitching development track record points to the righty taking a step forward eventually, and perhaps as soon as 2025.
More Fantasy News
Notches second victory
Williams (2-1) earned the win over St. Louis on Monday, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four batters over five-plus innings.
Analysis
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Walks five in no-decision
Williams did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing one run on one hit and five walks over 5.2 innings in a 2-1 win over the Royals. He struck out eight.
Analysis
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Start moved up
Williams' scheduled start Tuesday against the Royals was moved up to 1:10 p.m. ET from its originally scheduled 6:10 pm due to a forecast of frigid conditions in the Cleveland area, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Dominant in win over Dodgers
Williams (1-1) allowed two hits and three walks while striking out 10 over seven scoreless innings to earn the win over the Dodgers on Wednesday.
Analysis
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Explains wild start
Williams explained the wildness he experienced in Friday's start when he walked six batters over five innings in a loss to Seattle, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports. Williams said he was out of sync with his front foot too quick to the ground before his upper body was ready to deliver the ball.
Analysis
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