Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Defense is Rafaela's greatest strength as a player. He won the Gold Glove in center field in 2025 while also making 24 appearances (19 starts) at second base, accommodating as the Red Sox made room for others between the outfield and DH. While Rafaela showed improvement with his strikeout rate last season, the quality of the contact was lacking. He took a step forward overall with a season that was propped up by two months in the middle of the campaign, though he was still nine percent worse than league average by wRC+. Severely lacking in terms of OBP, he chips in enough power and speed to clear the low offensive bar provided by his excellent defense at a premium position. The 25-year-old now has his first 15-20 season and nearly did it the year prior, falling one steal shy of 20 in 2024. Expected to focus on center field in 2026, Rafaela offers volume with modest rate stats. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#129
ADP
Signed an eight-year, $46 million extension with the Red Sox in April of 2024. Contract includes $16 million team option ($4 million buyout) for 2032.
Goes deep in win
OFBoston Red Sox
May 8, 2026
Rafaela went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's 2-0 win over the Rays.
Analysis
Rafaela gave the Red Sox a 2-0 lead with a solo shot off Jesse Scholtens in the fourth inning. The 25-year-old has enjoyed a strong start to the month, going 10-for-31 with two home runs, six RBI and two stolen bases through eight games since the calendar flipped to May. On the year, he's slashing .278/.345/.413 with three homers, 16 RBI, 17 runs scored and two steals across 139 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
5
6
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
1
3
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2026
 
 
+106%
OPS vs LHP
2025
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024vs Left .697 345 59 11 41 6 .237 .280 .417
Since 2024vs Right .693 952 112 23 113 35 .256 .295 .398
2026vs Left 1.260 30 8 1 8 0 .448 .467 .793
2026vs Right .611 109 9 2 8 2 .227 .312 .299
2025vs Left .679 163 30 7 22 2 .220 .265 .413
2025vs Right .720 424 54 9 41 18 .260 .306 .414
2024vs Left .603 152 21 3 11 4 .211 .258 .345
2024vs Right .685 419 49 12 64 15 .259 .280 .405
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Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2026
 
 
+17%
OPS on Road
2025
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024Home .708 630 76 16 72 17 .259 .303 .405
Since 2024Away .681 667 95 18 82 24 .244 .280 .401
2026Home .695 63 5 1 6 1 .276 .333 .362
2026Away .811 76 12 2 10 1 .279 .355 .456
2025Home .759 281 39 9 34 9 .266 .319 .440
2025Away .662 306 45 7 29 11 .233 .272 .390
2024Home .661 286 32 6 32 7 .247 .281 .380
2024Away .667 285 38 9 43 12 .245 .268 .399
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Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
5.8%
 
K Rate
21.6%
 
BABIP
.344
 
ISO
.135
 
AVG
.278
 
OBP
.345
 
SLG
.413
 
OPS
.758
 
wOBA
.337
 
Exit Velocity
87.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.2%
 
Barrels/PA
4.3%
 
Expected BA
.241
 
Expected SLG
.347
 
Sprint Speed
23.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.8%
 
Line Drive %
21.9%
 
Fly Ball %
33.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Last spring, Red Sox manager Alex Cora stated that Rafaela would make the Opening Day roster only if he earned an everyday job in the outfield. Injuries to multiple infielders softened Cora's stance, and then Rafaela's .896 OPS in the spring made the decision easy. Rafaela ended up missing only 10 games, seven in September. He doesn't hit the ball hard, and his plate discipline is poor. However, Rafaela is just 24 years old and plays Gold Glove-level defense in center field while being able to fill in as a middle infielder. Rafaela's athleticism buys him time to improve on a 31st percentile hard-hit rate, 46th percentile barrel rate and 26.4 percent strikeout rate. The hand-eye coordination possessed by elite defenders often translates to the batter's box. Rafaela has the physical tools and opportunity, and now it's up to him to translate them to better quality of contact.
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready.
Rafaela put up impressive offensive numbers in 2022 that oversold his realistic MLB upside, but his center field defense is so good that he should have no problem carving out a big-league career. He doesn't hit the ball very hard and is prone to chasing, but Rafaela still managed a .301/.342/.540 slash line despite an ugly 4.8 BB%. Thankfully, he has plus speed to go with his plus-plus defense, so the 28-for-35 success rate on the bases could translate as he continues to climb. If he can just hit .230 or .240, Rafaela could be allowed to play every day in center field while hitting at the bottom of the order and chipping in 10-to-20 home runs with 20-plus steals. He is on the 40-man roster but may not debut until 2024.
More Fantasy News
Homers in win
OFBoston Red Sox
May 6, 2026
Rafaela went 3-for-4 with a home run, four RBI and an additional run scored in Tuesday's 10-3 win over the Tigers.
Analysis
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Out of Boston's lineup
OFBoston Red Sox
April 28, 2026
Rafaela is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game in Toronto.
Analysis
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Exiting starting nine Monday
OFBoston Red Sox
April 20, 2026
Rafaela is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Tigers.
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Heading to bench Tuesday
OFBoston Red Sox
April 14, 2026
Rafaela is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Twins, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
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Taking seat Sunday
OFBoston Red Sox
April 5, 2026
Rafaela is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Padres, Chris Henrique of BostonSportsJournal.com reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Shortlisted for Gold Glove
OFBoston Red Sox
October 22, 2025
Rafaela is one of three center fielders nominated to win the 2025 Gold Glove Award in the American League, according to MLB.com.
Analysis
Rafaela is widely considered to be one of the best center fielders in MLB, so it's not surprising to see him being shortlisted for the Gold Glove. The other finalists for the Gold Glove in center field are Kyle Isbel and Julio Rodriguez. Rafaela had a breakout season on offense, hitting 16 homers and stealing 20 bases with a .709 OPS over 156 regular-season games, but where he really shines is with his glove. His fielding run value of plus-22 was the best mark in the American League and second in all of baseball.
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