Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

26-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Los Angeles Chargers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After two top-10 fantasy seasons, including QB2 in 2021, the last two years have been less than spectacular for Herbert. Injuries played a part, including last season when he missed the final four games with a finger injury that required surgery. Even when healthy, he didn't live up to expectations. In four of his last seven full games he posted no more than 13 fantasy points. Herbert was on target with 74.3 percent of his attempts (8th in NFL), but his average target depth was a middling 7.6 yards (17th) and he only completed 32.2 percent of his attempts of 20-plus yards (21st), all of which resulted in a mediocre 6.9 YPA (21st). This season, he'll have a new system with new teammates. As the Jim Harbaugh era begins, gone are RB Austin Ekeler and WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. Joshua Palmer, coming off an injury-marred season, is the No. 1 WR by default followed by Quentin Johnston, a 2023 first-round pick who had a miserable rookie season. 2024 second-round pick Ladd McConkey, who has 4.39 speed, will challenge both for targets, and the team also signed veteran DJ Chark. How many targets are available is another matter with new run-minded offensive coordinator Greg Roman -- Herbert's fourth OC in five years. The strong-armed Herbert certainly won't get the 39.1 attempts per game he averaged the last four years -- only Tom Brady averaged more since 2020. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#157.09
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $262.5 million contract with the Chargers in July of 2023.
Strong showing in win
QBLos Angeles Chargers
November 3, 2024
Herbert completed 18 of 27 passes for 282 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions and rushed three times for two yards in the Chargers' 27-10 win over the Browns on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Herbert continued his upward trajectory through the air with another successful passing performance Sunday, posting his third straight total of over 275 passing yards while also tossing multiple touchdowns for the second consecutive contest. On Sunday, those scoring throws went to Joshua Palmer (28 yards) and Quentin Johnston (66 yards) in the first and second quarters, respectively, with both plays occurring at least partly due to busted coverages. In addition to his increased efficiency, Herbert also has a six-game streak without an interception heading into a Week 10 home matchup against the Titans.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Justin Herbert's 2024 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
13.3%
 
Avg Target Depth
7.6 Yds
 
Sack Rate
9.7%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
5.5 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
8.2%
 
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2024
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2022
2021
2020
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Los Angeles ChargersChargers 2024 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
J.Justin Herbert
#% of Team Snaps

46597%
25899%
102%
00%
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Titans pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
TEN
vs Titans
Sunday, Nov 10th at 4:05PM
Overall QB Rating Against
82.3
 
Cornerbacks
79.9
 
Safeties
57.5
 
Linebackers
111.6
 
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2024 Justin Herbert Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Justin Herbert's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 6"
 
Weight
236 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.68 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.46 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.06 sec
 
Vertical Jump
35.5 in
 
Broad Jump
123 in
 
Hand Length
10.00 in
 
Arm Length
32.88 in
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Herbert looked poised for a big season last year, but injuries knocked him (and the Chargers) off course. Fractured rib cartilage suffered Week 2 hampered Herbert for several weeks, and he threw seven interceptions in a nine-game stretch with a 6.4 YPA and 6.2-yard average target depth (the team went 4-5). Compounding the situation were a season-ending biceps tear for LT Rashawn Slater in Week 3 and lesser injuries to WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, who played only four full games together. No surprise, then, Herbert’s TD passes dropped by 13 from the previous year, and while he was second in the league with 4,739 passing yards, he needed 699 attempts to get there as his average target depth (6.5) ranked 31st and his 6.8 YPA ranked 26th. The Chargers had enough of OC Joe Lombardi’s scheme, replacing him with former Cowboys coordinator Kellen Moore in the offseason. A more balanced offense -- L.A. was 31st in run percentage (35.0) last season -- with improved efficiency in the passing game would benefit Hebert even if it means fewer pass attempts. He was on the field for OTAs after January surgery on his non-throwing shoulder, wasting no time getting to work with Moore and first-round pick Quentin Johnston. The rookie gives Herbert a second deep threat across from Williams, while Allen, RB Austin Ekeler and TE Gerald Everett provide plenty of firepower for shorter throws.
Herbert followed his record-setting rookie year with another season of prolific numbers last year. He became the only player in NFL history with 30-plus touchdown passes in each of his first two years, setting records for most TD passes, passing yards and 300-yards games in a player’s first two seasons. Herbert even finished QB2 in fantasy, with at least 300 yards or three TD passes in 12 games en route to ranking third in touchdowns (38) and second in yards (5,014). His passing efficiency last season was similar to his impressive first year, up a tick or two in a few places like YPA, on-target percentage and average target depth. And he was again effective throwing downfield, ranking third in on-target rate on attempts of 20-plus yards (min. 50 attempts). Herbert did all that after learning his second offense in as many years with the arrival of a new coaching staff. With head coach Brandon Staley and offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi returning, stability figures to help Herbert in his third year. A bigger help is the return of wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams and running back Austin Ekeler. The Chargers added TE Gerald Everett to replace Jared Cook, then drafted RG Zion Johnson in the first round to improve their offensive line. Herbert has a strong roster around him, and he's yet to really tap into his running ability, which gives him additional upside on top of his continued growth as a passer.
It took an errant needle poke to Tyrod Taylor's lung to get Herbert his first start last season in Week 2, but he quickly showed he should have been the starter all along. The sixth overall pick in the 2020 draft, Herbert set numerous NFL rookie records, including most TD passes (31) and most passing yards per game (289.1). He became the youngest player in NFL history with 30 TD passes in a season and was the fourth rookie with 4,000 passing yards. Scouts questioned his touch on deep balls coming out of Oregon, but Herbert had few issues capitalizing with his cannon arm, connecting for 10 TD passes on attempts 20-plus yards (3rd) and completing eight passes that went for at least 50 yards (T-1st). He was also good under pressure, completing 54.9 percent of his attempts with an on-target rate of 63.4 percent, both third in the league. And his 4.68 speed added fantasy value as he rushed for five touchdowns (T-6th). Part of Herbert's work last year was the result of volume (39.7 attempts per game, 3rd), as his bad-pass percentage ranked 26th (20.2) and his average target depth was 25th (7.8 yards). But new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi, who ran a pass-happy offense in Detroit in 2014-15 before serving as Saints QB coach the last five years, could help Herbert improve in those areas without sacrificing too much volume. And Herbert still has quality weapons in Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and former Saints TE Jared Cook. The Chargers also upgraded the offensive line, signing All-Pro center Corey Linsley and left guard Matt Feiler and drafting left tackle Rashawn Slater 13th overall. Herbert, who finished QB9 last season, easily could jump into the top 5 of fantasy QBs this year.
Herbert, the third quarterback drafted this year at sixth overall, looks like the ideal NFL QB at 6-6, 236, with plus athleticism and 4.68 speed in the 40. But he has some issues to overcome before the Chargers crown him heir apparent to Philip Rivers. Herbert has a rifle for an arm to attack downfield but, according to scouts, lacks touch on his deep ball, and his footwork and mechanics are apt to break down under pressure. Despite being a four-year starter at Oregon, Herbert was noted for his inconsistency - even as senior. In his final four games, he stumbled to 58.9 percent passing with four TDs, three INTs and 202 yards per game. And while his timed speed was third fastest among quarterbacks at the combine, Herbert seemed to reluctant to tuck it and run as a collegian. He also needs to adapt to an NFL route tree after playing in Oregon's limited offensive scheme, though that shouldn't be too high a hurdle for the winner of last year's "Academic Heisman." Plus, with Tyrod Taylor entering camp as the starter, Herbert has time to develop his game before likely taking the reins later in the year. When he does, he'll have an improved offensive line protecting him with Mike Pouncey returning from injury, joined by the newly acquired Trai Turner and Bryan Bulaga. He also has excellent weapons to target, including Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler. Herbert might not be NFL-ready when the season opens, but time is on his side.
More Fantasy News
Heating up after slow start
QBLos Angeles Chargers
October 27, 2024
Herbert completed 20 of 32 passes for 279 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 26-8 win over the Saints. He added 49 yards on four rushing attempts.
ANALYSIS
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Vintage yardage total in loss
QBLos Angeles Chargers
October 21, 2024
Herbert completed 27 of 39 passes for 349 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions and rushed twice for eight yards in the Chargers' 17-15 loss to the Cardinals on Monday night.
ANALYSIS
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Season high in passing yards
QBLos Angeles Chargers
October 13, 2024
Herbert completed 21 of his 34 attempts for 237 yards and a touchdown in the 23-16 win over the Broncos on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Good to go for Sunday
QBLos Angeles Chargers
October 11, 2024
Herbert (ankle) practiced fully Friday and doesn't carry an injury designation for Sunday's game against the Broncos.
ANALYSIS
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Logs another limited practice
QBLos Angeles Chargers
Ankle
October 10, 2024
Herbert (ankle) was limited at practice Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be down multiple weapons
QBLos Angeles Chargers
October 19, 2024
Herbert could be without several top pass catchers for Monday's game against the Cardinals due to injuries.
ANALYSIS
Herbert has finally overcome an ankle injury of his own, and he's coming off his best outing of the regular season against the Broncos in Week 6, during which he completed 21 of 34 pass attempts for 237 yards and one touchdown. However, Monday's contest could prove to be his toughest challenge of the season, as Quentin Johnston is doubtful to play due to an ankle injury while Ladd McConkey, Simi Fehoko, Derius Davis and DJ Chark are all listed as questionable. Herbert does have a healthy Joshua Palmer at his disposal, but the 26-year-old quarterback could struggle against a Cardinals defense looking to rebound from a Week 6 loss to Jordan Love and the Packers.
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