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Best Bets
Clippers over 9.5 threes at Phoenix (-110)
DraftKings, 3:04 PM CT
Alex Barutha: The Clippers went 10-for-31 from deep in Game 1, but I thought nearly half of those looks were wide open. I also expect more defensive pressure, and maybe double-teams, on Kawhi Leonard, forcing kick-outs and swing passes around the perimeter. If you're looking for two players to target, I like Eric Gordon over 2.5 threes at +150 and Terance Mann over 0.5 threes at -150. Both players got nice open looks in the first game -- Gordon going 3-for-7 and Mann going 0-for-3.
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Torrey Craig over 8.5 points (+100) vs. Clippers
DraftKings, 3:08 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Neither the book nor most bettors apparently think Craig will remain significantly involved, but I disagree. He won't score 22 points on 12 shots again, but the Clippers will continue to leave him open, and by my count, he got three open threes, two open mid-rangers and one free look at the rim during his 27 minutes in Game 1. If LA is making any adjustments, it won't be "stop Torrey Craig from scoring nine points."
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Darius Garland +4.5 points vs. Jalen Brunson (-115)
DraftKings, 3:13 PM CT
Alex Barutha: This line doesn't look attractive by looking at the box score of Game 1. Brunson went for 27 points on 24 shots in 30 minutes, while Garland went for 17 points on 13 shots in 43 minutes. However, Garland got way more open looks, and I think they'll look for more opportunities for him to shoot. An absurd amount of Brunson's looks were contested. I know making tough mid-rangers is a huge part of his game, but I thought it was a little too unsustainable in Game 1. Getting the 4.5-point cushion is nice.
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Robert Williams over 7.5 points (-135) vs. Hawks
DraftKings, 3:19 PM CT
Alex Barutha: All six of Williams' makes for 12 points in Game 1 were essentially wide-open dunks/layups. Atlanta was constantly losing him, and Boston's playmakers know exactly how to get him the rock for alley-oops. In the past, the Celtics have gotten into a bad habit of launching contested threes, but they did a great job driving to the basket, which opens up those opportunities for dump-off passes to Williams. He could also be better on the offensive glass for easy buckets, as he nabbed just two O-boards in his 22 minutes.
Hawks over 10.5 threes at Boston (-115)
DraftKings, 3:24 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Atlanta was a woeful 5-for-29 from distance in Game 1, but I felt like they got plenty of open looks that just didn't fall. Watching the footage back, I counted 15 three-point attempts that I'd consider open. Specifically, I like the value on De'Andre Hunter over 1.5 threes at +170 (1-for-4 in Game 1), but I'd rather just bank on the whole team shooting better.
Clippers +8.5 at Phoenix
BetMGM, 3:40 EST
Ken Crites: Phoenix has no bench and Kawhi Leonard is still amazing when he's engaged and playing 33+ minutes. The well-rested Claw seems to suddenly have a lot of gas in the tank. And the huge point spread is too tempting. I thought the Suns would be favored by -4.5. Finally, the Clipper bench is underrated. Plus, Chris Paul is 0-14 in his last 14 playoff games with Scott Foster as a referee.
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