NBA Best Bets Today - Free Picks for Wednesday, November 15

NBA Best Bets Today - Free Picks for Wednesday, November 15

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Best Bets

Brook Lopez over 12.5 points (-120) at Toronto

DraftKings, 4:36 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Giannis Antetokounmpo will miss his first game of the season tonight, so we don't have much of a sample of how the new-look Bucks will approach the situation. Badly, I assume. But other than that, the on/off court data shows the biggest bumps in usage for Lillard (+9.5 USG%) and Lopez (+9.6 USG%). Lillard's props seem on-point, but I think there's value for Lopez on points. The center averages 16.9 shot attempts per 36 minutes with Giannis off the court. He probably won't see 36 minutes, but it's still a great rate when all he needs to do is clear 12.5 points. And with Khris Middleton still presumably limited, someone needs to step up for the Bucks. We saw Lopez do it last year.

Coby White over 15.5 points (-125) vs. Magic

DraftKings, 4:38 PM CT

Alex Barutha: The Bulls are a mess, and recent reports suggest the front office is looking to potentially offload Zach LaVine, Nikola Vucevic and DeMar DeRozan. Well, DeRozan is out tonight, so his touches have to go somewhere. White sees a +8.2% USG increase with DeRozan on the sidelines, averaging 17.9 shot attempts per 36. I won't be surprised if he actually plays 36 minutes tonight. It helps this game is at home and Orlando is on the second night of a back-to-back.

Jayson Tatum over 31.5 points (-125) at 76ers

DraftKings, 4:49 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Both Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis are out, meaning Tatum will need to step up in a major way. This is certainly a high number against a good team, but Tatum is already averaging 28.4 PPG, and he sees a ridiculous +12.8 USG% bump when both Porzingis and Brown are off the court, leading to 36.8 points on 26.9 shots per 36 minutes. This is also a slight pace-up spot for the Celtics, and Philly is on the second night of a back-to-back.

Dallas Mavericks -6.0 at Washington Wizards

DraftKings Sportsbook, 11:30am CT

Nick Whalen: I know Kyrie Irving is questionable, but even if he sits I still like the Mavs to bounce back and handle the Wizards on the second night of a back-to-back. Dallas fell victim to an off shooting night against New Orleans on Tuesday, hitting just 14-of-42 three-point attempts with off nights from both Irving and Luka Doncic. Dallas is already 2-0 without Irving this season, winning by 9 over Chicago and 15 over Memphis.

Paolo Banchero O1.5 made three-pointers

DraftKings Sportsbook, 11:30am CT

Nick Whalen: Banchero has gone over this number in three of his last five, including in last night's win over the Nets, when he drilled four three-pointers in 35 minutes. Banchero's shooting does tend to come and go, but Chicago is allowing the most three-point attempts per game, while allowing opponents to shoot better than 37 percent. You can find the O1.5 at +105 at the DraftKings Sportsbook and get slightly better value (+118) at FanDuel.

Tyrese Maxey over 4.5 rebounds versus Boston (+104)

FanDuel, 4:25 EST

Ken Crites: Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis are both game-time decisions for tonight's game in Philly. Either of those two missing should free up boards for the Sixers. But of more importance is Joel Embiid's questionable tag (hip).  If Embiid is out, all the Sixers will need to crash the glass. If Embiid plays, that means Jrue Holiday will spend a lot of time (surprisingly) guarding Embiid.  Holiday was on Embiid most of the time these two teams met on November 8th.  If Holiday is on Embiid, Maxey could have a much easier time grabbing offensive rebounds.  In his last four games, Maxey is averaging 6.5 rebounds per contest.  He's on a rebounding heater.  Maxey could really take advantage of Boston's weak bench tonight.  I'm 6-4 so far, but certainly feel free to fade.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. Championships incude: 2016 RW Staff NBA Keeper, 2019 RW Staff NFL Ottoneu Keeper, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Experts, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Kamla Keeper and 2023-24 FSGA NBA Expert Champions. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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