Randy Arozarena

Randy Arozarena

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Seattle Mariners
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Arozarena's third consecutive 20-20 season may look like more of the same, but there is more under the hood here. While his .254 batting average was the worst of his career and a continued decline in average, he was more accepting of walks than he has ever been in his career and used the OBP resurgence to set a new career high in runs scored. He improved his chase rate on the season, and it would have been even better if not for a massive slump in July as he prepared and then participated in the home run derby which saw him hit .153 with his lowest monthly walk rate of the season. 16 of his 23 homers came before the break and his .279 first half average against his .220 second half average show just how much that slump hurt his overall numbers. Arozarena has seen his fantasy futures rise from risky single-digit round pick to a safe first five round selection in a short time, but this is likely his fantasy peak. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#43
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $8.1 million contract with the Rays in January of 2024. Traded to the Mariners in July of 2024.
Not starting Saturday
OFSeattle Mariners
September 28, 2024
Arozarena is not in the starting lineup for Saturday's game against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
Arozarena will get a breather Saturday after going 0-for-9 with six strikeouts over his last two starts. Victor Robles, Julio Rodriguez and Mitch Haniger will man the outfield for the Mariners.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
26
32
26
15
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
21
10
14
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+17%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .847 448 66 21 58 18 .265 .362 .486
Since 2022vs Right .735 1499 178 42 174 56 .240 .335 .400
2024vs Left .803 181 25 7 19 5 .232 .359 .444
2024vs Right .688 467 52 13 41 15 .214 .321 .367
2023vs Left .828 138 22 8 18 5 .254 .362 .466
2023vs Right .778 516 73 15 65 17 .254 .364 .413
2022vs Left .923 129 19 6 21 8 .317 .364 .558
2022vs Right .734 516 53 14 68 24 .249 .318 .416
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2022
Even Split
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .759 939 118 32 119 43 .242 .340 .420
Since 2022Away .762 1008 126 31 113 31 .249 .342 .420
2024Home .724 313 39 12 33 12 .216 .323 .401
2024Away .715 335 38 8 27 8 .221 .340 .375
2023Home .779 319 49 11 42 16 .245 .364 .415
2023Away .798 335 46 12 41 6 .262 .364 .434
2022Home .774 307 30 9 44 15 .264 .332 .442
2022Away .771 338 42 11 45 17 .261 .322 .448
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Randy Arozarena compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.43
 
BB Rate
11.3%
 
K Rate
26.1%
 
BABIP
.275
 
ISO
.169
 
AVG
.219
 
OBP
.332
 
SLG
.388
 
OPS
.720
 
wOBA
.324
 
Exit Velocity
90.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.6%
 
Barrels/PA
4.9%
 
Expected BA
.223
 
Expected SLG
.391
 
Sprint Speed
22.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.6%
 
Line Drive %
14.4%
 
Fly Ball %
41.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2017
Arozarena turned in his second consecutive 20-20 campaign despite not hitting his first long ball until May 9. He added 12 bags to his 2021 total and cut his strikeout rate by close to four percentage points. Statcast's expected stats paint Arozarena's game in a rather unfavorable light, but keep in mind only Trea Turner, Jose Ramirez and Arozarena have gone 20-20 the past two seasons in Major League Baseball. This is a rare skill set and the outfielder seems to like his round numbers as he briefly talked about the possibility of 20-40 after reaching 20 homers in late September. A lot hinges on Arozarena continuing to play every single day, which generally goes against the Rays' philosophy. He has been the exception to the rule the past couple seasons.
Arozarena is many things, but one thing he never is is boring. He set an impossibly high bar for his fantasy output with his improbable performance in September and October of 2020, yet still was one of just 10 players to post a 20-20 season and even did something only mimicked by Shohei Ohtani in that he hit 20 homers, stole 20 bases and was caught 10 times. By mid-June, Arozarena was 10-for-11 in steals, but then he went 10-for-19 the rest of the way, going over two months without a steal at one point while seven of his 20 steals came in the final three weeks of the season. He is streaky in every way possible, and his expected offensive statistics should raise some eyebrows considering his results well outpaced his expected outcomes. He will punish misplaced fastballs, but the league has also shown an ability to use his aggressiveness against him to get himself out. He's a risky early-round pick.
A hitter who was never a top-100 prospect and just had the best statistical postseason ever is technically still a prospect. He doesn't feel like it anymore, though, and Arozarena is six years older than Wander Franco. Arozarena has notable regular-season splits (279 wRC+, 11.1 K% vs. LHP, 125 wRC+, 31.9 K% vs. RHP), but he logged a 1.408 OPS, eight HR, and a 21.6 K% against RHP in his historic postseason run. Small samples are all we have with him against MLB pitching -- he hit lefties better than righties in the minors -- but it's safe to say he has the power (career .381 ISO) and sprint speed (93rd percentile) to go 20/20 in a full season. There is no doubt Arozarena will play almost every day early in 2021, but the Rays can be ruthless with platoons, so the main risk on this loaded roster would be that he struggles against righties early and starts ceding playing time to left-handed hitters.
Arozarena made his big-league debut at age 24, performing well in a small sample. He spent the bulk of the season in the high minors, hitting .344/.431/.571 with 15 homers and 17 steals in 92 games at the Double-A and Triple-A levels. All told, Arozarena had a 1.174 OPS in 84 PA against southpaws across the three levels (he had a 1.000 OPS in 96 PA vs. LHP in 2018), which was part of the appeal when the platoon-happy Rays acquired him from St. Louis in a multi-player offseason deal. His 12 home runs in 64 games at Triple-A were at least partially the product of the juiced ball at that level, but his sprint speed is in the 96th percentile. As one of their outfielders with minor-league options remaining, Arozarena is a long shot to break camp with the Rays. However, his ability to handle all three outfield spots and crush lefties could lead to opportunities at some point this summer.
Arozarena, who has been labeled as one of the top young Cuban prospects, inked a deal with the Cardinals in July of 2016. The 21-year-old's skill set is highlighted by his advanced plate discipline, plus contact skills and impressive speed on the basepaths. He operates more as a contact hitter, but has the tools to develop into a modest home run hitter in the future. During his last full season in the Cuban Serie Nacional, Arozarena batted .291/.412/.419 with 15 steals (21 attempts). He spent the 2015-2016 season playing in the Mexican Northern League, where he led all players in batting average and stolen bases. It is yet to be seen what position he will play for the Cardinals, as he has seen extended time at second base and the outfield in the past. It wouldn't be a surprise to see him start the season in full-season ball.
More Fantasy News
Productive in Monday's win
OFSeattle Mariners
September 24, 2024
Arozarena went 2-for-5 with an RBI ground-rule double and a run in a win over the Astros on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep Sunday
OFSeattle Mariners
September 16, 2024
Arozarena went 2-for-3 with a solo homer, a double, a walk and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Plates pair with timely knock
OFSeattle Mariners
September 13, 2024
Arozarena went 1-for-4 with a two-run single in a loss to the Rangers on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Knocks 19th home run
OFSeattle Mariners
September 8, 2024
Arozarena went 2-for-5 with a two-run homer and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Getting breather Thursday
OFSeattle Mariners
September 5, 2024
Arozarena is absent from the lineup for Thursday's game in Oakland.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Dodgers in pursuit?
OFTampa Bay Rays
July 25, 2024
According to Mark Feinsand of MLB.com, the Dodgers are interested in acquiring Arozarena from the Rays.
ANALYSIS
The offensive production from Los Angeles' outfielders this season -- Teoscar Hernandez notwithstanding -- has been underwhelming, so adding an outfielder at the deadline would make sense. Arozarena has endured his own struggles and has a career-worst .213/.319/.398 slash line through 99 games, though his bat has come alive in July with a .949 OPS. The 29-year-old is making $8.1 million this season and has two more years of arbitration eligibility, and the cost-conscious Rays could look to cash in on the trade market before his salary soars.
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