Nathaniel Lowe
29-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.265
HR
16
RBI
69
R
62
SB
2
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Our 2023 outlook for Lowe came together rather well in the end as the first baseman regressed to previous levels in the face of the new rules. Lowe remains one of the more disciplined hitters in the league who will patiently work a count while looking for his pitch while being more than willing to accept a walk in any given situation. Lowe's issues against lefties (.223) helped pull his batting average down in 2023, but given he hit .277 and .330 against lefties in the previous two seasons, it would not surprise us to see him recover in 2024 to add some more life to his average. Despite his size, Lowe has league-average speed but Texas has not put him in motion over the past two seasons after allowing him some opportunities in 2021. Lowe is in an enviable position of playing daily in a potent lineup and has the potential to drive in 100 and even score 100 if the guys around him stay healthy all season. 2022 may have been his ceiling, but maybe not. Read Past Outlooks
Homers in win
Lowe went 2-for-4 with a two-run homer, a double, two runs scored and a walk in Sunday's win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Lowe doubled and scored the game's first run in the fourth inning before ripping a two-run shot in the eighth. It was his second straight game with a double and a home run after producing just one extra-base hit in his previous 13 contests. Lowe wrapped up the 2024 season with a .265/.361/.401 slash line and 33 extra-base hits through 565 plate appearances.
Lowe doubled and scored the game's first run in the fourth inning before ripping a two-run shot in the eighth. It was his second straight game with a double and a home run after producing just one extra-base hit in his previous 13 contests. Lowe wrapped up the 2024 season with a .265/.361/.401 slash line and 33 extra-base hits through 565 plate appearances.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
22
11
43
30
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
5
13
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+6%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .785 | 574 | 17 | 78 | .280 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .803 | 1360 | 43 | 149 | .275 | ||||
2024vs Left | .796 | 144 | 3 | 26 | .292 | ||||
2024vs Right | .751 | 421 | 13 | 43 | .257 | ||||
2023vs Left | .642 | 219 | 4 | 23 | .223 | ||||
2023vs Right | .833 | 505 | 13 | 59 | .279 | ||||
2022vs Left | .920 | 211 | 10 | 29 | .330 | ||||
2022vs Right | .817 | 434 | 17 | 47 | .288 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+5%
OPS on Road
2024
+3%
OPS on Road
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .779 | 946 | 29 | 103 | .269 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .815 | 988 | 31 | 124 | .284 | ||||
2024Home | .749 | 279 | 8 | 28 | .254 | ||||
2024Away | .775 | 286 | 8 | 41 | .276 | ||||
2023Home | .803 | 353 | 11 | 48 | .270 | ||||
2023Away | .747 | 371 | 6 | 34 | .253 | ||||
2022Home | .778 | 314 | 10 | 27 | .280 | ||||
2022Away | .919 | 331 | 17 | 49 | .322 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Nathaniel Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.57BB Rate
12.6%K Rate
22.1%BABIP
.324ISO
.136AVG
.265OBP
.361SLG
.401OPS
.762wOBA
.341Exit Velocity
88.9 mphHard Hit Rate
30.1%Barrels/PA
3.7%Expected BA
.252Expected SLG
.380Sprint Speed
22.8 ft/secGround Ball %
47.7%Line Drive %
23.0%Fly Ball %
29.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Lowe had a surprisingly terrific fantasy season in his second full season at the major leagues setting career highs nearly across the board. The .302 batting average was a huge surprise given he is not the quickest of players, but 19 infield hits on mostly weakly hit balls against the shift certainly helped push his batting average up this season. He also finally showed more consistent loft in his swing, and while he still has a 1.5:1 grounder to flyball ratio, that is an improvement over the 2.0 level he was living at in previous seasons. He has always been an excellent hitter when ahead in the count, but 2022 was the first time he wasn't futile when down in the count. Lowe hit .281 in such situations this past season going .179 in such situations previously. If you are banking on him hitting near .300 again, factor in that data point as well as the infield hits with the shifting rules changing. Draft for run production and level set your batting average projections a tercile lower.
More Fantasy News
Fuels comeback win
Lowe went 3-for-4 with a walk, a double, a home run, three RBI and two additional runs scored in Saturday's 9-8 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep Tuesday
Lowe went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Tuesday's loss to the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Knocks in two in loss
Lowe went 1-for-4 with two RBI in Friday's 8-2 loss to Seattle.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits, two RBI in loss
Lowe went 3-for-4 with two RBI in Friday's 5-4 loss to the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Continues productive month
Lowe went 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI in Thursday's 5-4 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Interest from D-Backs?
According to Jesse Friedman of GoPHNX.com, the Diamondbacks could attempt to acquire Lowe from the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
The 29-year-old is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to get a $10.7 million salary in 2025, per Spotrac.com, and the Rangers could decide that money is better utilized elsewhere on the roster. Lowe had 16 homers with a .265/.361/.401 slash line in 140 regular-season games in 2024 and would provide Arizona with stability at first base with Christian Walker hitting free agency.
The 29-year-old is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to get a $10.7 million salary in 2025, per Spotrac.com, and the Rangers could decide that money is better utilized elsewhere on the roster. Lowe had 16 homers with a .265/.361/.401 slash line in 140 regular-season games in 2024 and would provide Arizona with stability at first base with Christian Walker hitting free agency.