Lars Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar

28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
St. Louis Cardinals
60-Day IL
Injury Heel
Est. Return 5/26/2026
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Fantasy managers have wondered over the years what Nootbaar could do with a full, healthy season. He didn't quite have a full season in 2025 - missing three weeks around midseason with a ribcage injury - but Nootbaar's 135 games and 583 plate appearances were easily career highs. Unfortunately, he turned in his worst offensive season to date, finishing with just a .686 OPS and wRC+ of 96. The good news is that the batted-ball metrics that have made Nootbaar so intriguing were still there, as he sported a career-best 50 percent hard-hit rate, a 10.2 percent barrel rate and a 91.3 mph average exit velocity. It still feels like Nootbaar is one tweak away from unlocking a big year, but he's now 28 and has never hit more than 14 home runs, driven in more than 48 runs or batted higher than .261. He had offseason surgery to shave down deformities on both heels -- a condition he admits to have dealt with for multiple seasons -- and it's unclear whether his 2026 readiness will be affected. If there's a silver lining, it's that Nootbaar's draft-day cost should be quite affordable. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#393
ADP
Signed a one-year, $5.35 million contract with the Cardinals in January of 2026.
Goes to 60-day IL
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
Heel
March 25, 2026
The Cardinals placed Nootbaar (heels) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
Analysis
Nootbaar began a running progression last week and took live batting practice Tuesday, but the Cardinals are planning to proceed cautiously with the outfielder, who underwent surgery in October to address Haglund's deformities on both of his heels. A firmer target date for Nootbaar's season debut should become available in the weeks to come once he ramps up the intensity and frequency of his on-field work, but he won't be eligible to debut until late May after landing on the 60-day IL. The transaction will free up a spot on the 40-man roster for top prospect JJ Wetherholt, who will be part of the Cardinals' Opening Day squad.
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Batting Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
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2021
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
+27%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+8%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024vs Left .662 289 22 5 19 3 .228 .316 .346
Since 2024vs Right .738 699 85 20 74 8 .242 .338 .400
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .580 180 13 3 8 0 .201 .291 .289
2025vs Right .734 403 55 10 40 4 .249 .340 .394
2024vs Left .800 109 9 2 11 3 .274 .358 .442
2024vs Right .743 296 30 10 34 4 .233 .336 .407
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024Home .733 469 60 12 43 4 .243 .340 .394
Since 2024Away .700 519 47 13 50 7 .234 .324 .375
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home .755 275 39 7 23 3 .257 .354 .401
2025Away .626 308 29 6 25 1 .213 .299 .327
2024Home .703 194 21 5 20 1 .222 .320 .383
2024Away .809 211 18 7 25 6 .265 .362 .448
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Stat Review
How does Lars Nootbaar compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.54
 
BB Rate
11.0%
 
K Rate
20.4%
 
BABIP
.279
 
ISO
.128
 
AVG
.234
 
OBP
.325
 
SLG
.361
 
OPS
.686
 
wOBA
.307
 
Exit Velocity
91.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.8%
 
Barrels/PA
6.9%
 
Expected BA
.235
 
Expected SLG
.386
 
Sprint Speed
22.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
37.5%
 
Line Drive %
17.3%
 
Fly Ball %
45.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Injuries were a problem again for Nootbaar in 2024, as he was limited to just 109 games because of a fractured rib and strained oblique. He's now made five trips to the injured list since the beginning of the 2023 campaign. Nootbaar also saw his ground ball rate rise again in 2024 to a career-high 51.7 percent. Those are the main two factors as to why he's never hit more than 14 home runs in a season even as his quality of contact (49.5 percent hard-hit rate, 9.9 percent barrel rate in 2024) point to a guy who should be a 20-plus homer guy. That said, between the batted-ball data and elite walk rate, Nootbaar still brings interesting skills to the table if he can ever put together a full, healthy season.
Nootbaar made three trips to the injured list in 2023 due to thumb, back and abdominal issues. Those injuries limited him to 117 games and 503 plate appearances, but when available he was impressive with the bat, totaling 14 homers and 11 steals to go with a .261 average. The outfielder showcased an impressive eye at the plate with a 14.3 BB% and 19.7 K%, nearly identical to his 2022 marks. The slugging lags behind the rest of his offensive game a bit -- his SLG fell to just .418 last season -- but Nootbaar does enough well across the board to warrant a high level of interest in mixed leagues that require five starting outfielders. Given that he had a dramatic lefty/righty platoon split (200 points of OPS to be exact), it would make sense if the Cardinals sat him occasionally against tough southpaws. Even so, Nootbaar could in theory approach 600 plate appearances with better luck on the health front while rotating between the three outfield spots for St. Louis.
Was this Cardinals' Devil Magic or just good development by St. Louis? Nootbaar inched his way up the organizational depth chart since entering the organization in 2018 and has shown an ability to hit for average and get on base in the minors but that did not initially translate into the same success at the big-league level. He certainly accepted his walks as a rookie in 2021, but he has not yet hit for average in nearly 500 plate appearances at the big-league level. He did, however, show surprising power in 2022, banging out nearly as many homers (18 between Triple-A and MLB) than he had from 2018-21 (20.) The StatCast sliders show plenty of bright Cardinal Red in many of the right places, but things get funky when you dive into the splits and see 13 of his 14 homers came against righties. However, Nootbaar hit .217 against righties and .273 against lefties when left in there to face them. He had similar R/L splits in 2021 but no such troubles in Triple-A, so it could be a small case of reverse splits. Either way, he is trending in a very good direction and has gone from 2022 deep sleeper to 2023 potential five-category producer if that average against righties adjusts.
More Fantasy News
Being evaluated for 60-day IL move
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
Heel
March 24, 2026
Cardinals president of baseball operations Chaim Bloom said Monday that Nootbaar (heels) will be evaluated this week for potential placement on the 60-day injured list, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
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Will open season on IL
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
Heel
March 21, 2026
Nootbaar (heel) will start the 2026 regular season on the injured list, William Ladson of MLB.com reports.
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To ramp up running program
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
Heel
March 12, 2026
Nootbaar (heels) has been increasing his agility drills and is soon slated to ramp up his running program, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
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No timetable to play in games
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
Heel
March 3, 2026
Nootbaar (heels) remains without a timetable for his Grapefruit League debut, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
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Beginning stages of running program
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
Heel
February 18, 2026
Nootbaar (heels) has been able to hit and throw without issue but is just now getting into the stage of being able to run unaided, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Dodgers among interested parties
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
December 18, 2025
The Dodgers are among the teams to show trade interest in Nootbaar, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
Nootbaar is recovering from surgery on both heels and his readiness for Opening Day is in question, which could give the Dodgers pause. It also might deter the Cardinals from trading the outfielder this winter, if they believe he can up his value with a resurgent 2026 season. Nootbaar is under team control through 2027 and has also been linked to the Mets, Rangers and Pirates.
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