2026 Stats
W-L
3-1
ERA
2.20
WHIP
1.02
K
46
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Burns made quick work of his very first full-season assignment in 2025, earning a promotion from High-A to Double-A after three starts and ultimately jumping three levels in 11 weeks, debuting June 24 against the Yankees. He debuted less than a full calendar year after being drafted by the Reds as the No. 2 overall pick out of Wake Forest. The right-hander more than held his own in his first outing but then managed to record just one out against the Red Sox in his second career start. Showcasing elite fastball velocity and a big swing-and-miss slider (43.7 Whiff%), Burns recorded double-digit strikeouts four times in the span of five starts from July 11 to Aug. 8 before landing on the injured list with a right elbow flexor strain. Upon his return in September, Burns worked exclusively out of the bullpen, totaling nine innings across five relief appearances. He made another appearance out of the bullpen in the wild-card round. After a full offseason of rest, Burns is expected to re-enter the Cincinnati rotation in 2026. Read Past Outlooks
Goes six strong in win
Burns (4-1) earned the win against the Astros on Saturday, allowing one run on four hits and three walks with two strikeouts over six innings.
Analysis
Burns allowed a solo homer in the fifth inning but otherwise kept the Astros in check despite issuing more walks than strikeouts. It marked the third straight quality start for the 23-year-old, and he's now limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in seven of eight outings this season. He'll carry a 2.11 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 48:16 K:BB across 47 innings into a road matchup against the Guardians next weekend.
Burns allowed a solo homer in the fifth inning but otherwise kept the Astros in check despite issuing more walks than strikeouts. It marked the third straight quality start for the 23-year-old, and he's now limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in seven of eight outings this season. He'll carry a 2.11 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 48:16 K:BB across 47 innings into a road matchup against the Guardians next weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Chase Burns generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Chase Burns generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-38%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .248 | 61 | 24 | 41 | 8 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .188 | 52 | 5 | 29 | 2 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .238 | 27 | 12 | 19 | 4 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .147 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .259 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 4 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .221 | 33 | 4 | 19 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-5%
ERA at Home
2026
-49%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.32 | 1.13 | 43.1 | 11.6 | 2.7 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 3.51 | 1.22 | 41.0 | 12.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2026Home | 2.82 | 1.16 | 22.1 | 8.9 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2026Away | 1.45 | 0.86 | 18.2 | 11.6 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.86 | 1.10 | 21.0 | 14.6 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.24 | 1.52 | 22.1 | 13.3 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Chase Burns compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.54K/9
10.1BB/9
2.9HR/9
1.1Fastball
98.2 mphERA
2.20WHIP
1.02BABIP
.256GB/FB
1.44Left On Base
91.4%Exit Velocity
82.6 mphBarrels/BBE
1.9%Spin Rate
2537 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.6%Swinging Strike
15.8%Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Burns was touching triple digits as an amateur but made it to campus at Tennessee and eventually transferred to Wake Forest for his junior season before the Reds selected him second overall in 2024. He logged a 7.7 percent walk rate as a junior, which is a mark in line with a typical premium college starting pitching prospect, and his elite 48.8 percent strikeout rate just barely edged out Hagen Smith, whom the White Sox selected fifth overall. Burns hasn't had any notable arm injuries or surgeries, which is a bit surprising given how long he's been throwing this hard. In addition to his fairly straight upper-90s fastball (touches 102 mph), Burns has a monster upper-80s slider that is one of the best pitches in the class. His curveball is also a plus pitch, and his seldom-used changeup will flash plus. There's a chance big-league hitters are able to tag his fastball more often than its velocity would portend, but there are no obvious concerns here beyond the fact that pitchers who throw this hard often need Tommy John surgery early in their careers. He didn't pitch in official games after signing and should spend the bulk of 2025 in the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Fires season-high seven innings
Burns took a no-decision Sunday against the Pirates, allowing no runs on three hits and one walk in seven innings. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Fans nine in third win
Burns (3-1) picked up the win Tuesday, allowing two runs on seven hits and a walk over six innings in a 7-2 victory over the Rockies. He struck out nine.
Analysis
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Fans eight in second win
Burns (2-1) picked up the win Tuesday against the Rays, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks with eight strikeouts across 5.2 innings.
Analysis
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Rebounds from tough start
Burns settled for a no-decision Thursday against the Giants, allowing no runs on two hits and one walk while striking out four over six innings.
Analysis
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Gives up five runs in loss
Burns (1-1) was tagged with the loss Friday against the Angels after allowing five runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out two through 5.1 innings.
Analysis
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