Chase Burns

Chase Burns

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Burns made quick work of his very first full-season assignment in 2025, earning a promotion from High-A to Double-A after three starts and ultimately jumping three levels in 11 weeks, debuting June 24 against the Yankees. He debuted less than a full calendar year after being drafted by the Reds as the No. 2 overall pick out of Wake Forest. The right-hander more than held his own in his first outing but then managed to record just one out against the Red Sox in his second career start. Showcasing elite fastball velocity and a big swing-and-miss slider (43.7 Whiff%), Burns recorded double-digit strikeouts four times in the span of five starts from July 11 to Aug. 8 before landing on the injured list with a right elbow flexor strain. Upon his return in September, Burns worked exclusively out of the bullpen, totaling nine innings across five relief appearances. He made another appearance out of the bullpen in the wild-card round. After a full offseason of rest, Burns is expected to re-enter the Cincinnati rotation in 2026. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#115
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in March of 2026.
Will pitch fourth game
PCincinnati Reds
March 25, 2026
Burns is scheduled to start the fourth game of the regular season, March 30, against the Pirates, Rich Rovito of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Burns was originally confirmed to be part of a three-pitcher crew that would combine to fill the fourth and fifth rotation spots, but plans changed when the Reds announced that Nick Lodolo (blister) will begin the regular season on the injured list. Burns, Rhett Lowder and Brandon Williamson will now have their own spots in the rotation to begin the season. Burns finished off his preseason work Tuesday, tossing 68 pitches over five innings in an exhibition game against the Brewers.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .259 98 34 12 22 8 0 4
Since 2024vs Right .221 90 33 4 19 4 1 1
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .259 98 34 12 22 8 0 4
2025vs Right .221 90 33 4 19 4 1 1
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 3.86 1.10 21.0 0 1 0 14.6 1.7 0.9
Since 2024Away 5.24 1.52 22.1 0 2 0 13.3 4.8 1.2
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home 3.86 1.10 21.0 0 1 0 14.6 1.7 0.9
2025Away 5.24 1.52 22.1 0 2 0 13.3 4.8 1.2
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Chase Burns compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.19
 
K/9
13.9
 
BB/9
3.3
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
99.3 mph
 
ERA
4.57
 
WHIP
1.32
 
BABIP
.395
 
GB/FB
0.93
 
Left On Base
64.0%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2615 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
19.0%
 
Swinging Strike
16.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Chase Burns See More
Rotowire Staff
10 days ago
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Chase Burns See More
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Burns was touching triple digits as an amateur but made it to campus at Tennessee and eventually transferred to Wake Forest for his junior season before the Reds selected him second overall in 2024. He logged a 7.7 percent walk rate as a junior, which is a mark in line with a typical premium college starting pitching prospect, and his elite 48.8 percent strikeout rate just barely edged out Hagen Smith, whom the White Sox selected fifth overall. Burns hasn't had any notable arm injuries or surgeries, which is a bit surprising given how long he's been throwing this hard. In addition to his fairly straight upper-90s fastball (touches 102 mph), Burns has a monster upper-80s slider that is one of the best pitches in the class. His curveball is also a plus pitch, and his seldom-used changeup will flash plus. There's a chance big-league hitters are able to tag his fastball more often than its velocity would portend, but there are no obvious concerns here beyond the fact that pitchers who throw this hard often need Tommy John surgery early in their careers. He didn't pitch in official games after signing and should spend the bulk of 2025 in the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Makes his first Opening Day roster
PCincinnati Reds
March 17, 2026
Burns was told by the Reds that he has made the Opening Day roster, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
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Not yet locked in for Opening Day
PCincinnati Reds
March 16, 2026
The Reds could elect to hold Burns off the Opening Day roster to ensure he has enough time to ramp up to a starter's workload, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
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Short outing Friday
PCincinnati Reds
March 14, 2026
Burns allowed one hit and struck out two over two scoreless innings in Friday's spring start against the Giants.
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Mixed results Thursday
PCincinnati Reds
February 27, 2026
Burns allowed one run on two hits and two walks while striking out five over 2.1 innings in Thursday's spring start against the Padres.
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Starts spring opener
PCincinnati Reds
February 22, 2026
Burns walked three and did not allow a hit while striking out two over two scoreless innings as the starting pitcher in Saturday's spring opener against the Guardians.
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