WNBA DFS Breakdown: Friday

WNBA DFS Breakdown: Friday

DraftKings and FanDuel Price Differences

Top 5 FanDuel

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Alysha ClarkFSEA550013.8%1160023.20%-9.5%
Sancho LyttleFPHO30007.5%730014.60%-7.1%
Monique BillingsFATL38009.5%800016.00%-6.5%
Rachel BanhamGCON410010.3%800016.00%-5.8%
Bridget CarletonGCON30007.5%660013.20%-5.7%

Top 5 DraftKings

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Kalani BrownFLA500012.5%39007.80%4.7%
Maria VadeevaFLA620015.5%570011.40%4.1%
Brionna JonesFCON690017.3%680013.60%3.7%
Nia CoffeyFATL490012.3%44008.80%3.5%
Marina MabreyGLA430010.8%37007.40%3.4%

2019 Team Stats

Note: Advanced Stats not yet available on WNBA.com

2019 Team Offense Stats

TEAMFG%3P%FT%REBASTSTLBLKTOPTS
Atlanta Dream42.928.662.131166111676
Chicago Sky4023.18029191131671
Connecticut Sun44.538.172.238.5185.54.51186
Dallas Wings35.133.37542181261872
Indiana Fever45.428.67132186.5311.579
Las Vegas Aces41.928.677.345161061683
Los Angeles Sparks36.438.569.24017981470
Minnesota Lynx44.232.474.54319.58.5421.580.5
New York Liberty4035.782.6

DraftKings and FanDuel Price Differences

Top 5 FanDuel

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Alysha ClarkFSEA550013.8%1160023.20%-9.5%
Sancho LyttleFPHO30007.5%730014.60%-7.1%
Monique BillingsFATL38009.5%800016.00%-6.5%
Rachel BanhamGCON410010.3%800016.00%-5.8%
Bridget CarletonGCON30007.5%660013.20%-5.7%

Top 5 DraftKings

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Kalani BrownFLA500012.5%39007.80%4.7%
Maria VadeevaFLA620015.5%570011.40%4.1%
Brionna JonesFCON690017.3%680013.60%3.7%
Nia CoffeyFATL490012.3%44008.80%3.5%
Marina MabreyGLA430010.8%37007.40%3.4%

2019 Team Stats

Note: Advanced Stats not yet available on WNBA.com

2019 Team Offense Stats

TEAMFG%3P%FT%REBASTSTLBLKTOPTS
Atlanta Dream42.928.662.131166111676
Chicago Sky4023.18029191131671
Connecticut Sun44.538.172.238.5185.54.51186
Dallas Wings35.133.37542181261872
Indiana Fever45.428.67132186.5311.579
Las Vegas Aces41.928.677.345161061683
Los Angeles Sparks36.438.569.24017981470
Minnesota Lynx44.232.474.54319.58.5421.580.5
New York Liberty4035.782.64014441680
Phoenix Mercury44.335.31002916932068
Seattle Storm39.123.570.32914113.51569
Washington Mystics37.514.3803717471269

2019 Team Defense Stats (Opponent Stats)

TEAMFG%3P%FT%REBASTSTLBLKTOPTS
Atlanta Dream35.133.37542181261872
Chicago Sky44.13071.946171152189
Connecticut Sun43.121.677.831.5194.54.512.573
Dallas Wings42.928.662.131166111676
Indiana Fever42.941.773.338.516441484
Las Vegas Aces36.438.569.24017981470
Los Angeles Sparks41.928.677.345161061683
Minnesota Lynx38.217.979.325.51611.531566
New York Liberty422571.43815841081
Phoenix Mercury41.831.665.236151041677
Seattle Storm44.335.38734.5197.532170
Washington Mystics43.43085.74018751084

Data from WNBA.com

Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream

Injuries

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Seattle

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Alysha ClarkFRestGTD5/31/2019
Ramu TokashikiFPersonalSUSP6/14/2019
Sue BirdGKneeOUT7/17/2019
Breanna StewartFAchillesSUSP-INJ2/1/2020

Atlanta

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Angel McCoughtryFKneeOUT6/6/2019
Kristy WallaceGKneeOUT5/1/2020

Vegas Odds: Atlanta -6.5 (Open: Atlanta -6)  Over Under: 148.5 (Open: 148)

2019 Player Stats

PlayerTeamPosGMinPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%FT%3P%
Natasha HowardSeaF232.519.510.50.531.547.15020
Jewell LoydSeaG234.5154320.52910025
Jordin CanadaSeaG23111.52.552.50.542.962.50
Crystal LanghorneSeaF2288.53.50.500.54083.30
Kaleena Mosqueda-LewisSeaF21962.511050040
Sami WhitcombSeaG213.540.51.51037.5028.6
Mercedes RussellSeaC215.523.50105000
Anriel HowardSeaF11031010500100
Shavonte ZellousSeaG217.510.52.50012.500
Courtney ParisSeaC1702001000
PlayerTeamPosGMinPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%FT%3P%
Jessica Breland                  AtlF12517621346.271.40
Renee MontgomeryAtlG12615330071.45075
Brittney SykesAtlG12510341333.366.70
Nia CoffeyAtlF122841115066.70
Elizabeth WilliamsAtlF1277611460500
Marie GulichAtlC110640001001000
Tiffany HayesAtlG1295120025250
Alex BentleyAtlG1225311018.2033.3
Monique BillingsAtlF11431210501000

The Skinny

Three big names have missed out on the first two games of the season in Sue Bird, Breanna Stewart and Alysha Clark, and at least two of the three (Bird and Stewart) will miss out again Friday. Clark, on the other hand, has been resting the first two games after finishing up her season overseas, so there's a chance that absence will end Friday. Clark is listed as probable for Friday's contest, so her depressed price on FanDuel above could make for a good value play for a beat up Storm club. Atlanta's opposition has connected from beyond the arc at the fourth-best rate in the league (33.3 percent) and Jewell Loyd's slow start from deep (25 percent through two games) has depressed her price enough to warrant consideration on both sites. Natasha Howard has been the clear-cut top option for the Storm this season, but the lowest expected over-under on the slate could make her a a less appealing top-tier option. However, Atlanta was dominated on the boards in its first game, which could play into Howard's hands.

For Atlanta, the minutes were spread across the board in the first game, with nine different players seeing double-digit minutes and seven players playing more than 20. Seattle is another team that has struggled to defend the three-point line early in the season, allowing the opposition to shoot 35.3 percent through two games. This should work in the favor of a number of Atlanta Dream players, though Renee Montgomery, Tiffany Hayes and Alex Bentley would likely be the primary beneficiaries. Nia Coffey also checks in as one of the biggest price discrepancies, with her DraftKings price being a much greater value, so she may be one to consider on that site if in need of a lineup filler.

 

Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury

Injuries

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Las Vegas

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Lindsay AllenGKneeOUT5/1/2020

Phoenix

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Camille LittleFAnkleGTD5/31/2019
Diana TaurasiGBackOUT7/17/2019

Vegas Odds: Las Vegas -1 (Open: Las Vegas -1.5)    Over Under: 163 (Open: 160)

2019 Player Stats

PlayerTeamPosGMinPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%FT%3P%
A'ja Wilson                 LVAF13121111015062.50
Kayla McBrideLVAG12920711060066.7
Dearica HambyLVAF12712143232585.70
Kelsey PlumLVAG1211106104010025
Jackie YoungLVAG1238101010000
Carolyn SwordsLVAC11444001251000
Sugar RodgersLVAG1113210020033.3
Tamera YoungLVAG1192311001000
Sydney ColsonLVAG1172033133.300
Ji-Su ParkLVAF1803010000
PlayerTeamPosGMinPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%FT%3P%
DeWanna BonnerPhoG13731842043.510037.5
Brittney GrinerPhoC13718821147.400
Essence CarsonPhoG1267120150050
Yvonne TurnerPhoG1285140050033.3
Briann JanuaryPhoG1344226066.700
Alanna SmithPhoF1183410025050
Brianna TurnerPhoF1302000000
Sophie CunninghamPhoG11203001000
Arica CarterPhoG1500000000

The Skinny

Expected to be the closest game on the slate, Las Vegas will receive major reinforcements Friday in the form of Liz Cambage, who finished last season as the runner up for the MVP award. The Mercury lost the rebound category by six in the opening game, which could work in Cambage's favor as an elite rebounder last season. A minutes limit of 15-20 and high prices on the daily sites will limit her upside from a fantasy standpoint, though it's worth noting that she will likely eat into the minutes of both Carolyn Swords and Ji-Su Park. A'ja Wilson checked in with  a double-double in the season opener and could prove to be a solid value again Friday as a centerpiece for the Aces.

On the flip side, DeWanna Bonner was the true star in the opener for the Mercury and wasn't afraid to shoot from deep, taking eight such shots in 37 minutes. She should see a large workload again Friday and takes on an Aces club that allowed the opposition to shoot 38.5 percent from three in the season opener,  positioning Bonner for another strong outing. Brittney Griner will face some tough competition for boards in the form of Cambage, Wilson, and Dearica Hamby, but a lot of the Aces' play will likely run through the post as well, providing Griner with a chance to pick up some additional opportunities to produce fantasy points. Sancho Lyttle is expected to see limited minutes in her return, but a minimum price on FanDuel could make her a worthy inclusion as a value play.

 

Connecticut Sun at Los Angeles Sparks

Injuries

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Connecticut

None

Los Angeles

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Candace ParkerFHamstringOUT6/4/2019

Vegas Odds: Los Angeles -1 (Open: Los Angeles -2)     Over Under: 165 (Open: 165.5)

2019 Player Stats

PlayerTeamPosGMinPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%FT%3P%
Jonquel JonesConF229.517.511012.554.210040
Jasmine ThomasConG229.51426.50.5042.97060
Alyssa ThomasConF2331393.51.50.552.2500
Courtney WilliamsConG2289.55.54.50.50.539.1500
Layshia ClarendonConG21783.51.50.50501000
Rachel BanhamConG2107.5100.5045.566.750
Shekinna StricklenConG2237220.502510026.7
Morgan TuckConF210.54200033.3050
Bria HolmesConG293.51.500.50.575500
Brionna JonesConC210.521000.533.3500
PlayerTeamPosGMinPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%FT%3P%
Maria VadeevaLAC12424512355050
Nneka OgwumikeLAF120171110043.8750
Chelsea GrayLAG1248241233.31000
Marina MabreyLAG1206302050066.7
Alana BeardLAG1205340050500
Riquna WilliamsLAG11842000255050
Kalani BrownLAC11645012251000
Chiney OgwumikeLAF120260201000
Tierra Ruffin-PrattLAG12001310000
Sydney WieseLAG1200000000
Alexis JonesLAG11602401000

The Skinny

Jonquel Jones has starred for the Sun in the early going, but she will face a Sparks squad that outrebounded their opponent by five in the season opener. That shouldn't stop Jones from racking up serious fantasy points on both ends of the floor in what is expected to be the highest-scoring game on the slate. While there are a number of Connecticut players in the price differential section, none play enough to serve work as anything more than a lineup filler, at best. Jones may be the Sun's best value on both sites, despite her rising price, and Alyssa Thomas has also provided enough production in the early going to warrant consideration, especially for FanDuel. No injuries for the club likely means the game plan will remain the same as it has for the first two games for a club off to a 2-0 start.

The Sparks started off the season on a sour note versus the Aces, but Maria Vadeeva's encouraging performance in the opener could land her firmly as one of he more valuable fantasy options on the slate. She was limited to just 8.2 minutes per game last year, but her rate stats told a different story when she was on the floor. While a repeat performance would be surprising, she wouldn't need it to hit value and her minutes shouldn't decrease much given her opener. It's worth taking advantage of her playing time now, because the eventual return of Candace Parker will presumably decrease Madeeva's minutes. The Sun have held their first two opponents to just 21.6 percent from three in the first two games, so the Sparks may need to lean on production Vadeeva and the Ogwumike sisters down low.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Benzine
Chris is the college football editor and the Kansas City Chiefs beat writer. He's a graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
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