Daniel Carlson

Daniel Carlson

29-Year-Old KickerK
Las Vegas Raiders
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Carlson is a fantastic kicker who has put up some big seasons while attached to mediocre offenses, but he wasn't able to overcome difficult circumstances in 2023, finishing just 25th at the position in fantasy scoring despite making all his PATs (32) and missing only four field goals (26 of 30). He was the highest-scoring kicker in 2021 and No. 2 in 2022, converting 17 of 20 attempts from 50-plus yards between the two seasons. He's hit 78.1 percent of his kicks from that distance in his career and 88.0 percent overall (fifth all-time), but a return to fantasy relevance in his age-29 season is far from guaranteed given the Raiders' continued uncertainty at QB. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#325.33
ADP
#Subscriber-Only
Kicker
$Signed a four-year, $18.4 million contract with Raiders in December of 2021.
Six-point effort Sunday
KLas Vegas Raiders
November 4, 2024
Carlson converted his only field-goal attempt and all three of his extra-point tries in Sunday's 41-24 loss to the Bengals.
ANALYSIS
Carlson still hasn't missed a field-goal attempt since Week 3, and an uninspiring Raiders offense that will likely feature either Gardner Minshew or Desmond Ridder at the helm following a Week 10 bye could struggle to score touchdowns against the Dolphins in Week 11.
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2024
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2018
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Daniel Carlson See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Carlson has earned a lofty spot in the kicker rankings on account of his own prowess more so than expectations for his offense. The Raiders were a disappointment in Year 1 of the Josh McDaniels era, and Year 2 improvement is far from guaranteed with Jimmy Garoppolo the new quarterback. Carlson, however, is unquestionably phenomenal, ranking third all-time in FG percentage while converting a ridiculous 24 of 29 attempts from 50-plus yards. He's had a little more trouble in the 40-49 range (33 of 44), but only by his own lofty standards. Carlson is the only kicker with 30 or more FG conversions each of the last three seasons, knocking home at least 33 each year.
Carlson has made 89.3 percent of his field-goal tries in four seasons with the Raiders, peaking last year as the NFL leader in both attempts and makes. He should be busy again this season after the team made a number of moves to improve, including a trade for WR Davante Adams. A repeat of 43 FGAs is too much to ask, but Carlson should offset some of the field-goal regression with additional extra-point tries.
Carlson's 2020 was a huge improvement from 2019, though the jump in FG percentage was partially a product of his league-high 18 FGAs from 20-29 yards. He also got far more chances overall -- sixth in FGAs and ninth in PATs -- buoyed by a career year from QB Derek Carr. Even if he can't match last year's pinpoint accuracy, Carlson is a solid kicker and plays for a team that has most of its talent on offense.
Carlson is attached to a Raiders offense that took a big step forward in 2019, but his own work was far less impressive, including four misses from 40-49 yards and another two from 50-plus yards. He also didn't see a ton of volume, with the Raiders favoring a slow pace of play and struggling to get stops on defense. The third-year pro could find himself in a preseason job battle with undrafted rookie Dominik Eberle.
Selected in the fifth round last year, Carlson lasted just two games with the Vikings but did nice work after resurfacing in Oakland. He missed one kick, a 45-yarder, in 10 games with the Raiders, setting him up to handle the job without competition this summer. The additions of Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams create upside for the Raiders offense, but overall team strength remains a concern.
Carlson leaves Auburn as the reigning SEC Special Teams Player of the Year and two-time first-team all-conference selection after converting 100 percent of his PATs and over 90 percent of his kicks from within 40 yards over three seasons. The Vikings spent a fifth-round pick on him despite re-signing last year's starter, Kai Forbath, in March. Since not many kickers historically have been drafted that high, it's safe to assume the rookie is the favorite to win out – especially given the non-guaranteed nature of Forbath's one-year, $775,000 contract, the 6-5 rookie could become a decent fantasy option while serving as the leg of one of the league's better offenses.
More Fantasy News
Boots 54-yard FG in loss
KLas Vegas Raiders
October 29, 2024
Carlson converted both of his field-goal attempts and tacked on a pair of extra points in Sunday's 27-20 loss to the Chiefs.
ANALYSIS
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Racks up 15 points in loss
KLas Vegas Raiders
October 22, 2024
Carlson converted all five of his field-goal attempts in Sunday's 20-15 loss to the Rams.
ANALYSIS
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Zero FG attempts in Week 6 loss
KLas Vegas Raiders
October 14, 2024
Carlson converted his only extra-point try in Sunday's 32-13 loss to the Steelers.
ANALYSIS
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Makes 40-yard field goal Sunday
KLas Vegas Raiders
October 8, 2024
Carlson converted his only field-goal attempt and made his lone extra-point try in Sunday's 34-18 loss to the Broncos.
ANALYSIS
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Nails 52-yard field goal in win
KLas Vegas Raiders
October 1, 2024
Carlson made both of his field-goal attempts and converted a pair of extra-point tries in Sunday's 20-16 win over the Browns.
ANALYSIS
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