Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

28-Year-Old DHDH
Houston Astros
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Coming off four straight 30-homer campaigns, Alvarez was limited to 48 games last season due to a hand fracture and ankle sprain. The veteran slugger certainly wasn't a stranger to injuries prior to 2025, but he still averaged 135 regular-season games per year and was consistently one of the best hitters in MLB. Even when available in 2025, Alvarez's performance was underwhelming, as he finished with a career-worst .797 OPS and just six home runs. However, he still showcased his elite plate discipline with a 14.5 percent walk rate and 16.6 percent strikeout rate. The skills are clearly still there as Alvarez enters his age-29 season, but durability remains a concern. His ADP in 2026 will likely end up being a bit of a discount if he's able to stay healthy, and most fantasy managers will probably be willing to take the risk given Alvarez's elite track record. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#34
ADP
Signed a six-year, $115 million contract extension with the Astros in June of 2022.
Slugs grand slam Saturday
DHHouston Astros
June 6, 2026
Alvarez went 1-for-3 with a grand slam, an additional run scored and a walk in a 13-2 rout of the Athletics on Saturday.
Analysis
Alvarez opened the floodgates for a Houston offensive onslaught with his second-inning grand slam that made the score 6-0. The long ball was his seventh over his past 12 contests, a span during which Alvarez has also knocked in a whopping 17 runs while batting .386 (17-for-44). That power surge has pushed Alvarez up to second place in MLB with 22 homers, and he is also tied for second with 48 RBI.
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Batting Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
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2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
40
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
17
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2026
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2025
 
 
+52%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024vs Left 1.054 327 41 20 52 2 .352 .413 .641
Since 2024vs Right .921 803 110 43 109 6 .284 .392 .528
2026vs Left 1.100 80 12 8 16 1 .329 .400 .700
2026vs Right 1.063 216 34 14 32 0 .312 .444 .618
2025vs Left 1.104 38 6 2 6 0 .344 .447 .656
2025vs Right .724 161 11 4 21 1 .256 .348 .376
2024vs Left 1.029 209 23 10 30 1 .362 .411 .617
2024vs Right .924 426 65 25 56 5 .280 .383 .541
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Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2026
 
 
+22%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+32%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024Home .928 571 76 26 71 4 .310 .403 .526
Since 2024Away .994 559 75 37 90 4 .298 .394 .600
2026Home 1.179 149 29 11 24 1 .363 .470 .710
2026Away .966 147 17 11 24 0 .269 .395 .571
2025Home .882 107 12 2 17 0 .321 .430 .452
2025Away .701 92 5 4 10 1 .222 .293 .407
2024Home .828 315 35 13 30 3 .283 .362 .466
2024Away 1.092 320 53 22 56 3 .333 .422 .670
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Stat Review
How does Yordan Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.88
 
BB Rate
15.5%
 
K Rate
17.6%
 
BABIP
.322
 
ISO
.325
 
AVG
.317
 
OBP
.432
 
SLG
.642
 
OPS
1.074
 
wOBA
.450
 
Exit Velocity
93.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
52.8%
 
Barrels/PA
8.8%
 
Expected BA
.340
 
Expected SLG
.698
 
Sprint Speed
18.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
27.5%
 
Line Drive %
24.9%
 
Fly Ball %
47.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Yordan Alvarez See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Alvarez set career-high marks in games played (147) and plate appearances (635) while clearing 30 homers for the fourth consecutive year. He suffered a right knee sprain during the final week of the 2024 regular season, but Alvarez was able to return for the wild-card round. It's almost scary what Alvarez has been able to do with his strikeout rate, lowering it to just 15 percent last season while keeping his Statcast page crimson red with elite batted-ball numbers. He has a long history of knee problems, including double knee surgery in August of 2020, but Alvarez has few peers when on the field, ranking behind only Aaron Judge in wRC+ (165) over the past four seasons. Alvarez retains outfield eligibility after making 53 starts in left field, but he should continue to see most of his time at designated hitter. Taking advantage of the bigger bases and new rules limiting pickoff attempts, Alvarez added six steals last season, after coming into the campaign with two career steals. Fantasy managers would probably prefer he not run at all given his injury history.
If Alvarez had a 100% health rating, you could make the case for him being the first hitter taken after Acuna Jr. When Alvarez is not playing through an injury or missing time with an injury, he is a run producing monster. Alvarez was limited to 114 games due to hand, arm, and an oblique injury yet still managed to finish in the top 25 for home runs and RBI despite the missed time. Alvarez is doing now what David Ortiz was doing at the end of his career numbers wise, but doing so in 80% of the plate appearances. If Alvarez could ever get a full season, 2005-2007 Ortiz numbers are at the edge of possibilities for him because he is that good of a hitter. He takes his walks and he does not strike out at the rate other hulks like him do while also handling lefties well. Simply put, this is a fantasy foundational player who is a perennial MVP candidate and worth the risk to reach because the numbers he could put up in a 600 plate appearance season will win leagues.
Alvarez has few peers in Major League Baseball; Juan Soto is perhaps the only player on his level in terms of zone management and overall hitting skills. Alvarez's Statcast page is comical, as he led MLB in average exit velocity, hard-hit percentage, xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and barrel percentage. Alvarez drew 78 walks while striking out only 106 times in 561 plate appearances during the regular season. Despite playing in only 135 games and stealing only one base, Alvarez finished as a top-10 roto hitter in 2022. We still have to worry about his knees, although his absences last season weren't directly related. The 25-year-old is under contract with the Astros long term and maintains outfield eligibility in fantasy leagues entering 2023.
Alvarez bounced back in a big way in 2021, significantly raising his 2022 stock and painfully reminding Dodgers fans they once gave him up for Josh Fields. Alvarez and his old-man knees hit the fountain of youth as he destroyed baseballs to all fields and finished the season 38% better than the league average by wRC+. Only Mike Trout, Fernando Tatis and George Springer have a higher Isolated Power (SLG-AVG) over the past three seasons. The only statistical flaw to his game is a void of steals, but he excels in run production and has a career .290 average in nearly 1,000 plate appearances. The added bonus of qualifying as an outfielder for the first time in drafts will only push up his price in drafts, but Alvarez is worth every penny. Players often reach another level in their third full pro season; if Alvarez does that, he wins the 2022 AL MVP because his next level could look like Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 2021 season.
Many players were hit hard by the pandemic in 2020, both in terms of how it affected their availability and in how it impacted their performance, and Alvarez was part of that group. His 2019 domination of baseballs set high expectations for the reigning Rookie of the Year, but COVID-19 led to him missing all of summer camp and the first three weeks of the season. He came back for all of nine plate appearances before being sent to the IL with a knee injury which eventually required season-ending surgery. Alvarez said he had dealt with the knee pain since the summer of 2019, but you would never know it statistically. There have been a few videos this offseason showing Alvarez on the treadmill during rehab, which is a good sign. Designated hitters still need their legs as the foundation of their swing, so Alvarez's recovery should be monitored closely. Adjust your risk/reward scale accordingly.
Alvarez was worth the wait for those who stashed him while he abused the Pacific Coast League to the tune of a .343/.443/.742 slash line over the first two months. Upon getting called up, the 22-year-old quickly became a foundational piece in Houston's lineup, claiming AL Rookie of the Year honors on the back of a 178 wRC+ that ranked fourth among all hitters following his June 9 promotion. Both the eye test and the Statcast metrics supported the notion that Alvarez is already one of the game's premier power bats, and his exceptional plate approach and ability to handle lefties (.307/.389/.649 in 131 plate appearances) should make him an annual batting title contender, too. Alvarez will only be eligible in a utility spot in most leagues to begin 2020, but like peak David Ortiz and Nelson Cruz before him, he's one of the few players whose lack of positional versatility shouldn't be viewed as a handicap.
There is an inevitable disconnect with where Alvarez ranks on real-life lists and fantasy-specific prospect rankings. He won’t provide much defensive value, likely getting starts in left field, at first base and at DH. What he will do, however, is hit for power and average. After putting on a clinic against Texas League pitchers (.290 ISO, 168 wRC+), he was promoted to Triple-A one week after his 21st birthday in late June. His BABIP fell from .377 to .315 after the promotion, accounting for the dip in average. However, he maintained an impressive all-fields approach (39.5 Pull%, 33.6 Oppo%) and actually upped his walk rate from 10% to 12.2%. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Cuban slugger makes such hard contact that his true talent BABIP is probably much closer to his Double-A mark. He hit above .300 against same-handed pitching at both stops, so a future platoon seems unlikely. The Astros have no reason to rush him, but he will likely force the issue this summer.
While Alvarez is a first-base-only prospect who is unproven above Low-A, he should still be viewed as a high-end asset. He has monstrous raw power, yet primarily accesses it to the opposite field, much like Domingo Santana. This rare tendency is the result of an extremely advanced all-fields approach. He rocketed the ball all over the Midwest League (.449 BABIP, 207 wRC+) en route to a midseason promotion to High-A, where the lefty-hitting slugger hit 35.8 percent of his hits to right field, 27.9 percent to center field and 36.3 percent to left field. Alvarez’s walk rate was cut in half against more advanced pitching, but his strikeout rate also dropped from 25.9 percent to 16.3 percent. Despite measuring in at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, he has average speed, but that figures to tick down as he matures. It will be tough to crack the Astros’ lineup in the coming years, but Alvarez has the offensive ceiling to do so, which should excite owners in even the shallowest of dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Knocks four hits in win
DHHouston Astros
June 3, 2026
Alvarez went 4-for-5 with two RBI and one run scored in Wednesday's 11-9 win over the Pirates.
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Blasts 21st homer Tuesday
DHHouston Astros
June 2, 2026
Alvarez went 2-for-4 with a home run and a walk in Tuesday's 10-6 loss against the Pirates.
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Reaches 20-homer mark
DHHouston Astros
May 27, 2026
Alvarez went 3-for-4 with a pair of solo home runs and a walk in Wednesday's 4-3 win over the Rangers.
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Goes deep twice in loss
DHHouston Astros
May 26, 2026
Alvarez went 2-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI in a loss to the Rangers on Tuesday.
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Slugs 16th homer
DHHouston Astros
May 25, 2026
Alvarez went 1-for-3 with a home run, an additional RBI and a walk in Monday's win over the Rangers.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Wins AL Player of the Week
DHHouston Astros
June 9, 2026
Alvarez was named the AL Player of the Week on Monday for the games between June 1 and June 7, according to Thomas Harrigan of MLB.com.
Analysis
Alvarez has been one of the best hitters in the majors this season, so it's not surprising to see him earn the Player of the Week honors after posting a .577 on-base percentage from June 1 to June 7. The Astros slugger also posted a .476 average and 1.387 OPS with two home runs and nine RBI over 26 plate appearances last week. He's now won the award twice in 2026.
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