Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Skenes continued to show what all the hype was about upon his arrival to the big leagues, winning his first Cy Young Award in unanimous fashion in 2025 after winning Rookie of the Year in his debut season. The right-hander dominates with an overpowering fastball that averages 98 mph along with a wide array of secondary pitches, including the sweeper, splitter, changeup and so on. He now owns a 5.22 K/BB and 1.96 ERA over 320.2 innings in the majors, numbers which put him on an early Hall of Fame trajectory at the age of 23. Skenes alone could not prop the Pirates out of the cellar in the NL Central, and in fact he became the first Cy Young winner with a record of .500 or worse, highlighting the issues here in regards to team context. The park is favorable, however, and Skenes' combination of stuff and command is rivaled by few, making him an obvious first-round candidate for 2026 and potentially the first pitcher off the board in fantasy drafts despite the lingering threat of TJS that is inherent with the game's hardest throwers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#11
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2026.
Struggles again Saturday
PPittsburgh Pirates
May 23, 2026
Skenes (6-4) took the loss against Toronto on Saturday, allowing four runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out two batters over five-plus innings.
Analysis
It didn't take long for Toronto to get to Skenes, as George Springer led off the bottom of the first inning with a solo homer. Skenes recovered to get through the fifth frame with just that one run on his ledger, but he fell apart in the sixth. In that inning, the Blue Jays opened with four straight hits before Skenes was pulled, and he was ultimately charged with three runs. This was the second straight uncharacteristically mediocre start for the right-hander, who gave up five runs in five innings against Philadelphia in his previous outing. That's pushed his season ERA up to 3.00, and he'll look to get back on track his next time out, which lines up to be a home start against the Cubs.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Paul Skenes generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Paul Skenes generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2026
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .196 798 248 56 143 34 4 14
Since 2024vs Right .197 681 203 27 127 26 0 13
2026vs Left .174 141 38 6 23 6 1 3
2026vs Right .202 91 27 3 17 3 0 3
2025vs Left .210 394 124 28 76 20 2 7
2025vs Right .186 339 92 14 60 17 0 4
2024vs Left .186 263 86 22 44 8 1 4
2024vs Right .210 251 84 10 50 6 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2026
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 2.19 0.93 197.1 15 8 0 10.3 1.8 0.8
Since 2024Away 2.06 0.92 183.1 12 9 0 11.1 2.1 0.4
2026Home 2.62 0.73 34.1 3 2 0 11.3 1.0 1.3
2026Away 3.51 0.94 25.2 3 2 0 7.7 1.8 0.4
2025Home 1.77 0.90 91.1 6 5 0 9.8 1.8 0.6
2025Away 2.15 1.00 96.1 4 5 0 10.9 2.2 0.5
2024Home 2.51 1.07 71.2 6 1 0 10.4 2.3 0.9
2024Away 1.32 0.80 61.1 5 2 0 12.8 2.1 0.4
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Stat Review
How does Paul Skenes compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
7.22
 
K/9
9.8
 
BB/9
1.4
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
97.1 mph
 
ERA
3.00
 
WHIP
0.82
 
BABIP
.246
 
GB/FB
1.39
 
Left On Base
66.5%
 
Exit Velocity
80.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.4%
 
Spin Rate
2126 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.1%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Paul Skenes See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
Expectations were sky high for Skenes when he was called up by the Pirates for his big-league debut in May, and yet he exceeded expectations as a rookie, even earning the start for the National League in the All-Star Game. The right-hander struck out more than five batters for every one he walked (5.31 K/BB) and finished with a 1.96 ERA over 133 innings spanning 23 starts, the second-lowest ERA for a rookie pitcher since the earned run became an official stat in both leagues in 1913. With a devastating four-seamer that averaged 98.8 mph in 2024, five secondary pitches highlighted by the sinker and breaking ball, plus exceptional command of his repertoire, Skenes is already an ace and arguably the SP1 overall in fantasy baseball heading into 2025. However, the velocity, while great for getting results on the field, could be seen as something as a red flag given many of the game's hardest throwers have gone down in recent years due to elbow trouble. Skenes, who will still be just 22 years old at the start of the upcoming season, has avoided the operating table so far in his young career.
Skenes, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 draft, is such a good pitching prospect that the most interesting thing to discuss with him is when he will make his big-league debut. He tallied 122.2 innings for LSU and 6.2 innings across stops at rookie ball, Single-A and Double-A last season (129.1 total innings), so there shouldn't be any notable workload restrictions in his age-22 season beyond the normal care teams show their most prized young arms. Additionally, if Skenes were to spend a full year in the majors and win rookie of the year, the Pirates would be rewarded with a Prospect Promotion Incentive draft pick at the end of the first round in 2025. The 6-foot-6 righty boasts two potential 80-grade pitches in his fastball (sits 99-100 mph, touches 103) and mid-80s slider. He has started throwing his upper-80s changeup more, and that looks like a potential third elite offering. The only things that could derail an ascent to ace status in a few years are injuries and/or unforeseen command issues. Skenes is generally seen as the best college pitching prospect since Stephen Strasburg, and Strasburg made 11 starts in the upper-levels of the minors before making his big-league debut. That could be Skenes' path as well, but there are different incentives in place now, so he will be appointment viewing in spring training games for as long as he remains in big-league camp.
More Fantasy News
Rare dud in third loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
May 17, 2026
Skenes (6-3) took the loss Sunday against the Phillies, allowing five runs on six hits and one walk in five innings. He struck out seven.
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Strikes out 10 in win over Rockies
PPittsburgh Pirates
May 12, 2026
Skenes (6-2) earned the win Tuesday against the Rockies, allowing just two hits and no walks with 10 strikeouts across eight shutout innings.
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In peak form for win
PPittsburgh Pirates
May 6, 2026
Skenes (5-2) allowed two hits and struck out seven without walking a batter over eight shutout innings to earn the win Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
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Ambushed in second loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 30, 2026
Skenes (4-2) took the loss Thursday against the Cardinals, allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits and no walks in five innings. He struck out nine.
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Flirts with perfect game
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 24, 2026
Skenes (4-1) earned the win Friday against the Brewers, striking out seven and allowing one hit and no walks over seven scoreless innings.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Wins NL Cy Young award
PPittsburgh Pirates
November 13, 2025
Skenes won the NL Cy Young award on Wednesday, according to Alex Stumpf of MLB.com.
Analysis
Skenes was outstanding in the 2025 season, posting a 1.97 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with a 216:42 K:BB across 187.2 regular-season frames while pitching for a Pirates team that went 71-91 and finished at the bottom of the NL Central. This was the first Cy Young award of Skenes' career, and it certainly won't be the last if he continues to pitch like this in coming seasons.
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