Griffin Canning

Griffin Canning

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
Out
Injury Achilles
Est. Return 4/27/2026
2025 Stats
W-L
7-3
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.38
K
70
SV
0
2026 Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
Unlock Our Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Canning was pacing to his best fantasy production of his career, right up to the point his left achilles tendon ruptured as he bounced off the mound to back up a play at third base after throwing a pitch to Nick Allen. Canning underwent surgery a few days later, and it is likely Canning will not be ready for the start of the regular season. The timing of the injury could not be worse for Canning as he was entering free agency this winter, and this injury was another reminder of Canning's issues staying healthy oudside of the 2020 and 2024 seasons. Canning made some adjustments to his repertoire including using a cutter against righties and ramping up his slider usage and dialing back his changeup usage a bit. He was throwing four pitch types to righties and five pitch types to lefties keeping them off balance, and more importantly, keeping the ball in the yard for the first time in his career. You should be able to grab Canning in the reserves if you have that option as we wait to hear about a firm timeline for his return, wherever he lands this winter. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
From Preseason
#383
ADP
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'2"
Weight 180
DOB 5/11/1996
Born Mission Viejo, CA
College UCLA
Drafted 2nd Rd 2017 LAA
Signed a contract with the Padres in February of 2026.
Could face hitters soon
PSan Diego Padres
Achilles
March 3, 2026
Canning (Achilles) tossed a "high-intensity" bullpen session Tuesday, and his next step could be facing hitters, per MLB.com.
Analysis
Canning continues to progress in his recovery from a torn left Achilles, though he's yet to be cleared for fielding drills. The veteran hurler is going to begin the regular season on the injured list, with late April likely the earliest feasible date for his Padres debut. San Diego's rotation is unsettled beyond the top three slots, so Canning has a good chance of getting a chance to stake his claim to a starting role once he's healthy.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Griffin Canning generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Griffin Canning generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .248 817 168 82 180 30 4 27
Since 2023vs Right .258 786 171 55 185 27 3 34
2025vs Left .243 172 41 20 37 4 0 5
2025vs Right .236 156 29 15 33 6 1 3
2024vs Left .272 386 66 42 92 18 2 16
2024vs Right .258 353 64 24 82 10 1 15
2023vs Left .217 259 61 20 51 8 2 6
2023vs Right .271 277 78 16 70 11 1 16
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-37%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.55 1.37 190.0 12 10 0 8.4 3.9 1.2
Since 2023Away 4.67 1.30 185.0 8 14 0 7.8 2.7 1.8
2025Home 4.62 1.41 39.0 2 2 0 8.5 5.1 0.7
2025Away 2.89 1.34 37.1 5 1 0 8.0 3.1 1.2
2024Home 4.45 1.42 93.0 6 3 0 7.2 4.0 1.3
2024Away 6.06 1.37 78.2 0 10 0 6.4 2.9 2.1
2023Home 4.66 1.28 58.0 4 5 0 10.4 2.9 1.4
2023Away 4.04 1.20 69.0 3 3 0 9.4 2.2 1.7
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Griffin Canning compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.00
 
K/9
8.3
 
BB/9
4.1
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
94.1 mph
 
ERA
3.77
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.299
 
GB/FB
1.91
 
Left On Base
74.6%
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.9%
 
Spin Rate
2186 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.3%
 
Swinging Strike
11.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Griffin Canning Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
Canning's major-league career has been plagued by injuries and inconsistent performance. He pitched through some elbow irritation last season en route to a career-high 171.2 innings, but it came with a 5.19 ERA, third worst among qualified starters. Atlanta acquired him from the Angels in late October, only to non-tender him weeks later. His strikeout rate dipped to just 17.6 percent last season, by far a career low, and Canning served up 31 home runs. The right-hander is still just 28 and might be a worthwhile reclamation project. The Mets were the ones to roll the dice, signing Canning to a one-year, $4.25 million contract in December to compete for a rotation spot.
After missing 2022 with a lower-back stress fracture, Canning's season got off to an inauspicious start as began the campaign on the IL with a groin injury. Fortunately, he required only the minimum 15-day visit and went on to toss a career high 127 innings, starting 22 of 24 outings. He did revisit the IL in late July for a calf injury, but only missed three weeks, though it served to keep his inning in check. Considering Canning hadn't thrown a competitive pitch since 2021, his 4.32 ERA was impressive, but a 3.82 xFIP and 3.80 SIERA indicate he pitched even better. His 19.2 percent K-BB percent ranked 22nd among hurlers throwing at least 120 innings. His pitch mix was similar to before he was hurt, but his four-seamer ticked up 1-mph. Even so, Canning's swinging strike rate dropped from 2021, but his called strike rate improved. There's strikeout upside if he can induce more swinging strikes without losing any called strikes. Canning has always yielded homers at a high rate, so he's best used as a streamer, but he can be a sneaky asset if others are scared off by a seemingly high ERA.
Canning was expected to compete for the sixth spot in the Angels' rotation last season, but setbacks from a lower-back stress fracture that first popped up during the previous campaign ruined his spring and eventually wiped out his entire season. The right-hander didn't exactly shine during the previous campaign, posting a 5.60 ERA (5.48 FIP) and 1.48 WHIP over 62.2 innings. Canning has averaged over a strikeout an inning so far as a big-leaguer, but he's had trouble locating his fastball and has posted a 1.6 HR/9 over 209.1 career frames. He'll be about 20 months removed from his last game action when spring training rolls around, so it may take some time for him to work his arm back into shape. He'll be among a group of pitchers vying for a spot at the back of the Angels' rotation, but it may take a strong spring for him to make the Opening Day roster.
Canning was one of the players who benefitted from the shortened season. March drafters did not know what to do with him after he came down with a balky elbow early in camp and received PRP injections. He was a wild card for drafts because many assumed he would go the way of Garrett Richards, Shohei Ohtani and Andrew Heaney before him and eventually have season-ending Tommy John surgery. Canning, in fact, made a full 11 starts in 2020, albeit with lesser results than his impressive 2019 debut. He lost one mph off his fastball, and the league had an easier time with the pitch as it hit .305 off it (.235 xBA). He also cut back his slider usage in favor of more curves, which is understandable given the barking elbow. If he can regain that zip on his fastball with a normal offseason of recovery, things could get interesting in 2021. Health is a risk, but taking on that risk could come with a nice reward.
After three lights-out starts at Triple-A, Canning, the Angels' top pitching prospect, was summoned to the majors in April to bolster a banged-up rotation. He offered immediate aid, posting a 3.06 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 34:9 K:BB across his first six starts. Canning actually did a better job of keeping the ball in the yard thereafter (1.2 HR/9), but a correction in his BABIP and strand rate plus a slight uptick in walks saddled him with a 5.43 ERA over his final 12 turns before he was shelved with elbow inflammation. All in all, it was a promising debut season for Canning, who established himself as a mainstay in the rotation moving forward. Canning's lack of a dominant offering in his four-pitch arsenal probably hinder his chances of emerging as a bona fide ace down the road, but at just 23 years old, there's certainly time for him to improve his skills and change that narrative.
Canning was one of the great in-season helium prospects early on in 2018, but some of that air was let out of the balloon after he advanced to Triple-A. After Canning posted a minuscule 1.97 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for Double-A Mobile, he struggled to a 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with Salt Lake (13 starts). Part of it was just the change in park factors going from the Southern League to the Pacific Coast League -- his HR/FB more than doubled with the jump in levels. However, Canning also lost something from his K-rate (from 27.2% to 24.5%) and the explosion in his opponents' BABIP (from .229 to .376) wasn't all luck and park related as his line-drive rate jumped from 18.3% all the way to 26%. Canning doesn't have any one standout offering, but he has a decent four-pitch mix (fastball, slider, curveball change) and fringe-average command. The Angels will need arms this season, and Canning appears a likely candidate to start at some point.
More Fantasy News
Will begin season on injured list
PSan Diego Padres
Achilles
February 18, 2026
Canning (Achilles) will begin the season on the injured list but "might not be there for very long," AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Signs with Friars
PSan Diego Padres
Achilles
February 14, 2026
Canning (Achilles) signed a one-year contract with the Padres on Saturday, Robert Murray of FanSided.com reports.
Analysis
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Diagnosed with ruptured Achilles
PNew York Mets
Achilles
June 27, 2025
The Mets placed Canning on the 60-day injured list with a ruptured left Achilles tendon Friday.
Analysis
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Likely dealing with Achilles issue
PNew York Mets
Achilles
June 26, 2025
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said following Thursday's win over Atlanta that the organization believes Canning likely suffered an Achilles injury, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Managing ankle issue
PNew York Mets
Ankle
June 26, 2025
The Mets stated after Canning was pulled from Thursday's game against Atlanta that he's dealing with a left ankle injury.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could return around May
PSan Diego Padres
March 4, 2026
Canning, who's recovering from an Achilles injury, won't be ready for Opening Day but is expected to be able to return around May or June, according to Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune.
Analysis
The Padres have decided that Canning will start the 2026 season on the injured list, as he's not ready to field his position. That said, the fact that he's already throwing with no issues is certainly a positive sign. Canning suffered the injury while pitching for the Mets in June of 2025.
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