Griffin Canning

Griffin Canning

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Canning's major-league career has been plagued by injuries and inconsistent performance. He pitched through some elbow irritation last season en route to a career-high 171.2 innings, but it came with a 5.19 ERA, third worst among qualified starters. Atlanta acquired him from the Angels in late October, only to non-tender him weeks later. His strikeout rate dipped to just 17.6 percent last season, by far a career low, and Canning served up 31 home runs. The right-hander is still just 28 and might be a worthwhile reclamation project. The Mets were the ones to roll the dice, signing Canning to a one-year, $4.25 million contract in December to compete for a rotation spot. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#422
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.25 million contract with the Mets in December of 2024.
Takes loss in team debut
PNew York Mets
March 29, 2025
Canning (0-1) took the loss Saturday, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out four across 5.2 innings against Houston.
ANALYSIS
Canning went through the first four innings of Saturday's game unscathed but lost the shutout when he gave up a solo home run to Jeremy Pena in the fifth frame. Canning was close to earning a quality start, but his last pitch thrown was smacked into deep center field by Yordan Alvarez for an RBI double that gave the Astros a one-run lead in the sixth inning. The loss is disappointing, but it was a good start to Canning's Mets tenure, and it was promising to see his fastball top out at 96 mph after hovering around 93-to-94 mph in spring training. He'll look to earn his first win in a Mets uniform next week and is lined up to face the Blue Jays at home.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Griffin Canning generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Griffin Canning generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .249 650 128 62 144 27 4 22
Since 2023vs Right .263 646 145 42 155 21 2 32
2025vs Left .200 5 1 0 1 1 0 0
2025vs Right .214 16 3 2 3 0 0 1
2024vs Left .272 386 66 42 92 18 2 16
2024vs Right .258 353 64 24 82 10 1 15
2023vs Left .217 259 61 20 51 8 2 6
2023vs Right .271 277 78 16 70 11 1 16
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.53 1.36 151.0 10 8 0 8.4 3.6 1.3
Since 2023Away 5.05 1.28 153.1 3 14 0 7.7 2.6 1.9
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 3.18 1.06 5.2 0 1 0 6.4 3.2 1.6
2024Home 4.45 1.42 93.0 6 3 0 7.2 4.0 1.3
2024Away 6.06 1.37 78.2 0 10 0 6.4 2.9 2.1
2023Home 4.66 1.28 58.0 4 5 0 10.4 2.9 1.4
2023Away 4.04 1.20 69.0 3 3 0 9.4 2.2 1.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Griffin Canning compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.00
 
K/9
6.4
 
BB/9
3.2
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
93.8 mph
 
ERA
3.18
 
WHIP
1.06
 
BABIP
.200
 
GB/FB
2.25
 
Left On Base
87.0%
 
Exit Velocity
84.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.9%
 
Spin Rate
2579 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.6%
 
Swinging Strike
11.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Griffin Canning See More
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3 days ago
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9 days ago
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10 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
After missing 2022 with a lower-back stress fracture, Canning's season got off to an inauspicious start as began the campaign on the IL with a groin injury. Fortunately, he required only the minimum 15-day visit and went on to toss a career high 127 innings, starting 22 of 24 outings. He did revisit the IL in late July for a calf injury, but only missed three weeks, though it served to keep his inning in check. Considering Canning hadn't thrown a competitive pitch since 2021, his 4.32 ERA was impressive, but a 3.82 xFIP and 3.80 SIERA indicate he pitched even better. His 19.2 percent K-BB percent ranked 22nd among hurlers throwing at least 120 innings. His pitch mix was similar to before he was hurt, but his four-seamer ticked up 1-mph. Even so, Canning's swinging strike rate dropped from 2021, but his called strike rate improved. There's strikeout upside if he can induce more swinging strikes without losing any called strikes. Canning has always yielded homers at a high rate, so he's best used as a streamer, but he can be a sneaky asset if others are scared off by a seemingly high ERA.
Canning was expected to compete for the sixth spot in the Angels' rotation last season, but setbacks from a lower-back stress fracture that first popped up during the previous campaign ruined his spring and eventually wiped out his entire season. The right-hander didn't exactly shine during the previous campaign, posting a 5.60 ERA (5.48 FIP) and 1.48 WHIP over 62.2 innings. Canning has averaged over a strikeout an inning so far as a big-leaguer, but he's had trouble locating his fastball and has posted a 1.6 HR/9 over 209.1 career frames. He'll be about 20 months removed from his last game action when spring training rolls around, so it may take some time for him to work his arm back into shape. He'll be among a group of pitchers vying for a spot at the back of the Angels' rotation, but it may take a strong spring for him to make the Opening Day roster.
Canning was one of the players who benefitted from the shortened season. March drafters did not know what to do with him after he came down with a balky elbow early in camp and received PRP injections. He was a wild card for drafts because many assumed he would go the way of Garrett Richards, Shohei Ohtani and Andrew Heaney before him and eventually have season-ending Tommy John surgery. Canning, in fact, made a full 11 starts in 2020, albeit with lesser results than his impressive 2019 debut. He lost one mph off his fastball, and the league had an easier time with the pitch as it hit .305 off it (.235 xBA). He also cut back his slider usage in favor of more curves, which is understandable given the barking elbow. If he can regain that zip on his fastball with a normal offseason of recovery, things could get interesting in 2021. Health is a risk, but taking on that risk could come with a nice reward.
After three lights-out starts at Triple-A, Canning, the Angels' top pitching prospect, was summoned to the majors in April to bolster a banged-up rotation. He offered immediate aid, posting a 3.06 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 34:9 K:BB across his first six starts. Canning actually did a better job of keeping the ball in the yard thereafter (1.2 HR/9), but a correction in his BABIP and strand rate plus a slight uptick in walks saddled him with a 5.43 ERA over his final 12 turns before he was shelved with elbow inflammation. All in all, it was a promising debut season for Canning, who established himself as a mainstay in the rotation moving forward. Canning's lack of a dominant offering in his four-pitch arsenal probably hinder his chances of emerging as a bona fide ace down the road, but at just 23 years old, there's certainly time for him to improve his skills and change that narrative.
Canning was one of the great in-season helium prospects early on in 2018, but some of that air was let out of the balloon after he advanced to Triple-A. After Canning posted a minuscule 1.97 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for Double-A Mobile, he struggled to a 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with Salt Lake (13 starts). Part of it was just the change in park factors going from the Southern League to the Pacific Coast League -- his HR/FB more than doubled with the jump in levels. However, Canning also lost something from his K-rate (from 27.2% to 24.5%) and the explosion in his opponents' BABIP (from .229 to .376) wasn't all luck and park related as his line-drive rate jumped from 18.3% all the way to 26%. Canning doesn't have any one standout offering, but he has a decent four-pitch mix (fastball, slider, curveball change) and fringe-average command. The Angels will need arms this season, and Canning appears a likely candidate to start at some point.
More Fantasy News
Fans nine in Monday's start
PNew York Mets
March 19, 2025
Canning gave up a run on three hits and a walk over 4.2 innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Rays. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Set for turn in first series
PNew York Mets
March 17, 2025
Canning is expected to start the third game of the Mets' season-opening series in Houston, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Solidifying rotation spot
PNew York Mets
March 11, 2025
Canning gave up only one hit over 3.2 scoreless innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals. He struck out five without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Effective in first spring outing
PNew York Mets
February 28, 2025
Canning gave up two hits and a walk over 1.2 scoreless innings in Thursday's Grapefruit league game against the Astros. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Odds of rotation spot improving
PNew York Mets
February 24, 2025
Canning appears likely to have a spot in the Opening Day rotation if Sean Manaea (oblique) begins the season on the injured list, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Might be on Mets' radar
PFree Agent
December 3, 2024
Canning is a name "to keep in mind" for the Mets, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The Mets recently reached an agreement with Frankie Montas and it appears president of baseball operations David Stearns might still be focusing more on mid- to back-end starter types than front-line rotation help. Canning qualifies as the former after posting a 5.19 ERA and 130:66 K:BB across 171.2 frames for the Angels in 2024. He was traded to Atlanta in the Jorge Soler deal last month but was then non-tendered.
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