George Springer

35-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Toronto Blue Jays

2024 Stats

AVG

.220

RBI

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of fall-off. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career but nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full seaosn for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted donut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate and celebrate crowd as his groundball to flyball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7% groundball rate was the highest of his career while his 39.8% pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top of the lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 221

DOB 9/19/1989

Born New Britain, CT

College Connecticut

Drafted 1st Rd 2011 HOU

Not in Wednesday's lineup

OFToronto Blue Jays

September 25, 2024

Springer is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Red Sox.

ANALYSIS
Springer is getting the night off after starting in both of the last two contests and four of the last five. Nathan Lukes will cover right field and bat second for the Blue Jays.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+9%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+21%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+4%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+4%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.690	418	48	13	40	8	.227	.323	.367
Since 2022vs Right	.751	1455	202	52	164	42	.254	.324	.427
2024vs Left	.580	145	13	3	8	3	.187	.303	.276
2024vs Right	.702	468	61	16	48	13	.230	.303	.398
2023vs Left	.710	142	20	4	14	4	.242	.331	.379
2023vs Right	.738	539	67	17	58	16	.262	.327	.411
2022vs Left	.788	131	15	6	18	1	.252	.336	.452
2022vs Right	.821	448	74	19	58	13	.271	.344	.477
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+2%

OPS on Road

2024

+3%

OPS at Home

2023

+4%

OPS on Road

2022

+6%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.730	948	122	37	105	29	.243	.322	.409
Since 2022Away	.746	925	128	28	99	21	.254	.326	.420
2024Home	.683	303	38	11	32	9	.225	.307	.376
2024Away	.665	310	36	8	24	7	.215	.300	.365
2023Home	.719	341	36	11	33	12	.249	.326	.393
2023Away	.745	340	51	10	39	8	.266	.329	.416
2022Home	.790	304	48	15	40	8	.255	.332	.458
2022Away	.840	275	41	10	36	6	.281	.353	.488
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Stat Review

How does George Springer compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.52

BB Rate

9.8%

K Rate

18.8%

BABIP

.245

ISO

.150

AVG

.220

OBP

.303

SLG

.371

OPS

.674

wOBA

.302

Exit Velocity

87.5 mph

Hard Hit Rate

30.8%

Barrels/PA

6.5%

Expected BA

.244

Expected SLG

.402

Sprint Speed

23.4 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.7%

Line Drive %

16.4%

Fly Ball %

32.9%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Blue Jays Depth Chart

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

George Springer's 2023 season surprised fantasy managers in many ways. The biggest surprise of them all is the 33 year old player eclipsed the 140 gamed played mark for the first time since he played all 162 in 2016. He also went out and posted the first 20-20 season of his career which was his first full season with even double-digit steals since the 2015 season. The 21 homers was a disappointment given the tweaks made to Rogers Centre to improve offense, but those improvements did not materialize into extra homers for anyone on the roster let alone Springer. His RBI production was held back with him hitting leadoff for most of the season and the bottom of the order not being on base as much as hoped. We cannot recommend looking for more of the same from this veteran given how much newness was introduced from Springer in 2023 as much as we can safely say repeating 20 homers is the only thing he is likely to repeat in 2024.

Most of what was expected of Springer since he signed with Toronto has come true, good and bad. 2022 saw Springer dip back into the fountain of youth and swipe 14 bags in 16 attempts marking the first time since 2015 he finished with a double-digit steals total. He also hit 25 homers for the first time away from Houston and/or minor league parks while continuing his OBP skills thanks to his ability to both accept walks and punish the baseball to all fields. The downside of his tenure in Toronto has been a signfnicant amount of time missed as he has played in 211 of the 324 contests over the past two seasons and dealt with knee and elbow troubles down the stretch in 2022. He had minor elbow surgery to remove a bone spur in his elbow after Toronto was knocked out of the playoffs so Springer should at least begin the season healthy. He has 30/100/100/10/.270 potential if he can figure out a way to avoid the IL in 2023.

Springer was hurt to start the 2021 season (quadriceps) and didn't become a fixture in the Blue Jays' lineup until late June. Then his knee started acting up in late August, forcing him to miss some more time. In all, he came to bat just 342 times and still hit over 20 homers with a handful of stolen bases. Over the second half, he hit an outstanding .286/.366/.599 with 17 homers. While he was frustrating to roster, he was near elite when on the field. Generally, he was on par with career norms, with his Barrel% (career high) and strikeout rate (five-year high) being the two exceptions. Fantasy managers know he is going to miss some time since he has only broken 140 games once in his career. He's a near-elite talent... again, when on the field. Each manager is going to have to evaluate how much injury risk they are willing to take on when it's Springer's time to be drafted.

Springer's time in Houston has come to an end. He came up as a rookie who could take a walk and hit homers, but his aggressive approach left him exposed to strikeouts. That got better each year, and Springer actually closed 2020 with a career-best strikeout rate. One would assume Springer had big home/road splits, but in fact he has 12 more homers on the road than at home in his career, and hit 19 points better on the road in his time with Houston. This past season was the first in which Springer hit more flyballs than groundballs, and was also the most pull-heavy season of his big-league career. It is almost as if he was auditioning for a big-budgeted 2021 employer. We're taught to be cautious in the first year of a new big contract, but Springer has all of the tools to be a frontline fantasy producer even if he no longer steals bases as he once did. He can hit in any one of the top four spots of a lineup.

Despite missing a month with a hamstring strain, Springer delivered the best season of his career in 2019. The injury killed Springer's chances of claiming AL MVP honors, but he still met value for those that invested an early-round pick. A recovery in the power department was the key, as Springer bounced back from a career-worst .780 OPS in 2018 to rank eighth in the majors (1.015). Juiced ball notwithstanding, Springer's gains look sustainable on some level, as his Statcast expected slugging percentage placed him in the 96th percentile of hitters. And though his three-year streak of 100-plus runs ended due to the low games total, Springer rode the wave of a prolific offense to 96 RBI, the sixth most in MLB history for a leadoff man. With Houston retaining most of its core lineup pieces in 2020, Springer won't be asked to steal much, but huge numbers in the other counting categories remain in the forecast.

Despite playing as many games last year as he did the year before, Springer's numbers took a noticeable dip, mainly due to his ISO dropping from a career-best .239 to a career-worst .169. He still managed to top 100 runs for the third year in a row while serving as the Astros' leadoff hitter, and outside of the power dip, he showed the same plate skills as the year before. There is some rebound potential for Springer -- he has pedigree (first-round pick in 2011) on his side and the Astros have a potent offense. He also logged a 15.0% HR/FB last season, well below his career mark of 20.2%. However, he will, possibly surprisingly, turn 30 late next season, so it is quite possible 2016 and 2017 will go down as the best years of his career, with 2018 representing the beginning of a slight decline. Regardless, he will patrol center field every day for the Astros again in 2019.

Springer hit 34 homers out of the leadoff spot last season, and did not even lead baseball in that department (Charlie Blackmon did). The early version of Springer struck out too much, but he has improved his strikeout rate in each of his four seasons at the major-league level (down to a 17.6 percent K% last season) while maintaining a double-digit walk rate. That ability to draw walks is what makes him the best fit for leading off, and the historically deep Astros lineup allowed him the opportunity to drive in 85 runs as well. To put that into perspective, fewer than 30 players have ever driven in as many as 80 runs out of the leadoff spot in a single season. Everything is in place for Springer to repeat his 2017 output, but don't expect a resurgence in the stolen-base category as he's gone 14-for-31 on the basepaths over the last two seasons combined.

Springer addressed durability concerns by playing in every game of the 2016 season. His metrics were very much in line with his 2015 efforts nearly across the board. He did set career highs in the counting categories with 29 homers and benefitted from Jose Altuve hitting behind him to score 116 runs. As long as Springer maintains his ability to get on base (.356 career OBP), there is little reason to move him out of the leadoff spot. While he does strike out a bit, he has improved his rate each season to date. Splits-wise, he does prefer lefties (.267/.391/.517; 14 percent walk rate, 23 percent strikeout rate) over righties (.255/.342/.437; 11 percent walks, 27 percent Ks) but his numbers against right-handers are not a killer, though it does help frame why it will be tougher for him to hit for a higher average. The next phase of improvement will be to get more loft on the ball, as a near 50 percent groudball rate is too high for someone with his pop.

Springer struggled out of the gates in 2015, hitting just .222 with seven home runs and 17 RBI through the first two months of the season. He did swipe 11 bases during that span, however, and showed solid plate discipline with 32 walks. When the calendar flipped to June, something clicked for the 26-year-old, as he hit .321/.387/.518 with six long balls and 12 RBI while seeing time atop the order for Houston. Unfortunately, Springer was hit by a pitch during a game on July 1 and ended up missing two months of the season due to a fractured right wrist. Springer has missed significant time in each of the past two seasons, which is a bit concerning for someone who was a second- or third-round fantasy pick last year. His 30/20 upside is too great to ignore, however, and he may even be had at a discount in 2016 drafts.

With nothing left to prove in the minors, Springer made his much-anticipated major league debut for the Astros in mid-April. He struggled initially, hitting .182 in 14 homer-less games before finally flashing his power potential when the calendar flipped to May. The 25-year-old hit .294 with 10 long balls and 25 RBI during the month, which brought much relief to fantasy owners who had been anxiously awaiting his callup. Springer did have issues making contact (61%) and he struck out at an incredibly high rate (33%), but he still turned in a respectable stat line, hitting .231/.336/.468 with 20 home runs, 51 RBI and five steals before knee and quadriceps injuries interfered in July, ultimately ending his season. Expected to be fully healthy entering camp, Springer is likely to run more on the basepaths than he did in his rookie season, which bodes well for those who invest in the powerful outfielder. A 40/20 season is certainly attainable if he maintains his health over a full season.

Springer, 24, was a finalist for USA Today's 2013 Minor League Player of the Year award after hitting a combined .303 with 37 home runs, 108 RBI and 45 steals over 135 games between Double-A and Triple-A. The right-handed slugger's 1.050 OPS at Triple-A would have led the league if he had played in enough games to qualify. Perhaps one of the only knocks on Springer is his high strikeout rate (26.5 percent in the minors for his career), but he possesses the rare combination of power and speed that fantasy owners drool over. Springer is one of the most exciting prospect in baseball, and he appears likely to take over as the Astros' starting center fielder at some point in 2014, although the short-term plans for him became cloudy when the Astros acquired Dexter Fowler from the Rockies in December.

Springer's first full season line was pretty much as anticipated: lots of homers, steals and strikeouts. Despite the big 6-foot-3 frame, he is fairly lean, weighing just 200 pounds. As he matures, Springer figures to put on some muscle, which should only add to his power potential. He is going to need to fix the hole in his swing if he wants to continue to succeed in the upper minors. Springer has outstanding upside, and in Minute Maid Park he could emerge as a five-tool player. He will need more seasoning, though, so do not expect him to arrive this year as anything more than a September callup.

The Astros' toolsy 2011 first-round draft pick arrived with much fanfare, signing with the team right before the August deadline. Athletic and fast, he figures to play a competent center field with decent power and speed. Springer may always struggle with contact, as his college numbers reveal serious holes in his swing (161 strikeouts in 692 at-bats). He's probably two years away from being a major league regular and will likely open at Low-A Lexington. For now, he's considered the Astros' center fielder of the future.

More Fantasy News

Not in lineup

OFToronto Blue Jays

September 22, 2024

Springer is absent from the lineup for Sunday's game in Tampa Bay.