Evan Carter

Evan Carter

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Texas Rangers
Out
Injury Back
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The back of Carter's baseball card looks pristine and he shined on a big postseason stage, but there is one glaring weakness to acknowledge: his inability to hit lefties. He should be a fantastic option near the top of the lineup against righties and has the speed to steal 20-plus bases. Carter's hard-hit data is middling, especially for a top prospect who is big-league ready. However, he is a master at getting the barrel to the ball and taking opposite-handed pitchers out to the pull side. Carter's 13.4 O-Swing% was incredibly low, especially for a rookie hitter who also slugged .645 in 75 MLB plate appearances. For now, he is a premium platoon prospect. He went hitless with one walk and six strikeouts in 11 plate appearances against big-league lefties and notched one extra-base hit (a double) while striking out 28 times in 106 plate appearances against southpaws at Double-A and Triple-A. The Rangers are loaded, so Carter may platoon, but he could still go 15/20 with a high OBP and won't turn 22 until August. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#111
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rangers in March of 2024.
Has ablation procedure on back
OFTexas Rangers
Back
October 11, 2024
Carter underwent an ablation procedure on his back last week, Jeff Wilson of AllDLLS.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The procedure removed some tissue that had been affecting his recovery from a lower-back stress reaction that limited him to just 45 games this season. Carter has been cleared to begin a hitting progression, with the hope that he'll have a normal offseason and be 100 percent healthy by spring training.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
13
1
11
1
1
1
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+280%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+151%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .231 40 5 0 2 0 .081 .150 .081
Since 2022vs Right .877 197 33 10 25 5 .254 .350 .527
2024vs Left .284 29 4 0 2 0 .111 .172 .111
2024vs Right .712 133 19 5 13 2 .205 .293 .419
2023vs Left .091 11 1 0 0 0 .000 .091 .000
2023vs Right 1.238 64 14 5 12 3 .365 .469 .769
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+39%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+47%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+41%
OPS at Home
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .908 104 16 6 16 3 .247 .346 .562
Since 2022Away .652 133 22 4 11 2 .205 .293 .359
2024Home .766 75 10 3 8 1 .215 .320 .446
2024Away .521 87 13 2 7 1 .165 .230 .291
2023Home 1.289 29 6 3 8 2 .333 .414 .875
2023Away .913 46 9 2 4 1 .289 .413 .500
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Evan Carter compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.35
 
BB Rate
9.3%
 
K Rate
26.5%
 
BABIP
.227
 
ISO
.174
 
AVG
.188
 
OBP
.272
 
SLG
.361
 
OPS
.633
 
wOBA
.282
 
Exit Velocity
86.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.4%
 
Barrels/PA
3.7%
 
Expected BA
.212
 
Expected SLG
.335
 
Sprint Speed
25.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
41.2%
 
Line Drive %
14.7%
 
Fly Ball %
44.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Evan Carter See More
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
71 days ago
Jesse Siegel details which prospects look ready to stick with their parent clubs and who may have to wait until next year.
MLB Expert Picks for Guardians vs. Rangers for Sunday, August 25
72 days ago
Jose Ramirez and the Guardians take on the Rangers at home in Cleveland tonight. Adam Warners shares his expert MLB pick for this matchup.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Trout Out
92 days ago
In this all Check Swings edition, Jeff Stotts highlights the most prominent injuries heading into August, starting with Mike Trout who is out for the year.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
107 days ago
Erik Siegrist takes stock of the available talent in the American League and wonders when the next wave of top prospects could arrive, including the Rays' Junior Caminero.
Rankings for DraftKings Post-Break Best Ball
116 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at second-half best ball leagues from DraftKings and has Shohei Ohtani topping his rankings in the format.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Carter, whom the Rangers selected with the 50th overall pick in 2020, finally got to play nearly a full minor-league season and proved himself to be one of the game's top outfield prospects in the process. A stress fracture in his back limited him to 32 games at Single-A in 2021, but his approach as an 18-year-old (.438 OBP, 34 walks, 28 strikeouts) jumped out as a strength. Carter followed that up with a .295/.397/.489 slash line, 17.1 K% and 13.5 BB% while playing 100 games at High-A and six games at Double-A. He hit 12 home runs and went 28-for-41 (68.3% success rate) on stolen base attempts while being one of the youngest hitters at each stop. Carter clearly projects as a leadoff hitter down the road, it's just a matter of projecting how much power he will develop and how many bases he will steal annually. His 28.6 Hard% was fine for a player his age (turned 20 in August) with his plate skills, but that success rate on the bases is a bit discouraging. There's 15-homer/20-steal upside for now, but Carter still has room to improve or regress in the next couple years as he faces better pitching.
More Fantasy News
Hopes to swing bat in 9-to-10 weeks
OFTexas Rangers
Back
August 4, 2024
Carter (back) said Sunday that he doesn't expect to require surgery and hopes to resume swinging a bat in 9-to-10 weeks, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely out for regular season
OFTexas Rangers
Back
July 30, 2024
Rangers general manager Chris Young said Tuesday that Carter (back) isn't expected to play again during the regular season, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shifts to 60-day IL
OFTexas Rangers
Back
July 29, 2024
The Rangers transferred Carter (back) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Getting second opinion
OFTexas Rangers
Back
July 27, 2024
Carter was shut down from baseball activities Friday and will get a second opinion on his lower back soreness, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could begin rehab assignment next week
OFTexas Rangers
Back
July 24, 2024
Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said Wednesday that Carter (back) is "about a week behind" Josh Jung (wrist) in their respective timelines to return from the injured list, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Demotion not yet considered
OFTexas Rangers
May 27, 2024
Rangers manager Bruce Bochy indicated Friday that he has yet to think about a potential demotion for Carter, reports Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News.
ANALYSIS
Carter had a solid start to his MLB career by hitting .306 in 23 games last year and finished April with five homers and a .776 OPS, but he's batting just .132 in May and is without a hit in his past 20 at-bats. The 21-year-old already isn't seeing starts against left-handed pitching, and more time on the bench isn't a solution for a prized prospect. A trip to the minors could be in store if Carter's struggles continue to linger, but for now it appears he'll continue to serve as Texas' primary left fielder versus right-handed pitching.
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